The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

Posted on February 11, 2011 by  

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

John Terry has had a week to forget. First of all his Chelsea team are beaten at home by arch-rivals Liverpool, then he sees every man and his dog (and Gareth Barry) get the England captains armband before him in the midweek friendly in Denmark….and all of this after quitting gambling this week due to huge losses.

It was reported in renowned factual tome The Sun on Tuesday that JT had decided to stop gambling totally after racking up huge losses by betting on anything that moves. This is probably a wise move for him as not everyone is cut out to make money betting, especially if you have more money than sense.

If however, he ever wanted to get involved betting again he could do a lot worse than using some of the free resources, tipsters & strategies that we have compiled at the Secret Betting Club. Everyone loves something for free, so let me reveal just a few of the ones we track here at SBC…

The Best Free Tipsters, Systems & Strategies

We keep a full list of all the best free tipsters, systems & strategies for you to use, especially if you are working to a budget. Many of these we report back on regularly to keep all of our Secret Betting Club members up to date as to the best value options out there.

Some of the best free tipster services we have reviewed recently include:

• Sportyy – Free Football & Tennis Tipster

This Spanish based tipster has been providing free tips since June 2010 and has a great record so far. Sportyy is proving to be very popular with SBC members after our first review in November 2010.

• Daqman – Free Betting Exchange Racing Tipster

Provides free daily racing tips to be followed on the betting exchange and the main win bets supplied are up £700 to simple stakes since July 2010. Full results update in our January 2011 SBC issue.

• Packed Pockets – Free Racing Tips

This free racing tipster had a fantastic 2010, pocketing over 200 pts profit from only 193 bets supplied and is a firm favourite. Regular updates in SBC issues.

SBC Members Free Advice

Alongside reviews of external tipsters, we also have many different strategies and systems that we provide via the Secret Betting Club. Some are free systems updated each day on our forum, other systems or strategies available to download from our website. We also regularly feature expert articles and forum advice from some of our professional gambler contributors on some of the methods they employ.

Recent free highlights include…

• Piecost–Horse Racing Handicap System

SBC member ‘Piecost’ has been sharing the selections from his UK horse racing handicap system on our members’ forum since March 2010. He has averaged over 21 pts profit each month and it’s proving to be extremely popular as you can imagine!

• The 4 Pronged Attack System

This is a very profitable racing system that takes a simple 4 pronged strategy for picking out bets in the big feature races and is available to download to all SBC members. Very straightforward to follow, it had an excellent 2010.

• On Course For Profit: Golf Betting

Make use of free statistics from various sources in combination with tips from experts to make serious profits on golf betting. This amazing strategy revealed in our January edition shows you how to strike out most of the field in golf betting and concentrate on the players who stand to make you the most profit.

• When Odds Are Odd

This is a cheeky strategy available to download for taking advantage of betting markets to create no-lose situations (not arbing!). We have members on our forum sharing the bets generated by this strategy on both NFL and Rugby League.

• PCB’s football antepost bets

PCB is one of our pro-gambler members and after sharing his strategy on how to make a profit in the antepost football market, he is also posting all his own football antepost bets this season. The highlight this season is the 33/1 bet on Carlisle to win the Johnstones Paint trophy (they play Brentford in the final on the 3rd April!).

You can also find a couple more free strategies up on our blog, which we are putting to the test this year including…

• Testing the Fink Tank

Fink tank provide free football ratings backed up with academic research. We found them to have great potential in a past SBC review, but can we improve profits by taking early prices? This test aims to find out. Over 37.47 points so far this season from 205 bets for an excellent ROI of 18%. Last week the ratings picked out Wolves to beat Manchester United at home at odds of 8.80.

Note – We have also added this in as an extra column for the Weekend Wager up until the end of the season! Find it below in section 6.

• Mike’s Football Bets

Mike is sharing his own football advice and strategy for picking out bets in the English Premier League for free this season. He is 7.91 pts in profit (A 9.77% ROI) for this season and building on the initial success he had in the 2009/10 season.
Details on all of the above and much more besides can be found as a Secret Betting Club member. Join now for instant access at Secret Betting Club

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

A Drunkard’s Betting Walk

Inspired by the probability and randomness themed book ‘A Drunkards Walk’, Mike looks at how this relates to betting and how we can better understand some of the common misconceptions it highlights.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

• The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!

