The Weekend Wager

Posted on May 14, 2010 by  

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. A Little Birdie Says

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

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  • The Place Laying Tipster who has made a 81 pt profit over the past 20 months.

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1. Mike Says..

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In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

This week I want to touch briefly on the topic of betting systems as recently I have noticed a whole swathe of them popping up on the Internet, all baying for your cash.

Betting systems in my experience are like marmite (or vegemite for our Aussie readers), in that we either love or hate them and very often punters will be divided over how important they can be. Personally I love them, but only up to a point as whether they are focused on racing, football or water-polo, you really have to be so fussy about what you follow in.

Actually putting together a system that works on paper is pretty easy, the hard part is getting it to work with real money over a prolonged period of time. The selectivity comes in when you need to check out which systems actually are kosher and haven’t been curve-fitted to generate unrealistic profits. By curve-fitting I mean for example racing systems that with no apparent reason suggest you follow horses of all age ranges except for 5 year olds. There is no logic to such a ruling except for blatant curve-fitting.

Even worse in my eyes are those systems that are thrown together because they seem to make logical sense, applying a whole bunch of seemingly sensible filters to picking out a football or racing bet.

The problem is very often so many of these systems have no proven past results that actually state they work and it’s just the author assuming that they do. Following any system based simply on assumptions is a very quick way to the poorhouse. You are probably better off just going into the garden and burning a bunch of tenners!

I wanted to highlight this issue again this week as unfortunately there are plenty very dodgy systems that continually pop up month-in, month out. Very often they are here for just a few weeks, are expertly marketed and appear very genuine indeed. It can be very hard indeed to know exactly what to believe and I hate to see anyone being ripped off like this!

If you find yourself in this predicament of not knowing the systems to trust, then do stop to consider our service at the Secret Betting Club. We are wise to many of the system scams and also a good number that are worthy of your time and attention.

Don’t forget that our service also comes with a full money back guarantee so you can always try us out safe in the knowledge that you wont be out of pocket if you don’t like us (Although we doubt that will be the case!)

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

(P.S. Keep an eye out for all our new singing and dancing SBC website, coming very very soon!)

2. The Next Week in Betting

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Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Most of the football leagues have now drawn to a close, but over the next couple of months there is still going to be plenty worth betting upon with the World Cup to look forward to especially.

This weekend the main event is the FA Cup Final, which sees Chelsea an extremely short 1/5 best priced (Ladbrokes, Paddy) to beat relegated Portsmouth. With such a lack of value, focus needs to shift onto other markets to see if we can spot something of worth. The 6/1 on Portsmouth’s Aruna Dindane with Ladbrokes to score at anytime stands out to me as a bit of a rick. He is Didier Drogba’s Ivory Coast striking partner, has a good record of late and is expected to play.

For those of you who like to play the Asian Handicap markets you can also back Chelsea to overcome the -2 line at a best priced 1.90 with Pinnacle Sports. Should they win by 2 or more goals, the bet wins and perfect for those of you confident on them racking up a huge score similar to their recent 8-0 and 7-0 victories.

World Cup fever also continues to build and you can check on the odds here for those announced in the 30 man initial squad to make the final 23 cut for South Africa. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 1 or 2 shock announcements make it and perhaps its worth considering any of Scott Parker (3/1), Darren Bent (7/2), Shaun Wright-Philips (3/1) or Michael Dawson (7/4).

Another shock this week has been England’s cricket team as they have cruised through to Sunday’s 20-20 world cup final in the West Indies. They will line-up against either the Aussies or Pakistan who face off today in the 2nd semi-final. I expect Australia to have more than enough for Shahid Afridi’s team and it should make for an intriguing final, especially considering the fact that England have never won a ‘World Cup’ tournament! You can back them to buck this trend at a best priced 11/10 (across the board). I think they might just win it as well so it could be time to book the open-topped bus for the celebrations!

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

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3. Herbie Goes Racing

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Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, the ingenious punters aid – which delivers key market indicators and a host of useful information free of charge to your inbox, by 8am on Saturdays and main race days. Racing news…with a difference.

Totepool Aston Park Stakes (Listed), 2pm Newbury Sat 15th

All recent winners were priced 8/1 or less (14/14), and the vast majority had a prior top 4 finish in a Pattern race. The winner is invariably from a top flat yard and BHA rated 102+

Our short-list is: Claremont, Heliodor & Sabotage.

