The Weekend Wager

Posted on August 22, 2009 by  

Welcome to this the latest ‘Weekend Wager’ free betting column produced by Mike Bishop from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles and reviews on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article we put together is also listed at our member’s website Money Maker Review.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing

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1. Mike Says

It is amazing to see how far betting has come on in recent years and nowhere have these major changes been highlighted more than when it comes to the concept of betting bots. Just the thought of allowing a computer to place your bets (and hopefully make you a profit) would have been wishful thinking only a few years ago. That though is the reality these days and there are currently plenty of affordable solutions to help automate your betting out there.

We have spent some time at the Secret Betting Club reviewing some of the market leaders in the area of Betting Bots in the past such as Bet Angel Pro, Bet Bot Pro & Grey Horse Bot. Each of these offer a different level of options for automating your betting depending on the depth to which you wish to get involved. Everything from using the bot to place a bet at a certain time to trading all the horses in each race just like you would a share price can be catered for. Indeed these days when I get into a discussion about my livelihood – that is making money betting, I often use the comparison with stock market trading. Helps to educate people that betting professionally is often no different to those who work in the financial trading field. The only difference that we trade numbers in relation with horses or humans, rather than stocks and shares.

Back on topic though and this week we have also taken the betting bot research further by looking to looking into yet another program that we will be reviewing in full in our next issue (out Monday the 31st). The interesting angle for this bot is that we have been developing a method to automate the following of bets from a tipster service we currently feature. This approach uses both the bot and an Excel spreadsheet to plug in with it that will enable members to follow the supplied tips automatically. All in all, it might just be the perfect way to bet with the minimum of fuss!

If you use Betfair and are keen to automate your bets, do keep an eye out for more on this development over coming weeks.

Mike Bishop
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2. The Next Week In Betting

Football returned with a bang at the top level last week with a number of shock results such as Arsenal’s 6-1 demolition of Everton and Man Utd’s defeat away to Burnley. Sir Alex’s loss was the most interesting as last season United lost just one game to a team outside the ‘big 4’, which was away to Fulham. To compare, Chelsea lost just one game to a non top 4 team (Spurs), whilst Liverpool lost to both Boro and Spurs and Arsenal were beaten 5 times. Just goes to show the superiority of these teams and how important the wins by Spurs (at home to Liverpool) and Burnley actually were.

Could it be therefore that the gap between the ‘big 4’ and the chasing pack has narrowed somewhat over the close season? You can get 6/4 with Skybet that the big 4 will be broken up this year. Alternatively you can lay Man Utd, Chelsea, Arsenal & Liverpool all at under 1.5 to not finish there this year or back Man City (6/4 Skybet), Spurs (4/1 Skybet) or even Aston Villa (33/1 Skybet) to take their place. That 33/1 on Villa looks way too big for my money and if Martin O’Neill can sign replacements for Laursen & Barry in the next few weeks, this may look a decent punt.

To continue the Big 4 watch, this weekend sees them all priced up at short odds, with Arsenal an extremely prohibitive 1/5 to beat Portsmouth. Whilst Arsenal were impressive last week you do have to wonder how much of it was down to how poor Everton were. Bearing in mind Portsmouth’s game plan so far this season is to draw every game 0-0, I think there are better ways to make 20% interest than take those odds.

As its early in the season I like to keep my bets fairly small but I am not sure whether Wolves should be as large as 11/1 (Bet365) to win away at Man City. Sure, Mark Hughes’s team beat Blackburn away but they didn’t run away with the game and may well be inconsistent as their new team beds in. Wolves with a +1.25 Asian Handicap with Ladbrokes at 2.18 may also appeal more.

Formula One returns this weekend after a few weeks break for the European Grand Prix over in Valencia. Lewis Hamilton leads the markets prior to qualifying at a best priced 11/4 with Boylesports, with Jenson Button trailing in as 4th favourite at 13/2 with the same bookmaker. If either of the Red Bull drivers can finish ahead of Button, then its game on in terms of the Drivers Championship, where both Vettel and Webber have seen plenty of market support.

This weekend there is also the last few days of the World Championship Athletics from Berlin where Usain Bolt continues to be the focus of everyone’s attention. Not surprisingly Jamaica are the 1/3 faves with Bet365 to take the 4X100m relay race.

Good luck with whatever you’re having a punt on this week.

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3. Herbie Goes Racing

The Solario Stakes (Group 3), 7 furlongs, Sandown Sat 22nd August, 2.40pm

With recent exception of Raven’s Pass in 2007, who annihilated his field, The Solario isn’t normally a race which has much bearing on Classic prospects. That said it usually attracts it’s fair share of useful juvenile performers, generally facing their first really stiff test, and who go on to successfully ply their trade at or around this level.

The trends are interesting here as there is a strong preference for horses raced from the front or prominently, with hold up tactics successful in only 2 of the last 13 renewals, and not since Foss Way in 2002. So we are looking for a classy smooth travelling individual, raced handily with a strong turn of foot.

Of several nice types Shakespearean might find this least to his liking, he’s a dour galloping hold up type and they seem unlikely to go fast enough for him early doors. He is interesting as a Shamardal first crop and seems likely to be better suited to 1m plus and is best watched.

Another who looks like he may appreciate further is Simenon, who beat (some say fortuitously) Brian Meehan’s promising Timely Jazz at Newmarket when Robert Winstone got into trouble with the knitting. That looks like decent form but below what one might expect to pick this up.

A horse I like is Prompter. Racing Post were dismissive of his run at Chester, Timeform much less so and I tend to side with the latter. He beat Tominator fair and square that day who hacked up next time out in a decent maiden. Prompter travels like a good thing, he is balanced with an excellent stride and just a really likeable type.

He’s drawn out wide here with Black Spirit who is a horse who is potentially interesting and may have a bit more to show us. By co-incidence Black Spirit beat none other than Prompter in his one race to date, albeit with the benefit of the rail, and by all accounts Clive Cox had left something to work on. Expect the market to be instructive here.

But for my money none of these are likely to beat Godolphin’s Buzzword, last seen finishing at a considerable rate of knots behind Dick Turpin in the Group 2 Richmond Stakes. At Goodwood he found himself hemmed in with nowhere to go – but Frankie is likely to keep this son of Pivotal handy from an excellent draw and he brings by far the best form to the table with a host of plum late season Group entries to his name.

If he opens anywhere around even money he’ll represent excellent value and ideal material if you have something else to partner up for win double.

Buzzword – 2 points win.

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit The Herbie Fogg Website

Catch Herbie on twitter @herbiefogg
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