Get 6 Professional Gamblers to your Inbox Every Friday (including me!)

April 23, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News, Secret Betting Club

Every Friday we publish our free ‘Weekend Wager’ betting column, which is filled with all the best free tips, advice and betting guidance. Compiled by the professional gamblers at the Secret Betting Club and featuring contributions from several other expert and succesful gamblers, its the best way to get your betting started for the weekend.

What’s in The Weekend Wager

We have been running the Weekend Wager email for a number of years and its jam-packed with plenty of advice, tips and betting strategies such as….

* One best value football bet each week from proven English football expert, Mike Lindley of ‘Winabobatoo’.

* Free English Premier League bets and analysis from Mike Bishop of the Secret Betting Club who has a profitable record of top flight tipping.

* Weekly betting strategy and advice on a range of different sports from Hall of Fame tipster and professional gambler – Scott Armstrong

* The latest golf advice for upcoming tournaments from renowned expert Ian Richards of Sports Betting Index.

* The best risk free betting advice from Darren Hall of Bet72 – he will help you make money out of nothing, courtesy of the bookmakers generous offers!

* A topical betting column on all the latest issues in the world of professional gambling from Mike and Dan from SBC.

There is no catch if signing up for the Weekend Wager. All we will do is send a couple of extra emails to you each month with the latest news from us here at the Secret Betting Club. We believe that its a very small price for the quality of advice supplied each week for free. You can also unsubscribe at anytime and we will never ever sell rent or share your details with any third parties.

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Tags: Friday Freebie, Secret Betting Club, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

April 15, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

It’s back to normality betting wise this weekend after the double header of the racing’s Grand National and Golf’s master’s weekend. If you were involved, I hope you managed to pick up some profit from the giant field in both events.

We asked some of the tipsters we proof to put up a tip each for the National, with ourselves acting as charity bookmaker and donating £1 per bet (ignoring losses) to Cancer Research.

Well done to Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman Racing who picked the winner Ballabriggs at 14/1 EW. The tipsters also covered all but one of the placed horses, with successes including Northern Monkey tipping Niche Market at 18/1 (5th), Winning Racing Tips picking State of Play at 25/1 and our Pro Gambler PCB picking Oscar time at 12/1 (2nd).

We bumped things up a little to make it £1 each way so a total of £28.25 was donated to Cancer Research. Thanks to all the tipsters who contributed.

In Play Profits

One of the biggest growth areas for betting this year has been in-play football betting and you may well have noticed the likes of Bet365 and Betfair falling over themselves to advertise their own in-play options.

What they are keen to do is take advantage of emotionally charged and split second decisions bets as a game is in full swing, knowing that most punters won’t make a profit betting this way. On the contrary though as in our latest released issue – SBC 59 we reported back on the first football tipster taking on these live in-play bookies and making a profit doing so.

This particular tipster has set-up a really easy to use way of following his live bets, with a betting window during a game where you get text and audio alerts as soon as he puts up a bet. From his first 111 live bets he has made a 24.41 pt profit, which equates to a 17.19% profit on turnover (For every £100 staked, you make a profit of £17.19).

We only foresee more tipsters doing this in future as well, taking advantage of the fact the bookie has to make rash decisions on odds, where sometimes a shrewd gambler can find value bets.

Find out more here…..
For those looking to take matters into their own hands, then Bettor Logic’s Form Lab Black is a highly recommended research tool for spotting useful in play positions.

Simple Soccer Stat’s Half time/ full time component can also yield some interesting results. For example:

Arsenal have been winning at half time in 67% of their away matches this season.
At home, Manchester United have been winning at half time in 15 of their home games so far and failed to win from this position just once.
Away from home, Chelsea have drawn 7 matches at half time and converted just two of these half time draws into full time wins.

Racing trades
Its not just football where you can bet as an event is in-play and one of the most popular sports for this is Horse Racing, where the odds change as the race unfolds.

With Horse Racing though the odds can swing even before the race starts with market moves for different horses meaning that combining pre-race and in-play trading on the right horses can be profitable if you know what you are doing.

One person who does know is Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman service, who has been making great returns via his racing trading approach, taking pre-race and in-play bets and lays to lock in guaranteed profit. What’s more he is now sharing his method for free on our members’ forum for the next 2 months.

To explain his method, just yesterday at 10.39 am he advised a £50 win bet on Dashwood in the 9.15 at Kempton at 11/2. Then at 8.04pm, Dashwood had shrunk in price (as Scott foresaw) and he advised a £105 lay at the current odds of 3.1 with Betfair.

This left a guaranteed profit regardless of whether Dashwood won or lost. A win for the horse would have meant a profit of £54.50, but if it lost we would be £55 up (before commission). As it turned out Dashwood won quite easily as 7/4 favourite and £54.50 was our total profit on the race.

On some occasions, Scott will also recommend an in-play lay as well to help try and firm up other profits, but on this occasion the profits were locked in before the race started.

The reason I am sharing this is that we have agreed an exclusive deal with Scott for him to list all his racing trades up on our Secret Betting Club member’s forum for FREE until June this year. The idea being to allow all SBC members to familiarise themselves with his profitable trading method as an added bonus from us all!

Scott will also be detailing in full his racing trading strategy in an exclusive article to be released in SBC 60, out at the end of April.

If you want to sample this, sign up for instant membership by visiting Secret Betting Club

Until next week…
Mike Bishop

The Latest Tipsters, Systems & Strategies Revealed

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money betting including…

The ‘Marmite’ horse racing tipping & information service that has returned £37.80 for every £100 staked since it launched. Some love it, some hate it, so this months in depth review is a must read.
Our final word on the All By The Book racing system. Does it make a profit? And if so, what are the real risks with this system? Read the truth about it through our independent review.
The latest stats on our free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ basic system that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. Winners this month included Al Feroz at 25/1, Alarazi at 14/1 and Junior at 7/1 amongst others.
Ever hit a losing run and given up just before things recover? Our guide to betting returns helps put winning and losing runs into perspective.

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.

We enjoyed a bumper return last weekend with all 3 Main bets winning to really boost the seasonal figures as we enter the last month or so of action. There are only 6 games to choose from in the Premier League this weekend with the FA Cup Semi-Finals at Wembley and there isn’t a huge amount of value out there as far as I can see. I have just one Main and one Shortlist bet for this weekend as so many of the teams playing are inconsistent, injury-prone or just priced up pretty well by the bookmakers.

My one main bet is down at the Emirates this Sunday where Arsenal host Liverpool in game likely to be over-shadowed by the Bolton – Stoke City fixture the same day (not a statement I often expect to write). I think the bookies have under-estimated the chances of goals here and the 1.95 on over 2.5 goals looks to be a shade too big judging by the evidence (Even the next best odds of 1.91 still look far too big). We all know that Arsenal haven’t been firing of late but they have still seen 42 goals in their 15 home games and gone past the overs mark 56% of the time. We also have similar stats for Liverpool and looking at the relatively soft defence for both sides I think we should see goals. Whether its Lehmann or Almunia in nets for the Gunners, Suarez, Carroll et al will test them a lot more than Blackpool did, whilst Liverpool at the back have injuries and are missing a number of key defenders. Kenny Dalglish has not been able to settle on a winning away formula for his new charges and defeats away at WBA and West Ham lately reflect that.

My only shortlist bet is again in the over 2.5 goals market and features a favoured team of mine for this bet – West Ham who are far from convincing defensively as they have proven in recent weeks. The bookies are slowly cottoning on but still odds of 1.86 on over 2.5 goals in their home game against Villa looks too high for me. Both these teams have seen over 3 goals on average per game home and away respectively and I make the chance of this bet greater than then 53.7% chance that odds of 1.86 implies.

Main Bets
1 pt over 2.5 goals. Arsenal V Liverpool. 1.95 Betsson. Next best 1.91 Pinnacle/Canbet/188bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt over 2.5 goals. West Ham V Aston Villa. 1.86 Pinnacle/12Bet

All odds correct at time of release on SBC Blog

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

3. A Sporting Chance

Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!

Every week in the Premier League darts Stan James ask the question “who will score the highest three dart average of the eight players on the night?”. You don’t often see Phil Taylor priced at evens in any market and my first consideration was: is he of value in this particular market? It seemed a reasonable price given that Taylor, on his game can average scores none of the other players can live with. Over the last three league seasons and the first ten weeks of this years competition Taylor has came out on top in the market on 27 occasions from 52. A very, very slight advantage in taking the evens on offer. I then decided to have a look at the rest of the players and their true odds and here’s what I found.

Who Has Hit The Highest Weekly 3 dart average in the Premier League seasons 2008-2011

Phil Taylor 27 weeks from 52 weeks played
James Wade 7 weeks from 52 weeks played
Adrian Lewis 6 weeks from 38 weeks played
Raymond van Barneveld 4 weeks from 52 weeks played
Simon Whitlock 2 weeks from 24 weeks played
Gary Anderson 1 week from 10 weeks played
Mark Webster 1 week from 10 weeks played
Terry Jenkins 1 week from 52 weeks played

Taking those figures I then looked at the Stan James prices on offer for Week 10’s round of games played last night and calculated the true odds from the percentages players have won the market each week.

Phil Taylor: Stan James price evens, true odds evens
James Wade: Stan James price 16-1, true odds 13-2
Adrian Lewis: Stan James price 7-1, true odds 11-2
Raymond van Barneveld: Stan James price 7-1, true odds 11-1
Simon Whitlock: Stan James price 7-1, true odds 11-1
Gary Anderson: Stan James price 6-1, true odds 9-1
Mark Webster: Stan James price 16-1, true odds 9-1
Terry Jenkins: Stan James price 16-1 , true odds 50-1

In summation James Wade is hugely overpriced at 16-1 although he hasn’t came out on top in this market since the 2010 League. League debutants Webster and Anderson offer less matches for study having played in only ten apiece and although Webster’s true odds offer value, his confidence has rapidly diminished as he sits bottom of the table. Adrian Lewis is inconsistent but offers a little value. Those to ignore in this market include Anderson, Whitlock, van Barneveld and Terry Jenkins with the latter’s stats being woeful.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro, Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: Secret Betting Club

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Here are my thoughts on a number of weekend matches. They put the selected games into perspective and show how the Winabobatoo ratings offer guidance on where the potential profits are. If you have thoughts, views and opinions on football, the ratings will help guide you away from potential losing bets and point you in the direction of the profitable ones.

Full members have received 77 magazines this season, giving match ratings details for 2153 games in all leagues down to the Conference and SPL.

Everton v Blackburn 1.75

All the ratings significantly favour Everton. Blackburn are in the bottom three on the Winabob ratings.
Everton have been a bit vulnerable in front of goal this season but they’ve scored 26 in 16 home games.

Blackburn have let in 38 in 16 away games. There have been 90 home teams in the Premiership this season that have had a positive value rating. Everton are +9. Those 90 games show:

Bets: 90, Win 49 (54%), Returns 107.48, Profit +17.48, ROI +19.42%. Positive home value ratings in the Premiership are a good place to be.

Here’s an amazing stat for you…backing the draw in those 90 games has returned:
Bets: 90, Draws 29 (32%), Returns 105.29, Profit +15.29, ROI +16.99%.

I’m not particularly a fan of backing the draw but on this evidence my preferred bet would be to have 2 ½ points on a home win, and one point on the draw (3.75). As long as Blackburn don’t win, you’ll make a profit.

Exeter v Leyton Orient 2.50

Leyton Orient had a good run not too long ago. They went a while unbeaten. The ratings weren’t very impressed with their form and they don’t look anything better than average. I don’t think there’s much to chose between these two teams. Exeter are in better form though and the Short-Form rating favours them too. We’d need Exeter to win 40% of the time to break even. I’d put their chance a bit higher than that – probably around 45%, which would mean 10% profit. Exeter is a bet for me.

Fleetwood v Altrincham 1.50

Fleetwood are in the last play-off place at the moment and Altrincham are two points away from getting out of a relegation spot. This could be a bit of a dog-fight and resemble a Cup Tie. Altrincham have lost 14 out of 21 on their travels whilst Fleetwood have won 10 out of 21 at home.

Fleetwood are too vulnerable for me to think 1.50 is a value price. They lost at home to lowly Eastbourne. They’ve drawn against Histon too and those clubs are filling the bottom two spots in the division. This is definitely not one for me.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European/Asian – Volvo China Open
PGA – The Heritage Harbour Town
Champions – Liberty Mutuals Legends
LPGA – Tres Marias Championship

The European Tour continues its worldly travels next week pitching up in China, but sadly it is yet another new course for the tour. It never ceases to amaze me where all the money comes from for these new courses in China – they are huge complexes with millions of pounds spent on them, all hoping they will draw in the “golf tourist dollar” in the future but it really doesn’t help those of us who bet on these events! Many of the big players will have been paid a small fortune to turn up – it doesn’t necessarily follow that they will play well.

On the other hand the PGA turns up for yet another year at Harbour Town – a unique course which benefit’s the shorter more accurate player on tour rather than the bombers for a change. Course form does seem to be important, although Cink (2000) Coceres (2001) and Lonard (2005) all won on their debuts and Baddeley (2006) had missed the cut on his only other visit. Yet, to counter these, last year’s winner Furyk had twice been second, Weekley won back to back, Cink has won twice and Davis Love III no less than five times – it does seem to be one of those courses that once you have mastered it then you could well do again. Personally, I think the key to finding the winner at Harbour Town is to find a player who has been in great form so far this year, as virtually all winners had at least a couple of top ten finishes already that season.

