The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

January 14, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

In some of my recent SBC Blogs I have been listing a number of tables with the full profit and loss details for many of the recommended tipsters we advocate our members follow. In these articles I have used a term called ROI to help you put tipster profits into a real-life context, and I have another simple calculation to further help that today – Return on Capital.

Return on Capital or ROC is a really simple measure that translates how much your money has grown in relation to its starting point. It is a simple percentage figure, which is very easy to calculate – even Robbie Savage could work it out!

Say for example you put £5000 into a high interest account and at the end of the year you had £6000. Well your profit is £1000, but your ROC is the percentage increase, which in this instance is 20%.

(To get this figure simply divide 100 by your starting amount – £5000 and then multiply by the profit – £1000).

Sadly, these days you are very unlikely to get anywhere near that amount of ROC from £5000 in traditional savings accounts.

This is why more and more people are turning to alternative ways of investing their money – such as through betting, where with the right people guiding you, the ROC can be very appealing. At this point we must stress that betting obviously is a higher risk that putting your money in the bank, but in this case, with higher risk can come higher rewards.

Some Examples

To help explain this further, I am going to show you the exact ROC amounts for each of the 9 top-rated racing tipsters we recommended in 2010. If you have yet to do so, you can see all the profit figures for each of these tipsters at this blog post, but in the table below are the exact ROC figures.

(Please note – the actual names of each tipster have been protected and are available to full SBC members only).

To help explain this further, we recommend a betting bank figure for each service (2^nd column) and next to that you can see the points profit for 2010 that this service made. In the final column is the exact Return on Capital amount in percentage terms.

The top performer was Service 7, with a whopping 455% increase in 2010. To put that in financial terms, if you had started the year with £5000, this would have become £27,552 by the end of it.

Of course they are by far and away the top performers, but still any of Services 3 through to 9 would have made at least 23.72% up to 147.27% ROC.

Much more than any bank is going to offer you in the current economic climate!

Find out More

If you find these kind of stats helpful then you will love our monthly Tipster Report, which gives you the latest ROC for around 35 of the very best tipsters out there. We also calculate other useful figures for you, such as Strike-Rate, ROI and our very own power ranking, which we call ROI+.

You can pick this all up immediately by taking up a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.

We have a very competitive looking weekend of Premier League action coming up with 3 big derbies and a crunch game down at White Hart Lane. No doubt all police leave will have been cancelled this weekend!

My strongest bet of the weekend comes up at the Stadium of Light where Sunderland are what looks to be a far too generous 2.23 with 2 bookies to beat Newcastle. Perhaps too much is being made of the 5-1 reverse thrashing but the facts are that the Black Cats have a very strong home record indeed, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing just 1 this season. I’m not at all convinced that Alan Partridge (sorry, Pardew) will be right for the Geordies and I make the home win probability towards a 50% chance, much better than the 44% that the 2.23 odds indicate. The one concern is that Newcastle have been such a Jekyll and Hyde team so it depends what side of bed they all get out of that morning especially. Andy Carroll if not fit will be a big miss as well.

Another team who have made their home ground a bit of a fortress is Spurs who are as big as 2/1 to see off Man Utd on Sunday. Remarkably only Wigan have come away from the Lane with all 3 pts this season and United have won only 2 games on the road, both of which were far from convincing narrow victories at Stoke and West Brom. They seem to have missed Rooney’s usual cut and thrust away this season and are vulnerable down the flanks, especially at right back so Gareth Bale could be key. A draw for me looks likely, followed by a home win so I am taking the +0.25 Asian Handicap on Spurs at 1.78 with 12bet.

These 2 games apart its slim pickings this weekend although I am placing my first bet on Blackpool in the outright match market for this season. West Brom are struggling for quality defensively with a few key players out and could be overwhelmed by Blackpool’s attacking instincts who will be full of confidence after doing the double over Liverpool. A shortlist bet on the Tangerines with a +0.75 Asian Handicap at 1.96 with Pinnacle and 188bet is the approach here.

My only other interest this weekend was potentially over at Anfield where Liverpool are a very big looking 2.29 to beat Everton at home. I have passed this over as a bet due to my policy of not betting heavily on teams that have undergone recent changes (such as a new manager). Still Liverpool have a pretty decent record and at 2.29, this indicates a 43.6% chance of victory for the home side, which may offer value. No bet for me but will watch with interest.

Main Bets
1 pt Sunderland to beat Newcastle 2.23 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Spurs (+0.25 AH) V Man Utd. 1.78 12bet/Canbet/SBObet/188bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Blackpool (+0.75 AH) V West Brom. 1.96 Pinnacle/188bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*All odds quoted correct as of time these bets were posted at the SBC Blog.

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!

The two darts World Championships have just ended and it’s noticeable the difference in the standard of doubling in the seperate organisations. Adrian Lewis won the PDC event with a doubles tournament average of 38% with Martin Adams winning the BDO tournament with a doubles tournament average of 36%. Not much difference there I hear you cry and that’s true but let’s delve a little deeper. Runner-up in the PDC world’s Gary Anderson struck a 41% doubles tournament record while BDO runner-up Dean Winstanley could only claim 30%. Looking back at last year’s events Phil Taylor won the tournament with a 40% doubles ratio and runner up Raymond van Barneveld had a 39% ratio. In the BDO Martin Adams had a 38% winners ratio and runner up Dave Chisnall struck 35%. In punting terms this means you are better trading in running on the BDO events that are televised as prices will fluctuate more as doubles are missed.

In terms of tournament winners let’s look back at the last five televised singles PDC tournaments (including the joint players PDC/BDO Grand Slam of Darts event) and the winners and runners up tournaments doubles records:-

PDC World Championship – Winner, – Adrian Lewis 38%, Runner-up – Gary Anderson 41%

Grand Slam of Darts:- Winner – Scott Waites 40%, Runner-up – James Wade 49%

World Grand Prix:- Winner – James Wade 46%, Runner-up – Adrian Lewis 44%

European Championships:- Winner – Phil Taylor 40%, Runner-up – Wayne Jones 36%

World Matchplay:- Winner – Phil Taylor 53%, Runner-up – Raymond van Barneveld 50%

The common theme is no winner has struck less than 38% tournament doubles. The next televised PDC tournament is at the start of next month on ITV4 the Players Championship. The betting market will be dominated by Phil Taylor, but does his recent slump form tie in with a dip on his doubles? The answer is yes. Here’s his doubles record for the last 5 televised events with the most recent first. World Championships 36%, Grand Slam of Darts 37%, Grand Prix 51%, European Championships 40% and Matchplay 53%. It’s noticeable in the last two tournaments Taylor’s doubling has dipped below our 38% winners line. Also noticeable that Taylor resorted to playing in glasses for one match in the Grand Slam of Darts which has to be taken as a negative. For alternatives to Taylor are there any players who have over the last five events kept their doubles above the 38% line? There’s only one man to have done so: James Wade with an average doubles rate of 46% over the last five televised tournaments. This would suggest Wade would be a player to keep on the right side for the Players Championship with Phil Taylor a possible lay. Interestingly they are on course to meet in round 2 of the competition. Clichés generally ring true and the old darting adage “it’s trebles for show and doubles for dough” rings truer than most.

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Mike Lindley will be back next Friday with his usual Winabobatoo free bet.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European Tour – Abu Dhabi Championship
PGA Tour – Bob Hope Classic
Champions Tour – Mitsubishi Championship

The European Tour says goodbye to South Africa and starts its Middle East swing. In the USA the PGA tour leaves Hawaii and heads for California whilst the Champions Tour takes it place on Hawaii.

The Abu Dhabi event is in its 6th year and since Chris Dimarco won the inaugural event, Martin Kaymer and Paul Casey have dominated – winning two each, alternating between each other. In fact if you look at those that place, there are very few surprises, so concentrate your thoughts at the top of the market.

The Bob Hope Classic is the last of the five round pro-ams still in existence and kicks off on Wednesday, so make sure your bets are on in time. The courses have varied over the years but they are all very easy for the professionals unless the wind gets up, which it can at this time of year. Three of the last four winners have been tour ‘virgins’ – Hoffman, Perez and Haas – although it is a bit early to see if this ‘trend’ continues.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 55th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

December 17, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Dan Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Like many people at this time of year, I’ve got the in laws staying at the moment.

Unfortunately I get on very well with them. I say unfortunately because it usually robs be of the opportunity to share my favourite Les Dawson jokes like these gems:

“The wife’s Mother said, “When you’re dead, I’ll dance in your grave.” I said: “Good, I’m being buried at sea.”

“I can always tell when the mother in law’s coming to stay; the mice throw themselves on the traps.”

One regular ritual is for them to ask how my work is going and to see their eyes glaze over as I try to explain for the millionth time what I actually do and how its possible to make money from betting.

This week I thought I’d finally try to get through, so while the wife and mother in law were discussing holiday plans, I managed to explain some of the basics of sports betting to my Father in Law.

He asked me a good question which I thought was worth sharing here:

Father in law: So how do you find the best bets that will beat the bookmaker?

Me: Well, there are a few different ways you can do it:

Find a niche: If you know a particular football league or sport really well, then there’s a chance you be able to price up evens better than the bookies. This might be Non league football teams or niche betting sports such as Athletics, swimming or the Tour de France.
Build your own system: If you’re mathematically inclined, then you can build your own methods. There are few really good racing system builders such as http://www.proformracing.co.uk/ or http://www.flatstats.co.uk/ which allow you to test how profitable different criteria is in horse racing.
Use a ratings service: A ratings service helps you short cut hours of form reading by giving each horse or team a score, allowing you to easily spot any undervalued selections. In Football, we really like using Winabobatoo and this month we’re reviewing Peter May’s horse racing ratings in the latest edition of our http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ magazine.
Buy a system: There are one or two decent commercially available systems for you to buy, but most of the time, these don’t make a profit or if they do, they don’t make it for long, because if everyone knows the rules, then the system becomes self defeating.
Use a tipster: This is our favourite approach and we recommend it for most people starting out. We proof over 75 tipsters in our http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ magazine. We help our members find out which tipsters really make a profit over the long run. There are a lot of scammers out there, but there are a surprising number of diamonds in the rough. The best ones don’t do much advertising and people usually only find out about them through word of mouth or via our magazines. There’s another reason why we think tipsters bring in better profits than buying a system. A tipster is passing on his tip, but he doesn’t reveal his selection methods. This way his edge lasts for longer.

I think I finally got through this time; well at least he no longer looks at me with a look of benign sympathy when I mention sports betting.

If you’re interested in learning more about how to find the best tipsters, the best ratings services and the few really good systems, then consider adding a http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ membership to your Christmas shopping list.

Until next week…

Dan Jones

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

The PDC World darts championship began last night and runs until January the 3^rd. This week I have decided to concentrate on the first round and throw out some stats from which you can hopefully prosper financially and possibly use as a system. Let’s term it the over-dogs.

Firstly start by making a list of the under-dogs in each of the first round matches. Then using odds checker look at the under-dogs individual maximums line. It will generally be set around over or under 1.5 or 2.5. Historically in the three years the tournament has been played at the Alexandra Palace the 1^st round average individual maximums per player has been 2.625. Therefore lines set at 1.5 or 2.5 are there to be beaten. Last night the opening four first round matches took place. Three of those matches saw under-dogs with lines of 1.5 to beat on the 180s count. Mark Hylton hit 7, his odds of over 1.5 were 10/11, that would also have made a lovely spread bet. Steve Maish was playing Mark Webster who went off at 1-6. Maish notched 2 maximums at evens your dough. The last match saw Gary Mawson play the Guvnor – Phil Taylor. Although Mawson never won a set he wouldn’t have let you down in the maximums count racking up 3.

In the last three year’s the greatest show in darts has been played at the Alexandra Palace in the 96 first round matches the underdog has went over their individual maximums line on 58 occasions a 60% strike rate. At slight odds on there is not a great deal of upside. By adding another rule you can tilt the chances of winning in your favour.

Look at the previous three years 1^st round stats and see if the under-dogs sat on individual lines of 1.5 have beaten those lines over the previous years i.e. beat the line twice, lost once. Ignore those who have lost on the line or drawn on the line over three years. Then do the same for under-dogs on 2.5 lines. It will throw up a handful of names and dependent upon price you may have found yourself a nice bet. I will offer up the first player who plays tonight, Tony Eccles. Unfortunately at 4-7 over 1.5 maximums there is not enough upside for me to get involved. The other problem with this little system is that Skybet are the layers in the market. Therefore satellite accounts may be the order of the day. But if you can get on, there’s money to made from those over-dogs.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

The running total for bets I’ve advised to you in this column this season currently stands at:

Bets 15, Winners 7, Returns 19.72, Profit +4.72, ROI +31.46%.

