The Weekend Wager

Posted on January 30, 2010 by  

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.


1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve’s Non League

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1. Mike Says..


In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Only a brief update this week as I have been very busy beavering away on the latest issue of the Secret Betting Club, which is out later on this Friday.

As well as producing these issues, we also release the latest tipster tables which compare the records of over 40 proofed services that we monitor

I always find it fascinating to see the the exact stats on who has made a pile of cash recently or who has stunk the place out. You would be amazed how often these kind of comparitive figures help you get a real perspective on whats really going on. It’s very easy during winning and losing runs alike to lose track of this bigger picture.

Thinking about our Tipster Report Spreadsheet made me recall a visit to my bank this week where I found myself sat with a woman who was apparently a ‘personal wealth assistant’ (whatever such a person does!). It quickly became clear that ‘personal’ referred to her sales technique and ‘wealth’ was in relation to the bank, not myself! She was very keen for me to put my money in one of her banks investment plans. For over 30 minutes I sat there while she showed me random bits of paper and generally proceeded to try and confuse me with all the different ways I could invest.

The problem was, when I asked to see any supporting spreadsheets, records or documents that I could take away and analyse with my decision, she could not help me out. Even some basic questions such as ‘whats the worst historical loss of this particular fund?’ or the ‘average return over a period of years’ could not be answered.

Thats why I think our Tipster Report Spreadsheet is so useful as it basically gives you all these kind of stats (and more) so helps you make a more informed decision on where you put your money.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop
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2. The Next Week in Betting


Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

This week, all the attention will be on Andy Murray’s huge match in the final of the Australian Open. Despite the timezone difference, there will no doubt will be a large number of bleary eyed people back in the UK cheering him on. As I write this, Roger Federer has just won his semi-final and is the 8/13 favourite to win for the 4th time. Murray however is a best priced 6/4 with both Boylesports and Expekt to be the first Brit to win a Grand Slam since Dinosaurs roamed the earth.

Football wise, there is plenty still being said about the Manchester derby in midweek and both teams feature again on Sunday, with Citeh’ hosting Pompey and Sir Alex’s men away at Arsenal.

Man City are of most interest value wise for me, as despite the heartache suffered in midweek, they will surely have too much for a dispirited Portsmouth who have all kinds of problems on and off the pitch. At only around 1.3 to win the bookies think so too, but I fancy them with a -1.25 Asian Handicap with Stan James at 1.72.

Speaking of Pompey, it looks more likely every day that a 10 pt penalty will soon apply for entering administration and you can get 1.9 (10/11) on them finishing rock bottom with Corals, which could be worth a pop.

Elsewhere I’m also going to weigh in on Spurs to take something away at in-form Birmingham. They can be backed with a 0 ball Asian Handicap (Draw insurance) at 1.69 with Similarly Fulham have a rock solid home record and the same 0 AH bet is on offer with 12bet at 1.93, which suggests value to me.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!


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3. Herbie Goes Racing


Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

Betfair Trophy Chase Handicap (G3), 2.05pm Cheltenham, Saturday 30/01/10

And so all eyes are on Cheltenham, albeit sands Denman, as the glorious Festival trials day hoves into view.

I’m very keen on Cheltenham handicaps, and especially ones that tend to return low-weighted winners. It suggests they go too fast and struggle to get home (which of course they do), so weight matters more than usual. Suffice to say it’s a theme that appears at the Festival itself.

The last 8 winners of this race were all aged 8 or 9, so experience counts and a blend of horses won from improvers, to in-form and the odd exposed type. In terms of SP it’s a mixed bag with most winners returning between 4/1 to 9/1, with two at 14 and 16. Favourites last took this in 2001 & 2003 – and one of these in a year that bucked the trends. Winning course form has been surprisingly absent (1 ‘C’ in the last 9); although not a complete surprise when it’s weight that counts.

The last 5 winners shouldered: 10-0, 10-7, 10-3, 10-4, 10-3. Before that we had the aforementioned trend-bucking 11-12 (from the Martin Pipe yard – an exposed runner, gradually down the weights and a course specialist prepared ‘to the minute’), and before that a Henrietta Knight improver in heavy ground under 11-10. Apart from those it’s been a maximum of 10-9 all the way since 2000. When Pipe won, he beat a Jonjo horse carrying 10-4 by a neck. Last year the first three home carried 10-7 or less.

Put this all together, and the obvious conclusion is that an 8 or 9 year old, carrying 10-9 (at the very most) or less with a good stamina profile is by far the most likely winner. To this we must scan the classier higher weights for something too good to set aside – and that is where we run into a another entry from the ever-competitive Pipe yard, Seven Is My Number.

The short-list looks like this: Seven Is My Number, Akilak, Nycteos & Fit To Drive.

In no particular order, Fit To Drive was going well here when coming down 2 out in the Victor Chandler on testing ground, where the pace had been strong. He’s never fallen before, the going is due to be soft and under 10-4 he looks a more than reasonable candidate.

Strange to see Paul Nicholls slipping one in at the bottom of the handicap (the Nicholls way is surely top weight and be damned) – but then I doubt if even he knows what this one will do. Nycteos did manage to win around here over fences way back in April 2007, and has since been a mixed bag over hurdles, UR the last twice. For the yard he’s clearly a shot to nothing, if he’s on a going day he could easily be a live proposition and if not then everyone’s had a nice day out.