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

6. Testing The Fink Tank

Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

Last week was a pretty good performance last week with some great value on offer to return 5.05 points profit.

This weeks bets:

Things don’t look so easy this week. Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game. The West Brom Chelsea game is a Chelsea/ West Brom (12) Double Chance, the same as laying the draw

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

7. The Friday Freebie

It seems that Mr WILLIAM HILL is on a mission. A mission to give us as many risk free opportunities as we can shake a rather large stick at. OK these are not free sports bets as we saw last year but they are risk free offers on the casino / games and bingo areas of their site. In fact these are proving even more profitable than the football ones from last season!

In our opinion this is everything an offer should be, quick, easy to do and a risk free shot at netting some profit, in some cases some rather big profits.

Don’t believe us, well take a look at some winning screenshots from some of the recent deals, which we regularly feature on our TWITTER page (@bet72), just click below. You can get a full list of the current offers there too…
http://bet72.com/latest-free-bets/william-hill-risk-free-offers/

These were all risk free offers i.e. stake £5 or £10, if you lose get the stake back, if you win you keep it all, perfect!

So in an attempt give everyone the chance to have a few winning screenshots of their own, we will be publishing as many of the offers that come to light. Some are invitation only and some are open to all but like we always say, you have to be in it to win it !

So if you have an account already then you are all set for some risk free action. If not, then you can bag a free £25 sign up bet too. Of course we have it all covered in Oddsmatcher so finding a match to lock in more risk free profits could not be easier. Then you too can join in all the risk free gaming fun!
Just click below to get started…..

WILLIAM HILL

And please feel free to send us your winning screenshots, we will be more than happy to share the love and feature them on the site and we will keep posting ours up too.

UPDATE: Just nabbed another free tenner for this weekend on the LIVE casino, the weekend has started early for me!

Have a profitable weekend

Kind regards

Darren Hall – www.bet72.com – No Risk. No Catch. Just Good Maths.

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Tags: SBC, Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Trading, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

April 1, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

It’s the first day of the month and this means but one thing – our latest SBC Issue has just been released, which is now up to #59 – just 1 month short of our 5 year anniversary!

When we sit down each month at our Issue planning meetings, the goal is to always make each new one better than the last and I definitely think we have succeeded this month with a bumper crop of articles and reviews.

Free Tennis & Football Advice

One of our feature tipster reviews this month focused on an excellent looking free service that we have been monitoring since 2010. I would really recommend those of you keen on all things free betting wise (who isn’t!) to check this site out while it remains so readily available.

The standard of profit from this tipster would put a lot of paid for services to shame, as they have picked up 209 pts profit from just 873 pts staked over 353 bets in total since June 2010. This makes their profit on turnover a fantastic 23.94%, which means that for every £100 you stake, you win £123.94 back including stake.

What’s more the guy who runs the site has a background in high-level finance and so really knows how to maximise your staking on his bets. His easy to follow percentage based staking suggestion would have grown your own starting bank a whopping 602% since June last year when he started!

These figures are naturally great but there are some concerns about the service, which we directly explore in our exclusive review (no-one has reported back on this tipster). These concerns are not enough to stop you profiting from their advice but it’s well worth understanding how best to follow this service. Full details are in our review in Issue 59.

Horses To Follow Lists

You may recall in this column before Cheltenham I highlighted the article we had just published for members on the top jockeys to follow (and also to avoid) at both that festival and in racing in general.

Well to expand on this theme, this month we publish a superb guest article from regular SBC contributor – ‘Piecost’ on how he has fared following 3 different ‘Horses to Follow’ lists over the past NH season.
Piecost has been regularly sharing his progress on our forum over the NH racing months and the final figures indicate he has hit upon a fantastic source of profits!

To explain briefly, horses to follow products are basically lists of up and coming horses to keep an eye on from the start of the racing season. The 3 lists Piecost tracked this season ranged in price from £7.99 to £35 and he followed the highlighted horses from all 3 to £1 level stakes throughout the season.

The end result?

He ended up backing 265 horses over the course of the season and made a profit of 64.38 pts.

Not bad for an outlay of £67.99 for the 3 lists and at a simple £20 stakes, that’s a clear profit of £1219.61.

You can read more about Piecost and his horses to follow research in Issue 59, which you can pick up instantly as soon as you join us at the Secret Betting Club.

The cost of joining us equates to just 19p a day and with our full money back guarantee if not satisfied, you can join us with full confidence that if you find us not to your taste – you won’t lose out
(Although we only offer this is we are very confident you will enjoy our service!)

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

The Latest Tipsters, Systems & Strategies Revealed

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money betting including…

The ‘Marmite’ horse racing tipping & information service that has returned £37.80 for every £100 staked since it launched. Some love it, some hate it, so this months in depth review is a must read.
Our final word on the All By The Book racing system. Does it make a profit? And if so, what are the real risks with this system? Read the truth about it through our independent review.
The latest stats on our free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ basic system that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. Winners this month included Al Feroz at 25/1, Alarazi at 14/1 and Junior at 7/1 amongst others.
Ever hit a losing run and given up just before things recover? Our guide to betting returns helps put winning and losing runs into perspective.

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Finally back with Premier League action after the inescapably dull International friendlies in midweek, where for once I find myself agreeing with Sir Alex that they should be scrapped all together. If I was a bookie I would love these games as they are so hard to call and uncompetitive yet high profile – perfect for helping build that bookmaker pension fund.

Thankfully though, there seems to be a whole host of good value bets on offer this weekend, starting down at Upton Park where I think the 1.92 about 3 or more goals looks to worth an interest. West Ham’s home games for the past 2 seasons have gone overs roughly 62% of the time, whilst United away have seen overs in 73% this season (47% last). I am far from convinced about the Hammers defence and I fear they will struggle to cope with the attacking thrust down the flanks with Antonio Valencia back fit to join Nani out wide. Odds of 1.92 suggest the chance of overs is 52%, whereas I make it closer to 60%.

Wigan have a reputation for 2 things – eating pies and low scoring games but yet they are 11th in the table for goals scored and conceded this season and in their home games against the top 4 have let in 14 and scored only 2 (no idea where they stand in the pie consumption league table!). They face Spurs who themselves have seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of games away this year and I make the chances of over 2.5 goals around 55%, whereas the bookies have priced this up at 2.10 – a percentage chance of just 47.6%.

There is evidence to suggest that Stuart Holden was the most effective midfielder in the Premier League this season and Bolton are certainly going to miss him after his horror injury against Man Utd last time out. I have fancied the trotters all season long in a number of bets but I think they will have their work cut out without Holden away at Birmingham who I am backing with an 0 Asian Handicap at 1.83. Bolton have actually only won 2 away games all season, whereas Birmingham have lost only 4 in total at home. I make the home win % chance considerably higher than the away win % chance, so with a draw returning our money and decent odds, some value here.

The bookies have cottoned on to the fact that Blackpool’s games will always feature lots of goals under Holloway and as such there is next to no value in the over markets these days. Games involving the Tangerines have seen 105 goals this season, compared to just the 66 involving Fulham, who they travel to face this weekend. We should see a very contrasting game here with Fulham’s rigid 4-4-2 up against Blackpools 4-3-3 deriative and I fancy the away team with a +1 Asian Handicap at 2.04. Fulham have won just 3 out of 11 games at home by more than 1 goal, whereas Blackpool despite their gung-ho approach have lost just 3 out of 13 by more than 1 goal against non top 5 sides.

Main Bets
1 pt over 2.5 goals. West Ham V Man Utd 1.92* Ladbrokes
1 pt Birmingham +0 Asian Handicap V Bolton. 1.83 Pinnacle
1 pt over 2.5 goals. Wigan V Spurs. 2.10 Paddy Power/Stan James
1 pt Blackpool +1 Asian Handicap V Fulham. 2.04 Canbet/SBObet/12bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt over 2.5 goals. Newcastle V Wolves. 1.96 Pinnacle/12bet

*All odds correct at time of release on SBC Blog

3. A Sporting Chance

I generally price up the weekend football matches on a Thursday after the midweek games are done and dusted. It would be highly unusual for me to find more than three matches in the whole UK card where the prices look askew in the match market odds. That’s why I mostly operate in subsidiary markets as the layers offer poor lines in comparison with true odds. There is the option of Asian handicap’s which can offer more value but I would only take this route if I fancied the underdog to do well. It can be most frustrating when needing a favourite at home to win -2 when they have obviously given up on scoring more goals when sitting 2-0 up with 15 minutes to go and a big midweek European match lying in wait. The subsidiary markets are where the value lies.

A quick look at ten years of previous years of results tells me where I have been profitable and unprofitable over the years. I take out all the unprofitable markets over that period of time when looking at the weekends matches. That leaves me primarily with the following markets which have been winning ones over the years: goals lines, corners lines and bookings lines.

Lets have a quick perusal individually at a few of those specific markets with the weekends matches in mind.

Over 2.5 goals has been a clarion call for Blackpool with their gung-ho spirit in the Premier League. Unfortunately they play Fulham at the weekend and the London side tend to keep things tight. Manchester United over the years have been good for goals but the price is often very short on over 2.5 with the expectation of the layers that they can record a comfortable success. Upton Park has been good for goals but will the price be worthwhile? Of interest this weekend is the fact that there has been a goal in the last 15 minutes of Wigan’s home matches in five of the last seven. On Saturday they face Spurs and in nine of their last eleven away matches there has been a goal from 75 to 90 minutes. Around the evens mark a goal in the last 20 minutes could be a shrewd investment.

Under 2.5 goals is always worth a secondary look when Stoke are at home. With Chelsea being away to the “Potters” the layers might over estimate the chances of goals and a check on the price for under 2.5 goals is suggested.

With regards to corners totals Aston Villa are the Premier League corners kings and any match they participate the corners line must be looked at. This Saturday they are away to Everton who are averaging 7.08 corners per match at home, the total corners market should go on the shortlist awaiting layers prices. Manchester City over the past few years have proved fruitful to follow to gain most corners at home. To obtain a working man’s price though you have to look at playing them on a handicap and they have only covered -2 in 4 from 11 home matches this term.

For low card counts head for Fulham. 73% of their home matches have gone under 3.5 cards this season and in Blackpool’s away matches 75% of their games have went under 3.5 cards.

If your old school and still punting only on match odds markets it may be time to re-educate yourself in the stats based subsidiary markets to reach the top of the betting class.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: Secret Betting Club

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Away teams priced 2.75 and above are a proven profit area for the Winabobatoo ratings. The games flagged by the Winabobatoo Betting Systems for away teams in this price group this season have made a profit of +41.65 points to one point level stakes bets, which is 12.32% ROI.

This weekend Colchester fit the bill to win at Sheff Wed and look worth a wager at 3.50, currently available with Victor Chandler and Unibet. The Winabob members took the 3.75 that was available on Thursday. I wouldn’t advise that you take less than 3.50 but hopefully this price will still be available by the time you read this.

Good luck to everyone,

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

PGA Tour – US Masters
Only the one event on next week and it’s the first Major of the year – the Masters from Augusta National. With Majors I tend to bet differently and build up a portfolio of bets leading up to the event, although betting antepost on golf can be fraught with danger with potential loss of form or injury, but sometimes the price makes it worthwhile. The Masters is quite a good event to bet ante post in, as it has a limited field, most of whom have already gained entry. It’s played at the same venue at the same time each year so it’s not such a lottery! The bets I have listed below are those which I have struck over the last four months with prices at the time – better prices were also taken on the exchanges and some of the prices are still fairly similar. It might encourage you to build a portfolio, if nothing else, for the rest of the Majors this season and beyond. There is every chance I will add a few more bets so keep an eye on the blog.

20th December – Matt Kuchar 80/1 e/w
What I couldn’t understand was why the man who won the money list in 2010 was 80/1? Matt Kuchar really has been incredibly consistent for a long time – ever since he hit form in October last year when he won at Atunyote. His Major record isn’t exceptional but isn’t that bad – last year his finishes read 24/6/27/10 and 2010 was the first time he had played the Masters since 2002 when he missed the cut. He played Augusta twice as an amateur making the cut both times and in 1998 he was low amateur. Last year’s 24th place finish was achieved in difficult circumstances as he played the first two rounds with Tiger on his return to competition. He says he feels at home at Augusta as he went to Georgia Tech. He has maintained his strong form all year and is now generally a 33/1 shot. Expect a strong performance.

25th February Ryan Moore 125/1 e/w
Moore played Augusta twice as an amateur – in 2003 he made the cut and then in 2005 he finished 13th and was impressively first in the all round stats for the week! Last year he played for the first time in five years and was the best putter all week, closing with his best round at Augusta of 68 to finish 14th. I think with that experience under his belt and a clear affinity for the place, he will go well this year.

March 10th YE Yang 100/1 e/w
Yang is in much the same form he was in before he won the US PGA Championship in 2009 and is a player who is constantly underrated by the bookmakers – I have won more money on him than any other golfer. He has a solid Masters record and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he could build on last year’s 8th place finish.

March 30th Trevor Immelman 125/1 e/w
I have had an eye on Immelman for the last few months after his coach said he had never seen him swinging the club so well, but I did wait to see him showing that on the golf course before biting the bullet. Since his win in 2008 he has finished 20th and 14th to add to his 5th in 2005, so is clearly very much at home at Augusta.