• The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.

• Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

Sign up today to receive all 5 gifts immediately via Secret Betting Club.

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Not the easiest looking betting fixtures this weekend in the top flight and just the 2 Main bets from me, starting off with the game at the Stadium of Light between Sunderland and Spurs.

Spurs have struggled lately with injuries to the creative hub of their team with the likes of Modric, Bale and now Van der Vaart all out. To make matters worse they face a very tricky fixture against Steve Bruce’s team who are very strong in general at home. The hosts to my mind continue to be under-rated and have won 6 out of 13 home fixtures, losing just twice to Chelsea and Blackpool. You can get 2.04 on them with a 0 ball Asian Handicap, which covers the draw and looks to be great value against a depleted Spurs outfit.

No matter what Ian Holloway does, his team cant stop leaking goals and to me it’s a simple case of not having the quality defensive personnel required to shut up shop. Attack for them is the best form of defence and the bookies continue to be very slow to cotton on to the chance of goals in their home games. All 11 tangerine games have gone 3 goals or more with 5 (45%) going 4 goals or more. They face Villa who have also seen 67% of their away games go over 3 goals so they aren’t exactly going to park the bus either. I will take the 1.79 on over 2.75 goals in this market.

Aside from those 2 main bets, its hard work finding value this weekend and the 3 shortlist bets highlight this. Birmingham are very solid at home but the 1.78 0 AH is a bit short in price to be a main bet against a Stoke team who are improving but continue to struggle on the road in general.

Man City will be happy to draw away at Utd as it keeps them in the hunt for the top 4 spot (their ultimate goal this year – not the title) and so the 1.83 on less than 3 goals appeals as a shortlist bet. Fulham continue also to be under-rated goals wise at home and even though Chelsea were toothless last weekend, prior to that they had found their shooting boots. Hopeful of seeing some goalmouth action at Craven Cottage this weekend so over 2.5 goals is the call with stats backing this up as one to be on.

Main Bets
1 pt Sunderland 0 Asian Handicap V Spurs. 2.04 Ladbrokes
1 pt Over 2.75 goals. Blackpool V Aston Villa. 1.79 5Dimes

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Birmingham 0 Asian Handicap V Stoke. 1.78 Pinnacle/188bet
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man Utd V Man City. 1.83 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Fulham V Chelsea. 2.08 188bet/Canbet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!


*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

3. A Sporting Chance

Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!

Premier League darts kicked off last night and runs until May every Thursday around the UK. It promises to be a very tight event this year with a marvellous field. I thought I’d take a look at each individual player and some pointers on them in the quest to make money.

PHIL TAYLOR:- Dipped in form over the tail end of last year and at the age of 50 some are saying the world’s greatest ever player is on the slippery slope. The jury is out on that one as this is a man who is at his best when he has been given a kicking. 180s however may not be flowing his way in this league with his new darts having a very stocky barrel which will mean many deflections and looking for him to go under the maximum’s lines in his matches may be a route to profit.

ADRIAN LEWIS:- The new world champion will have a lot of weight on his shoulders and is more than capable of throwing in a howler of a League night. Lewis is known as one of the best maximum hitters in the world and rightly so. However dig a little deeper on his Premier League stats from the years 07-10 where he has competed in the event and you find backing him for most maximums in a match may not be the easy ride you would expect. He has only won most maximums in Premier League matches on 48% occasions. Therefore he should be slightly bigger than evens for this market statistically.

GARY ANDERSON:- Premier League debutant. Anyone who knows their arrows will appreciate the Scotsman has no problems with his scoring. His Achilles heel has been his doubling. The signs of improvement are there though as his TV nerves settle. In the summer, Anderson could strike only 31% of his doubles in the World Matchplay and a woeful 13% in the European Championships. In the last three major televised events he has took out 44% of his doubles in the Grand Prix, 41% of his doubles in the Grand Slam of Darts and again 41% in the World Championships. A repeat over the league season of 40% plus will put him right in the mix for the title.

