The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

Posted on February 25, 2011 by  

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

As usual at this time of month, we are busy applying the finishing touches to our latest Secret Betting Club Issue, which will be released on Monday the 28th of Feb.

It’s already shaping up to be quite a bumper issue, with a whole host of guest articles, betting insight and independent reviews to keep you up-to-date with the world of professional betting.

Check out some of the highlights we have lined up for this month’s issue…

  • The inside line from Blue Square League tipster Skeeve on his 10 commandments about building your own betting niche. Find out how he went from complete novice to expert on the non-league betting scene and how you can repeat it for your own chosen niche.
  • Betting on the move – We reveal the best mobile phones for getting your bets on while out and about.
  • How to build a football ante post betting portfolio – Update on our expert’s bets so far this season.
  • Our review of the first greyhound database to hit the market – if you want to make money betting on the dogs, find out if this product is for you.
  • A fresh look at the 2 racing tipster services – one focusing on the All Weather and the other Flat, which have made excellent strides since May 2010. Affordable & easy to follow – they look two very useful tipsters in the making.
  • A full review of the Hudson Horses racing tipster service and the proofed returns made over the past year.
  • A first look at the racing tipster service that has made £2379 at £10 stakes from their first 2000 bets – all to Betfair SP.
  • An initial look at the football tipster advising bets only with Bet365 that has made very good progress since starting proofing to us in October 2010.
  • We reveal all you need to know on Proform Professional, quite possibly the best racing database and system builder available.
  • With Cheltenham around the corner, what better time to review the service from Festival ante post expert Paul Jones.

Sign up here now to get this latest issue as soon as it’s released: Secret Betting Club

Tommo The Tipster

In this month’s Secret Betting Club issue we are also building up our recommended list of blog resources for our members to check out if interested in reading more about betting.

One such blog post caught my eye this week, in the form of this old chestnut from the High Class Equine site that re-visited the 2001 Observer article on Channel 4 racing presenter Derek Thompson (Tommo) and his tipping line. The article recalls how Tommo managed to tip loser after loser at short-prices on his premium line with 72 out of 89 tips losing during a period of testing without a hint of
shame.

Thankfully though the likes of Tommo are part of a dying breed of tipsters who don’t proof results with any transparency and the likes of which are a world apart from many of the professional services we recommend. This is because all our Secret Betting Club Hall of Fame tipsters are fully proofed with genuine results.

If keen to find out more on the best tipsters, consider a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Free Paul Jones Cheltenham Preview

Make sure as well that you read the free Cheltenham race preview that racing expert Paul Jones has kindly made available to all our readers. You can find a short excerpt below on his take on the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle with the full article available on our blog.

FRED WINTER JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE (GRADE 3)

Although the ‘Fred Winter’ is developing a number of very strong patterns so early in its existence (remarkably I’ve found as many as 12 worthy of being listed in the Trends Summary), I am aware that this may come across as a blatantly obvious statement but, trying to finding the handicap blot is key here and, boy, was there one last season as Sanctuaire left his rivals stone motherless dead. Paul Nicholls knew it beforehand. All he would say when discussing the race at the Sandown Preview Evening was: “He’ll win” and not a word more. French-bred hurdlers have really come to the fore in this race but take note of the top-rated horses from the Flat too as they have won or finished second in three of the six runnings. No new trends to add this season, only a strengthening of existing ones which is what I like for winner-finding purposes and Sanctuaire ticked virtually every main box 12 months ago hitting the crucial ones square on the head.

Read the rest of the article at the SBC Blog.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

  • The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
  • The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
  • Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

Sign up today to receive all 5 gifts immediately via Secret Betting Club

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Back this week with an almost full Premier League card with 8 games over the course of the weekend to work with and I have 4 Main bets that have caught my eye.

Starting up at the Britannia Stadium, I am keen on Stoke to have too much for West Brom, especially considering the 2.00 price that Hills are offering. The Potters this season have been very strong at home, winning 54% of games and they certainly will target this type of match for all 3 points. West Brom on the other hand have been very dodgy at the back in recent months and will struggle against Stoke’s aerial bombardment. They have lost 69% of away games this year and despite the arrival of Roy Hodgson, it will take some time for him to get them better organized on the road. Odds of 2.00 suggest Stoke have a 50% chance of victory, and I make it more like 55% so a bit of value here.

Talking of Roy Hodgson, his former charges Fulham continue to prosper from the work he did on making them extremely hard to beat away from home. This is backed up by the stats as they have gone under 2.5 goals in 69% of games on the road this year with a clear policy of going for the 0-0 draw in matches against the top teams. Ladbrokes are kind enough to offer 1.97 on the under 2.5 goals market, which is a 50.7% chance, whereas I again make this more of a 1.85 to 1.90 shot so value here. As an added incentive, Mark Hughes will be even more keen for Fulham to give nothing away as he returns to Man City for the first time since being fired.

The transformation of Liverpool under Kenny Dalglish has been very impressive and bookies have been quick to note how tight matches involving his charges now are, as judged by the measly 1.75 on under 2.5 goals in their game away at West Ham. My interest involves backing Liverpool to overcome a -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.93 as the Hammers under Avram Grant remain very poor and they have lost at home against all the top teams this season.  This bet gives us some cover in case of a draw and I can see a well organized Liverpool with Steven Gerrard likely to be back causing lots of problems.