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

6. Testing The Fink Tank

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

7. The Friday Freebie

Let’s get everyone off to an instantly profitable start to the new month!

Anyone following us on TWITTER (@bet72 by the way) will have seen recently we have been pulling profits from a number of unlikely sources. Perhaps one of the most unlikely source (and fast becoming a steady drip feed for bet72ers) is the pools company, VERNONS

In its heyday “The Pools” was played by over 10 million people, making fortune for winners as families huddled around their radio or TV every Saturday teatime to find out if they had the magic 8 score draws. Well now they have relaunched themselves into the 21st century and are falling over themselves with free offers, we have had 3 this week alone (that has been over £40 in profit for literally a few minutes clicking), and made money from them all on low risk games or equally could be used as a risk free punt towards some even bigger prizes.

So if you want a steady stream of free low risk offers then do get signed up.

Initially you get a free £20 bonus once you have deposited and wagered the first £20. This can be wagered on any of their games, blackjack, roulette, deal or no deal and even top trumps (yes you can play that online now too!). Just email info@bet72.com if you want any strategies ideas for any of the games on the site.

After that you will get a £20 bonus, £10 to be used on £10 on lottery / football pools section of the site and the other on ANY of their games.

With one tenner you can play any game in the Lottery / Pools / Bingo see this as a free little bonus punt, you never know, and few bet72ers have had a few tasty wins already, so it could be you (as they say!).
With the other £10 bonus you can go back and play on any game in the Instant Win section so again all the usual low risk suspects can be used and you just need to turn it over once to withdraw.

Then withdraw your profits and your £10 punt on lotto / pools will still be intact, brilliant. Then watch you inboxes for more of the same on a regular basis (and of course feel free to email if you want any advice on playing the future offers for profit too).

Here is the link to get started:

VERNONS

That’s all from me, have a profitable weeked.

Darren Hall – www.bet72.com – No Risk. No Catch. Just Good Maths.

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

March 5, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

From a technology perspective, it’s never been easier to be a punter. Most of us these days are aware that we no longer have to head down to the high street bookmakers in the bookies in the rain to place our bets. We can do all our betting from the comfort of our PC. Log-on, click a few buttons and voila – our bets are on!

The only downside of this (if you can call it that) is the need to be behind a computer. This is not always practical for many reasons, perhaps the wife wants to take you shopping or you have to surreptitiously bet at work when the boss isn’t looking.

Well if that’s the case for you, help is at hand thanks to the technology out there now to help you bet from phone to PC. With the right smart-phone, some easy to use software and a bit of guidance, it’s never been easier to use your phone (or iPad) to remotely access your PC at home and use that to place your bets. When doing this you are can effectively use all aspects of your PC, simply via your phone’s screen.

There are big advantages to this, as very often your PC can access websites in full rather than a stripped down phone version as well as being a lot more powerful overall. Odds comparison sites like www.oddsportal.com or www.bestbetting.com are so much easier to access via your PC, helping you to spot the best odds quicker.

Our Tech Expert Explains How

That is why in this month’s latest issue of the Secret Betting Club, we had our tech expert write a full explanation of all you need to bet from phone to PC. This includes explaining some of the tech jargon (there isn’t much to learn here) and a look at the best mobile phones currently on the market to use. He also detailed the £18 software called Logmein needed to help you connect your phone to your PC and how easy it is to use.

If you want to bet on the move, this article is a must-read and if will also help you if you are simply keen to find out the best phone for directly betting with. There is so much choice these days on whether to choose an iPhone, Android or Windows 7 mobile phone and he shares the pro’s and con’s on all the different options available.

You can pick this article up in SBC 58 as soon as you join us via Secret Betting Club

Until next week…
Mike Bishop

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

2. Mike’s Football Bets

My football betting this weekend starts over at the Reebok where Bolton host Villa in a game where I feel the over 2.5 goals line is offering value. Bolton’s home games have seen an average of 3 goals scored, whilst Villa’s similar away record is 3.14 goals so the odds of 2.03 on offer for over 2.5 goals is worth a pop. Villa are also going to be missing Cuellar and James Collins, 2 very important defenders although with the likes of Bent, Young and Albrighton will retain a real cutting edge up front.

I’m going for the same goals outlook when Wolves host Spurs on Sunday as both these teams have seen the overs mark hit in respective home and away games 64% and 57% of times. With 2.10 on over 2.5 goals, the bookies think this a 47.6% chance, where I make it around 55% so big value by my calculations. Spurs also have most of their creative hub back with Modric & Van Der Vaart fit and I can’t see Wolves defence keeping a clean sheet.

My last main bet features Man City against a Wigan team who ship goals against the very best teams as in their 7 games against the top 5 this season they have scored 2, yet conceded 19! It was a similar pattern last year and they will really struggle with the pace and movement of Tevez, Dzeko, Ballotelli and Silva if fit. You can get 1.90 on Man City to overcome a -1.25 Asian Handicap and I don’t think Wigan’s defence will be able to prevent a comfortable home win here.

A few shortlist bets to speak of, firstly over at Anfield as Liverpool host Man Utd. United have won only 4 times away this season, whereas Liverpool have lost just twice at home before Dalglish took over. The loss of Vidic and Ferdinand cannot be understated either as these two are a quiet superb central defensive pairing and I am taking Liverpool to overcome a 0 Asian Handicap. Close to being a main bet.

I was undone for a profit last weekend thanks to Carlos Vela’s offside equaliser against Stoke on Monday night although undeterred I am taking on West Brom once again as on Saturday they have a tough fixture away at Birmingham. As Arsenal found out to their cost, Alex McLeish’s men are not to be under-estimated and the -0.25 AH at 2.08 offers a shade of shortlist value.
Finally I want to take on Blackburn’s defence on the road with an over 2.5 goal line involving their trip to Fulham. 79% of all their away games have gone overs and they will miss captain Ryan Nelson this weekend. It’s a shortlist bet as Fulham are not the most adventurous team so does depend on how Mark Hughes approaches the game.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Bolton V Aston Villa. 2.03 188bet
1 pt Man City -1.25 Asian Handicap V Wigan. 1.90 Ladbrokes
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Wolves V Spurs. 2.10 Pinnacle/Paddy

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Fulham V Blackburn. 2.16 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Liverpool 0 Asian Handicap V Man Utd. 2.09 Pinnacle
1 pt Birmingham -0.25 Asian Handicap V West Brom. 2.08 Bet365/12Bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike

*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

3. A Sporting Chance

The Cheltenham festival is looming fast and I have advised two selections this week and below is the advice sent out to members. My only other advised account bet for the festival was Peddlers Cross back in August, to win the Champion Hurdle @ 20-1.

MEDERMIT each-way @ 4-1 for Arkle on 15th March, William Hill, Coral, Boylesports.

My initial impression with Medermit was that he would require more of a stamina test than the 2 miles on offer in the Arkle. He has also been a monkey refusing to play the game when heavy odds on at Huntingdon but in a bigger field at a sharper pace at Cheltenham, a track he loves, he will show his true colours. Alan King’s charge has a good turn of speed and likely ground of good to soft will be of no hindrance. Regarding the dangers I like Ghizao but don’t believe Finian’s Rainbow has offered enough to justify being the same odds as Medermit. Medermit’s last two performances in competitive novice chases represent a greater form line than anything Finian’s Rainbow has in the book. Ghizao is a very slick jumper and was particularly impressive in the Grade 2 November Novices Chase and represents a live danger. In summation Medermit took a while to get the hang of fences and indeed was obviously not in love with this new sphere initially but has got his act together and is Alan King’s best chance of a festival success.

ZARKANDAR each-way @ 7-1 for Triumph Hurdle on 18th March, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Coral, Paddy Power, Boylesports, Betfred.

I like the look of Grandouet for the Triumph Hurdle and may yet advise a bet on him, currently best odds of 6-1. Nicky Henderson has won the race for the last two consecutive years and Grandouet obviously holds serious claims. At the front end of the market I am unconvinced by Unaccompanied and I can’t have A Media Luz, even at double figures. Sam Winner has a more obvious chance to get in the frame at the same price. He gained valuable experience in France over the summer and illustrated that in November, powering home to beat Grandouet by 15 lengths in the Triumph Hurdle trial. His last run however in the Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle two months ago was a major disappointment and you would would need to forgive him that poor show. A stablemate from the Paul Nicholls yard is my selection – Zarkandar. He produced a great performance on Saturday in the Class 1, Grade 2 Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Newbury, the same race that produced last year’s winner Soldatino. Zarkandar travelled menacingly and showed an impressive turn of foot to take the lead at the two furlong pole and importantly with Cheltenham in mind, stoutly resisted Molatof’s challenge in tenacious style on the run-in. At the current odds he represents decent value as an each-way play.

I am offering a free trial to sample my trade bets on The Sportsman Racing site for the next few months. Join up at www.twitter.com/sportsmanracing. All three months have shown great profits with a return on investment of 24% since initiation and 252% return on investment to risk. All previous trades are viewable on twitter.

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

I found some nice priced winners in midweek including Carlisle’s win at Charlton (4.60) and Bury’s win at Shrewsbury (3.20). The Winabobatoo Betting Systems highlighted 11 winners from 17 selections. Let’s hope we can keep the good run going into the weekend.

There seem to be few stand-out bets as value seems a little thin on the ground. I’m going to side with a team that have been very hot lately, although they lost at York on Tuesday. They certainly weren’t outplayed in that game, and should be far too good for this weekend’s opponents.

Tip: Gateshead to win at Altrincham – available with Blue Square at 2.15, generally available at 2.00.

Special Offer:
Last chance to secure one of the 30 places available at Winabobatoo. Join now and get the rest of the season for just £20.
Once all 30 places are filled the offer will end.

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

WGC – Cadillac Championship Doral
PGA – Puerto Rico Open
Champions – Toshiba Classic
Euro Challenge – Abierto International Columbia

The next WGC event on the calendar takes place this coming week with the format returning to a 72 hole stroke play as opposed to match play and comes from the Doral course in Florida. This will be the fifth time the event takes place, although there had been a PGA tour event from Doral for many years. The four winners probably tell us to look at the favourites/Major winners when you consider they are Els, Mickelson, Ogilvy and Woods, although with the top Americans seemingly in the doldrums there could well be some value to be had slightly lower down the pecking order. Last year was quite interesting in that only one American actually broke into the top ten so it could also be interesting seeing how a top American market is priced up.

On the other hand, the three winners of the Puerto Rico Open – Derek Lamely, Michael Bradley and Greg Kraft are hardly what one would call household names! It is a bit difficult to give much of a clue as to what sort of player is likely to win, but the players all think that the Trump International course is very much like playing in Florida and the wind will definitely be a factor as it is situated on the coast.

6. Testing The Fink Tank

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

7. The Friday Freebie

Well it is not long now until the biggest sporting event of the year gets underway, no I don’t mean Reading in the FA Cup Quarter Finals against Man City (although that is big enough for me!). No the Cheltenham Festival 2011 and as always bet72.com will be right in the thick of the action bringing you all the news, views, tips and offers from Prestbury Park.

In fact the offers have started already, with Paddypower and Boylesports first to announce deals for Day One. So we have just added this year’s section to the site, with anything and everything you will need and these will increase daily the closer we get to the 15th (so the link below is well worth a bookmark).

http://bet72.com/cheltenham2011/

Away from the GeeGees it has been great to see March Madness kick in and we have had a sudden wave of bookmakers increasing (yes you did read it correctly), increasing their free bet offers. So now is a great time to jump onboard and earn yourself a few extra £’s (or €’s) ready for reinvestment in all those lovely Cheltenham deals!

My general advice at this time of year is to hold fire on any of the “big high street” name bookmakers who carry horse racing if you are planning on joining them, as hopefully this time next week our Cheltenham page will be overflowing with bigger sign up deals from all the big racing bookies ready for the 15th for these but we have some other notable improvers for March.

What a great way to start the month!

188Bet Free £50

Good Things Come In 3′s

Let’s All Bet At Home

Free £105, No Bull

Have a profitable weekend.

Darren Hall – bet72.com – No Risk. No Catch. Just Good Maths.

*************************************************************************************

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

February 25, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News, Secret Betting Club

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

As usual at this time of month, we are busy applying the finishing touches to our latest Secret Betting Club Issue, which will be released on Monday the 28th of Feb.

It’s already shaping up to be quite a bumper issue, with a whole host of guest articles, betting insight and independent reviews to keep you up-to-date with the world of professional betting.

Check out some of the highlights we have lined up for this month’s issue…

The inside line from Blue Square League tipster Skeeve on his 10 commandments about building your own betting niche. Find out how he went from complete novice to expert on the non-league betting scene and how you can repeat it for your own chosen niche.
Betting on the move – We reveal the best mobile phones for getting your bets on while out and about.
How to build a football ante post betting portfolio – Update on our expert’s bets so far this season.
Our review of the first greyhound database to hit the market – if you want to make money betting on the dogs, find out if this product is for you.
A fresh look at the 2 racing tipster services – one focusing on the All Weather and the other Flat, which have made excellent strides since May 2010. Affordable & easy to follow – they look two very useful tipsters in the making.
A full review of the Hudson Horses racing tipster service and the proofed returns made over the past year.
A first look at the racing tipster service that has made £2379 at £10 stakes from their first 2000 bets – all to Betfair SP.
An initial look at the football tipster advising bets only with Bet365 that has made very good progress since starting proofing to us in October 2010.
We reveal all you need to know on Proform Professional, quite possibly the best racing database and system builder available.
With Cheltenham around the corner, what better time to review the service from Festival ante post expert Paul Jones.