And to that we have Akilak, who came 2nd in this last year, not beaten far (2.5 lengths) in very testing ground. He was actually rated a little higher, but carried 1lb less than he’s due to in this. The yard are in great form, the Maniac takes 3lb off and he’s had one of those quiet preps that all of a sudden looks like they’ve had this in mind for a while.

Then there is Seven Is My Number, who just can’t stop winning over fences on all kinds of ground, trip and track. The thing is I think he is still better than his mark, but possibly not now by all that much. I don’t think being 5lbs or 7lbs in is probably going to be enough to take this.

I do however think that the winner is very likely to come from our short-list. Personally I would back 2 of the low weights and cover the other one. Personally I will back Fit To Drive, get up early grab the Racing Post and see what Nicholl’s has to say about his and decide from there. Or failing that sign up for the free Members’ report at Key Racing News, have a lie in and I’ll sort it all out for you.

Fit To Drive, 2pt win

Nycetos / Akilak, 1.5pt win & 0.5pt covering bet (we’ll decide tomorrow).

Bon chance,


Visit Key Racing News

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender


Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

There have certainly been a few strange results recently. What has happened to Leeds? They are superb in the Cup and are hopeless in the league! Celtic lose at home for the first time this season and hand Rangers a 10 point lead at the top of the SPL. Whilst Charlton take pity on Leeds’ woes and lose their first home game of the campaign against lowly Leyton Orient. It certainly can be a funny old game, sometimes.

The most likely home win of the weekend, according to my ratings, is Rangers to beat Falkirk. Surely this game won’t spring any surprises to the SPL tale, will it?

The five most likely home winners this weekend are: Rangers, Notts Co, Southampton, Charlton, and Liverpool, in that order.

There are some games where the better teams are not necessarily in better form. This can often be the source of surprise results. These home teams should be treated with caution: Leeds 1.67 (v Colchester), Aldershot 1.67 (v Grimsby), Carlisle 2.00 (v Leyton Orient), and QPR 1.73 (v Scunthorpe).

It’s probably not a wise move to bet against those home teams, but backing them could be a touch risky.

Winabobatoo provides a full list of Match and Form ratings for all games played in the top 5 English leagues along with the SPL. Membership is full at the moment but you can reserve a place on my waiting list by visiting the website.

Until next Friday, have a very good week.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Skeeve’s Non League


Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another profitable free pick last weekend, York won 1:0 at Cambridge, but it wasn’t the best week at Skeeve picks and I’m currently at -14.4 in January. I’ve never recieved so much hate-mail on my birthday and sometimes you really have to have nerves of steel in this business, but that’s how it goes when you’re on a bad run – suddenly everything you do is wrong and no one wants to be your friend anymore. That’s where the mantra comes in: ‘Good and bad runs are both perfectly normal’. Yeah, you’ll say, but what if I lost it? What if the ‘value’ isn’t there anymore? What if I’ve lost the motivation? So much pressure. I feel like… Well, not exactly killing myself, but working harder than ever – that tactics have never failed me before. Here’s one of the six picks I’ve sent to my clients a few hours ago.





Luton – Ebbsfleet OVER 2.5 GOALS  (2.00 @Bet365) 5 units

2.00 for OVER 2.5 GOALS in a game between in-form Luton, one of the four biggest promotion candidates if you ask me (along with Stevenage, Oxford and York – and I wouldn’t be surprised if Wimbledon manage to grab that last play-off spot) and struggling Ebbsfleet, an extreme OVER team. Take a look at Ebbsfleet’s league results. That’s ten consecutive OVERs (0:3 at Ebbsfleet, 2:1 vs Mansfield, 2:1 vs Stevenage, 2:4 at Oxford, 2:1 vs Grays, 2:4 at Hayes, 3:0 at Grays, 1:2 to Altrincham, 1:2 to Kettering, 4:3 vs Forest Green) and yes, they had a couple of easier opponents lately, but if we take a look at their games away at top-ten teams only, we can see that all but one game produced at least three goals (0:3 at Stevenage, 0:3 at Mansfield, 0:3 at Kettering, 0:4 at Cambridge, 0:1 at York, 0:3 at Wimbledon, 2:4 at Oxford) – and York could’ve scored a lot more goals, that was just one of those days. They scored 19 goals in the last nine league games and conceded 18, lost 1:3 to Maidstone in a midweek Kent Cup game with a weakened team and I wouldn’t be surprised if Vieira scores a goal or two at Luton, he scored seven in the last two months (let’s not forget they also have Ashikodi and Shakes upfront).

Luton are of course extreme favorites, but we still get 2.00 for OVER 2.5 GOALS? Why, you ask? Probably because they have three consecutive UNDERs, but those were three away games – Luton actually have five OVERs in their last six home games (3:3 vs Rochdale in the FA Cup, 2:2 vs Cambridge, 0:1 to Kettering, 3:0 vs Rotherham in the FA Cup, 4:1 vs Eastbourne). They were a much better team in a midweek game away at Histon (won 2:0, eleven shots on target compared to Histon’s three), even more dangerous in their last home game (4:1 vs Eastbourne, twelve shots on target) and three of their four games against bottom-six teams produced three or more goals (2:1 vs Gateshead, 0:0 vs Chester back in August, 3:0 vs Grays, 4:1 vs Eastbourne). Anything better than 1.75 looks great to me and 2.00 is superb value indeed.

(2.01 for OVER 2.5 at The Greek btw, 2.00 also at Bwin and SBO and also at Paddy Power btw, 1.98 at 188bet and Ladbrokes, 1.95 at Will Hill, 1.94 at Pinnacle and also at Canbet btw…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website


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