One final bet on goals in the game featuring Villa and Blackburn as the away team have been very leaky on the road, going over 2.5 goals in 77% of games. Villa have improved offensively as well with Darren Bent leading the line and look a lot more threatening up front these days at home so the 1.96 on over 2.5 goals looks a good investment. I make the true odds on this market again lower than 1.90 so some value here.

Main Bets
1 pt Stoke to beat West Brom. 2.00 William Hill
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man City V Fulham. 1.97 Ladbrokes
1 pt Liverpool -0.25 Asian Handicap V West Ham. 1.93 Pinnacle/Canbet/SBOBet/188Bet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa V Blackburn.  1.96 188bet

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

3. A Sporting Chance

Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!

Away from the razzmatazz of the Premier League darts live on Sky every week the darting world proceeds quietly most weekends with the bread and butter PDC Pro Tour non-televised events in Players Championships and UK Open events. They are not tournaments for major punts as all the matches are a race to six legs, the equivalent of a bullet race in horse racing, but there are a few players worth following who can get you into the black in 2011.

The conditions are very different for the floor events with only a few hundred guests allowed entry but it brings out the best in some lower ranked players away from the television lights. I have taken a look back over the last two years (2009 & 2010) which incorporates 84 Players Championship and UK Open events. The theme was to look at competitors at bigger odds, to gauge statistically by the amount of tournaments won, if they offer any value.

Mark Walsh has won seven events from the eighty-four contested which is approximately one in twelve, therefore you would expect him to be around the 12-1 mark. On most occasions his odds will be signifcantly higher than 12-1, and indeed he is currently 33-1 for this weekends events. The 2nd best winning record for the longer priced players belongs to both Wes Newton and Jamie Caven. Newton has won 4 events from 84 and odds of around 22-1 would be a fair price. He is 28-1 for these tournaments presently. It’s noticeable three from four Newton wins came in 2010 telling of a much improved player. Jamie Caven has also lifted four floor tournaments and already pocketed one of the four events played in 2011. Caven is 28s this weekend. Veteran of the oche Dennis Priestley has taken honours in three events and though he will be cutting back on the circuit this season, he is worth a bet when playing on the floor and is rated a huge 80-1 shot these days.

By following proven winners Walsh, Newton and Caven blindly to level stakes in the floor events this year you should come out in front. In 2009 they mopped up seven events between them and last year’s cumulative haul was eight.


The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: Secret Betting Club

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

I have a members’ forum at Winabobatoo. Three of my members very kindly post their weekly bets and share their analysis with other members. Surprisingly, I have a very disproportionate number of West Brom fans at Winabobatoo. There is some nice banter between them as to how the Baggies are likely to do. Early season hopes of making Europe have diminished into a Premiership race for survival. Not wishing to upset them, but I think it is time to oppose West Brom this weekend!

Tip: Stoke to beat West Brom at 1.95  – available with Hills, Victor Chandler, bwin, and Unibet. 1.97 is available with 32Red.

Special Offer:
Have you registered for your FREE weekly copy of the Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine? Please visit my website now as there is a special offer coming up that I don’t think you will want to miss!

The prices I quote in Winabobatoo betting returns are only from prices available with Coral, Hills, Totesport, Victor Chandler and Bet365. If you can get bigger prices elsewhere, then that is a bonus and extra profit over and above what I show.

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website


5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

PGA Tour – Honda Classic
Nationwide Tour – Bogota Open

A quiet week next week with only the two events to bet on – maybe some of the odds compilers with time on their hands will have a crack at the Nationwide Tour as they won’t have much else to do!!
The Honda Classic returns to the PGA National course and to be honest it is difficult to see much of a pattern in the four winners there have been so far. I guess one thing you could say is that non-Americans have somewhat dominated, filling lots of the places and providing the last three winners in Villegas, Yang and Els. The course is one of the toughest they play all year and the first three winners posted winning scores of -5, -6 and -9 whilst Villegas won by five last year with -13. The key to playing well at the PGA National is to be on top of all facets of your game and be able to play in the wind as that usually blows.

Oddly enough, last years winner Villegas was just as interested in what was going on in the Nationwide Tour event with his brother Manny playing in the Bogota Open in back home in Columbia. Looking at the state of Camilos’ game at the moment I would guess that his brother has the greater chance of victory next week!

Hopefully over the next few days I will come up with a bit more inspiration so don’t forget to check the blog.

6. Testing The Fink Tank

Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.

For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

Click here for the weekend’s qualifiers.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

There is no catch if signing up for the Weekend Wager. All we will do is send a couple of extra emails to you each month with the latest news from us here at the Secret Betting Club. We believe that its a very small price for the quality of advice supplied each week for free. You can also unsubscribe at anytime and we will never ever sell rent or share your details with any third parties.

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Comments

Tell us what you're thinking...
and oh, if you want a pic to show with your comment, go get a gravatar!





Member Login

Password Reset
Please enter your e-mail address. You will receive a new password via e-mail.