Tommo The Tipster

In this month’s Secret Betting Club issue we are also building up our recommended list of blog resources for our members to check out if interested in reading more about betting.

One such blog post caught my eye this week, in the form of this old chestnut from the High Class Equine site that re-visited the 2001 Observer article on Channel 4 racing presenter Derek Thompson (Tommo) and his tipping line. The article recalls how Tommo managed to tip loser after loser at short-prices on his premium line with 72 out of 89 tips losing during a period of testing without a hint of
shame.

Thankfully though the likes of Tommo are part of a dying breed of tipsters who don’t proof results with any transparency and the likes of which are a world apart from many of the professional services we recommend. This is because all our Secret Betting Club Hall of Fame tipsters are fully proofed with genuine results.

If keen to find out more on the best tipsters, consider a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Free Paul Jones Cheltenham Preview

Make sure as well that you read the free Cheltenham race preview that racing expert Paul Jones has kindly made available to all our readers. You can find a short excerpt below on his take on the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle with the full article available on our blog.

FRED WINTER JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE (GRADE 3)

Although the ‘Fred Winter’ is developing a number of very strong patterns so early in its existence (remarkably I’ve found as many as 12 worthy of being listed in the Trends Summary), I am aware that this may come across as a blatantly obvious statement but, trying to finding the handicap blot is key here and, boy, was there one last season as Sanctuaire left his rivals stone motherless dead. Paul Nicholls knew it beforehand. All he would say when discussing the race at the Sandown Preview Evening was: “He’ll win” and not a word more. French-bred hurdlers have really come to the fore in this race but take note of the top-rated horses from the Flat too as they have won or finished second in three of the six runnings. No new trends to add this season, only a strengthening of existing ones which is what I like for winner-finding purposes and Sanctuaire ticked virtually every main box 12 months ago hitting the crucial ones square on the head.

Read the rest of the article at the SBC Blog.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Back this week with an almost full Premier League card with 8 games over the course of the weekend to work with and I have 4 Main bets that have caught my eye.

Starting up at the Britannia Stadium, I am keen on Stoke to have too much for West Brom, especially considering the 2.00 price that Hills are offering. The Potters this season have been very strong at home, winning 54% of games and they certainly will target this type of match for all 3 points. West Brom on the other hand have been very dodgy at the back in recent months and will struggle against Stoke’s aerial bombardment. They have lost 69% of away games this year and despite the arrival of Roy Hodgson, it will take some time for him to get them better organized on the road. Odds of 2.00 suggest Stoke have a 50% chance of victory, and I make it more like 55% so a bit of value here.

Talking of Roy Hodgson, his former charges Fulham continue to prosper from the work he did on making them extremely hard to beat away from home. This is backed up by the stats as they have gone under 2.5 goals in 69% of games on the road this year with a clear policy of going for the 0-0 draw in matches against the top teams. Ladbrokes are kind enough to offer 1.97 on the under 2.5 goals market, which is a 50.7% chance, whereas I again make this more of a 1.85 to 1.90 shot so value here. As an added incentive, Mark Hughes will be even more keen for Fulham to give nothing away as he returns to Man City for the first time since being fired.

The transformation of Liverpool under Kenny Dalglish has been very impressive and bookies have been quick to note how tight matches involving his charges now are, as judged by the measly 1.75 on under 2.5 goals in their game away at West Ham. My interest involves backing Liverpool to overcome a -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.93 as the Hammers under Avram Grant remain very poor and they have lost at home against all the top teams this season. This bet gives us some cover in case of a draw and I can see a well organized Liverpool with Steven Gerrard likely to be back causing lots of problems.

One final bet on goals in the game featuring Villa and Blackburn as the away team have been very leaky on the road, going over 2.5 goals in 77% of games. Villa have improved offensively as well with Darren Bent leading the line and look a lot more threatening up front these days at home so the 1.96 on over 2.5 goals looks a good investment. I make the true odds on this market again lower than 1.90 so some value here.

Main Bets
1 pt Stoke to beat West Brom. 2.00 William Hill
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man City V Fulham. 1.97 Ladbrokes
1 pt Liverpool -0.25 Asian Handicap V West Ham. 1.93 Pinnacle/Canbet/SBOBet/188Bet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa V Blackburn. 1.96 188bet

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

3. A Sporting Chance

Away from the razzmatazz of the Premier League darts live on Sky every week the darting world proceeds quietly most weekends with the bread and butter PDC Pro Tour non-televised events in Players Championships and UK Open events. They are not tournaments for major punts as all the matches are a race to six legs, the equivalent of a bullet race in horse racing, but there are a few players worth following who can get you into the black in 2011.

The conditions are very different for the floor events with only a few hundred guests allowed entry but it brings out the best in some lower ranked players away from the television lights. I have taken a look back over the last two years (2009 & 2010) which incorporates 84 Players Championship and UK Open events. The theme was to look at competitors at bigger odds, to gauge statistically by the amount of tournaments won, if they offer any value.

Mark Walsh has won seven events from the eighty-four contested which is approximately one in twelve, therefore you would expect him to be around the 12-1 mark. On most occasions his odds will be signifcantly higher than 12-1, and indeed he is currently 33-1 for this weekends events. The 2nd best winning record for the longer priced players belongs to both Wes Newton and Jamie Caven. Newton has won 4 events from 84 and odds of around 22-1 would be a fair price. He is 28-1 for these tournaments presently. It’s noticeable three from four Newton wins came in 2010 telling of a much improved player. Jamie Caven has also lifted four floor tournaments and already pocketed one of the four events played in 2011. Caven is 28s this weekend. Veteran of the oche Dennis Priestley has taken honours in three events and though he will be cutting back on the circuit this season, he is worth a bet when playing on the floor and is rated a huge 80-1 shot these days.

By following proven winners Walsh, Newton and Caven blindly to level stakes in the floor events this year you should come out in front. In 2009 they mopped up seven events between them and last year’s cumulative haul was eight.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: Secret Betting Club

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

I have a members’ forum at Winabobatoo. Three of my members very kindly post their weekly bets and share their analysis with other members. Surprisingly, I have a very disproportionate number of West Brom fans at Winabobatoo. There is some nice banter between them as to how the Baggies are likely to do. Early season hopes of making Europe have diminished into a Premiership race for survival. Not wishing to upset them, but I think it is time to oppose West Brom this weekend!

Tip: Stoke to beat West Brom at 1.95 – available with Hills, Victor Chandler, bwin, and Unibet. 1.97 is available with 32Red.

Special Offer:
Have you registered for your FREE weekly copy of the Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine? Please visit my website now as there is a special offer coming up that I don’t think you will want to miss!

The prices I quote in Winabobatoo betting returns are only from prices available with Coral, Hills, Totesport, Victor Chandler and Bet365. If you can get bigger prices elsewhere, then that is a bonus and extra profit over and above what I show.

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

PGA Tour – Honda Classic
Nationwide Tour – Bogota Open

A quiet week next week with only the two events to bet on – maybe some of the odds compilers with time on their hands will have a crack at the Nationwide Tour as they won’t have much else to do!!
The Honda Classic returns to the PGA National course and to be honest it is difficult to see much of a pattern in the four winners there have been so far. I guess one thing you could say is that non-Americans have somewhat dominated, filling lots of the places and providing the last three winners in Villegas, Yang and Els. The course is one of the toughest they play all year and the first three winners posted winning scores of -5, -6 and -9 whilst Villegas won by five last year with -13. The key to playing well at the PGA National is to be on top of all facets of your game and be able to play in the wind as that usually blows.

Oddly enough, last years winner Villegas was just as interested in what was going on in the Nationwide Tour event with his brother Manny playing in the Bogota Open in back home in Columbia. Looking at the state of Camilos’ game at the moment I would guess that his brother has the greater chance of victory next week!

Hopefully over the next few days I will come up with a bit more inspiration so don’t forget to check the blog.

6. Testing The Fink Tank

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

Click here for the weekend’s qualifiers.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

February 11, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

John Terry has had a week to forget. First of all his Chelsea team are beaten at home by arch-rivals Liverpool, then he sees every man and his dog (and Gareth Barry) get the England captains armband before him in the midweek friendly in Denmark….and all of this after quitting gambling this week due to huge losses.

It was reported in renowned factual tome The Sun on Tuesday that JT had decided to stop gambling totally after racking up huge losses by betting on anything that moves. This is probably a wise move for him as not everyone is cut out to make money betting, especially if you have more money than sense.

If however, he ever wanted to get involved betting again he could do a lot worse than using some of the free resources, tipsters & strategies that we have compiled at the Secret Betting Club. Everyone loves something for free, so let me reveal just a few of the ones we track here at SBC…

The Best Free Tipsters, Systems & Strategies

We keep a full list of all the best free tipsters, systems & strategies for you to use, especially if you are working to a budget. Many of these we report back on regularly to keep all of our Secret Betting Club members up to date as to the best value options out there.

Some of the best free tipster services we have reviewed recently include:

• Sportyy – Free Football & Tennis Tipster

This Spanish based tipster has been providing free tips since June 2010 and has a great record so far. Sportyy is proving to be very popular with SBC members after our first review in November 2010.

• Daqman – Free Betting Exchange Racing Tipster

Provides free daily racing tips to be followed on the betting exchange and the main win bets supplied are up £700 to simple stakes since July 2010. Full results update in our January 2011 SBC issue.

• Packed Pockets – Free Racing Tips

This free racing tipster had a fantastic 2010, pocketing over 200 pts profit from only 193 bets supplied and is a firm favourite. Regular updates in SBC issues.

SBC Members Free Advice

Alongside reviews of external tipsters, we also have many different strategies and systems that we provide via the Secret Betting Club. Some are free systems updated each day on our forum, other systems or strategies available to download from our website. We also regularly feature expert articles and forum advice from some of our professional gambler contributors on some of the methods they employ.

Recent free highlights include…

• Piecost–Horse Racing Handicap System

SBC member ‘Piecost’ has been sharing the selections from his UK horse racing handicap system on our members’ forum since March 2010. He has averaged over 21 pts profit each month and it’s proving to be extremely popular as you can imagine!

• The 4 Pronged Attack System

This is a very profitable racing system that takes a simple 4 pronged strategy for picking out bets in the big feature races and is available to download to all SBC members. Very straightforward to follow, it had an excellent 2010.

• On Course For Profit: Golf Betting

Make use of free statistics from various sources in combination with tips from experts to make serious profits on golf betting. This amazing strategy revealed in our January edition shows you how to strike out most of the field in golf betting and concentrate on the players who stand to make you the most profit.

• When Odds Are Odd

This is a cheeky strategy available to download for taking advantage of betting markets to create no-lose situations (not arbing!). We have members on our forum sharing the bets generated by this strategy on both NFL and Rugby League.

• PCB’s football antepost bets

PCB is one of our pro-gambler members and after sharing his strategy on how to make a profit in the antepost football market, he is also posting all his own football antepost bets this season. The highlight this season is the 33/1 bet on Carlisle to win the Johnstones Paint trophy (they play Brentford in the final on the 3rd April!).

You can also find a couple more free strategies up on our blog, which we are putting to the test this year including…

• Testing the Fink Tank

Fink tank provide free football ratings backed up with academic research. We found them to have great potential in a past SBC review, but can we improve profits by taking early prices? This test aims to find out. Over 37.47 points so far this season from 205 bets for an excellent ROI of 18%. Last week the ratings picked out Wolves to beat Manchester United at home at odds of 8.80.

Note – We have also added this in as an extra column for the Weekend Wager up until the end of the season! Find it below in section 6.

• Mike’s Football Bets

Mike is sharing his own football advice and strategy for picking out bets in the English Premier League for free this season. He is 7.91 pts in profit (A 9.77% ROI) for this season and building on the initial success he had in the 2009/10 season.
Details on all of the above and much more besides can be found as a Secret Betting Club member. Join now for instant access at Secret Betting Club

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

A Drunkard’s Betting Walk

Inspired by the probability and randomness themed book ‘A Drunkards Walk’, Mike looks at how this relates to betting and how we can better understand some of the common misconceptions it highlights.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC

As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…

• The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!

• The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.

• Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Not the easiest looking betting fixtures this weekend in the top flight and just the 2 Main bets from me, starting off with the game at the Stadium of Light between Sunderland and Spurs.

Spurs have struggled lately with injuries to the creative hub of their team with the likes of Modric, Bale and now Van der Vaart all out. To make matters worse they face a very tricky fixture against Steve Bruce’s team who are very strong in general at home. The hosts to my mind continue to be under-rated and have won 6 out of 13 home fixtures, losing just twice to Chelsea and Blackpool. You can get 2.04 on them with a 0 ball Asian Handicap, which covers the draw and looks to be great value against a depleted Spurs outfit.

No matter what Ian Holloway does, his team cant stop leaking goals and to me it’s a simple case of not having the quality defensive personnel required to shut up shop. Attack for them is the best form of defence and the bookies continue to be very slow to cotton on to the chance of goals in their home games. All 11 tangerine games have gone 3 goals or more with 5 (45%) going 4 goals or more. They face Villa who have also seen 67% of their away games go over 3 goals so they aren’t exactly going to park the bus either. I will take the 1.79 on over 2.75 goals in this market.