We drew a blank last weekend when Blackpool halted Stoke’s recent good run. Let’s hope we can get back to winning ways this weekend – weather permitting.

Bournemouth lost at home to Hartlepool last weekend but I expect them to bounce back with a win at Rochdale. Rochdale started the season brightly but my ratings quickly had them as potential relegation candidates, not promotion candidates, as the league table implied.

They’ve slipped down the table and a tough scrap for League One survival looks on the cards.

Bournemouth have lost striker Josh McQuoid to Millwall and that has upset their balance somewhat but I think they’ll be too good for Rochdale.

This weekend’s selection is:

Bournemouth to win at Rochdale. Bournemouth are available at 2.75 with Coral and Victor Chandler.

SORRY MATCH CALLED OFF AS WE GO TO SEND THIS

Free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine: Have you registered for your copy yet? There’s a review of the betting season-to-date, and an article from a Winabob member, explaining how he bets and what he aims to win, etc.

A Statistical Fact: (an extract from this weekend Mini-Mag)

The returns from blindly backing every odds on home team this season is:


All Games	2010-11	Bets	Win%	Profit/Loss	% Profit
Odds On	Homes	266	53	-32.14	-12.08

This level of loss is much higher than its average. Since 2006-07 the returns from backing all odds on home team are:


All Games	Since 2006	Bets	Win%	Profit/Loss	% Profit
Odds On	Homes	3744	58	-157.05	-4.19

The average loss from backing odds on home teams is -4.19%. This season we’ve seen losses into double digits at -12.08%. The bookmakers will be loving this trend and will have made significant profits as these are the most likely games for the average punter to be attracted to.

Read the full article in today’s Mini-Mag. Click the link below to take you to the website.

Good luck for the weekend.

Mike Lindley www.winabobatoo.co.uk

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

December 11, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Dan Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

It’s easy to understand the appeal of a guaranteed winner. They might come from a ‘well connected source’ who gives you a nod and wink. We all love the idea of knowing something that others don’t. But…

There are no ‘sure things’

If anyone is to you offer you a ‘guaranteed’ winner, run, don’t walk away from them. Nothing is guaranteed to win (unless the game is fixed, in which case it’s illegal and you could be prosecuted for being involved). Some things have a high probability of winning, but nothing is ever 100%.

Here are some relevant examples:

Chelsea: Chelsea were coasting at the top of the Premier League a month ago. They hadn’t conceded a goal at home for a near record number of matches. They looked a sure thing to win the Premier League…
Senegal beating France in 2002. Massively against the odds, Senegal shocked the world by beating France in the 2002 World cup. I know of at least one person who lost thousands on that match betting on the ‘sure thing’ of a French victory.
Horses trading at 1.01 on Betfair…only to lose: Every week (and sometimes every day) a horse will be miles in front only to fall at the final hurdle. Anyone backing the sure thing at 1.01 looking for free money can often end up with egg on their face.
Lindsay Jacobellis FAIL Turin Winter Olympics 2006. Ok this probably wasn’t a betting opportunity, but it’s still one of my favourite sporting failures ever. In the snowboard cross final, Jacobellis was miles in front and heading for a gold medal. On the penultimate jump she went for a fancy grab and fell over only to see the person in 2^nd place take the gold. You can view the video here.

So you shouldn’t back at short prices?

There’s absolutely nothing wrong with backing something at short prices like 1.50 or 1.25 provided there is value in those prices. So you’d back a 1.50 shot if you think it really should be 1.30 or back a 1.25 shot if it really should be 1.10.

Where many gamblers go wrong is to take a short price on the expecation that it will win with no appreciation of what the true odds should be. I.e. they back at 1.50 thinking this means a 95 to 100% chance of it winning. However a 1.50 shot still has an implied probability of losing of 33%. On the other hand, a pick with odds of 1.25 should win 80% of the time even if you were betting blindly.

Unscrupulous vendors will play on this and provide tips at these odds in order to build up a high strike rate through pure chance alone. They can quite easily go 10 winners on the bounce without any clever analysis at all. At which point you might receive a barrage of promotional emails.

Beware the hidden short prices in laying.

Laying systems (betting on something to lose) are ever popular for some system vendors and certain tipsters and punters seem to like them too. After all, it’s easier to pick a loser in a horse race then it is to pick a loser right?

Very true, but just as you need to ensure you get a value price when backing, you need to ensure a value price in laying so your losses are containable. If anyone tells you the price of a lay ‘doesn’t matter as long as it loses’, drop them like a shot.

What many people don’t realise is that laying at high odds is the same as backing at low odds.

Backing something at 2.0 has an implied chance winning of 50% and an implied chance of losing of 50%.
Backing something at 2.50 has an implied chance of winning of 40% and a 60% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.67!
Backing something at 5.0 has an implied chance of winning of 20% and an 80% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.25!
Backing something at 8.0 has an implied chance of winning of 12.5% and an 87.5% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.14!

When you look at the odds like this you can see why laying systems are so popular with many system vendors – You’re more likely to hit a winning running when you first use it, taking you past any refund. Ok this is a rather cynical way of looking at things, but it pays to be cynical in this game.

Can you make money betting at short prices?

You can most certainly make money backing at short prices, but just remember that there are no sure things and even a 1.25 shot should lose 20% of the time. This might sounds small, but would you take medical pills if there was a 20% chance of your hair turning bright green?

It works both ways though. We’ve seen a people reject a successful system or tipster because they backed a short price selection that lost, when the long term profits are still very good.

In our www.secretbettingclub.com magazines we give tipsters and systems a thorough examination so you don’t have to. We point out if a tipster is trying to pull the wool over your eyes with short term profits than flatter to deceive. When it comes to tipster and system profits, you need to go beyond headline profits claims and giant strike rates in order to really assess if something will make you money.

This can be a little complex which is why we do the work for you!

If you’re interested in frank & truly independent reviews of tipsters & systems then consider joining the www.secretbettingclub.com today.

If you want to be one of the few click here to join www.secretbettingclub.com

Until next week…

Dan Jones

2. Mike’s Football Bets

A quick update on the season so far and after last weekend my bets are 2.95 pts in profit from 53.5 pts staked so far since August (ROI of 5.51%) so hoping to up that in coming weeks and months. My staking this season has let me down the most as at flat 1 pt stakes, returns would actually be 4.87 pts up (9.10% ROI) and its something I am certainly looking at. The best news is that of my 9 ante-post bets, 6 are currently winning, which means a further 4.51 pts if it stays the same before the season is out.

We have seen a fair amount of goals in the Premier League this season and I see lots of value in 3 separate over 2.5 goals lines this weekend. My first bet is up at Bolton where my fave team this year host unconvincing travellers Blackburn in a local derby. Blackburn have gone overs in 59% of away games and Bolton in 63% of home games since last season and the odds of 1.98 suggest only a 50.7% chance of this happening again. Happy therefore to take the value on offer here.

Down at Craven Cottage, the odds of 2.35 on Fulham V Sunderland to see over 2.5 goals also looks too high. Looking at similar seasonal scoring stats, I make the % chance of overs to be 47% (about 2.12) and with Sunderland playing 3 up front they won’t be shy about getting forward. Fulham need to get 3 points as well so I can’t see them sitting back here either.

West Ham V Man City rounds off my overs bets this weekend as the Hammers have let in 3 goals or more in 63% of home games since last season. City whilst not prolific themselves should enjoy the woeful defending on offer from the home team, although the best odds of 2.04 are not huge so just a shortlist bet here.

My final main bet is similar to one I took in April last year, which won on Spurs with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at home against an out of form Chelsea. You can get 1.83 with Bet365 and considering Redknapp’s charges have lost just 3 home games in 2 seasons, Chelsea have their work cut out here. A draw gives us a 0.41 pt profit, but I can easily see all three points going to the home team.

A couple of final shortlist bets too with Bolton to beat Blackburn at 2.14 and Villa to beat West Brom at 2.2. Both prices I feel should be closer to evens, although some concerns that the Bolton game is a local derby where form can go pear-shaped and Villa need to bounce back from 4 losses on the bounce.

Please note – my bets next week may only appear on Saturday morning. I will be posting them as usual on the SBC Blog.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Bolton V Blackburn. 1.98 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Fulham V Sunderland. 2.35 SBObet/12bet/canbet
1 pt Tottenham (+0.25 AH) V Chelsea. 1.83 Bet365/Betinternet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Bolton to beat Blackburn. 2.14 Pinnacle
1 pt Aston Villa to beat West Brom. 2.2 Boylesports
1 pt Over 2.5 goals West Ham V Man City. 2.04 Ladbrokes

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

A return to looking at Premier League sides corners statistics this week as I pinpoint some recurring areas to look for profit. 11.5 is the line I am using for the over’s and under’s corners mark. Tottenham with the marauding Gareth Bale are proving to be Kings of the over’s. In 16 Premier League matches Spurs have gone over on 11 occasions, a 69% strike rate. They are especially prevalent at home with 6 from 7 League matches at the Lane going over. Conversely there’s not a great deal of corner action at the DW stadium where all 9 of Wigan’s home matches have went under 11.5 corners.

With half the season almost gone in the Premier League it looks safe to say that Wolves tremendous corners record is not merely a freak occurrence. With 16 matches played the team who sit 2^nd bottom of the league have gained corners supremacy in 8 games, drawn 6 and lost just 2. The best way to make a profit from this knowledge looks to be to play them gaining a corners handicap against the League’s elite sides. At Stamford Bridge they drew with Chelsea on the corner count 8-8. Away to Manchester United they lost only 2-3 and at home to Arsenal they out cornered the League leaders 5-3.

Two teams to oppose on corners markets are Blackpool and Blackburn. Blackpool love an open match although their total match corners have not been particularly high. From 15 matches they have only won corners supremacy 4 times and have particularly struggled at Bloomfield Road gaining most corners in only 1 match from 6.

Of the promoted sides West Bromwich Albion with the likes of Chris Brunt and Graham Dorrans are faring best when it comes to racking up corners winning corners supremacy in 7 matches from 8 a 88% strike rate.

Bets to look out for: Spurs over the 11.5 corners line at around 10/11. Wigan under 10.5 corners around evens at the DW and Wolves on the corners handicap +4 against the elite sides in the league at evens/11-10. Oppose Blackpool at home on the corners count and side with West Brom corner supremacy at home.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http:/www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

The running total for bets I’ve advised to you in this column this season currently stands at:

Bets 14, Winners 7, Returns 19.72, Profit +5.72, ROI +40.85%.

Last weekend’s bet was cancelled, along with most of the weekend games. Let’s hope for better luck this weekend.

Personally, I don’t particularly like betting at odds shorter than 1.70 but there seems to be a stand-out bet at 1.67.

Stoke are solid at home, last lost 6 games ago, and are playing Blackpool. I have loads of time for Ian Holloway. He has done an excellent job for the Lancashire side but I don’t think they’ll take any points home with them from the Potteries.

The physical presence of Stoke will make it very hard for Blackpool.

This weekend’s selection is:

Stoke to beat Blackpool. Stoke are available at 1.67 with BetFred, Paddy Power, and Boyles.

Free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine: Have you registered for your copy yet? There’s some interesting analysis with regard to betting on Premiership away teams that you need to know about…especially Chelsea fans; and there’s another Free Tip on a longer-priced lower league team.

A Statistical Fact: 14.46% of all away teams in the Premiership have been priced odds on since 2006-07 season. This compares to just 2.16% of away teams in the rest of the English leagues. Check out how the odds on Premiership teams have fared during this period in this week’s free Mini-Mag. Visit my website to get your copy now.

Good luck for the weekend.

Mike Lindley www.winabobatoo.co.uk

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Systematic Soccer

Mat Hare runs Soccer Systems, a free blog where he is sharing the selections from 9 different portfolio systems this season. The selections generated by one of these systems (Game Form) are being exclusively posted on the Secret Betting Club forum this season. Each week in this column, Mat will also be sharing a sample of what the Game Form system has produced this weekend.

It warmed up round here last weekend and melted virtually all the snow. Unfortunately the snow wasn’t the only thing to suffer as my central heating also packed up and I am sat here typing this with gloves on as an army of heating engineers replace my boiler. There may not be snow on the ground but it’s still freezing!

