The Weekend Wager – 26/06/09

Welcome to this the latest ‘Weekend Wager’ free betting column produced by Mike Bishop from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member’s website Money Maker Review.

Welcome to this the latest ‘Weekend Wager’ free betting column produced by Mike Bishop from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

1. Mike Says

Last week I touched upon a number of dodgy tipster promotions that have crossed our path recently and I have another dubious looking service to share with you today. The promotion in question is for the ‘Bill Harris Racing System’ produced by AD Associates, which I was first made aware of earlier this week following an email from Steve at www.racing-index.com.

It appears that the brains behind the Bill Harris system were claiming that Racing Index had proofed them having made 174 pts profit in the month of April. Now this seems harmless enough but the big problem here was that no service by the name of Bill Harris has actually ever proofed to Racing Index!

After some digging, Racing Index established plenty of holes in their claims as well as further connections to another service. If you are interested in reading more then check out the very interesting summary of this at http://www.racing-index.com/bill-harris-racing-system.html. Just goes to show the lengths that some people will go to in order to make a quick buck!

Further to what Racing Index have uncovered, it seems AD Associates have a lot of previous form for this kind of thing. They regularly send out mail shots for a variety of betting based products and services and there’s is a name to remember as one to avoid for the future.

Moving on, one point worth raising from all of this is that you should never ever join a service based upon just one month’s results. If I asked my granny to pick out random bets on the horses, the chances are she would have a winning few weeks at some point just through pure luck! I think at times as well she couldn’t do any worse than some of these so-called experts. As ever, always where possible look for evidence of at least 12 months worth of genuinely proofed results for any tipster or system.

We will always have these dodgy services kicking around so the best thing is to stick to those tipsters that pass the test of time. In our latest Secret Betting Club issue due out on Tuesday we will have all the latest stats on the long-term performance of over 40 genuine tipsters for members to analyse.

If you follow those within that 40 that make up our renowned Hall of Fame section, I am confident you wont go too far wrong with your betting!

Until next week…

Mike Bishop
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THE TOP PERFORMING AFFORDABLE TIPSTERS
The most affordable services we monitor and their performance over the past 12 months

Service Name	Monthly Cost	Bets	Pts Profit	ROI	£20 per pt	£50 per pt	£100 per pt
Service 1	£10	230	52.31	22.74%	£1,046	£2,616	£5,231
Service 2	£17	145	234.15	16.75%	£4,683	£11,708	£23,415
Service 3	FREE	221	335.1	15.20%	£6,702	£16,755	£33,510
Service 4	£24.00	230	43.65	13.39%	£873	£2,183	£4,365
Service 5	£17	311	41.9	12.54%	£838	£2,095	£4,190
Service 6	£8	214	250	11.60%	£5,000	£12,500	£25,000

Full details are available to www.secretbettingclub.com members
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2. The Next Week In Betting

No major shocks in the first week of Wimbledon, which means we will see a number of the favourites for both the men’s and women’s section going head to head in week 2. This should set everything up for a thrilling finale, especially in the men’s tournament where I expect we could well have a new champion.

I am an unashamed layer of Roger Federer with him being as short as 1.70 at Betfair as I just don’t see that as a value proposition. Sure, he may win but he isn’t for me that at those odds. Andy Murray is also very short with the bookmakers at a best priced 11/4 with Sportingbet, although he is as large as 4.4 at Betfair. No doubt we have the patriotic money forcing the bookies to go so low. Away from the top two, outsiders of note include Nadal’s French open conqueror, Robin Soderling (120/1 on Betfair) who could well face Federer in the 4^th round as well as 3^rd favourite Novak Djokovic (20/1 on Betfair).

As for the Women’s tournament, it’s hard to see much beyond another all Williams sisters final with Paddy Power offering 2/1 on this market.

The British & Irish Lions roared a little too late in the 1^st test last week but should take heart from their 2^nd half comeback against the world champions. South Africa are strong favourites again for the 2^nd test and rightly so but I want to back the away team again with a +9 handicap at 10/11 with Paddy Power. The one big question for me is how they handle the altitude over in Pretoria, which can reduce aerobic performance by as much as 25%! To counter-act this, the tourists are not scheduled to arrive until today (Friday), which apparently is one way to get around these issues.

The feast of cricket this summer shows no sign of abating with just over a week until the Ashes begin over in Cardiff. I will look at this more in-depth next week but one market that has already taken my fancy is the top Australian batsman. Ricky Ponting leads the market here at 7/2 but he has not been in his greatest form lately, the same of which can be said for ‘Mr Cricket’ Mike Hussey (Is there a worse nickname in professional sport?). My attention instead is on both Simon Katich at 5/1 with Paddy Power and Michael Clarke at 6/1 with Boylesports. Both of these guys will quietly accumulate runs and may also have a say with their occasional spin bowling. I will be splitting my stakes on both to be top Australian series batsmen in the hope of an overall profit. Katich is also a big 50/1 with Skybet to be man of the series, which could also be worth an interest.