Aside from those 2 main bets, its hard work finding value this weekend and the 3 shortlist bets highlight this. Birmingham are very solid at home but the 1.78 0 AH is a bit short in price to be a main bet against a Stoke team who are improving but continue to struggle on the road in general.

Man City will be happy to draw away at Utd as it keeps them in the hunt for the top 4 spot (their ultimate goal this year – not the title) and so the 1.83 on less than 3 goals appeals as a shortlist bet. Fulham continue also to be under-rated goals wise at home and even though Chelsea were toothless last weekend, prior to that they had found their shooting boots. Hopeful of seeing some goalmouth action at Craven Cottage this weekend so over 2.5 goals is the call with stats backing this up as one to be on.

Main Bets
1 pt Sunderland 0 Asian Handicap V Spurs. 2.04 Ladbrokes
1 pt Over 2.75 goals. Blackpool V Aston Villa. 1.79 5Dimes

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Birmingham 0 Asian Handicap V Stoke. 1.78 Pinnacle/188bet
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man Utd V Man City. 1.83 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Fulham V Chelsea. 2.08 188bet/Canbet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

3. A Sporting Chance

Premier League darts kicked off last night and runs until May every Thursday around the UK. It promises to be a very tight event this year with a marvellous field. I thought I’d take a look at each individual player and some pointers on them in the quest to make money.

PHIL TAYLOR:- Dipped in form over the tail end of last year and at the age of 50 some are saying the world’s greatest ever player is on the slippery slope. The jury is out on that one as this is a man who is at his best when he has been given a kicking. 180s however may not be flowing his way in this league with his new darts having a very stocky barrel which will mean many deflections and looking for him to go under the maximum’s lines in his matches may be a route to profit.

ADRIAN LEWIS:- The new world champion will have a lot of weight on his shoulders and is more than capable of throwing in a howler of a League night. Lewis is known as one of the best maximum hitters in the world and rightly so. However dig a little deeper on his Premier League stats from the years 07-10 where he has competed in the event and you find backing him for most maximums in a match may not be the easy ride you would expect. He has only won most maximums in Premier League matches on 48% occasions. Therefore he should be slightly bigger than evens for this market statistically.

GARY ANDERSON:- Premier League debutant. Anyone who knows their arrows will appreciate the Scotsman has no problems with his scoring. His Achilles heel has been his doubling. The signs of improvement are there though as his TV nerves settle. In the summer, Anderson could strike only 31% of his doubles in the World Matchplay and a woeful 13% in the European Championships. In the last three major televised events he has took out 44% of his doubles in the Grand Prix, 41% of his doubles in the Grand Slam of Darts and again 41% in the World Championships. A repeat over the league season of 40% plus will put him right in the mix for the title.

JAMES WADE:- As mentioned recently in this column his doubles record over the last five major televised tournaments is second to none. The problem is Wade’s questionable attitude towards the game, leaving you in a betting quandary. In Wade’s own words “I’m possibly a bit like Ronnie O’Sullivan. Sometimes I can’t be bothered. When I can’t be bothered, it’s obvious. I play like I can’t be bothered”. I know when he’s odds on for a match what button I’d rather be pressing on Betfair.

RAYMOND VAN BARNEVELD:- Will the real Barney please stand up? This man is an enigma wrapped up in a mystery. Scooby Doo and crew couldn’t solve this one. The gut instinct is that Barney has lost the fire in his belly and he is accordingly out with the washing to lift the Premier League this year. Along with Wade, his attitude doesn’t make you reach for the wallet. Tossing darts away and more head shaking than an AC-DC concert. Pink button again.

SIMON WHITLOCK:- The big “Aussie” made his League debut last year reaching the semi-finals. A renowned killer of big finishes it’s a surprise to learn in his Premier League history he has had highest checkout in only 6 of his 15 league matches (40%). Conversely he has hit most maximums in 60% of his league games.

TERRY JENKINS:- Looks as if he will struggle this season though often raises his game against better players. It’s interesting to learn given his overall losing record in the league that he has struck the highest match checkout on 67% of occasions. The “Bull” will kick-off most matches as underdog and it is likely you will obtain odds against on him getting the highest match checkout in each match this season for a small flutter.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

The season is moving on at a rapid rate of knots and the promotion/relegation scraps are going to be hotting up over the next few weeks.

There’s a full programme of games this week; much to mull over and much to pick from.

This week’s Free Bet:

We’ll side with Gillingham to win at Crewe. It’s handy to have away teams on your side that can score goals. Gillingham have netted 25 times in 14 away games, which is getting on for 2 goals per game.
Crewe tend to play an open game and this leaves them vulnerable to leaking a few goals. They’ve conceded 44 goals in 28 games. Gillingham have let in 37 goals in 30 games.

The Winabobatoo ratings certainly give the edge to Gillingham and 2.90 seems like an attractive price for the away win.

Tip: Gillingham to win at Crewe at 2.90 – available with Victor Chandler, Bet 365 and Coral.

I still have a few places available for my full Winabobatoo service. If you fancy getting all the match ratings, Winabobatoo betting systems, and recommended lays for the rest of the season, now would be a good time to join.

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European/Asian – Avantha Masters
PGA – Northern Trust Open
Champions – Ace Group Classic
LPGA – Honda Thailand Open
Euro Ladies – New Zealand Womens Open
South Africa – Dimension Data pro-am

The Avantha Masters enters its second year as a co-sanctioned event at the DLF course, which was also the venue of the Indian Open in 2009 and the co-sanctioned Johnnie Walker Classic in 2008, so there is quite a bit of course form to go on. After the high quality fields of the gulf swing we get back to a regular bread and butter event with Soren Hansen, Thongchai Jaidee and Jeev Milkha Singh being the headline acts. The latter will be one of the home crowd favourites but beware – he pulled out on the eve of a Challenge Tour event last month in India on a course he designed and has hardly been setting the world alight in the gulf.

The PGA tour stays in California this week for the Northern Trust Open from the Riviera Club where winners have been very predictable in recent years.
2010 – Steve Stricker – 2nd year before and 3rd in his latest start
2008/09 – Phil Mickelson – won two years running and had been 2nd in 2007
2007 – Charles Howell – twice runner-up already that year and 2nd here in 2004
2006 – Rory Sabatini – 2nd the week before and 2nd here in 2002
2004/05 – Mike Weir won back to back
So basically look for someone in top form with a top finish here before – shouldn’t be too hard to narrow the field down!
6. Testing The Fink Tank

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.
For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

For the season so far, the Fink Tank ratings have proven to be effective, making a profit of 37 points from 1 point level staking for an ROI of 18% (Profit on turnover). Most of the gains have come from big value away winners.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

To get The Weekend Wager in your inbox every Friday just click below:

THE WEEKEND WAGER

Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….

Tags: Friday Freebie, Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

January 28, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

How to profit from this double act

Over the years there have been many famous double acts… Laurel & Hardy, Torvill & Dean, Shearer & Sheringham and not forgetting of course – Howard Webb & Manchester United!

In betting, pairing two good bets as a double act can be a great way to increase your returns…but there is some extra risk. For those not aware, with a double bet, you need both bets to win instead of betting on single outcomes.As this is less likely to happen, the odds are much bigger than betting on singles. Allow me to explain in a bit more detail.

Double up to double your profits.

Let’s say you think Fulham to beat Stoke and Spurs to beat Newcastle are both 50/50 shots, the odds in theory should be 2.0. If you can get anything above 2.0 (evens) on those matches, then you’ve got a value bet and should make a profit in theory. A quick check and as luck would have it, both Fulham and Newcastle are available at 2.2.

Your options:

2 Singles: Back Fulham at home for 2.20 plus Spurs away at 2.20. Potential profit: 2.4 points.
1 Double: Back Fulham at home for 2.20 AND Spurs away at 2.20. Potential profit: 3.84 points

If you continue to back enough 50/50 shots at 2.20 then your long term profit will be a 10% Return on Investment (£10 won for every £100 staked).

However if you placed those same bets as doubles, your return on investment rockets to 21% (£21 won for every £100 staked).

Would you swap bigger profits for a lower strike rate?

The general accepted theory when investing in anything is that to make bigger % profits, you have to take bigger risks.

Unfortunately this is the same when it comes to betting on doubles.

If we placed simple single bets on 50/50 shots at 2.2 like the ones above, we can expect to win 50% of the time and make a 10% Return on Investment.

With the double bets however, we will only win 1 in 4 times (25%), but when we do will make a 21% Return on Investment. Higher risk, but higher reward.

It’s that strike-rate for success (50% vs. 25%) that can make all the difference and really test your patience when doubling up! Could you take the longer losing runs in exchange for the higher profits?

Why bookies love doubles

Doubles betting of course is only as good as the bets you are placing or the tipsters you are following. If your bets don’t make a profit as a single, they won’t magically make a profit when bet as a double.

Many mug punters roll up short priced football bets in attempt to push up their returns with no concept of value. This is why bookmakers love you betting on doubles – If not used correctly, they can double your losses as well as profits.

The right way to bet on doubles

When done right though, doubling up can be an excellent string to your betting bow. One of our Hall of Fame tipsters proved this last month when they shrewdly advised 3 different double bets on the horses.

One such bet was a 0.25 pt each way double on two horses at 9/4 and 4/1, who both won. That was a 0.5 pt risk for an eventual 4.27 pt profit. Not huge odds but then it doesn’t have to be when doubling up.
Overall backing their3 advised double bets made 11.08 pts profit from 1.75 pts invested or if you had backed their bets in 6 singles, you would have made 2.8 pts profit from 1.75 pts invested.

A difference of 8.28 pts profit, so just goes to show how picking and choosing when to double like this is key!

Find out More

To re-cap, doubles betting can be very lucrative when done right, whether you pick them yourself or follow a tipster who advises them.

If this is of interest and you are keen to find out more about this topic, we have a whole range of strategy articles to assist. Our two part series on this topic explains everything about how to make this work for you, understanding the maths, how to obtain the best odds and where to bet.

We also feature a number of tipsters within our Hall of Fame that either advise double’s bets themselves or whose tips could help form the nucleus of a good doubles strategy.

All of this and much more is available as a Secret Betting Club subscriber. Sign up today for instant access.

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

How To Judge How Potent A Tipster Is
Some of the simple calculations that you can use to calculate just how good any tipster is

Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below on making a profit in the English Premier League.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Happy to see the back of last weekendwith all the derby games and draws that no doubt did for many a betting accumulator. A lot more value betting opportunities have sprung forth for this next round of games and I am expecting goals!

This is because I have quite a few over 2.5 goal bets this weekend, starting over at Bloomfield Road, where you can get a very tasty 1.9 in the game between Blackpool and Sunderland. Perhaps the bookies are over-reacting to Darren Bent’s move but the facts are that the Seasiders have gone overs in 100% of all home games this season and it’s a high-scoring trend that has been in place ever since Ian Holloway has been in charge. Sunderland will perhaps be better suited to playing just Asamoah Gyan upfront as a target man away and as always with Blackpool games, there is plenty of goal-mouth action!

Newcastle & Spurs are two other teams not noted for defensive solidity and indeed Spurs have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season whereas the Toon have gone over 2.5 goals in 73% of all fixtures at St James Park. The overs line is 1.91 with Pinnacle, which estimates a 52.3% chance, and I make it closer to 60% in my book.

My third overs bet is in the midday kick off game featuring Wolves and Liverpool and both teams have struggled to stem the flow of goals this season. Wolves have gone overs in 55% of home games, whereas Liverpool have the same 55% marker away from home. Looking at it logically as well, both teams look very shaky at the back and if Torres fires up again, there should be goals. Dalglish will see this as a must-win game also. 10bet are offering 2.22 on the overs line, which is a 45% chance and looks too big for me.

I have one Main Asian Handicap bet on perennial favourites Bolton who you can back with a +1 start at 1.85 with Betinternet at home to Chelsea. Bolton are formidable at the Reebok, losing only once there this season against Liverpool (and rather unluckily so in my opinion). Chelsea as we know are far from convincing these days and have won just 3 away this season at Blackburn, West Ham and Wigan. I certainly can’t see more than a 1 goal win if Ancelotti’s men do get their act together and am siding with the Trotters once again, who have served me so well this season.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Blackpool V Sunderland1.90. Canbet/188bet/SBObet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Newcastle V Spurs. 1.91 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Wolves V Liverpool.2.22 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+1 AH) V Chelsea. 1.85 Betinternet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.25 goals. Fulham V Stoke.2.12 Pinnacle

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*All odds quoted correct as of time these bets were posted at the SBC Blog.

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

The Sportsman has one Donald McCain ante-post bet running on Peddlers Cross to win the Champion Hurdle. Advised in August of last year at 20-1 Peddlers took the honours in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle and now sits at 6-1 best price in what looks a remarkably competitive affair this year. Now’s the time to take a plunge on another of Donald’s best horses for this year’s Grand National.

A year ago Donald nominated Ballabriggs as the horse to follow from his yard and he was certainly good to his word. He has ran four races since and scooped the lot at odds of 13-2, 2-1, 9-1 and on his comeback a few weeks ago at 100-30 with his haul including the 2010 Kim Muir at the Festival.

The horse had problems in the past which has resulted in him being lightly raced and for a ten year old he has limited miles on the clock. McCain will take the hurdles route before the Grand National weights are announced and that’s also been the campaign plan for recent Irish-trained National winners. Rated 150 his trainer is concerned about his mark for the big one but shouldn’t be unduly troubled with the last two winners Don’t Push It and Mon Mome rated 153 and 148 respectively.