Hopefully the worst of the cold snap has passed now and the sporting world can start to get back to normal. There was no bet on the Game Form Portfolio, partly due to the reduced fixture list, and it’s the same story this weekend too despite the fact that at the time of writing we look to have a full English league programme this weekend.

Saturday 11th December

No bet

Bets for the other Soccer Systems portfolios will be posted up on the blog as normal, assuming I can keep my fingers warm enough to use the keyboard!

Mat

6. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European Tour – South African Open
Asian Tour – Black Mountain Masters

The last two main events of the year before a much needed two week break – gone are the days when golf betting only really happened for nine months of the year at most!
This year’s South African Open comes from the Durban Country Club which held the event in 1998, 2002, 2005, with the winners being Els and Tim Clark twice. Last year Richie Ramsay won, breaking the South African stranglehold as they had won every renewal since 2002. The field is virtually identical to this week’s Alfred Dunhill Championship with the addition of the three “big guns” Els, Clark and Goosen.

Tim Clark will be glad to return to the Durban Country Club as his last three attempts in the event at different venues have been poor with finishes of 9/41/37. Goosen has fared somewhat better but each way backers beware as in his last ten appearances in his home open, he has won one, been 5th or tied four times and 6th twice, so you might be sweating on a payout! Els will no doubt start favourite having captured three titles in his last nine tries, but in 2007 and 2008 he blew his chances in the third round at Pearl Valley on both occasions shooting 77.

I will be back in the New Year to start all over again!
In the meantime have a very Happy Christmas.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop begin_of_the_skype_highlighting end_of_the_skype_highlighting and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

November 13, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by Mike Bishop and the team at the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Football.. Bloody Hell!

As Sir Alex Ferguson so once famously quoted after Man United’s epic comeback in the 99 Champions League, football can straddle the thin line between success and failure very closely indeed… As the scorer of the ‘golden’ own goal this Monday night that provided my 5 a side team with our first trophy will no doubt testify!

It’s the same when it comes to football betting of course – with a referee decision here, an offside there meaning the narrowest of differences between a winning and losing bet.

When you add in bookmaker margins of guaranteed profit and the teams of people they employ to spend all day pricing up bets…How likely therefore is it to actually make money betting on football?

The answer is that it is possible to prosper betting on football, but often only when you have an expert to guide you.

Just as 80% of people will tell you they are a good driver (the reality is the % figure is a lot lower – me included!) so most people over-estimate just how good they are at picking out profitable bets.

Our 7 Best Football Experts

With all this in mind, its well worth having a look at some of the football experts that we recommend here at SBC who can help you be in the few that profit from betting.

To help uncover this, over the past few months I have been blogging on 7 of the very best tipsters and listing their exact profit figures for both this and last season.

After a tremendous 2009/10 season, these 7 tipsters have continued to flourish since the new season began in July and are up over £6200 to just £50 stakes during this period already.

If applying some sensible money management and optimising stakes you can also make this money go further and generate a larger profit.

If you have yet to do so read my latest blog post this week on the 7 Football Tipsters worth following this season.

Get Started Right Away

If you are impressed by the profits made by our recommended tipsters, then I can highly recommend you take up a full Secret Betting Club membership.

As soon as you join, you can gain immediate access to all the details, stats and reviews of each of these tipsters and can get motoring with your football betting.

Sign-up at the Secret Betting Club today.

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

The Football Tipsters To Follow
An update on the 7 football tipsters we recommend and how they have fared this season. Includes a section on the profits made if using sensible money management and staking.

Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below on making a profit in the English Premier League. A busy weekend ahead of bets from me.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Blackpool have been a breath of fresh air this season, not least for the crazy bumpkin manager Ian Holloway but for their at time kamikaze gung-ho attacking play. The tangerines travel down this weekend to face leaky West Ham in a game that has goals written all over it in 10 foot tall neon letters. The Hammers have gone overs in around 65% of all home games, whereas Blackpool have been overs in 10 out of 12 games this season. Neither team can defend to save their lives and with the home team having to win this game, expect an attacking outlook. The bookies have it pegged at a 2.14 for over 3 goals (basically we lose if 2 or less goals, draw if 3 goals and win if 4 goals or more) and I am having a piece of that!

My perennial fave team this year Bolton, continue to look under-rated by the bookies and look value once again as they travel to Molineux to face Wolves. Bolton have been beaten only twice this season by Arsenal and Liverpool despite a very tricky set of games so far. I make the chance of a draw or Bolton win to be around 55 to 60%, which equates to odds of about 1.74. The bookies are offering me 1.91 with Stan James on them with a +0.25 Asian Handicap so there is clear value there.

Elsewhere I also fancy 3 teams who are strong at home in the form of Everton, Stoke and Aston Villa to win for me this weekend.

Villa have been beaten only once at home by a top 8 team and conversely United have won only 3 games away against the top 8 since the 09/10 season. A United away win I rate at between 30 – 40% chance here and considering the likes of Scholes, Rooney & Giggs are out they may struggle to break Villa down. I’m taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap on Villa at 2.14 with 12Bet as I make the true odds of this to be around 2.0.

Everton have been playing well with little reward lately as they can’t find the back of the net but stats show their dominance in matches. Historically under David Moyes, Everton have a formidable home record and Arsenal will do well to win here so the +0.5 on Everton at 1.78 from 188bet appeals.

Finally Stoke have endured a very tough run of games, not helped by some very dodgy referees decisions and they host a tired looking Liverpool who look to be feeling the effects of having such a small squad. Stoke are notoriously difficult to break down and only lost at home to the top 4 teams last season. I am taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap again on the home outfit at 1.88 with Stan James.

Main Bets

1 pt Over 3 goals – West Ham V Blackpool. 2.14 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wolves. 1.91 Stan James
1 pt Villa (+0.5 AH) V Man Utd. 2.14 12Bet
1 pt Everton (+0.5 AH) V Arsenal. 1.78 188bet
1 pt Stoke (+0.5 AH) V Liverpool. 1.88 Stan James

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The little-known racing tipster who has made over 792 pts profit since December 2009. Find out who he is and what we make of his service in our exclusive review.
The Hall of Fame racing tipster that has made 600 pts profit in the past year alone! At just £20 stakes thats a profit of £12,000 and the bookmakers are running scared!
Our beginners guide on how to build up your betting profits from scratch and on a budget by employing some easy to follow strategies for success. Written by professional gamblers who know how to make money betting!

3. A Sporting Chance

The Grand Slam of Darts kicks off on ITV tomorrow for nine days of arrows action and I’m putting up an overview of the first round group stages of the event which lasts four days/nights to help you get into the black. It’s a unique TV tournament featuring 32 players from both codes of PDC and BDO darts. Phil Taylor is the only player to have won the event in its short lifespan of three years.

The 32 players are divided into eight groups of four for round one with the top two players in each group entering the 2^nd round knockout stages. The first round group matches are only the first to five legs. That’s not even a five furlong sprint in horse racing parlance, more of an American style bullet race and that levels the playing field for those players of lesser talent though it would be pushing it too far to suggest this year’s two female competitors look likely to win a match between them. If you must bet in the group stages then head for the pink button on Betfair. Simon Whitlock is arguably the 3rd best player in the world at present but at 2-5 to beat BDO world championship runner-up Dave Chisnall he is there to be shot at. Mark Hylton will be nervous under the TV lights and faces Gary Anderson a fantastic maximums man, though the same can’t be said of his doubling. Anderson is a very tight 1-5. PDC World number 2 James Wade is also unbackable at 1-6 against Justin Pipe. Of the closer match prices it’s questionable whether Colin Lloyd merits odds on status against Daryll Fitton. And Phil Taylor at 1-10 against Michael Van Gerwen is not buying money over this format either.

In the “not to qualify” market there are some big prices worth speculative punts. Gary Anderson could be worth a small play in the not to qualify market at 7-2 with Betfred and Sportingbet in Group B. Terry Jenkins admits he usually takes a game to settle down in tournaments which could endanger his qualification hopes and he’s 9-2 with Skybet to fail to reach the top two of Group C. Raymond van Barneveld hasn’t had his troubles to seek of late and 7-1 not to qualify could be worth a few quid as Colin Lloyd and Daryll Fitton are both capable of beating him over this lightening quick format in Group F. Group G is a tight one and Ronnie Baxter looks a tad overpriced at 9-4 not to make the cut.

The subsidiary markets such as maximum totals are also best left alone until round two but for anyone who fancy’s a dabble the Round 1 tournament match maximum averages in it’s three year existence sits at 2.86 or 1.43 per player. The highest match checkout average over three years is 104.53. Of the special bets a 170 has been struck at least once in every tournament and that occurrence in this year’s event is 1-2 with several layers. For the first time ever at the oche Phil Taylor will wear glasses and while that could be associated as a negative he reckons it’s made his vision clearer and will improve his game further. Phil Taylor over a 106.5 average in any match in the tournament with Betfred @ 9-10 may be worthy of consideration. The world’s greatest ever arrow smith has achieved this in two of the three years of the tournament and will be chomping at the bit to put on a fireworks display against mouthy BDO rival Ted Hankey, bespectacled or not.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: Gorans Winners, CD Systems ProLays, Football Bets, System Selections, My Betting News, Daqman, Packed Pockets, Football Betting Index, Northern Monkey, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Betfan, Statman Racing, Turf Accoutant, Martin Bishop, Selective Betting, All By The Book, Soccer Oracle, Winners Bet Winners, Sports Power Club & Daniel Morrison.

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

No new pick.

5. Systematic Soccer

November has been a tough month for the various portfolios running on the Soccer Systems blog with numerous results not quite going our way. But we live to fight another day and all systems are well within their advised bankroll figures. Even so I am praying for a change in fortunes and for us to get the rub of the green for a change.

Middlesbrough are a team that have featured several times in this column with mixed results. It’s remarkable to see them cropping up so often when the system rules don’t actually include mention of specific teams. It must be that Middlesbrough are meeting certain criteria on a regular basis and thus appearing so often in the Game Form Portfolio bets. This week it’s a two point bet on Boro’s game away at Swansea to go over 2.5 goals.

Saturday 13th November

14/11/2010 Swansea v Middlesbrough – 2pts Over 2.5 goals @ 21/20 (Bet365)

I said a few weeks ago when the system picked Boro’s game at Norwich to go over 2.5 goals that we’d probably need Boro to score and the same holds true here too. Unfortunately Middlesbrough don’t get many goals on the road – they’ve scored just four times in eight away games this season. Swansea don’t score many at home either, 11 goals in their eight home games but with Swansea flying high and Middlesbrough really struggling let’s hope we see a few goals in this fixture and can net a decent profit.

6. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

Next Weeks Golf Events
European/Asian Tour – Hong Kong Open
Japanese Tour – Dunlop Phoenix

In years gone by this is the time of year when golf tournaments became very thin on the ground. For this reason it was called the ‘silly season’ with limited field events such as father/son competitions. Thankfully nowadays there are still normally two full field events per week up until Christmas. Next week sees just the two events in the Far East, although if you fancy betting on something in the States, Skybet have priced up all the Stage II PGA Q school and the final stage of the Champions Q school where value can sometimes be found.

The Dunlop Phoenix event in Japan is the first event on their schedule where some of the bigger stars from around the world join the regular Japanese tour players. Next week Ed Molinari defends his title and plays alongside Robert Karlsson, Robert Allenby and even Tom Watson will put in an appearance. With less events being staged, more bookmakers price up the Japanese Tour, so look for any price differences. There are three bookies who price up this tour all year round and have greater knowledge namely Skybet, Bet365 and Stan James, the rest will either be relying on those three or will try and price it up themselves

Good luck with your bets!

Ian.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

October 22, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by Mike Bishop and the team at the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

What’s in a name?

Regular readers of this column will be familiar with the fun I often have when faced with the usually harmless question ‘So Mike, what is it that you do?’

I suggest the person asking the question probably would have odds on my answer as follows:

1 / 2 – Accountant
6/4 – IT Consultant
20/1 – International Man of Mystery*
1000/1 – Professional Gambler

*Presuming of course, I met this person while wearing a dinner jacket on my way to a James Bond theme party.

In all seriousness though, it does make me wonder what exactly is in a name? Because the different reactions I receive were I to say ‘fund manager’ or ‘Professional Gambler’ are fascinating. Most people perceive them as quite different jobs, when actually they both have a heck of a lot in common. Let me explain why…

We both gamble on uncertain outcomes for a living and hope and expect to make an overall profit long-term with the odds in our favour. Many of the same principles we use for success are completely identical, such as how to run a portfolio and money management.

