The Weekend Wager

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Herbie Goes Racing
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

The latest edition of the Secret Betting Club newsletter was released on Wednesday the 31st March.

Below is just a sample of what you can find in this latest issue…

• The excellent looking racing tipster who supplies advice the night before racing and has a fine long-term record. Perfect for those of you who work during the day!
• A look at doubles betting, how to make it work and also make your money go further. Includes our advice how to find the best odds for doubles betting.
• How to use the under/over goals market in the Premier League to find value bets
• A full guide to betting on your iPhone, how it can help and the apps and websites you need to know about.
• PLUS all our stats on tipster performance in our special report including…
  The laying service that has made 365 points profit in the last 12 months.
  The racing tipster who has made a 63% return on investment in the last 6 months.
  The football service that has made over 200 pts profit this season alone (20%+ ROI)

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1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Mike will return with his usual column next week…

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

A big sporting weekend ahead with both the Grand National and Golf Masters taking place, which both Herbie Fogg and Birdie Golf have covered excellently further on in this email.

That leaves me to highlight the other big events, namely the FA Cup semi-finals, which take place at Wembley on Saturday and Sunday. The first one sees Chelsea take on Aston Villa only 2 weeks after they humbled them 7-1 and they are now as short as 1.6 with Expekt to win once again. Its hard to see beyond Chelsea after their resurgence of late but whether you would go in so short is up for debate.

In the other game we have an even shorter favourite with Spurs a best 1.33 with Unibet to beat a Portsmouth side who have shown resilience of late in the face of real adversity on and off the pitch. Pompey will benefit from a number of key players returning but still its hard to see them upsetting the form book here.

Onto the Premier League we have a reduced card with only 6 games taking place this weekend. There are two key relegation battles with Hull 1.78 (Pinnacle) to beat a woeful Burnley team and West Ham in dire need of 3 points at home to Sunderland (the hammers are a best 2.1 with Stan James).

The Hull – Burnley game looks very much the archetypal ‘2 bald men fighting over a comb’ game (to borrow a phrase from the excellent Greg Gordon) as neither side is realistically good enough to stay up this season. I expect Hull to win but if they are as dire as when away at Stoke last week, then its hard to have too much confidence in them at an odds-on price.

The game that interests me is at Blackburn, where they face a out of sorts Man United side. Ewood Park has been turned into a fortress of sorts for Blackburn who have not lost there this year and over the course of this season, Big Sam has developed a strong team, with some talented players coming through. Considering the likes of Chelsea could only pick up a point there recently the 2.09 +1 Asian Handicap on Blackburn with SBObet looks value to me.

Elsewhere we also have the battle of the Europa League semi-finalists where I fancy Liverpool to easily have far too much for a likely weakened Fulham outfit. However the 1.33 best price on them to take all 3 points is far too short for me, but for the more confident of you, the -1.5 AH on the home team at around 1.90 could be worth an interest.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

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3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Stoke won last weekend for us but Plymouth did a smash and grab at Doncaster and upset the double unfortunately.

Finding Value amongst the good teams playing at home this weekend seems quite difficult. The best prices aren’t with the same bookmakers, so it makes betting for Value amongst the doubles quite hard.

In the circumstances, I’ll be better off giving you a single win bet at a decent price.
Hearts aren’t world-beaters this season but they look too good for Kilmarnock in the SPL. I suspect one goal will be enough for Hearts as Kilmarnock have only scored 4 goals in 17 matches on their travels. Hearts have scored 17 at home in 15 games.
They’re available at 1.91 with Corals.

Hearts should win just over 56% of the time, which makes their true odds around 1.79.
Recommended single: Hearts to beat Kilmarnock.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

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4. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

John Smith’s Grand National Handicap Chase (G3), Aintree – 4.15pm Saturday, 27th March

We carry a comprehensive free Grand National guide at Key Racing News – with the pattern of weights shifting the quick pick section looks as if it’s fast becoming obsolete, but the ‘detailed pick’ system should be as strong as ever:

View the system here

After phase 1, the qualifiers for 2010 are: Snowy Morning, Big Fella Thanks, State Of Play, Character Building & Arbor Supreme.

In phase 2 we analyse the jumping record. 2 career falls eliminates Snowy Morning, 2 ‘unseated rider’ in 10 starts over fences removes Big Fella Thanks.

Of the remainder, Arbour Supreme and Character Building were bred in Ireland. My recommendation is to treble stakes on Irish bred compared to horses bred elsewhere.

State Of Play, 1pt win (20/1 with Hills or Ladbrokes)
Arbour Supreme, 3pt win (circa 20/1 Betfair)
Character Building, 3pt win (circa 20/1 Betfair)

I have also analysed the each way market for an option in this sphere and have found a further selection – a good trends match too, and certainly over-priced: King John’s Castle, currently 33/1. A close up 4th in this 2 years ago on good ground from 2lbs lower – he’s had a quiet prep and remains potentially well-treated against his best form.