The Grand National has changed beyond recognition from twenty years ago and lower rated runners generally struggle. With one more run expected over hurdles before Aintree, Ballabriggs should go to the big one with a decent mark.

Ballabriggs himself is a rangy, hardy beast with a decent turn of foot and is a stayer to boot. A solid jumper he has never actually fell on the track. On the two occasions when he failed to complete the course it was owing to slipping. Owner Trevor Hemmings has bought the t-shirt in this race, winning in 2005 with Hedgehunter and Coral’s 25-1 is a price worth taking. The press will go to town with the McCain legacy of training Red Rum in the Grand National and those pin sticking housewives are sure to send his odds tumbling for those that like a trade.

Advised to The Sportsman members this morning: 0.1 pt Ballabriggs to win Grand National @ 25-1 Coral.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

There’s plenty of football action to keep us busy this weekend. I’m spoilt for choice as to which game to give you from a long list of bookmaker over-pricings.

The good news that I can report is that Winabobatoo members’ profits are doing very well this season, with gains of over 30 points from following my Multiple System selections, for a gain of 10% on turnover. My Value ratings are showing a profit of over 50 points on the season from backing every one of those. The return on investment from backing those isn’t quite so good, as there are more of them, but that still comes in at around 7% ROI.

We’ll be adventurous with our bet this weekend and go for a longer-priced away team. We’ll take Hartlepool to win at Peterborough at 4.00.

I estimate that Hartlepool will win just under 30% of the time, which gives a long-term profit expectation of getting on for 20%.

This weekend’s selection is:
Hartlepool to win at Peterborough. Hartlepool are available at 4.00 with Coral, BetFred, Paddy Power, and some other bookmakers at the time of writing.

There’s a free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine available to download if you visit my website. The Mini-Mag contains another free tip.

Good luck with your betting.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European Tour – Volvo Golf Champions – Bahrain (new)
PGA Tour – Farmers Insurance Open

Hopefully some of you followed my advice below for the Sony Open last week…
“On the PGA tour we see the first full field event of the 2011 season and if you like backing in an event with plenty of course form then this is your sort of event with the Waialae Country Club being used since 1965. Generally speaking the course is a tight par 70 so rewards the shorter more accurate players and reading down the list of winners over the past ten years it tends to go to experienced pros with a number of wins already under their belt.”

As I wrote on the blog this pointed me to four players and from those Mark Wilson Won at 100/1 and Tim Clark was 2nd at 35/1, so lets see if I can come up with any ideas for next week’s golf tournaments!

The European Tour stays in the Middle East but goes to a new venue in Bahrain so with no course form to go on the best advice would be to go for an in form player who plays well in the desert. I haven’t had time to have a close look at the course but if I do find anything out I will post it on the blog next week.

The PGA tour is at Torrey Pines which has been a Tiger Woods benefit gig in the past as he has been 3/1/2/4/5/1/10/1/1/1/1 there in the past and also won the US Open – that is pretty phenomenal! The question is, ‘Is he worth taking on?’ I would say yes, as the swing changes still might not have bedded in properly and also as he will be a very short price there will be each way value down the list. Course form is pretty vital round here so try and look for a player who has had at least one top ten at Torrey Pines.

When looking for golf statistics I find www.tour-tips.com invaluable – I probably spend half my time researching on it – about 30 hours a week! Normally it is subscription only, but during the month of January it is free so check it out.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 55th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

January 14, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

In some of my recent SBC Blogs I have been listing a number of tables with the full profit and loss details for many of the recommended tipsters we advocate our members follow. In these articles I have used a term called ROI to help you put tipster profits into a real-life context, and I have another simple calculation to further help that today – Return on Capital.

Return on Capital or ROC is a really simple measure that translates how much your money has grown in relation to its starting point. It is a simple percentage figure, which is very easy to calculate – even Robbie Savage could work it out!

Say for example you put £5000 into a high interest account and at the end of the year you had £6000. Well your profit is £1000, but your ROC is the percentage increase, which in this instance is 20%.

(To get this figure simply divide 100 by your starting amount – £5000 and then multiply by the profit – £1000).

Sadly, these days you are very unlikely to get anywhere near that amount of ROC from £5000 in traditional savings accounts.

This is why more and more people are turning to alternative ways of investing their money – such as through betting, where with the right people guiding you, the ROC can be very appealing. At this point we must stress that betting obviously is a higher risk that putting your money in the bank, but in this case, with higher risk can come higher rewards.

Some Examples

To help explain this further, I am going to show you the exact ROC amounts for each of the 9 top-rated racing tipsters we recommended in 2010. If you have yet to do so, you can see all the profit figures for each of these tipsters at this blog post, but in the table below are the exact ROC figures.

(Please note – the actual names of each tipster have been protected and are available to full SBC members only).

To help explain this further, we recommend a betting bank figure for each service (2^nd column) and next to that you can see the points profit for 2010 that this service made. In the final column is the exact Return on Capital amount in percentage terms.

The top performer was Service 7, with a whopping 455% increase in 2010. To put that in financial terms, if you had started the year with £5000, this would have become £27,552 by the end of it.

Of course they are by far and away the top performers, but still any of Services 3 through to 9 would have made at least 23.72% up to 147.27% ROC.

Much more than any bank is going to offer you in the current economic climate!

Find out More

If you find these kind of stats helpful then you will love our monthly Tipster Report, which gives you the latest ROC for around 35 of the very best tipsters out there. We also calculate other useful figures for you, such as Strike-Rate, ROI and our very own power ranking, which we call ROI+.

You can pick this all up immediately by taking up a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.

We have a very competitive looking weekend of Premier League action coming up with 3 big derbies and a crunch game down at White Hart Lane. No doubt all police leave will have been cancelled this weekend!

My strongest bet of the weekend comes up at the Stadium of Light where Sunderland are what looks to be a far too generous 2.23 with 2 bookies to beat Newcastle. Perhaps too much is being made of the 5-1 reverse thrashing but the facts are that the Black Cats have a very strong home record indeed, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing just 1 this season. I’m not at all convinced that Alan Partridge (sorry, Pardew) will be right for the Geordies and I make the home win probability towards a 50% chance, much better than the 44% that the 2.23 odds indicate. The one concern is that Newcastle have been such a Jekyll and Hyde team so it depends what side of bed they all get out of that morning especially. Andy Carroll if not fit will be a big miss as well.

Another team who have made their home ground a bit of a fortress is Spurs who are as big as 2/1 to see off Man Utd on Sunday. Remarkably only Wigan have come away from the Lane with all 3 pts this season and United have won only 2 games on the road, both of which were far from convincing narrow victories at Stoke and West Brom. They seem to have missed Rooney’s usual cut and thrust away this season and are vulnerable down the flanks, especially at right back so Gareth Bale could be key. A draw for me looks likely, followed by a home win so I am taking the +0.25 Asian Handicap on Spurs at 1.78 with 12bet.

These 2 games apart its slim pickings this weekend although I am placing my first bet on Blackpool in the outright match market for this season. West Brom are struggling for quality defensively with a few key players out and could be overwhelmed by Blackpool’s attacking instincts who will be full of confidence after doing the double over Liverpool. A shortlist bet on the Tangerines with a +0.75 Asian Handicap at 1.96 with Pinnacle and 188bet is the approach here.

My only other interest this weekend was potentially over at Anfield where Liverpool are a very big looking 2.29 to beat Everton at home. I have passed this over as a bet due to my policy of not betting heavily on teams that have undergone recent changes (such as a new manager). Still Liverpool have a pretty decent record and at 2.29, this indicates a 43.6% chance of victory for the home side, which may offer value. No bet for me but will watch with interest.

Main Bets
1 pt Sunderland to beat Newcastle 2.23 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Spurs (+0.25 AH) V Man Utd. 1.78 12bet/Canbet/SBObet/188bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Blackpool (+0.75 AH) V West Brom. 1.96 Pinnacle/188bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*All odds quoted correct as of time these bets were posted at the SBC Blog.

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

The two darts World Championships have just ended and it’s noticeable the difference in the standard of doubling in the seperate organisations. Adrian Lewis won the PDC event with a doubles tournament average of 38% with Martin Adams winning the BDO tournament with a doubles tournament average of 36%. Not much difference there I hear you cry and that’s true but let’s delve a little deeper. Runner-up in the PDC world’s Gary Anderson struck a 41% doubles tournament record while BDO runner-up Dean Winstanley could only claim 30%. Looking back at last year’s events Phil Taylor won the tournament with a 40% doubles ratio and runner up Raymond van Barneveld had a 39% ratio. In the BDO Martin Adams had a 38% winners ratio and runner up Dave Chisnall struck 35%. In punting terms this means you are better trading in running on the BDO events that are televised as prices will fluctuate more as doubles are missed.

In terms of tournament winners let’s look back at the last five televised singles PDC tournaments (including the joint players PDC/BDO Grand Slam of Darts event) and the winners and runners up tournaments doubles records:-

PDC World Championship – Winner, – Adrian Lewis 38%, Runner-up – Gary Anderson 41%

Grand Slam of Darts:- Winner – Scott Waites 40%, Runner-up – James Wade 49%

World Grand Prix:- Winner – James Wade 46%, Runner-up – Adrian Lewis 44%

European Championships:- Winner – Phil Taylor 40%, Runner-up – Wayne Jones 36%

World Matchplay:- Winner – Phil Taylor 53%, Runner-up – Raymond van Barneveld 50%

The common theme is no winner has struck less than 38% tournament doubles. The next televised PDC tournament is at the start of next month on ITV4 the Players Championship. The betting market will be dominated by Phil Taylor, but does his recent slump form tie in with a dip on his doubles? The answer is yes. Here’s his doubles record for the last 5 televised events with the most recent first. World Championships 36%, Grand Slam of Darts 37%, Grand Prix 51%, European Championships 40% and Matchplay 53%. It’s noticeable in the last two tournaments Taylor’s doubling has dipped below our 38% winners line. Also noticeable that Taylor resorted to playing in glasses for one match in the Grand Slam of Darts which has to be taken as a negative. For alternatives to Taylor are there any players who have over the last five events kept their doubles above the 38% line? There’s only one man to have done so: James Wade with an average doubles rate of 46% over the last five televised tournaments. This would suggest Wade would be a player to keep on the right side for the Players Championship with Phil Taylor a possible lay. Interestingly they are on course to meet in round 2 of the competition. Clichés generally ring true and the old darting adage “it’s trebles for show and doubles for dough” rings truer than most.

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Mike Lindley will be back next Friday with his usual Winabobatoo free bet.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European Tour – Abu Dhabi Championship
PGA Tour – Bob Hope Classic
Champions Tour – Mitsubishi Championship

The European Tour says goodbye to South Africa and starts its Middle East swing. In the USA the PGA tour leaves Hawaii and heads for California whilst the Champions Tour takes it place on Hawaii.

The Abu Dhabi event is in its 6th year and since Chris Dimarco won the inaugural event, Martin Kaymer and Paul Casey have dominated – winning two each, alternating between each other. In fact if you look at those that place, there are very few surprises, so concentrate your thoughts at the top of the market.

The Bob Hope Classic is the last of the five round pro-ams still in existence and kicks off on Wednesday, so make sure your bets are on in time. The courses have varied over the years but they are all very easy for the professionals unless the wind gets up, which it can at this time of year. Three of the last four winners have been tour ‘virgins’ – Hoffman, Perez and Haas – although it is a bit early to see if this ‘trend’ continues.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 55th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

December 17, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Dan Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Like many people at this time of year, I’ve got the in laws staying at the moment.

Unfortunately I get on very well with them. I say unfortunately because it usually robs be of the opportunity to share my favourite Les Dawson jokes like these gems:

“The wife’s Mother said, “When you’re dead, I’ll dance in your grave.” I said: “Good, I’m being buried at sea.”

“I can always tell when the mother in law’s coming to stay; the mice throw themselves on the traps.”

One regular ritual is for them to ask how my work is going and to see their eyes glaze over as I try to explain for the millionth time what I actually do and how its possible to make money from betting.

This week I thought I’d finally try to get through, so while the wife and mother in law were discussing holiday plans, I managed to explain some of the basics of sports betting to my Father in Law.

He asked me a good question which I thought was worth sharing here:

Father in law: So how do you find the best bets that will beat the bookmaker?

Me: Well, there are a few different ways you can do it:

Find a niche: If you know a particular football league or sport really well, then there’s a chance you be able to price up evens better than the bookies. This might be Non league football teams or niche betting sports such as Athletics, swimming or the Tour de France.
Build your own system: If you’re mathematically inclined, then you can build your own methods. There are few really good racing system builders such as http://www.proformracing.co.uk/ or http://www.flatstats.co.uk/ which allow you to test how profitable different criteria is in horse racing.
Use a ratings service: A ratings service helps you short cut hours of form reading by giving each horse or team a score, allowing you to easily spot any undervalued selections. In Football, we really like using Winabobatoo and this month we’re reviewing Peter May’s horse racing ratings in the latest edition of our http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ magazine.
Buy a system: There are one or two decent commercially available systems for you to buy, but most of the time, these don’t make a profit or if they do, they don’t make it for long, because if everyone knows the rules, then the system becomes self defeating.
Use a tipster: This is our favourite approach and we recommend it for most people starting out. We proof over 75 tipsters in our http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ magazine. We help our members find out which tipsters really make a profit over the long run. There are a lot of scammers out there, but there are a surprising number of diamonds in the rough. The best ones don’t do much advertising and people usually only find out about them through word of mouth or via our magazines. There’s another reason why we think tipsters bring in better profits than buying a system. A tipster is passing on his tip, but he doesn’t reveal his selection methods. This way his edge lasts for longer.