A good gambler will always place value bets (i.e. backing a horse at 8/1 when it should be 6/1), similar to how a good investor will in its simplest form buy low and sell high. We are both taking calculated and educated risks with our money.

Wall Street or the 4.20 at Southwell?

This is a fact that I have regularly confirmed by one of our members and contributors here at SBC – a pro gambler who goes under the pen name of Mr Gekko.

Now Mr Gekko (No, Gordon isn’t his first name) is a former City of London Investment banker who escaped the rat-race and now makes a much more sedate living gambling professionally. He has been able to apply lots of the best theory he learnt from his time working in the city to his gambling, all of which have contributed to his continued success.

He actually started out as a newcomer to gambling a few years back after joining us at the Secret Betting Club on a recommendation from a friend. If you are in the same boat and yet to try out betting, then let me encourage you to try out a membership with us here as the best way to get started.

Whether you are an ex city trader looking to make returns that beat the stock market hands down or just regular Joe Blogs looking to make some money from betting – there is something for you. Join today by visiting www.secretbettingclub.com.

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

The Changing Of The Tipster Guard
An expansion of my article last week on the new breed of betting tipsters, including the good, the bad and the ugly!

Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below on making a profit in the English Premier League. A busy weekend ahead of bets from me.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

It’s been a crazy few weeks in the Premier League, even by its own often sometime ridiculous standards. What with all the lawyers, court cases and offers of 250k a week wages – it all makes me pine for the days when the biggest news of the day was the quality of mullet on offer. Check out some of these beauties for some light relief! What was Barry Venison thinking!

There may be no mullets on offer at Stamford Bridge this weekend but it does feature my first bet of the weekend where I am very keen on Chelsea to overcome a 2.25 goal Asian Handicap at 2.1 with Bet365. Last season they won 8 of their 11 games against the bottom 12 of the league by 3 goals or more and have already stuck 4 and 6 past West Brom and Blackpool this year. They host a limited Wolves side and I see an easy 3 points here with hopefully lots of goals.

I also want to continue my net-busting bets on Blackpool this weekend where 12bet are offering 1.83 on over 2.5 goals when they visit Birmingham. The home team’s defence has lost the mean look it had last season and Blackpool have gone overs in 7 out of 8 games already. Ian Holloway ended his last game against Man City with 4 strikers on the field, whereas Brum will see this as a must win game and won’t sit back either.

I am quickly picking up some favourite teams for this season and one of these is Bolton who I am backing with a 0.25 Asian Handicap away at Wigan (1.85 Pinnacle). There are two sides going in contrasting directions and I am a fan of Owen Coyle and what he is doing at Bolton, who could be a dark horse this season.

Another quarter ball Asian Handicap for me is on West Brom to overcome Fulham, who continue to have a very poor record on the road. The Cottagers have drawn all 4 games away this season, whereas the Baggies have shown fantastic resilience and plenty of skill by beating Arsenal and drawing with United away recently. I am taking the -0.25 Asian with Canbet & SBObet on the home team at 1.90.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Chelsea (-2.25 AH) V Wolves. 2.1 Bet365
1.5 pt Blackpool V Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals. 1.83 12bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wigan. 1.85 Pinnacle
1 pt West Brom (-0.25 AH) V Fulham. 1.90 Canbet, SBOBet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Man City V Arsenal. Under 2.5 goals. 1.93 Pinnacle/12bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 53 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features the very latest news, reviews and info on what makes money betting including…

The truth on the much hyped All By The Book system. Our ongoing analysis is 100% independent and a must-read if this system interests you as we reveal what no other review service will discuss.
The updated rules for our hugely successful 4 Pronged Attack system supplied for free to all members. Its made 75 pts profit from just 100 bets since May. Find out how you can get all you need to run the system delivered to your inbox for free!
The Hall of Fame racing tipster that at simple £100 stakes has made £9480 in the past 12 months alone – yet still they remain relatively unknown outside of SBC!

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

There is also plenty written about Betfan, Statman Racing, Turf Accoutant, Martin Bishop, Selective Betting, All By The Book, Soccer Oracle, Winners Bet Winners, Sports Power Club & Daniel Morrison.

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Football never ceases to amaze us, does it? Last week’s recommended bet, Peterborough to beat Swindon, proved that. Peterborough were 3-0 up, it got to 4-4, and a late goal made it 5-4 to Peterborough in the end. No wonder managers have heart problems! It can be a pretty stressful occupation being a pro-gambler too!

Anyway, that brings the season record for bets highlighted here to 6 winners from 8, returning 13.74 points, for a profit of +5.74 points. I hope you’ve been on them.

Winabobatoo produces two magazines per week for members. There’s a FREE weekly Mini-Magazine for non-members. It contains plenty of advice and there’s a tip for at least one extra game in there. Last weekend’s tip was Everton to beat Liverpool. There was analysis that explained why Man Utd held no value against West Brom too. This week there’s an in-depth look at multiple betting. It explains how you can multiply your profits.

This weekend’s selection is:

Chesterfield to beat Shrewsbury. At the time of writing, you can get 2.10 with BetFred. It’s available at even money in many places.

Odds are always subject to change, so please see who is offering the best prices at the time you place your bets.

A statistical fact: Blindly backing every home team priced under 1.50, since 2000, has given:

Bets: 1399, Win 1032 (74%), Lose 367, Returns 1363.05, Loss -35.95 points, %Loss -2.57%.

74% winners but NO profit! Finding winners is only part of the battle; finding winners where the odds more than justify the risk is the key to long-term profitability.

You can visit my website at www.winabobatoo.co.uk to get your FREE copy of the Mini-mag and learn more about how to find the games where the odds more than cover the risk.

Have a great weekend.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

4. Systematic Soccer

There were no bets on the Game Form Portfolio last weekend and none for the midweek Championship programme either so with the international fixtures earlier in the month it has been a very quiet period indeed. Fortunately there is a bet this weekend so I do at least have something to write about. Our bet this weekend is over 2.5 goals in the fixture between Norwich and Middlesbrough. The away side have just parted company with Gordon Strachan who had been trying to turn them into a Scottish side based on his transfer activity. They are languishing down near the wrong end of the table, perhaps due to the fact they have only scored 12 goals this season and conceded 21. Norwich, on the other hand, are fifth having scored 18 times and conceded 15 in their games this season. Boro’s away form has been poor this season and we’re probably going to need them to score if we’re to land this bet based on Norwich’s home goal averages but the system has pulled this match out as a 2pt bet so who am I to argue with it?

Saturday 23rd October

23/10/2010 Norwich v Middlesbrough – 2pts Over 2.5 goals @ 10/11 (4 bookies)

On the other Soccer Systems portfolios it was a winning week, just about, with four of the seven systems showing a profit. Check out the blog for the latest results and performance figures. Bets for this weekend will be posted on there later on this afternoon/evening.

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years

PGA Tour Childrens Miracle Network Classic
European Tour Valderrama Masters
Nationwide Tour Tour Championship
Champions Tour AT&T Championship
LPGA Tour Hana Bank Championship Korea
Euro Challenge San Domenico Grand Final
Japan ABC Championship
Asian Asia Pacific CMB Classic

Next week there are some interesting and somewhat crucial events being played around the world. In Asia there is an event being staged for a lot of money with a big international cast, whilst on the PGA tour it’s the final event of the main season where players will be desperately seeking to hold onto their playing priveleges for next year.

In Europe they play the final event on ‘home’ soil until next year and return to the famous Valderrama course after a two year gap.

There are also two very interesting limited field events – the finales for both the European Challenge Tour and the Nationwide Tour and I have a couple of ideas of where to look for potential bets.

In the US, the top 60 on the money list compete in the Tour Championship with the top 25 gaining their PGA tour cards – the higher up the list they finish, the more starts they will get next season and the money list winner will receive invites to the bigger events like the Players Championship.

On the Challenge Tour the top 45 from the money list play in the Grand Final with the top 20 gaining their full European Tour cards and again the higher they finish on the list the more starts they will get.

So what do we look for? Firstly, look at who can actually win the money list – in 2008 Matt Bettencourt won it by winning the Tour Championship. Last year Matt Every was well down the list, needing a win to gain his tour card and he did exactly that. Try to avoid betting people who are around the ‘bubble’ as they will have huge pressure on them and down the stretch on Sunday some will be happy just to gain their card rather than actually win the event.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 53rd edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

October 15, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by Mike Bishop and the team at the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says.. In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

As Bob Dylan once sang…The times they are a changing and this is definitely the case when it comes to the betting and tipster world.

Although its unlikely curmudgeonly old Bob was thinking about the 4.20 at Kempton when he penned this song, but in the few years that we have been running the Secret Betting Club (since May 06) there have been massive changes for good when it comes to betting using tipsters. The times have indeed changed…

Long-gone are the days of premium phone lines, shady claims of insider information, betting coups and of course – total skulduggery when it comes to sharing your official results.

But its not long gone at all. It still goes on, which is why we continue to provide an edge.

You know the score, tactics such as…

Claiming winners at odds that never truly existed.
Making lots of mentions of big priced horses so if one wins they can claim it was advised as a main bet!
Tipping regular short priced faves that my granny could pick out.
And the old chestnut…making up results!

Just like the Iraqi Information Minister who once claimed ‘”I triple guarantee you, there are no American soldiers in Baghdad”, so the days of the dodgy tipster claiming results that are not true are numbered. They are in the minority and are fast being replaced by the new breed of tipsters coming through who don’t stoop to such tactics…

The New Breed

The tipsters we feature here at the Secret Betting Club are those that provide a genuine service, total transparency and proof of results.

This new way of operating is 100% more professional and its why so many new people are investing their money in betting using tipsters. Email and text message supply of tips are the order of the day now and any tipster relying on premium phone lines to supply advice belong back in the 80′s with Gordon Gekko and Beta-Max.

If you’re only experience with tipsters is with the shady types I mentioned above, do check out this new breed that we monitor and report back on to all members. Find out more by taking up a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Power To The Punter!

In last week’s column I touched on the need to be careful when placing your bets with relatively unknown bookmakers so as to ensure your money is safe and can be accessed easily.
Well in a good news story, one such bookie – BetOnline247, whom we have heard plenty of complaints about being very slow to withdraw your money from will soon be removed from the Oddsportal.com website.

It seems on this occasion our emails to Oddsportal in conjunction with the poor rating (D-) and complaints found at the excellent Sports Book Review website have done the trick. Oddsportal confirmed to us they will be removed shortly, although its a timely reminder to us all to double-check before placing a bet with a bookmaker we have no experience of.

A quick look at Sports Book Review or another excellent site http://www.bookmakersreview.com/ can save you lots of trouble in the future.

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

Pigeons Love A Flutter Too!
According to a new report by scientists with nothing better to do, pigeons enjoy nothing more than having the odd punt! Check out what Dan thinks of it all…

Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below on making a profit in the English Premier League. A busy weekend ahead of bets from me.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

My phone has been buzzing this week with enough Liverpool FC jokes to give Ken Dodd a coronary and the bookies predict there will be little relief for the reds this weekend with Everton clear favourites at a best 2.52 to win the Merseyside derby. I never like betting in these derby games and it’s hard to see a confident edge with even the under 2.5 goals line a very short best priced 1.68 with Expekt. Perhaps a better bet is the 11/5 with Betfair on there to be a red card as some of the challenges regularly seen in this fixture are enough to make even Nigel De Jong wince.

It’s just a short drive down from Goodison to find my first main bet this weekend as Bolton host Stoke at the Reebok where I fancy Owen Coyle’s outfit to take all 3 points. The home team are a much changed outfit no longer hoofing the ball up field at every opportunity (unlike their opponents) with my eye caught by the -0.25 Asian Handicap on them at 1.92 with 188bet. I do expect the extra quality Bolton now have in their squad to have too much for Stoke although this bet ensures we only lose half a pt if it’s a draw.

Staying in the North West and as good as Blackpool were at Anfield recently, I think they will find Man City a totally different kettle of fish. Under Bobby Manc, Citeh are well drilled with a very tough midfield and oodles of skill out wide (no not you Shaun Wright-Phillips), which should prosper against Blackpool’s attacking line-up. I expect a professional away performance from City and back them to overcome a -1 Asian Handicap at 2.16 with 12bet.