JAMES WADE:- As mentioned recently in this column his doubles record over the last five major televised tournaments is second to none. The problem is Wade’s questionable attitude towards the game, leaving you in a betting quandary. In Wade’s own words “I’m possibly a bit like Ronnie O’Sullivan. Sometimes I can’t be bothered. When I can’t be bothered, it’s obvious. I play like I can’t be bothered”. I know when he’s odds on for a match what button I’d rather be pressing on Betfair.

RAYMOND VAN BARNEVELD:- Will the real Barney please stand up? This man is an enigma wrapped up in a mystery. Scooby Doo and crew couldn’t solve this one. The gut instinct is that Barney has lost the fire in his belly and he is accordingly out with the washing to lift the Premier League this year. Along with Wade, his attitude doesn’t make you reach for the wallet. Tossing darts away and more head shaking than an AC-DC concert. Pink button again.

SIMON WHITLOCK:- The big “Aussie” made his League debut last year reaching the semi-finals. A renowned killer of big finishes it’s a surprise to learn in his Premier League history he has had highest checkout in only 6 of his 15 league matches (40%). Conversely he has hit most maximums in 60% of his league games.

TERRY JENKINS:- Looks as if he will struggle this season though often raises his game against better players. It’s interesting to learn given his overall losing record in the league that he has struck the highest match checkout on 67% of occasions. The “Bull” will kick-off most matches as underdog and it is likely you will obtain odds against on him getting the highest match checkout in each match this season for a small flutter.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

The season is moving on at a rapid rate of knots and the promotion/relegation scraps are going to be hotting up over the next few weeks.

There’s a full programme of games this week; much to mull over and much to pick from.

This week’s Free Bet:

We’ll side with Gillingham to win at Crewe. It’s handy to have away teams on your side that can score goals. Gillingham have netted 25 times in 14 away games, which is getting on for 2 goals per game.
Crewe tend to play an open game and this leaves them vulnerable to leaking a few goals. They’ve conceded 44 goals in 28 games. Gillingham have let in 37 goals in 30 games.

The Winabobatoo ratings certainly give the edge to Gillingham and 2.90 seems like an attractive price for the away win.

Tip: Gillingham to win at Crewe at 2.90 – available with Victor Chandler, Bet 365 and Coral.

I still have a few places available for my full Winabobatoo service. If you fancy getting all the match ratings, Winabobatoo betting systems, and recommended lays for the rest of the season, now would be a good time to join.

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European/Asian – Avantha Masters
PGA – Northern Trust Open
Champions – Ace Group Classic
LPGA – Honda Thailand Open
Euro Ladies – New Zealand Womens Open
South Africa – Dimension Data pro-am

The Avantha Masters enters its second year as a co-sanctioned event at the DLF course, which was also the venue of the Indian Open in 2009 and the co-sanctioned Johnnie Walker Classic in 2008, so there is quite a bit of course form to go on. After the high quality fields of the gulf swing we get back to a regular bread and butter event with Soren Hansen, Thongchai Jaidee and Jeev Milkha Singh being the headline acts. The latter will be one of the home crowd favourites but beware – he pulled out on the eve of a Challenge Tour event last month in India on a course he designed and has hardly been setting the world alight in the gulf.

The PGA tour stays in California this week for the Northern Trust Open from the Riviera Club where winners have been very predictable in recent years.
2010 – Steve Stricker – 2nd year before and 3rd in his latest start
2008/09 – Phil Mickelson – won two years running and had been 2nd in 2007
2007 – Charles Howell – twice runner-up already that year and 2nd here in 2004
2006 – Rory Sabatini – 2nd the week before and 2nd here in 2002
2004/05 – Mike Weir won back to back
So basically look for someone in top form with a top finish here before – shouldn’t be too hard to narrow the field down!
6. Testing The Fink Tank

Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.
For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

For the season so far, the Fink Tank ratings have proven to be effective, making a profit of 37 points from 1 point level staking for an ROI of 18% (Profit on turnover). Most of the gains have come from big value away winners.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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