No word on the Godolphin pair from the gallops, Claremont sports a first time visor and has a host of G1 entries (Coronation Cup, Ascot Gold Cup, Irish St Leger) so clearly they hope he’s going places. Ditto Sabotage who has virtually all the same, and it’s interesting to see them being weighed in opposition to each other – no doubt, the first of many. The Hannon team think Heliodor comes here with a live chance and is up to winning a Group prize this year.

There doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of pace on here and Heliodor will be buried mid div and held up since those tactics went down well at Newmarket last time up. On the face of it the shape of the race looks slightly against him, he’s never managed to look convincing in better company and is somewhat exposed. Meanwhile Claremont was an uncomfortable looking 3rd behind Jukebox Jury last seen out (hence the visor) where he was also keen. He’d be hard to fancy on the basis of that form, especially as his best for Andre Fabre was on softer ground.

Sabotage was last seen on the 2 mile turf course at Meydan picking up a valuable conditions race in good style on gd-firm. He gets a lot further than a mile five and Frankie may choose to inject a bit of pace and play to his stamina. That would put Heliodor back in the frame, give him some pace and something to run at. The Hannon yard are in great form and with their later season approach you always feel Godolphin will be vulnerable in a race like this – it’s been 10 years since they took it.

Others:

In the Lockinge we have the excellent prospect of the fully matured Zacinto taking on a fully primed Paco Boy. We all saw what Paco did recently, where he looked like a horse who is going to be a big threat in G1’s all season. Zacinto has been sparkling on the gallops – he put pulled well clear of Confront in a July Course prep (described as ‘electrifying’) and impressed again on the Al Bahathri last Saturday. Paco Boy was disappointing here last year but seemed a little off beforehand and was found to have an infected foot. Of course it was none other than Confront that he put firmly in his place at Sandown. There’s probably not much in and if you want to play in a race like this I think you’re probably best off simply taking the bigger price.

Elsewhere on the card one you might want to keep an eye out for is Richard Hannon’s Plume in the 4.15, 7fl Handicap. They really fancy this one and when it’s at Newbury (or Goodwood) that’s always something you to want to sit up and take notice of. Essentially they rate her a Pattern class horse masquerading as a handicapper off a mark of 80. I’ll hand you over to the great man himself:

“Plume has to be right there in the seven furlong handicap. She is still only rated 80 and we think that she is much better than that. She was working terrific a month ago and the Guineas was still very much in our minds, but she scoped badly so had to miss the race. She is right back on track at home, and if she is as good as we think she is she has to go close”.

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit Key Racing News

4. A Little Birdie Says…

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Roger Green of the Birdie Golf tipster service is the latest contributor to the Weekend Wager. Previously supplying advice under the Tipping Legends banner, he has been providing golf tips since 1987 and has spent his entire life working in the golf industry.

We are now approaching the busy time for golf with quality tournaments and good betting opportunities coming up on both sides of the Atlantic.

20-23rd May – The BMW PGA Champ at Wentworth. A prize fund of a mere 4.5M Euros!
27-30 May – Madrid Masters.
03-06 June – Celtic Manor Welsh Open Very interesting as of course this is the venue for the Ryder Cup in October.
03-06 June – The Memorial at Muirhead Village Ohio Quality event, but it will be interesting to see if any US players turn up at Celtic Manor if they are on the fringe of the US team
17-20 June – US Open at Pebble Beach California

Looking at the prize fund at Wentworth it really is amazing how much an “average” pro golfer can earn. I am not being rude if I call the following list “average”, of course they are top golfers but not by any means world beaters!

The figures are quite staggering really:-

Graeme Storm & Stephen Dodd nearly 4M Euros career earnings todate

John Bickerton & David Lynn nearly 5M Euros

Barry Lane & Bradley Dredge nearly 7M euros

David Howell nearly 10M euros

I always check the stats for both tours and interesting to see that Alvaro Quiros currently leads the European Tour stats for longest drive at 306.2 yards. I would recommend you also do make a note of the 3rd guy in the stats with an average drive of 304.4 yards, we have Seung-yul-Noh.
This Korean is just 19 yrs and is certainly one to keep an eye on!

If you have any points you wish to discuss re golf or golf betting, subscriptions etc. , please do not hesitate to contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…
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