Two shortlist bets this week where I am backing a couple of home sides to do the business with first of all Blackburn a tasty looking 2.15 with Expekt to beat Sunderland. Big Sam’s men have won 75% of all home games against bottom 12 opposition since last season and the 2.15 suggests only a 46% chance. I reckon Big Sam’s hoofball tactics will overcome the Black Cats at least 50% of the time at home so this strikes me as value.

The other shortlist is Fulham with a 0 Asian Handicap (2.11 with 188bet) at home to Spurs as very few teams in recent times have come away from Craven Cottage with all 3 points. Mark Hughes has changed very little for the home outfit as they remain very well organised with the only question mark as to who will score the goals with Zamora, Johnson and Dembele out. A low-risk bet for me and I feel Fulham are being under-rated by the bookies in this game.

Two More Ante-Posts

I have done some more stats digging this week and have a couple more ante-post bets I like the look of. The first is Blackpool to finish rock bottom at 7/4 with Paddy Power, which looks mighty generous and the second is on Wolves at 5/4 with Bluesquare, Coral & Ladbrokes to be relegated. Wolves were the lowest scorers in the league last season and their goalie Hahnemann made the most saves so I think they flattered to deceive last year. Blackpool are riding the crest of a wave at the moment and Paddys have pushed this price out from evens to 7/4 on the strength of the Liverpool game. A major over-reaction in my eyes.

Main Bets
1 pt Bolton (-0.25 AH) V Stoke. 1.92 188bet
1 pt Man City (-1 AH) V Blackpool. 2.16 12bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Fulham (0 AH) V Spurs. 2.11 188bet
1 pt Blackburn to beat Sunderland. 2.15 Expekt/William Hill

Latest Ante-Post Bets
Blackpool to finish rock bottom. 7/4 Paddy Power
Wolves to be relegated. 5/4 Bluesquare, Coral, Ladbrokes

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 53 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features the very latest news, reviews and info on what makes money betting including…

The truth on the much hyped All By The Book system. Our ongoing analysis is 100% independent and a must-read if this system interests you as we reveal what no other review service will discuss.
The updated rules for our hugely successful 4 Pronged Attack system supplied for free to all members. Its made 75 pts profit from just 100 bets since May. Find out how you can get all you need to run the system delivered to your inbox for free!
The Hall of Fame racing tipster that at simple £100 stakes has made £9480 in the past 12 months alone – yet still they remain relatively unknown outside of SBC!

3. A Sporting Chance

When people talk about a professional punter invariably discipline comes near the top of the list and it’s not without good reason. Over the last five years or so I have never had a bet for the sake of it, a so called boredom bet and it has done wonders for my profit column. As the American author Jackson Brown once said “Talent without discipline is like an octopus on roller skates. There’s plenty of movement, but you never know if it’s going to be forward, backwards, or sideways.”

It also pays not too to be too much of a worrier in this business. If you find yourself worrying about your staking, your more than likely to be in the wrong game. If your £500 bet on a horse has failed owing to said horse falling at the last fence you can’t start thinking “I could have bought a new plasma television for that”. Conversely nor can you be too complacent and be removed completely from the holding and folding of money. It is not simply a numbers game you are playing. One way of keeping in touch with reality is to leave some money, say £100 beside your PC at home and think how you would feel before you place the bet if the money was taken away. That will help to you to focus your faith in a bet and your confidence in a tipster.

A big aid for me has been my family’s support. I started off betting part-time in 2001 and now the good lady doesn’t flinch if I lose a large bet as she knows long term I will make a good profit. If you hit a losing run and have family responsibilities you do need their support otherwise the pressure will be tenfold. The discipline, the calm attitude and the support of those around me adds up to give me the most vital aspect in a punter’s armoury – confidence.

Your One-Stop Guide For Betting Profitably

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: Football Bets, System Selections, Punter Profits, Gorans Winners, Formbet, Sport Online Gambling Cricket, Football Investor, Pro Bandit, AW Winners, Daily Bargain, ProBets & Platinum Punter

There is also plenty written about Football Betting Index, Statman Racing, Pricewise Extra, Tom Segal, Northern Monkey, Sports Power Club, Hudson Horses, Betfan & Steve Lewis Hamilton.

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

The dark winter nights are sneaking up on us. Thank goodness we’ve got packed Saturdays full of football and betting action to keep us going.

Last weekend’s bet on Brighton ended up being a tear-jerker as the officials gave Bournemouth a very debatable injury time penalty to deprive us of a winner, as you may have seen live on SkySports. Sadly bad luck is all part of the game and these things happen. 5 winners from 7 bets highlighted here this season have made +4.83 points to date.

Winabobatoo produces two magazines per week for members. A couple of weeks ago I started to produce a FREE weekly Mini-Magazine for non-members. It contains plenty of advice and there’s a tip for at least one game in there. This week’s tip is an odds against Premiership bet.

You can visit my website at www.winabobatoo.co.uk to get your free copy now.

We’ve got a full programme of matches to pick from today. There look to be a number of good opportunities around.

This weekend’s selection is:
Peterborough to beat Swindon at 1.91. This price is currently available with Hills, BetFred, and SkyBet.

Odds are always subject to change, so please see who is offering the best prices at the time you place your bets.

A statistical fact: Blindly backing Man Utd in every home league game since the start of the 2006-07 season has given: Bets 65, Home Wins 56, Losses 9, Returns 74.49, Profit +9.49, %Profit +14.60%. *

*Games included are games rated by Winabobatoo which exclude the first 6 matches of each season.

Have a great weekend.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog plus a subscription service concentrating on minor golf betting markets.

Next Weeks Golf Events
PGA Tour Justin Timberlake
European Tour Castello Masters
Nationwide Tour Jacksonville Open (new event)
Champions Tour Administaff Classic
LPGA Tour Sime Darby Malaysia
Euro Challenge Egyptian Open
Japan Bridgestone Open

Golf betting and the short priced favourite

With Martin Kaymer winning his third stroke play event in succession, we could see the return to short priced favourites in golf tournaments which we thought maybe had come to an end with the “demise” of Tiger Woods – but is this a good thing or a bad thing for golf punters?

I believe bookmakers dislike short price favourites for two main reasons – the first is very simple: the possibility of that player withdrawing. As there are no real rule 4 deductions in place for golf tournaments, bookmakers could be left in a very difficult position should this happen. Secondly we often found when Tiger was 2/1 or less for an event, an outsider would be 100/1 instead of 50/1 – however his place odds shouldn’t really double as the favourite can only fill one of the places available, hence many a time a book would actually be “overbroke” on the place part.

Next week in Europe we see week two of the autumn “Iberian swing”, but one top player will be missing as Rory McIlroy has chosen to play the Challenge Tour event in Egypt instead. Why there you might ask! I imagine it is something akin to the infamous question posed by Mrs Merton to Debbie McGee “so what first attracted you to millionaire Paul Daniels?” I am guessing he will receive an appearance fee somewhat larger than the $40,000 first prize. In theory he should be much less than 2/1 but we all know how he struggles to win events and with the possibility of more than the usual four bookmakers pricing up, look for the each way value down the field.

Good luck with your bets!

Ian.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 53rd edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Add new tag, Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

August 6, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

It’s all systems go this week as preparation for the new football season is in full swing. It may have only been just over 4 weeks since the World Cup ended but the early bird catches the pre-season worm!

We have been placing a whole host of ante post bets over the past few weeks with the expectation of collecting a profit this time next May. There are a number of pros and cons to ante post betting and on the negative side you are tying your money up for 9 months with these bets. On the flipside though, some of the football experts we monitor who do this make some outstanding returns. One football service in our Hall of Fame has a historical record of 253 pts (to a Return on Investment of 22%) from these long-term bets alone.

Who to Follow This Season

If you are looking for help choosing some experts to follow in the coming football season, we do have some suggestions for you.

A good place to start is our end of season guide for the 2009/10 season, which is split into 2 sections. Read Part 1 and Part 2 of this article via our website. You can also check out our article on the up and coming football services for this season here.
(Note – you need an active SBC membership to read all these articles)

We currently also have 5 football services in our Hall of Fame (our top rated services) as well as another 7 that we continue to monitor as ones to watch.

Shakespeare & Monkeys

Continuing our theme of historical figures and betting (See our Albert Einstein post), this week we have a very unique blog post connecting William Shakespeare, monkeys & everyone’s 2nd favourite past-time (which is betting by the way – no prizes for guessing the 1st fave!).

It explores the idea of randomness and how even the most ridiculous betting system can be profitable over a short period, simply through luck. The moral is that you make sure you test out anything thoroughly and over a longer period that just a few months before sticking your cash down!

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below and the return of my football advice.

Until next week…
Mike Bishop

The All New Secret Betting Club Website!

Check out our all-singing, all-dancing new look website over at the Secret Betting Club, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: Formbet, Sport Online Gambling Cricket, Football Investor, Pro Bandit, AW Winners, Daily Bargain, ProBets, Gorans Winners, Platinum Punter & Systematic Betting.

There is also plenty written about Betting Laying Sports Club, The Sportsman, Hot Punters, Insider Mr X, Michael Callen, Sporting Life Trends, Sure Wins & Ultimate Tipster.

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.

This week sees a little bit of a change in style for this section of the Weekend Wager as throughout the new football season I will be using it to highlight some of the best football bets that I find each week.

Last season I managed to pick up a 10.66 pt profit (13.58% ROI) from my mainly Asian Handicap football bets in the English Premier League, many of which I shared in this section. You can read more about my 2009/10 season record and my aims for this season at my blog.

Please do note this is more of an experiment than anything at the moment and I will be following with small stakes only – suggest you do similarly if you wish to follow!

As the Premier League doesn’t kick-off until next week, I am going to start-off by rounding up my pre-season antepost bets. Whilst betting like this does involve tying your money up for a full season, by being shrewd and trading you can lock in guaranteed profit at different points if you so wish.

In this column over the past few weeks I have already shared one ante post bet that I like on Stoke to finish in the top half of the table. They have a settled team and lots of under-rated players so the 7/2 on them with Paddy Power and Blue Square appeals.

Another bet previously mentioned is West Brom to be the top newcomer this season at 9/4 with Ladbrokes, who also go best price 4/1 on Newcastle to go straight back down. The top flight will be a lot tougher this year and with Mike Ashley in charge, they are never likely to be far from trouble. I was very tempted by this bet but instead have taken the 3/4 on arch rivals Sunderland to finish above them with Bwin. They are a settled team with a top goalscorer in Darren Bent and a top ten finish won’t be beyond them.

My final bet for the season is on likely whipping boys Blackpool who are 11/8 with VCBet to concede the most amount of goals this season. Considering how manager Ian Holloway loves his teams to attack, they can expect to be on the end of a few good hidings this season like Burnley last year. At the very least we can expect some cracking post-game interviews from ‘Olly’ – check-out these classics from Youtube… Not the best lookin bird, ranting and raving, and my fave – reacting to news his then Plymouth team are playing Real Madrid.

My pre-season bets
0.5 pt Stoke to finish in top half of table. 7/2 Ladbrokes
0.5 pt West Brom top newcomer 9/4 Ladbrokes
1 pt Sunderland to finish above Newcastle 3/4 Bwin
1 pt Blackpool to concede most goals this season 11/8 VCbet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 51 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out on Friday 30th July and features the very latest news, reviews and info on what makes money betting including…

- The 17 combined racing systems that have produced a profit of over £3000 at just £10 stakes since the start of 2010 – all at Betfair SP!

- Advice on how you can compound your stakes to make your betting profits go further. 1 example football service has made £1000 grow into over £17,369 in just 3 seasons, whilst another racing tipster turned £1000 into £2925.45 since December 2008.

- The extremely affordable racing service that has made over 128 pts profit since Feb this year and is really impressing us with his great value bets! Find out who he is before everyone else.

- The 2 new Hall of Fame entrants, both of which have fantastic records dating back over thousands of bets. They have a clear edge on the bookmaker and are a must for any serious gambler!

3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the editor of Key Racing News, the incredibly useful punters’ aid – which delivers key market indicators and a host of useful information to your inbox, free of charge, by 8am on Saturdays and main race days. Racing news…with a difference.

The Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3)

From the trends perspective 3YO’s do best in this (7/10), with Jukebox Jury the obvious choice in 2009. The classic generation though have been finding life difficult in weight for age contests lately, and their stand out candidate here is Green Moon who looked very progressive until suddenly finding it all a bit much at Ascot.

Prior to that Green Moon had beaten Red Badge, who himself beat both Distant Memories and Poet at Newbury on 17th July over 10fl on good ground. Both of these however should improve for testing conditions and as collateral form goes you’d want to take it with a pinch of salt. If Green Moon gives his running there could be little between them.