King John’s Castle, 1pt each way (33/1 generally)

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit Key Racing News

5. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another four points lost last weekend unfortunately, let’s hope I chose the right bet (out of four picks I’ve sent to my clients a couple of hours ago) to be the free pick for the Weekend Wager readers this time.

cheers,
skeeve

10/ 4/2010

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

Tamworth – (-1) LUTON 2  (2.04 @SBO) 4 units

Tamworth are actually on a pretty nice run, only one defeat and two wins in the last six, but that could actually help us with this bet – Tamworth won’t get relegated which means this isn’t exactly ‘to be or not to be in the Blue Square Premier next season’ match for them. If we take a look at Tamworth’s home games against top ten teams, we’ll only see one win (a shock 1:0 win against league leaders Stevenage two months ago), two draws (a goalless draw with on/off Oxford, 2:2 vs Wimbledon back in September) and as much as six defeats (2:3 to York, 0:1 to Rushden, 1:3 to Kettering, 0:1 to Crawley, 2:4 to Mansfield, 0:2 to Altrincham). They’re not really scoring a lot of goals at home, only 1.1 per home game, they’re one of the worst home teams in the league (only seven wins out of twenty home games) and, after all, this isn’t that confused Luton that barely managed to beat them 2:1 in October – this is a scary new Luton that trashes their opponents and scoring dozens of goals for fun. Luton have nine consecutive wins (3:2 at Hayes, 2:1 vs Forest Green, 1:0 vs Wrexham, 3:1 vs Kidderminster, 6:1 at Ebbsfleet, 8:0 vs Hayes, 4:0 vs Salisbury, 1:0 at Stevenage, 6:0 vs Grays), they’re the best away team in the league (only three away defeats so far – only one of those happened after September) and if we take a look at their away games at bottom ten teams, we can see one draw (1:1 at Salisbury back in September) and as much as eight wins (2:0 at Grays, 6:1 at Ebbsfleet, 1:0 at Forest Green, 1:0 at Eastbourne, 1:0 at Gateshead, 1:0 at Barrow, 2:0 at Histon, 3:2 at Hayes). Yep, plenty of narrow 1:0 wins, but not lately, they’ve been scoring a lot more goals in the last few weeks (34 goals scored in the last nine games!) and a narrow away win seems like a worst case scenario. Anything better than 1.80 for this asian handicap (we get our four points back if Luton win by one goal exactly) looks great to me.

(2.02 at 12bet and Mansion88 btw, 2.00 at Bet365, Ladbrokes and also at Canbet btw, 1.99 at Victor Chandler, 1.98 at Pinnacle, 1.97 at The Greek btw…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
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6. A Little Birdie Says…

Roger Green of the Birdie Golf tipster service is the latest contributor to the Weekend Wager. Previously supplying advice under the Tipping Legends banner, he has been providing golf tips since 1987 and has spent his entire life working in the golf industry.

US Masters after Day One

Last week, I told you that Tiger had been “living” at Augusta and practising like never before. The result is that he is 4 under after the first round and as short as 2/1 to win the tournament. One can only stand back and admire the man. Will he win? I just have a feeling that yesterday he was on a real high and the wonderful response from the crowd boosted his adrenalin. Tough to keep this going all week, and not backable at 2/1!

The Oldies

What about Tom Watson! -5 on day one, and 60 years of age. Great to see, but can he hang in there? Most unlikely.

A quick mention for Sandy Lyle who was -3 after day one, which is incredible as his game has been in the doldrums for years. Will surely slip down the leader board today

Fred Couples, who is leading on 6 under!  Now this guy can stay up with the pack. His golf on the Seniors tour in recent weeks has been top class and he is as short as 18/1 to win. Probably too many quality younger players around him in reality.

So where does the winner come from?

Phil Mickleson showed last week that form was returning and he is 5 under. Are we going to see Woods & Mickleson head to head on the final day?

Lee Westwood has had a great start and is also 5 under and 8/1 to win. Trouble with Lee is that he does not win as often as he should, and I cant help feeling he could end up a shot or two off the pace.

Ian Poulter is bang there at 4 under (one of my tips) so hopefully he will go on from here. Has the ability and confidence for sure. We are on at 40/1 and is now down to 14/1 in most books.

KJ Choi is 5 under and a real threat. His caddie, Andy Prodger is the making of this guy. Andy carried for Nick Faldo during his peak years!

Nick Watney is 4 under and has the ability to win. I put him up as one of my 10 to follow at the start of the year and his golf is on an upward curve.

YE Yang is 5 under and a major winner so no fears there. Schwartzel is 3 under and improves week on week. Can Kim win? Not sure he has the temperament to win the Masters.

So who wins?  The great thing about betting on golf is that it is a “race” that lasts 4 days!  You can bet in running, bet on the exchanges etc…

Lets be brave…We will leave out Woods & Mickleson. Also Westwood although he is top form. Level stakes on the following could provide the winner.

Poulter at 14/1
KJ Choi at 16/1
Nick Watney at 25/1
YE Yang at 28/1
Schwartzel at 28/1

Of course I hope that Poulter comes good or that our other pick, Ryan Moore shoots 6 under today!

Have fun watching and betting over the next 3 days. If you require any info about my birdie golf service, including subscriptions, please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk.

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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