I think I finally got through this time; well at least he no longer looks at me with a look of benign sympathy when I mention sports betting.

If you’re interested in learning more about how to find the best tipsters, the best ratings services and the few really good systems, then consider adding a http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ membership to your Christmas shopping list.

Until next week…

Dan Jones

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

The PDC World darts championship began last night and runs until January the 3^rd. This week I have decided to concentrate on the first round and throw out some stats from which you can hopefully prosper financially and possibly use as a system. Let’s term it the over-dogs.

Firstly start by making a list of the under-dogs in each of the first round matches. Then using odds checker look at the under-dogs individual maximums line. It will generally be set around over or under 1.5 or 2.5. Historically in the three years the tournament has been played at the Alexandra Palace the 1^st round average individual maximums per player has been 2.625. Therefore lines set at 1.5 or 2.5 are there to be beaten. Last night the opening four first round matches took place. Three of those matches saw under-dogs with lines of 1.5 to beat on the 180s count. Mark Hylton hit 7, his odds of over 1.5 were 10/11, that would also have made a lovely spread bet. Steve Maish was playing Mark Webster who went off at 1-6. Maish notched 2 maximums at evens your dough. The last match saw Gary Mawson play the Guvnor – Phil Taylor. Although Mawson never won a set he wouldn’t have let you down in the maximums count racking up 3.

In the last three year’s the greatest show in darts has been played at the Alexandra Palace in the 96 first round matches the underdog has went over their individual maximums line on 58 occasions a 60% strike rate. At slight odds on there is not a great deal of upside. By adding another rule you can tilt the chances of winning in your favour.

Look at the previous three years 1^st round stats and see if the under-dogs sat on individual lines of 1.5 have beaten those lines over the previous years i.e. beat the line twice, lost once. Ignore those who have lost on the line or drawn on the line over three years. Then do the same for under-dogs on 2.5 lines. It will throw up a handful of names and dependent upon price you may have found yourself a nice bet. I will offer up the first player who plays tonight, Tony Eccles. Unfortunately at 4-7 over 1.5 maximums there is not enough upside for me to get involved. The other problem with this little system is that Skybet are the layers in the market. Therefore satellite accounts may be the order of the day. But if you can get on, there’s money to made from those over-dogs.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

The running total for bets I’ve advised to you in this column this season currently stands at:

Bets 15, Winners 7, Returns 19.72, Profit +4.72, ROI +31.46%.

We drew a blank last weekend when Blackpool halted Stoke’s recent good run. Let’s hope we can get back to winning ways this weekend – weather permitting.

Bournemouth lost at home to Hartlepool last weekend but I expect them to bounce back with a win at Rochdale. Rochdale started the season brightly but my ratings quickly had them as potential relegation candidates, not promotion candidates, as the league table implied.

They’ve slipped down the table and a tough scrap for League One survival looks on the cards.

Bournemouth have lost striker Josh McQuoid to Millwall and that has upset their balance somewhat but I think they’ll be too good for Rochdale.

This weekend’s selection is:

Bournemouth to win at Rochdale. Bournemouth are available at 2.75 with Coral and Victor Chandler.

SORRY MATCH CALLED OFF AS WE GO TO SEND THIS

Free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine: Have you registered for your copy yet? There’s a review of the betting season-to-date, and an article from a Winabob member, explaining how he bets and what he aims to win, etc.

A Statistical Fact: (an extract from this weekend Mini-Mag)

The returns from blindly backing every odds on home team this season is:


All Games	2010-11	Bets	Win%	Profit/Loss	% Profit
Odds On	Homes	266	53	-32.14	-12.08

This level of loss is much higher than its average. Since 2006-07 the returns from backing all odds on home team are:


All Games	Since 2006	Bets	Win%	Profit/Loss	% Profit
Odds On	Homes	3744	58	-157.05	-4.19

The average loss from backing odds on home teams is -4.19%. This season we’ve seen losses into double digits at -12.08%. The bookmakers will be loving this trend and will have made significant profits as these are the most likely games for the average punter to be attracted to.

Read the full article in today’s Mini-Mag. Click the link below to take you to the website.

Good luck for the weekend.

Mike Lindley www.winabobatoo.co.uk

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

December 11, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Dan Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

It’s easy to understand the appeal of a guaranteed winner. They might come from a ‘well connected source’ who gives you a nod and wink. We all love the idea of knowing something that others don’t. But…

There are no ‘sure things’

If anyone is to you offer you a ‘guaranteed’ winner, run, don’t walk away from them. Nothing is guaranteed to win (unless the game is fixed, in which case it’s illegal and you could be prosecuted for being involved). Some things have a high probability of winning, but nothing is ever 100%.

Here are some relevant examples:

Chelsea: Chelsea were coasting at the top of the Premier League a month ago. They hadn’t conceded a goal at home for a near record number of matches. They looked a sure thing to win the Premier League…
Senegal beating France in 2002. Massively against the odds, Senegal shocked the world by beating France in the 2002 World cup. I know of at least one person who lost thousands on that match betting on the ‘sure thing’ of a French victory.
Horses trading at 1.01 on Betfair…only to lose: Every week (and sometimes every day) a horse will be miles in front only to fall at the final hurdle. Anyone backing the sure thing at 1.01 looking for free money can often end up with egg on their face.
Lindsay Jacobellis FAIL Turin Winter Olympics 2006. Ok this probably wasn’t a betting opportunity, but it’s still one of my favourite sporting failures ever. In the snowboard cross final, Jacobellis was miles in front and heading for a gold medal. On the penultimate jump she went for a fancy grab and fell over only to see the person in 2^nd place take the gold. You can view the video here.

So you shouldn’t back at short prices?

There’s absolutely nothing wrong with backing something at short prices like 1.50 or 1.25 provided there is value in those prices. So you’d back a 1.50 shot if you think it really should be 1.30 or back a 1.25 shot if it really should be 1.10.

Where many gamblers go wrong is to take a short price on the expecation that it will win with no appreciation of what the true odds should be. I.e. they back at 1.50 thinking this means a 95 to 100% chance of it winning. However a 1.50 shot still has an implied probability of losing of 33%. On the other hand, a pick with odds of 1.25 should win 80% of the time even if you were betting blindly.

Unscrupulous vendors will play on this and provide tips at these odds in order to build up a high strike rate through pure chance alone. They can quite easily go 10 winners on the bounce without any clever analysis at all. At which point you might receive a barrage of promotional emails.

Beware the hidden short prices in laying.

Laying systems (betting on something to lose) are ever popular for some system vendors and certain tipsters and punters seem to like them too. After all, it’s easier to pick a loser in a horse race then it is to pick a loser right?

Very true, but just as you need to ensure you get a value price when backing, you need to ensure a value price in laying so your losses are containable. If anyone tells you the price of a lay ‘doesn’t matter as long as it loses’, drop them like a shot.

What many people don’t realise is that laying at high odds is the same as backing at low odds.

Backing something at 2.0 has an implied chance winning of 50% and an implied chance of losing of 50%.
Backing something at 2.50 has an implied chance of winning of 40% and a 60% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.67!
Backing something at 5.0 has an implied chance of winning of 20% and an 80% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.25!
Backing something at 8.0 has an implied chance of winning of 12.5% and an 87.5% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.14!

When you look at the odds like this you can see why laying systems are so popular with many system vendors – You’re more likely to hit a winning running when you first use it, taking you past any refund. Ok this is a rather cynical way of looking at things, but it pays to be cynical in this game.

Can you make money betting at short prices?

You can most certainly make money backing at short prices, but just remember that there are no sure things and even a 1.25 shot should lose 20% of the time. This might sounds small, but would you take medical pills if there was a 20% chance of your hair turning bright green?

It works both ways though. We’ve seen a people reject a successful system or tipster because they backed a short price selection that lost, when the long term profits are still very good.

In our www.secretbettingclub.com magazines we give tipsters and systems a thorough examination so you don’t have to. We point out if a tipster is trying to pull the wool over your eyes with short term profits than flatter to deceive. When it comes to tipster and system profits, you need to go beyond headline profits claims and giant strike rates in order to really assess if something will make you money.

This can be a little complex which is why we do the work for you!

If you’re interested in frank & truly independent reviews of tipsters & systems then consider joining the www.secretbettingclub.com today.

If you want to be one of the few click here to join www.secretbettingclub.com

Until next week…

Dan Jones

2. Mike’s Football Bets

A quick update on the season so far and after last weekend my bets are 2.95 pts in profit from 53.5 pts staked so far since August (ROI of 5.51%) so hoping to up that in coming weeks and months. My staking this season has let me down the most as at flat 1 pt stakes, returns would actually be 4.87 pts up (9.10% ROI) and its something I am certainly looking at. The best news is that of my 9 ante-post bets, 6 are currently winning, which means a further 4.51 pts if it stays the same before the season is out.

We have seen a fair amount of goals in the Premier League this season and I see lots of value in 3 separate over 2.5 goals lines this weekend. My first bet is up at Bolton where my fave team this year host unconvincing travellers Blackburn in a local derby. Blackburn have gone overs in 59% of away games and Bolton in 63% of home games since last season and the odds of 1.98 suggest only a 50.7% chance of this happening again. Happy therefore to take the value on offer here.

Down at Craven Cottage, the odds of 2.35 on Fulham V Sunderland to see over 2.5 goals also looks too high. Looking at similar seasonal scoring stats, I make the % chance of overs to be 47% (about 2.12) and with Sunderland playing 3 up front they won’t be shy about getting forward. Fulham need to get 3 points as well so I can’t see them sitting back here either.

West Ham V Man City rounds off my overs bets this weekend as the Hammers have let in 3 goals or more in 63% of home games since last season. City whilst not prolific themselves should enjoy the woeful defending on offer from the home team, although the best odds of 2.04 are not huge so just a shortlist bet here.

My final main bet is similar to one I took in April last year, which won on Spurs with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at home against an out of form Chelsea. You can get 1.83 with Bet365 and considering Redknapp’s charges have lost just 3 home games in 2 seasons, Chelsea have their work cut out here. A draw gives us a 0.41 pt profit, but I can easily see all three points going to the home team.

A couple of final shortlist bets too with Bolton to beat Blackburn at 2.14 and Villa to beat West Brom at 2.2. Both prices I feel should be closer to evens, although some concerns that the Bolton game is a local derby where form can go pear-shaped and Villa need to bounce back from 4 losses on the bounce.

Please note – my bets next week may only appear on Saturday morning. I will be posting them as usual on the SBC Blog.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Bolton V Blackburn. 1.98 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Fulham V Sunderland. 2.35 SBObet/12bet/canbet
1 pt Tottenham (+0.25 AH) V Chelsea. 1.83 Bet365/Betinternet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Bolton to beat Blackburn. 2.14 Pinnacle
1 pt Aston Villa to beat West Brom. 2.2 Boylesports
1 pt Over 2.5 goals West Ham V Man City. 2.04 Ladbrokes

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

A return to looking at Premier League sides corners statistics this week as I pinpoint some recurring areas to look for profit. 11.5 is the line I am using for the over’s and under’s corners mark. Tottenham with the marauding Gareth Bale are proving to be Kings of the over’s. In 16 Premier League matches Spurs have gone over on 11 occasions, a 69% strike rate. They are especially prevalent at home with 6 from 7 League matches at the Lane going over. Conversely there’s not a great deal of corner action at the DW stadium where all 9 of Wigan’s home matches have went under 11.5 corners.

With half the season almost gone in the Premier League it looks safe to say that Wolves tremendous corners record is not merely a freak occurrence. With 16 matches played the team who sit 2^nd bottom of the league have gained corners supremacy in 8 games, drawn 6 and lost just 2. The best way to make a profit from this knowledge looks to be to play them gaining a corners handicap against the League’s elite sides. At Stamford Bridge they drew with Chelsea on the corner count 8-8. Away to Manchester United they lost only 2-3 and at home to Arsenal they out cornered the League leaders 5-3.

Two teams to oppose on corners markets are Blackpool and Blackburn. Blackpool love an open match although their total match corners have not been particularly high. From 15 matches they have only won corners supremacy 4 times and have particularly struggled at Bloomfield Road gaining most corners in only 1 match from 6.

Of the promoted sides West Bromwich Albion with the likes of Chris Brunt and Graham Dorrans are faring best when it comes to racking up corners winning corners supremacy in 7 matches from 8 a 88% strike rate.

Bets to look out for: Spurs over the 11.5 corners line at around 10/11. Wigan under 10.5 corners around evens at the DW and Wolves on the corners handicap +4 against the elite sides in the league at evens/11-10. Oppose Blackpool at home on the corners count and side with West Brom corner supremacy at home.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http:/www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings

The running total for bets I’ve advised to you in this column this season currently stands at:

Bets 14, Winners 7, Returns 19.72, Profit +5.72, ROI +40.85%.

Last weekend’s bet was cancelled, along with most of the weekend games. Let’s hope for better luck this weekend.