I will also most likely have further bets on some of the other markets to highlight next week. Before the price goes though, I do want to put forward the 20/1 on Ben Hilfenhaus with Ladbrokes on being the top Aussie series bowler. He certainly is one to watch and he could well force his way into the side and be a real ‘dark horse’ selection this series. The 20/1 price certainly wont last long if he picks up some wickets in the warm-up games that’s for sure.

Good luck with whatever you’re having a punt on this week.
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3. Tipping Legends Column

The Tipping Legends are 2 horse racing specialists who both have an in-depth knowledge of the sport and will be supplying a full rundown of some of the weekend’s feature races and betting angles. These guys know their stuff when it comes to racing, ignore at your peril.

Tomorrow (Saturday) sees the running of the Northumberland Plate, a handicap over 2miles. It is always a wide open betting heat and one of the best long distance handicaps on the flat with fantastic prize money! £110,000 goes to the winner, all the way down to £500 for finishing 8th.

With bookies currently going 8/1 the field there is certainly some value to be found so I will give a brief resume of the main contenders.

Speed Ticket (8/1)
Trained in Ireland by Jessica Harrington and was beaten a head over 1m 4f on the flat. Has run over 2 miles over hurdles previously which makes it a must for the shortlist.

Keenes Day (8/1)
Disappointing at Royal Ascot when favourite and well behind Judgethemoment so needs to improve.

Hendersyde (8/1)
Has only run over 1m 4 & 1m 6f on the flat so the 2 miles is unknown territory, but if staying has a clear chance.

Ajaan (10/1)
Only beaten by a head in the Chester Cup and this course is likely to suit better. May not run if ground not suitable, but has a clear chance.

Judgethemoment (10/1)
Impressive winner of the Ascot Stakes last week and if this race doesn’t come too quick must go very close indeed.

Wells Lyrical (10/)
Has ability but has only had one run this year when 2nd over 2 miles at Ripon in April.

Record Breaker (14/1)
Staying on like a train behind stable companion Drill Serjeant at Ascot over 1m 4f. Has run over 2miles before and at current price of 14/1 could be the value bet.
Visit The Tipping Legends Website
Read our review of the Tipping Legends service

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4. Herbie Fogg

Statistical research lies at the heart of the service provided to subscribers at herbiefogg.com. Horse racing expert Herbie Fogg runs three services: The Edge, Turfmax and a newly launched Saturday service, which enables non-members to obtain the Edge Saturday advice from £1.90 per week: www.herbiefogg.com/#/saturdayservice/4532988669.

The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1), Curragh, 4.15pm Sunday 28th June

Another small profit last weekend for readers of this column with Dansant running on strongly for a place in the Hardwicke Stakes, a race mysteriously won by the ‘out of form’ John Gosden and Bronze Cannon – who finally made good on that brace of taking handicap victories at Newmarket that seem like an age ago now. Unfortunately we’ll never know how good Dansant is until his handler decides to make a little more use of him. Radical, I know.

Meanwhile with the approach of the Irish Derby salvation may lie at hand for the avid Foggers among you who joined me in supporting the Betamax candidate for our own Epsom Derby in the shape of Fame And Glory. The one thing we all got right, however, was that Johnny was sitting on the wrong horse, and it’s not beyond the realm of possibility that he’s about to get all ironic and do it again.

I don’t know about you but the horse I took out of the Epsom Derby was Masterofthehorse, a colt who was rumoured to have come on significantly since Chester. In the event at Epsom he was held up a mile off the pace, finished like a train and did better back on an easier surface. On breeding he is perfectly suited by ground the soft side of good.

Mr John Oxx stated on Wednesday that Sea the Stars will not run if the going at the Curragh turns good to soft, so here we have an alternative candidate who is optimum in these conditions. As of Thursday afternoon the best forecast we have suggests significant ease is unlikely, but we’ll have to wait and see. Johnny is sweet on the form of Fame And Glory, but it’s generally best to ignore these noises and to take the better price.

Sea The Stars has a reputation to protect and longer term targets in mind. If he runs, he will be run in conditions that ensure he is likely to deliver his best and of course in these circumstances we shall expect him to win. If on the day we are forced to look elsewhere, in Masterofthehorse we have an excellent and credible plan B.

Sea The Stars 2pts win

Masterofthehorse 1pt win (if Sea The Stars is a non-runner)

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit The Herbie Fogg Website

Catch Herbie on twitter @herbiefogg

Produced by www.secretbettingclub.com and www.moneymakerreview.com