Class Is Class made sudden improvement LTO, settling much better in his 2nd time visor off 10fl pace, the time was excellent and if they’ve finally got the key he could be another Sir Michael improving 4YO. On ratings he looks closely matched with the ultra-consistent Distant Memories.

Of the others Godolphin’s Rio De La Plata is surely better on fast ground (I thought we’d established this at Haydock last year) and combined with the trip is likely to find his stamina stretched. South Easter hasn’t gone on and looks out of his depth. Les Fazzani though will relish the conditions and is likely to make this a proper test – anything that wins here will have to stay and Les Fazzani herself could take a bit of catching.

On paper there is little to choose between: Class Is Class, Distant Memories, Les Fazzani & Green Moon and any theory to hoist one above the other depends on guesswork and ‘if’s’. They are 5/1, 5/1, 4/1 & 5/1 respectively.

But in such a muddling field is there anything we’ve overlooked?

I think we should consider Poet, currently 14/1. He will love the conditions and there were distinct signs of revival at Newbury under the care of Clive Cox, who hasn’t had him long. He was a Group 3 winner last September for Aiden O’Brien and it would be no surprise to see him getting into gear with Meydan now firmly behind him.

The conditions are working out nicely for him and this is very much his time of year. If Les Fazzani really pours it on he’s not cast iron to stay, but we know he has the class and is around 3 times the price.

Poet looks each way value and to my eye, distinctly underrated.

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit Key Racing News

4. A Little Birdie Says…

Roger Green of the Birdie Golf tipster service is the latest contributor to the Weekend Wager. Previously supplying advice under the Tipping Legends banner, he has been providing golf tips since 1987 and has spent his entire life working in the golf industry.

When will Tiger win his next tournament?

He shot 4 over after the first round at Bridgestone, which is a course where he has won 7 times previously. Of course there are still 3 rounds to go, so he can still win but he was as big as 9/2 for this event, and his price gets bigger as each event goes by. I am waiting for 7/1 plus in the weeks to come. Can he go through the rest of the season without winning?

And what about the Ryder Cup? Tiger still has not made automatic entry and it is looking like captain Corey Pavin will have to use one of his wild cards to put him in.

It is well documented that Corey and Tiger do not hit it off, but I am sure the powers that be will make sure he is included in the team. This of course assumes that Tiger makes himself available which according to some reports is by no means certain.

As the weeks go by the European team looks streets ahead of their rivals on current form. The Ryder Cup however is match play, which is a very different form of the game where you can carry some bad scoring holes, unlike stroke play.

Coiln Montgomerie has 3 wild cards to use. At the moment, Justin Rose is not qualified nor is Paul Casey and Ross Fisher. Surely they will be his 3 picks at this stage.

That means no place for Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson & Robert Karlsson. I have just got a sneaking feeling that one wild card could go to a Welshman, either Bradley Dredge or Rhys Davies.

Terry Matthews the owner of Celtic Manor is a huge sponsor of the European tour. He may be hoping for a fellow countryman to be in the team when the event is being staged in Wales for the first, and maybe only time. “Politics” has a big part to play in most sports these days and Golf is no exception

Europe are currently 4/6 to win and on form they are 1/7 in my book! No doubt 4/6 is good value, but then again it is match play!

For any information on golf or my service please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

June 4, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News, Secret Betting Club

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

England Expects…A Free TV!

That was the leading line this week from a fascinating article on all the many promotions big businesses are running this World Cup. Read the article in full at the Times website.

It turns out that Toshiba will give you your money back on any TV you buy now, should England win the World Cup.

Not a bad offer but it does conjure up images of high powered Toshiba executives frantically sticking pins in Wayne Rooney voodoo dolls to make sure they dont end up out of pocket. Or as the graffiti on one poster said “So basically Toshiba thinks England have no chance in hell of winning.”

Shareholders in Toshiba can rest easy though as it turns out they are just one company running such offers who have hedged the potential losses on such offers. Essentially, Toshiba have placed a large bet with bookmakers (or ‘insurance firms’ as they term them) to make sure should England win the tournament, they will cover any loss on their offer.

Not that these companies want you to know they are betting of course!

So it turns out that even at this highest corporate level, betting is rife and fully sanctioned!
In actual fact, these companies are doing similar calculations to what many of the tipsters we monitor at the Secret Betting Club do (but to much smaller stakes!)

That is observing the odds on offer and making percentage calls in order to make an overall profit or to ‘hedge’ their losses.

The World Cup is without doubt a great time to make money betting, whether you are Toshiba selling TV’s or Joe Bloggs starting out on his professional betting journey.

If you are keen to use this World Cup as a springboard for your own betting, then keep your eyes peeled for our extra special FREE World Cup Issue, due out next Wednesday. This will feature hand-picked advice and bets from some of the best football betting minds out there.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 49 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and full of everything you need to make money betting. One of the highlights this month is our end-of-season football tipster report, which includes…

- Our new Hall of Fame service that at £50 stakes, would have made you over £5000 last season. An exclusive discount is available for SBC members.

- The existing Hall of Fame service, which over the past season would have doubled your starting bank. There is a special limited-time 3 month free trial currently on offer with this service.

- The antepost football specialist who made over £9000 to £100 stakes this season alone on his advice. SBC members save 40% off the cost of joining this tipster.

- Details and analysis on a further 24 football tipsters who we have monitored over the past few years.

All you need to find out which football tipsters you should follow to make money betting is in Issue 49. Sign up today to access it risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

This week as part of my World Cup Betting focus I want to take you through a few of the tournament award markets, such as Top Goalscorer market (Golden Boot) and Top Goalkeeper (Yashin Award).

The Golden boot is always a very popular bet and with the ability to bet each way, it can bring big rewards if getting it right and life-time fame for its recipient. Remember Toto Schillachi? He came out of nowhere in Italia 90 and I can only imagine how big the odds on him pre-tournament must have been!

I have been doing my own research in this market lately and generally you can expect the top goalscorer to come from a team that reaches the semi-finals at least (giving them 7 games in total). Thus I fancy these three each way… Nicolas Anelka (66/1 with Hills), Alberto Gillardino (50/1 with Ladbrokes) & Luis Fabiano (12/1 generally). France and Italy maybe two of the lesser fancied teams this time around but I expect one of them to get to the semi-finals, while Brazil in my eyes have to be favourites.

If you fancy a more speculative bet how about combining the World Cup winning team with top goalscorer? A double on Brazil and Wayne Rooney is 80/1 with Paddy Power or how about England with Luis Fabiano at 140/1 at Betfair?

The Top Goalkeeper award is the Yashin (named after famous Russian cat – Lev Yashin) and is awarded based upon the findings of the FIFA technical study group (whoever they are!). Iker Cassilas leads the field at 5/1 but I fancy Brazil’s Julio Cesar at 13/2 with Totesport, who had a cracking season with Inter Milan. As an outsider how about France’s Hugo Lloris at 9/1 with Paddy Power – a very well regarded young player and a tad more sane than Fabien Barthez!

Another more fanciful market is the FIFA award for the most entertaining team, in which I like Chile at 20/1 with Boylesports. Heaven only knows how Sepp Blatter decides this award but with the Chileans lining up 3-4-3, we can expect goals at both ends, which should be bloody entertaining!

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

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Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
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3. Herbie Goes Racing

The Investec Derby (Group 1), 4:00pm Saturday 5th June

It’s widely acknowledged the best horse going into the race is Jan Vermeer who has looked mightily impressive ever since a wide-margin G1 juvenile winner at Saint-cloud. Aside from a tricky draw, the only hole you can pick in him is the fact that this was not the plan and the race could conceivably come too soon. Given he won eased down at The Curragh you would think this unlikely to diminish his chance. He copes with any ground, looks the most likely winner and quite possibly is a class apart.

If you’re looking for something to take him on, your realistic options do seem fairly limited. Jan Vermeer was miles ahead of Midas Touch when they met and it feels most unlikely the form is about to be reversed. Meanwhile Frankie has chosen Rewilding, supplemented after Goodwood, who catches the eye, but the proximity of Prizefighting does nothing for the form, even if the latter has improved, and with good yardstick Simenon 7.5l back in 4th – the same distance he finished behind Chabal. On a line through Togiak (or for that matter Midas Touch) that puts Rewilding on a par with Bullet Train, or a little behind Midas Touch. Bullet Train himself is blighted by the proximity of Hot Prospect in the Lingfield Derby trial who was himself a further 3 lengths behind Coordinated Cut when they met 3 weeks before.

And with that in mind, the Dante has looked the best British trial and the horse with an excuse in that race was Workforce, who was highly-regarded going into the race but spoiled his chance by slipping the bit after carrying his head awkwardly. In an interview with Robert Cooper on Thursday morning Sir Michael confirmed they have sorted the problem and he goes there in good heart. That was his seasonal reappearance, he’s sharpened up since and goes to Epsom in excellent good nick, attracting good money the past few days and looking the best of the British challengers. The one concern is a lack of experience but the relatively small field should help. The simple strategy is to back them both.

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit Key Racing News

4. A Little Birdie Says…

I know some of you like to be updated regarding the Ryder Cup which is just 4 months away and due to be played at Celtic Manor, which is currently staging the Welsh Open.

It is very interesting to see both how the teams are shaping up in advance of the tournament. The European team have 9 players from the points system, and captain Colin Montgomerie picks 3 wild cards. His opposite number, Corey Pavin, picks 4 wild cards

At the moment, 10 of the players who were in the European team are not qualifying by right. Amazing! This includes Sergio Garcia, Paul Casey, Padraig Harrington, Soren Hansen, Jimenez, Karlsson, McDowell, Justin Rose, Oliver Wilson and Henrik Stenson

Of course a couple may squeak in by right, but that will mean two more players will drop out of the list.

Casey & Harrington will surely be picked but what of the others? Will Monty pick a Welshman, perhaps Rhys Davies or even Bradley Dredge?

I am sure the sponsor and owner of Celtic Manor, Terry Matthews, will be expecting a Welshman in the team

In the US team, 6 of the 2008 team do not qualify at the moment.

They are Kenny Perry, Justin Leonard, Ben Curtis, Boo Weekly, JB Holmes & Chad Campbell. But remember Corey Pavin has 4 wild cards at his disposal.

What about Tiger? He did not play in 2008 due to his knee surgery, and at the moment he does not get in on the points system.

Will Corey pick him? It is no secret that they are not the best of friends on and off the golf course.

The more I study this years event, the more I believe it is going to be very close with the odds in favour of a Euoropean win. A bet on the tie might be the call in the end!

If you require any info re golf or subscriptions to birdie golf please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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The Weekend Wager

May 14, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News, Secret Betting Club

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Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. A Little Birdie Says

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 48 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and full of everything you need to make money betting including:

2 exclusive reviews of 2 seperate Racing Tipsters, who both have a very impressive record.
- The first has made 188 pts profit since November 09 (16% ROI) , whilst the second is up 52 pts (15% ROI) since July 09. The only people who know about them as yet are SBC members!
The 2 new easy to follow Racing Services entered into our Hall of Fame. Both take just 2 minutes to follow each day and have an excellent record.
All the latest deals, free trials and discounts on offer from some of the best tipsters we feature. Many of these offers are exclusive to SBC only!
The Racing Service that made 71 pts in April and 312 pts since Feb last year. Find out who they are and whether they are right for you.
The Place Laying Tipster who has made a 81 pt profit over the past 20 months.

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1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

This week I want to touch briefly on the topic of betting systems as recently I have noticed a whole swathe of them popping up on the Internet, all baying for your cash.

Betting systems in my experience are like marmite (or vegemite for our Aussie readers), in that we either love or hate them and very often punters will be divided over how important they can be. Personally I love them, but only up to a point as whether they are focused on racing, football or water-polo, you really have to be so fussy about what you follow in.

Actually putting together a system that works on paper is pretty easy, the hard part is getting it to work with real money over a prolonged period of time. The selectivity comes in when you need to check out which systems actually are kosher and haven’t been curve-fitted to generate unrealistic profits. By curve-fitting I mean for example racing systems that with no apparent reason suggest you follow horses of all age ranges except for 5 year olds. There is no logic to such a ruling except for blatant curve-fitting.

Even worse in my eyes are those systems that are thrown together because they seem to make logical sense, applying a whole bunch of seemingly sensible filters to picking out a football or racing bet.