Personally, I don’t particularly like betting at odds shorter than 1.70 but there seems to be a stand-out bet at 1.67.

Stoke are solid at home, last lost 6 games ago, and are playing Blackpool. I have loads of time for Ian Holloway. He has done an excellent job for the Lancashire side but I don’t think they’ll take any points home with them from the Potteries.

The physical presence of Stoke will make it very hard for Blackpool.

This weekend’s selection is:

Stoke to beat Blackpool. Stoke are available at 1.67 with BetFred, Paddy Power, and Boyles.

Free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine: Have you registered for your copy yet? There’s some interesting analysis with regard to betting on Premiership away teams that you need to know about…especially Chelsea fans; and there’s another Free Tip on a longer-priced lower league team.

A Statistical Fact: 14.46% of all away teams in the Premiership have been priced odds on since 2006-07 season. This compares to just 2.16% of away teams in the rest of the English leagues. Check out how the odds on Premiership teams have fared during this period in this week’s free Mini-Mag. Visit my website to get your copy now.

Good luck for the weekend.

Mike Lindley www.winabobatoo.co.uk

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Systematic Soccer

Mat Hare runs Soccer Systems, a free blog where he is sharing the selections from 9 different portfolio systems this season. The selections generated by one of these systems (Game Form) are being exclusively posted on the Secret Betting Club forum this season. Each week in this column, Mat will also be sharing a sample of what the Game Form system has produced this weekend.

It warmed up round here last weekend and melted virtually all the snow. Unfortunately the snow wasn’t the only thing to suffer as my central heating also packed up and I am sat here typing this with gloves on as an army of heating engineers replace my boiler. There may not be snow on the ground but it’s still freezing!

Hopefully the worst of the cold snap has passed now and the sporting world can start to get back to normal. There was no bet on the Game Form Portfolio, partly due to the reduced fixture list, and it’s the same story this weekend too despite the fact that at the time of writing we look to have a full English league programme this weekend.

Saturday 11th December

No bet

Bets for the other Soccer Systems portfolios will be posted up on the blog as normal, assuming I can keep my fingers warm enough to use the keyboard!

Mat

6. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European Tour – South African Open
Asian Tour – Black Mountain Masters

The last two main events of the year before a much needed two week break – gone are the days when golf betting only really happened for nine months of the year at most!
This year’s South African Open comes from the Durban Country Club which held the event in 1998, 2002, 2005, with the winners being Els and Tim Clark twice. Last year Richie Ramsay won, breaking the South African stranglehold as they had won every renewal since 2002. The field is virtually identical to this week’s Alfred Dunhill Championship with the addition of the three “big guns” Els, Clark and Goosen.

Tim Clark will be glad to return to the Durban Country Club as his last three attempts in the event at different venues have been poor with finishes of 9/41/37. Goosen has fared somewhat better but each way backers beware as in his last ten appearances in his home open, he has won one, been 5th or tied four times and 6th twice, so you might be sweating on a payout! Els will no doubt start favourite having captured three titles in his last nine tries, but in 2007 and 2008 he blew his chances in the third round at Pearl Valley on both occasions shooting 77.

I will be back in the New Year to start all over again!
In the meantime have a very Happy Christmas.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop begin_of_the_skype_highlighting end_of_the_skype_highlighting and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!

Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

November 13, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under News

Leave a Comment

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by Mike Bishop and the team at the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Football.. Bloody Hell!

As Sir Alex Ferguson so once famously quoted after Man United’s epic comeback in the 99 Champions League, football can straddle the thin line between success and failure very closely indeed… As the scorer of the ‘golden’ own goal this Monday night that provided my 5 a side team with our first trophy will no doubt testify!

It’s the same when it comes to football betting of course – with a referee decision here, an offside there meaning the narrowest of differences between a winning and losing bet.

When you add in bookmaker margins of guaranteed profit and the teams of people they employ to spend all day pricing up bets…How likely therefore is it to actually make money betting on football?

The answer is that it is possible to prosper betting on football, but often only when you have an expert to guide you.

Just as 80% of people will tell you they are a good driver (the reality is the % figure is a lot lower – me included!) so most people over-estimate just how good they are at picking out profitable bets.

Our 7 Best Football Experts

With all this in mind, its well worth having a look at some of the football experts that we recommend here at SBC who can help you be in the few that profit from betting.

To help uncover this, over the past few months I have been blogging on 7 of the very best tipsters and listing their exact profit figures for both this and last season.

After a tremendous 2009/10 season, these 7 tipsters have continued to flourish since the new season began in July and are up over £6200 to just £50 stakes during this period already.

If applying some sensible money management and optimising stakes you can also make this money go further and generate a larger profit.

If you have yet to do so read my latest blog post this week on the 7 Football Tipsters worth following this season.

Get Started Right Away

If you are impressed by the profits made by our recommended tipsters, then I can highly recommend you take up a full Secret Betting Club membership.

As soon as you join, you can gain immediate access to all the details, stats and reviews of each of these tipsters and can get motoring with your football betting.

Sign-up at the Secret Betting Club today.

Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week

The Football Tipsters To Follow
An update on the 7 football tipsters we recommend and how they have fared this season. Includes a section on the profits made if using sensible money management and staking.

Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below on making a profit in the English Premier League. A busy weekend ahead of bets from me.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Blackpool have been a breath of fresh air this season, not least for the crazy bumpkin manager Ian Holloway but for their at time kamikaze gung-ho attacking play. The tangerines travel down this weekend to face leaky West Ham in a game that has goals written all over it in 10 foot tall neon letters. The Hammers have gone overs in around 65% of all home games, whereas Blackpool have been overs in 10 out of 12 games this season. Neither team can defend to save their lives and with the home team having to win this game, expect an attacking outlook. The bookies have it pegged at a 2.14 for over 3 goals (basically we lose if 2 or less goals, draw if 3 goals and win if 4 goals or more) and I am having a piece of that!

My perennial fave team this year Bolton, continue to look under-rated by the bookies and look value once again as they travel to Molineux to face Wolves. Bolton have been beaten only twice this season by Arsenal and Liverpool despite a very tricky set of games so far. I make the chance of a draw or Bolton win to be around 55 to 60%, which equates to odds of about 1.74. The bookies are offering me 1.91 with Stan James on them with a +0.25 Asian Handicap so there is clear value there.

Elsewhere I also fancy 3 teams who are strong at home in the form of Everton, Stoke and Aston Villa to win for me this weekend.

Villa have been beaten only once at home by a top 8 team and conversely United have won only 3 games away against the top 8 since the 09/10 season. A United away win I rate at between 30 – 40% chance here and considering the likes of Scholes, Rooney & Giggs are out they may struggle to break Villa down. I’m taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap on Villa at 2.14 with 12Bet as I make the true odds of this to be around 2.0.

Everton have been playing well with little reward lately as they can’t find the back of the net but stats show their dominance in matches. Historically under David Moyes, Everton have a formidable home record and Arsenal will do well to win here so the +0.5 on Everton at 1.78 from 188bet appeals.

Finally Stoke have endured a very tough run of games, not helped by some very dodgy referees decisions and they host a tired looking Liverpool who look to be feeling the effects of having such a small squad. Stoke are notoriously difficult to break down and only lost at home to the top 4 teams last season. I am taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap again on the home outfit at 1.88 with Stan James.

Main Bets

1 pt Over 3 goals – West Ham V Blackpool. 2.14 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wolves. 1.91 Stan James
1 pt Villa (+0.5 AH) V Man Utd. 2.14 12Bet
1 pt Everton (+0.5 AH) V Arsenal. 1.78 188bet
1 pt Stoke (+0.5 AH) V Liverpool. 1.88 Stan James

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The little-known racing tipster who has made over 792 pts profit since December 2009. Find out who he is and what we make of his service in our exclusive review.
The Hall of Fame racing tipster that has made 600 pts profit in the past year alone! At just £20 stakes thats a profit of £12,000 and the bookmakers are running scared!
Our beginners guide on how to build up your betting profits from scratch and on a budget by employing some easy to follow strategies for success. Written by professional gamblers who know how to make money betting!

3. A Sporting Chance

The Grand Slam of Darts kicks off on ITV tomorrow for nine days of arrows action and I’m putting up an overview of the first round group stages of the event which lasts four days/nights to help you get into the black. It’s a unique TV tournament featuring 32 players from both codes of PDC and BDO darts. Phil Taylor is the only player to have won the event in its short lifespan of three years.

The 32 players are divided into eight groups of four for round one with the top two players in each group entering the 2^nd round knockout stages. The first round group matches are only the first to five legs. That’s not even a five furlong sprint in horse racing parlance, more of an American style bullet race and that levels the playing field for those players of lesser talent though it would be pushing it too far to suggest this year’s two female competitors look likely to win a match between them. If you must bet in the group stages then head for the pink button on Betfair. Simon Whitlock is arguably the 3rd best player in the world at present but at 2-5 to beat BDO world championship runner-up Dave Chisnall he is there to be shot at. Mark Hylton will be nervous under the TV lights and faces Gary Anderson a fantastic maximums man, though the same can’t be said of his doubling. Anderson is a very tight 1-5. PDC World number 2 James Wade is also unbackable at 1-6 against Justin Pipe. Of the closer match prices it’s questionable whether Colin Lloyd merits odds on status against Daryll Fitton. And Phil Taylor at 1-10 against Michael Van Gerwen is not buying money over this format either.

In the “not to qualify” market there are some big prices worth speculative punts. Gary Anderson could be worth a small play in the not to qualify market at 7-2 with Betfred and Sportingbet in Group B. Terry Jenkins admits he usually takes a game to settle down in tournaments which could endanger his qualification hopes and he’s 9-2 with Skybet to fail to reach the top two of Group C. Raymond van Barneveld hasn’t had his troubles to seek of late and 7-1 not to qualify could be worth a few quid as Colin Lloyd and Daryll Fitton are both capable of beating him over this lightening quick format in Group F. Group G is a tight one and Ronnie Baxter looks a tad overpriced at 9-4 not to make the cut.

The subsidiary markets such as maximum totals are also best left alone until round two but for anyone who fancy’s a dabble the Round 1 tournament match maximum averages in it’s three year existence sits at 2.86 or 1.43 per player. The highest match checkout average over three years is 104.53. Of the special bets a 170 has been struck at least once in every tournament and that occurrence in this year’s event is 1-2 with several layers. For the first time ever at the oche Phil Taylor will wear glasses and while that could be associated as a negative he reckons it’s made his vision clearer and will improve his game further. Phil Taylor over a 106.5 average in any match in the tournament with Betfred @ 9-10 may be worthy of consideration. The world’s greatest ever arrow smith has achieved this in two of the three years of the tournament and will be chomping at the bit to put on a fireworks display against mouthy BDO rival Ted Hankey, bespectacled or not.

The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews

Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.

Our latest reviews include: Gorans Winners, CD Systems ProLays, Football Bets, System Selections, My Betting News, Daqman, Packed Pockets, Football Betting Index, Northern Monkey, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.

There is also plenty written about Betfan, Statman Racing, Turf Accoutant, Martin Bishop, Selective Betting, All By The Book, Soccer Oracle, Winners Bet Winners, Sports Power Club & Daniel Morrison.

f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.

Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

No new pick.

5. Systematic Soccer

November has been a tough month for the various portfolios running on the Soccer Systems blog with numerous results not quite going our way. But we live to fight another day and all systems are well within their advised bankroll figures. Even so I am praying for a change in fortunes and for us to get the rub of the green for a change.

Middlesbrough are a team that have featured several times in this column with mixed results. It’s remarkable to see them cropping up so often when the system rules don’t actually include mention of specific teams. It must be that Middlesbrough are meeting certain criteria on a regular basis and thus appearing so often in the Game Form Portfolio bets. This week it’s a two point bet on Boro’s game away at Swansea to go over 2.5 goals.

Saturday 13th November

14/11/2010 Swansea v Middlesbrough – 2pts Over 2.5 goals @ 21/20 (Bet365)

I said a few weeks ago when the system picked Boro’s game at Norwich to go over 2.5 goals that we’d probably need Boro to score and the same holds true here too. Unfortunately Middlesbrough don’t get many goals on the road – they’ve scored just four times in eight away games this season. Swansea don’t score many at home either, 11 goals in their eight home games but with Swansea flying high and Middlesbrough really struggling let’s hope we see a few goals in this fixture and can net a decent profit.

6. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

Next Weeks Golf Events
European/Asian Tour – Hong Kong Open
Japanese Tour – Dunlop Phoenix

In years gone by this is the time of year when golf tournaments became very thin on the ground. For this reason it was called the ‘silly season’ with limited field events such as father/son competitions. Thankfully nowadays there are still normally two full field events per week up until Christmas. Next week sees just the two events in the Far East, although if you fancy betting on something in the States, Skybet have priced up all the Stage II PGA Q school and the final stage of the Champions Q school where value can sometimes be found.

The Dunlop Phoenix event in Japan is the first event on their schedule where some of the bigger stars from around the world join the regular Japanese tour players. Next week Ed Molinari defends his title and plays alongside Robert Karlsson, Robert Allenby and even Tom Watson will put in an appearance. With less events being staged, more bookmakers price up the Japanese Tour, so look for any price differences. There are three bookies who price up this tour all year round and have greater knowledge namely Skybet, Bet365 and Stan James, the rest will either be relying on those three or will try and price it up themselves

Good luck with your bets!

Ian.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Best Regards,

Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!