The problem is very often so many of these systems have no proven past results that actually state they work and it’s just the author assuming that they do. Following any system based simply on assumptions is a very quick way to the poorhouse. You are probably better off just going into the garden and burning a bunch of tenners!

I wanted to highlight this issue again this week as unfortunately there are plenty very dodgy systems that continually pop up month-in, month out. Very often they are here for just a few weeks, are expertly marketed and appear very genuine indeed. It can be very hard indeed to know exactly what to believe and I hate to see anyone being ripped off like this!

If you find yourself in this predicament of not knowing the systems to trust, then do stop to consider our service at the Secret Betting Club. We are wise to many of the system scams and also a good number that are worthy of your time and attention.

Don’t forget that our service also comes with a full money back guarantee so you can always try us out safe in the knowledge that you wont be out of pocket if you don’t like us (Although we doubt that will be the case!)

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

(P.S. Keep an eye out for all our new singing and dancing SBC website, coming very very soon!)

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Most of the football leagues have now drawn to a close, but over the next couple of months there is still going to be plenty worth betting upon with the World Cup to look forward to especially.

This weekend the main event is the FA Cup Final, which sees Chelsea an extremely short 1/5 best priced (Ladbrokes, Paddy) to beat relegated Portsmouth. With such a lack of value, focus needs to shift onto other markets to see if we can spot something of worth. The 6/1 on Portsmouth’s Aruna Dindane with Ladbrokes to score at anytime stands out to me as a bit of a rick. He is Didier Drogba’s Ivory Coast striking partner, has a good record of late and is expected to play.

For those of you who like to play the Asian Handicap markets you can also back Chelsea to overcome the -2 line at a best priced 1.90 with Pinnacle Sports. Should they win by 2 or more goals, the bet wins and perfect for those of you confident on them racking up a huge score similar to their recent 8-0 and 7-0 victories.

World Cup fever also continues to build and you can check on the odds here for those announced in the 30 man initial squad to make the final 23 cut for South Africa. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 1 or 2 shock announcements make it and perhaps its worth considering any of Scott Parker (3/1), Darren Bent (7/2), Shaun Wright-Philips (3/1) or Michael Dawson (7/4).

Another shock this week has been England’s cricket team as they have cruised through to Sunday’s 20-20 world cup final in the West Indies. They will line-up against either the Aussies or Pakistan who face off today in the 2nd semi-final. I expect Australia to have more than enough for Shahid Afridi’s team and it should make for an intriguing final, especially considering the fact that England have never won a ‘World Cup’ tournament! You can back them to buck this trend at a best priced 11/10 (across the board). I think they might just win it as well so it could be time to book the open-topped bus for the celebrations!

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, the ingenious punters aid – which delivers key market indicators and a host of useful information free of charge to your inbox, by 8am on Saturdays and main race days. Racing news…with a difference.

Totepool Aston Park Stakes (Listed), 2pm Newbury Sat 15th

All recent winners were priced 8/1 or less (14/14), and the vast majority had a prior top 4 finish in a Pattern race. The winner is invariably from a top flat yard and BHA rated 102+

Our short-list is: Claremont, Heliodor & Sabotage.

No word on the Godolphin pair from the gallops, Claremont sports a first time visor and has a host of G1 entries (Coronation Cup, Ascot Gold Cup, Irish St Leger) so clearly they hope he’s going places. Ditto Sabotage who has virtually all the same, and it’s interesting to see them being weighed in opposition to each other – no doubt, the first of many. The Hannon team think Heliodor comes here with a live chance and is up to winning a Group prize this year.

There doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of pace on here and Heliodor will be buried mid div and held up since those tactics went down well at Newmarket last time up. On the face of it the shape of the race looks slightly against him, he’s never managed to look convincing in better company and is somewhat exposed. Meanwhile Claremont was an uncomfortable looking 3rd behind Jukebox Jury last seen out (hence the visor) where he was also keen. He’d be hard to fancy on the basis of that form, especially as his best for Andre Fabre was on softer ground.

Sabotage was last seen on the 2 mile turf course at Meydan picking up a valuable conditions race in good style on gd-firm. He gets a lot further than a mile five and Frankie may choose to inject a bit of pace and play to his stamina. That would put Heliodor back in the frame, give him some pace and something to run at. The Hannon yard are in great form and with their later season approach you always feel Godolphin will be vulnerable in a race like this – it’s been 10 years since they took it.

Others:

In the Lockinge we have the excellent prospect of the fully matured Zacinto taking on a fully primed Paco Boy. We all saw what Paco did recently, where he looked like a horse who is going to be a big threat in G1′s all season. Zacinto has been sparkling on the gallops – he put pulled well clear of Confront in a July Course prep (described as ‘electrifying’) and impressed again on the Al Bahathri last Saturday. Paco Boy was disappointing here last year but seemed a little off beforehand and was found to have an infected foot. Of course it was none other than Confront that he put firmly in his place at Sandown. There’s probably not much in and if you want to play in a race like this I think you’re probably best off simply taking the bigger price.

Elsewhere on the card one you might want to keep an eye out for is Richard Hannon’s Plume in the 4.15, 7fl Handicap. They really fancy this one and when it’s at Newbury (or Goodwood) that’s always something you to want to sit up and take notice of. Essentially they rate her a Pattern class horse masquerading as a handicapper off a mark of 80. I’ll hand you over to the great man himself:

“Plume has to be right there in the seven furlong handicap. She is still only rated 80 and we think that she is much better than that. She was working terrific a month ago and the Guineas was still very much in our minds, but she scoped badly so had to miss the race. She is right back on track at home, and if she is as good as we think she is she has to go close”.

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit Key Racing News

4. A Little Birdie Says…

We are now approaching the busy time for golf with quality tournaments and good betting opportunities coming up on both sides of the Atlantic.

20-23rd May – The BMW PGA Champ at Wentworth. A prize fund of a mere 4.5M Euros!
27-30 May – Madrid Masters.
03-06 June - Celtic Manor Welsh Open Very interesting as of course this is the venue for the Ryder Cup in October.
03-06 June - The Memorial at Muirhead Village Ohio Quality event, but it will be interesting to see if any US players turn up at Celtic Manor if they are on the fringe of the US team
17-20 June – US Open at Pebble Beach California

Looking at the prize fund at Wentworth it really is amazing how much an “average” pro golfer can earn. I am not being rude if I call the following list “average”, of course they are top golfers but not by any means world beaters!

The figures are quite staggering really:-

Graeme Storm & Stephen Dodd nearly 4M Euros career earnings todate

John Bickerton & David Lynn nearly 5M Euros

Barry Lane & Bradley Dredge nearly 7M euros

David Howell nearly 10M euros

I always check the stats for both tours and interesting to see that Alvaro Quiros currently leads the European Tour stats for longest drive at 306.2 yards. I would recommend you also do make a note of the 3rd guy in the stats with an average drive of 304.4 yards, we have Seung-yul-Noh.
This Korean is just 19 yrs and is certainly one to keep an eye on!

If you have any points you wish to discuss re golf or golf betting, subscriptions etc. , please do not hesitate to contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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The Weekend Wager

April 23, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Dan Says
2. The Next Week In Football Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Skeeve’s Non League
5. A Little Birdie Says

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

If your looking to make money betting, our Secret Betting Club newsletters are the perfect place to start!

Check out some of the fantastic secrets we unveiled in our very latest edition below…

The excellent looking racing tipster who supplies advice the night before racing and has a fine long-term record. Perfect for those of you who work during the day!
A look at doubles betting, how to make it work and also make your money go further. Includes our advice how to find the best odds for doubles betting.
How to use the under/over goals market in the Premier League to find value bets
A full guide to betting on your iPhone, how it can help and the apps and websites you need to know about.
PLUS all our stats on tipster performance in our special report including…
The laying service that has made 365 points profit in the last 12 months.
The racing tipster who has made a 63% return on investment in the last 6 months.
The football service that has made over 200 pts profit this season alone (20%+ ROI)

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1. Dan Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Just what is value betting?
How much exactly would you pay for a plain old cup of coffee at Starbucks?

Nothing, I’ll make may own and I like tea anyway!
£2.00
£5.00
£20.00

Unless you’re particularly desperate, most people will say either A or B. We all have similar ideas of the value of a cup of coffee and so do Starbucks. Charging £20.00 for a cuppa will soon put them out of business, unless another Icelandic Volcano disrupts coffee supplies to the UK! But what has this got to do with betting?

It’s all about value…

The biggest transition I see in SBC members is when they stop thinking in just terms of what will win and start thinking about value.

Every bet offered up by a bookmaker or on Betfair has a chance of winning. As we saw with last year’s Grand National, even the 100/1 shots can romp home once in a while. The trick is to be able to have your own price on something that you can compare to the bookies.

“Price doesn’t matter as long as it wins”

I often read this on certain…ahem betting exchange forums and in relation to laying “It doesn’t matter what price it is, as long as it loses”.

Both of these sentences are utter nonsense. Price is everything.

How to Price Up a Bet

A good way to price up a bet is to convert the odds on offer into the implied probability of that bet winning. Implied probability is how often that bet is expected to win given average luck.

To work this out take 1 and divide it by the decimal odds on offer then times by 100.

For example evens is 2.0 in decimal odds.
1 divided by 2 is 0.5
X 100 = 50%.

So a bet priced at evens should win roughly 50% of the time.

0% means something will never happen.
100% means something will always happen.

Percentage Chance of Winning

The second part of value is to come up with your prediction of its chances of winning. If you think there’s actually a 75% chance of that betting, then you have a value bet.

To convert 75% back into odds, you divide 100 by 75 = 1.33.

In other words, you’re betting on what should be a 1.33 shot and you’re getting 2.00.

Doesn’t mean it will win, but take 100 bets like that and you will make money.

Naturally this assumes your estimation is more accurate than the bookmakers which is easier said than done.

Here’s some more examples to get you thinking:

Man Utd are 1.50 vs Arsenal. The bookies imply a 67% chance of victory. Is there value there?
Sunderland are 3.2 away to Hull. This implies a 31% chance of them winning. Is there value there?
Jensen Button is 8.0 to retain the F1 title. This implies a 13% chance of him winning. Is that value?
Betfair has odds of 1.71 on there being a Hung Parliament. This implies a 58% chance. Is that value?

Here at the Secret Betting Club, we work hard to provide our members with the best ways to spot value. The easiest way to do this is to have someone do the hard work for you and tap into their expertise.

This is why we proof and review dozens of highly profitable tipsters for you to choose from.
There’s not just tipsters though as we also help our members with regular education articles such as knowing how and when to bet on multiples.

To find out more visit www.secretbettingclub.com

Dan Jones

2. The Next Week in Football Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Its hotting up nicely in the Premier League this weekend with the race for the title, 4th and relegation all likely to become a lot clearer come Sunday night.

I took in last weeks Manchester Derby in Sky’s new 3D format at my local pub, which was a terrible game, no matter what dimension you watched it in. With that in mind I cant have the best odds of 1.5 with Paddy Power on Man Utd to beat a resurgent Spurs this weekend. What I do think we will see is goals as United have to go for victory, but with only a best 1.7 being offered on over 2.5 goals, this does look a bit Danny Devito (on the short side).

My interest lies over at Stamford Bridge where Stoke are the visitors and they are a huge 22/1 with SBObet to take all 3 points. Chelsea should win this but the Potters are no pushovers and the odds of 1.86 on them with a 2.25 Asian Handicap is of interest to me. Only if they lose by a 3 goal margin or more do we lose here.

I must admit to also being tempted by Arsenal who are 2.02 with 5 Dimes to beat Man City at home on Saturday Evening. The Wengerboys have won 14 of their 17 home games this season, whereas City have won only 6 out of 17 away from home. After watching both teams last week though it would take a real leap of faith to back either of them, especially the home outfit given the fact Fabianski is in goal. Expect City to really test him with plenty of shots from distance and crosses, although he will probably struggle as it is simply kicking any passes back that come his way.

Turning to the battle to beat the drop and its hard to see either of Burnley or Hull picking up enough points to avoid relegation. Last year we saw the same thing with the teams going down doing so with a whimper.

Hull are a team full of Championship players and they host Sunderland who are in good form, having won 4 of their last 8 games. As bad as the Black Cats have been away from home, they should have enough to get at least a draw here. Especially with the likes of Bent in cracking form (8 goals in last 8 games) and goalie Craig Gordon finally showing why they paid £9 million for him. I like the +0.25 Asian Handicap on Sunderland with Paddy Power at a tasty looking 1.91. We win half if its a draw and collect in full if the Black Cats take all 3 points.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Notts County won last week, but Fulham failed to score against Wolves, so our double lost unfortunately. The recommended bets to my members found 7 winners from 10, so let’s hope I can flag two winners out of two for you today.

The season is drawing to a close with just three weekends to go. We can sometimes get strange results when teams have nothing to play for but I strongly believe that contrary to much criticism received by players, that they are professionals and do their best almost all of the time. Having nothing to play for can often mean they play without fear and can actually perform better. The bookmakers generally reduce the odds of the “must win” teams because they know they will take money on those.

Today’s featured matches are Norwich to beat Gillingham, and Doncaster to beat Scunthorpe.
Norwich are promoted and a win here will see them lift the title. I’m sure they will want to impress in front of their home fans. Gillingham have been woeful on their travels and haven’t won away all season, conceding 44 goals along the way.

Scunthorpe ensured their Championship survival in midweek, so the pressure is off them now. Doncaster are in the top half of the table and have done well this season. Scunthorpe have been far better at home than away and have leaked 48 goals in 22 away games. Doncaster should win this game around 57% of the time, and their odds are 2.10, which makes them a good risk.

Recommended double: Norwich to beat Gillingham at 1.50, and Doncaster to beat Scunthorpe at 2.10. The double is available at 3.15 at the time of writing, with Ladbrokes.

I estimate the true odds of both games winning to be around 2.61, or 38%. The long-term yield at odds of 3.15 suggests we should get 120 points back for every 100 staked.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

PS. Membership to my Winabobatoo service is currently full for the current season. If you wish to join the waiting list for next season then please visit the website. The sooner you register, the sooner you will be offered a place. There are only 300 places available.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

4. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another season is at it’s end – we still have a few play-off semi-finals, a couple of play-off finals and an FA Trophy final left of course, but as far as the regular season is concerned, that’s it folks. Let’s take a look at the stats for these free Weekend Wager picks:

FREE	PICKS	STAKED	RETURNED	W-V-L	PROFIT	ROI
	27	108	127.88	16-1-10	+19.88	18.4%

Not bad at all, but it could’ve been a lot better if April didn’t turn out to be such a horror month. I don’t like to use the ‘l’ word when it comes to serious betting (or, if you want, investing), but I was at +73 points profit for the season on April 2 (12.6% ROI) and now, three horror Saturdays later, I’m at +40 (6.3% ROI). Bad runs are perfectly normal, just like the good ones (you have to take a long-term perspective if you want to be succesful at this crazy job and my long-term results speak for themselves, that’s +503 points profit since December 2006, 14.1% long-term ROI; after an amazing 2009 that produced +200 points profit and a 25.9% ROI you simply have to expect a bit slower year), but when the bad run happens at the end of the season, you can either try and chase the losses (which I’m too old and too experienced for) on the last regular day of the season and in the play-offs – or try and learn as much as you can from that particular losing run and come up with another set of adjustments for next season (not to mention that I always change the size of my point/unit after a bad run – not by making it smaller of course – and that always proved to be profitable).

It wasn’t just a few missed penalties that would’ve turned more than a couple of OVER 2.5 GOALS bets into winning bets, a couple of red cards and two-goal leads turning into frustrating draws – I’ve made mistakes and I can’t wait to get my revenge on the bookmakers (I love fresh starts as some of you already know). But, I would be a bloody fool if I tried to force it and get all these lost points back by mid-May. Play-off games are the trickiest of all and if I do get involved, it will be a couple of average-stake bets only. And then, in August, it starts all over again and I’ll be smarter than ever, more experienced than ever and working harder than ever.

The membership and the waiting list are both closed btw – when I decide to reopen the waiting list, you’ll be the first to know. In fact, when I do reopen the waiting list, it will be open for SBC members only. Take care.

cheers,
skeeve

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

5. A Little Birdie Says…

Importance of checking tee times before placing golf bets

It is very important to check tee times for two reasons, and both are equally important.
The first reason is the start time as I will explain.

With all stroke play tournaments, players play in 3 balls in the opening two rounds. The same 3 ball play together in the first two rounds. A 3 ball having a very early start on day one, will have a late start on day two.

Many tournaments tee off at 7.0am (local time) or even earlier on the second day if the first round was not completed on day one.

Depending on which continent the tournament is being played in, early morning starters will be playing on slower greens (due to overnight moisture or dew). As the day lengthens and the sun gets high, then greens dry out and get markedly faster.

Early morning starters do have the advantage of spike free greens, particularly immediately around the pins. This coupled with the fact that the weather is often calmer earlier in the day, means these players generally have a good chance of posting a good score.

A player shooting 5 or 6 under early in the day is very often at or near the top of the leader board at the end of the day. This is of greater significance in the UK where the wind can get stronger during the day.

The second reason to look at the tee times is to actually check the three ball. Who is playing with who?

A rookie from the Challenge tour is unlikely to play to his best if stood on the first tee with Tiger Woods & Phil Mickleson!

The playing speed of players can have crucial impact on each golfers game. Continuous slow play by one player in a 3 ball can cause frustration, followed by lack of concentration and perhaps mistakes.

So before you place your bet, it may help if you :-

(1) Check the tee times to see the start times for the first two days and also note the composition of the 3 balls
(2) Short term and 4 day weather forecast should be checked

Both of these facts are so important if you intend betting on the outcome of a three ball (match betting).

If you require further information or details of subscriptions etc please do not hesitate to contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

April 16, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News, Secret Betting Club

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Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Football Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Skeeve’s Non League

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

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A look at doubles betting, how to make it work and also make your money go further. Includes our advice how to find the best odds for doubles betting.
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1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Those of you who live in the UK wont have failed to notice that we currently have a General Election campaign taking place. As always during these times, we find ourselves being bombarded with different numbers, statistics and polls all designed to make us vote a certain way.

Well I’m certainly not standing for election but I thought I would provide you with some numbers of my own that should interest you from a betting viewpoint. Think of it as a party political broadcast on behalf of the Secret Betting Club if you will

Over 120 Services Currently Monitored

To start off with, did you know that here at the Secret Betting Club we currently monitor 120 different betting services and systems?

A full 32 of this 120 are either in our Hall of Fame or have a Recommended rating, meaning they are well worth following with your money. These are the very best services that we filter out for you to follow.

A further 13 also come with a Closely Monitored status, which means they show potential but require more time before a firm decision can be made. In addition there are also 5 different ratings services and systems we currently advocate.

That leaves another 70 services, all of which we are currently proofing in advance of a review from us in the near future. 17 of which are in what we call ‘testing’, which means they are currently being probed by our panel of experts. Thus there remain 53 further services who will no doubt come up for review before too long.

How This Helps You

The point I wanted to illustrate with all these numbers is just how wide our tentacles actually spread here at SBC. If you have an interest in a betting service or system, its very likely we will have an experience of it to share with you.

I know this is blowing our trumpet a little bit, but perhaps I have picked up a bit of the electioneering spirit this week!

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. The Next Week in Football Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

The race for the title and 4th position could well be over after this weekend with 2 crucial games, starting at Saturday lunchtime with the Manchester derby over at Eastlands.

Man Utd need three points badly but with Rooney unlikely to start the best price 2.51 (Pinnacle) on them looks fairly short. Their away record against top half teams this season reads as won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3, so with only a 33% win success rate it highlights the lack of value.

City on the other hand have done very well of late and have only lost once this season against Everton. Perhaps a good option is the 0 Asian Handicap on the home team (same as a Draw No Bet) at a best priced 2.16 from 188bet.

The other big game sees Spurs host Chelsea, with the home team buoyed from ending arch-rivals Arsenal title challenge in the week. Spurs have become very tough to break down at home since the turn of the year and have not lost at White Hart Lane since November. Chelsea I fear will have their work cut out and so the +0.5 Asian Handicap on Spurs at 1.98 with 188bet pays out as long as they dont lose.

Elsewhere there are 3 short home favourites in Birmingham (1.83), Fulham (2.22) and Stoke (2.18) to beat 3 struggling teams in Hull, Wolves & Bolton respectively. Stoke in-particular are of real interest as their record against bottom half teams reads won 7, drawn 2 and lost 0. With that in mind and against a Bolton side who always struggle away from home, anything above evens looks useful. As for Fulham – Wolves, it sees 2 very organised teams face up and its hard to see too many goals, and the under 2.5 goals is 1.74 with 188bet jumps out at me.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

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3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Hearts managed to win for us last week in our single bet at 1.91. There are a few more opportunities this weekend to find a couple of games for a double bet.

We’re reaching the critical point of the season, where every match assumes much greater significance in the promotion and relation battles. Chelsea v Spurs and Man City v Man Utd are massive games. A win for Chelsea and a loss for United would see Chelsea 7 points clear with just three games to go.

One of our bets this weekend features a team at the bottom of the Premiership table. Take Fulham to beat Hull at 2.10 with Bet 365. Fulham have won 10 from 16 at home, whilst Hull have won none in 17 away from home.

Hull need the points and Fulham are safe but integrity is still apparent in football, and Fulham will play to win, and they should be too good for Hull. I’m sure Hull will raise their game as their Premiership survival is at stake but effort shouldn’t be good enough against the better class of Fulham.

Our second bet is in League Two: Notts County are taken to beat Morecambe at 1.57 with Bet 365. County are in a battle with Rochdale for the title, and by coincidence, play each other on Tuesday night. Morecambe have play-off aspirations but 48 goals scored by County in 20 home games should be too much for a slightly leaky Morecambe defence. They’ve conceded 34 goals on their travels, which is the 6th worst in the division.

Recommended double: Fulham to beat Hull at 2.10, and Notts County to beat Morecambe at 1.57. The double is available at 3.29 at the time of writing, with Bet365.

I estimate the true odds of both games winning to be around 2.76, or 36%. So we have the odds nicely in our favour.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

4. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

If you thought you’ve heard someone yelling and howling somewhere in the distance last Saturday, it was me – last weekend’s bets all turned out to be heartbreaking horror stories. Missed penalties, two-goal leads turning into draws – you name it, I survived it last Saturday. Days like that happen from time to time, it’s basically part of the job, but it always hurts and if you’re smart, the only thing you can do is work you ass off, watch the match highlights instead of going to sleep, read the fans’ forums instead of cooking dinner and go through all the news articles instead of going out with your girlfriend or mates. I hope that’s it for the season as far as horror stories are concerned. Here’s one of the seven bets I’ve sent to my clients a couple of hours ago.

cheers,
skeeve

17/ 4/2010

BLUE SQUARE SOUTH

LEWES – Dorchester 1 (1.80 @Bet365) 4 units

These three points would be pure gold for Lewes – they’re in the relegation zone, they have one point less than Worcester who are just outside the relegation zone, but they’ve played a game less and a win against unmotivated Dorchester doesn’t really look like a mission impossible. Lewes have two wins and a draw in the last three home games (3:1 vs Welling, 1:0 vs Bromley, 0:0 vs St Albans), they’ve only lost once since they’ve brought in Gradwell and El-Abd on loan from Hayes (Gradwell missed the goalless draw with St Albans, but he’ll play against Dorchester, it’s an extremely important game for Lewes), they’re not that bad at home (six wins, seven draws, six defeats), they have a couple of very good midfielders in Wheeler and Keehan who is their best scorer this season and I wouldn’t be surprised if they (and not Worcester) manage to stay in the Blue Square South status after all. Dorchester are one of the worst away teams in the league, they have as much as fifteen defeats in twenty away games (only Weston have one defeat more than them), they have three consecutive 0:2 away defeats (0:2 at Braintree, 0:2 at Bath, 0:2 at Eastleigh) and they’re manager has announced he won’t field a full-strength team for this game – Dorchester are safe from relegation, they have some injuries (full-backs Hill and Critchell are both injured) and suspensions (another defender Bowles) to deal with and, well, here’s what their manager has to say: ”We are safe, I want to involve some of the lads on the periphery of the squad…Without being disrespectful to Worcester we have done our job and got to where we want to be, which allows us to change things accordingly if we so wish…We are interested in building for next season and we will change things by looking at one or two options. People deserve the chance to impress and I trust every one of the boys to come in and grasp the opportunity”. This could be a double-edged sword of course, but I don’t think Lewes should be at 1.80 (and even 1.91) – anything better than 1.60 looks great to me.

(1.91 at BoyleSports btw, 1.80 also at Bwin, Coral and also at Blue Square, Bet-at-home, BetFred, Expekt, Gamebookers, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, StanJames, Unibet…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Weekend Wager

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