The Weekend Wager – 13/11/09

Posted on November 13, 2009 by  

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Skeeve’s Non League
5. A Little Birdie Says..

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

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November’s edition of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now.
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1. Mike Says..

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In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

When the Secret Betting Club first started over 3 ½ years ago, the aim has always been the same – to find and share the best betting resources with our members. Over the past few years it’s been a pleasure to unearth some real gems and see our members also profit from them.

As the service has grown, so has the community of members. We’re proud of our forum as being an open place where members can share their thoughts and ask questions with confidence. We have seen many a forum ruined in the past by a few idiots who are only there to wind people up or to criticise.

One of the best things about our service being a club is that it’s allowed us to tap into the expertise of individual members. With the help of our members we can not only look into more tipsters/ systems than ever before, but we are also able to look at things from different angles.

At the moment we’ve recruited a few members to help us test the results of services such as Pricewise Extra and we’ve an active forum thread with members sharing their experience of ProbetsUK.

Our ‘panel of experts’ as we like to call it allow us to explore the possibilities in the betting world like never before.

If you want some feedback on a tipster or system, if we’ve not formally reviewed it, you can bet there’s a member who has something to say about it.

If you are keen to join our community and be a part of a group of like minded people all with the same focus – Making Money Betting, then join the Secret Betting Club today.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop
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2. The Next Week in Betting

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Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Another International Football break this week and regular readers will know i’m not a fan of betting on this area when it comes to friendly games. We do have some competitive action though with 4 two-legged world cup qualifier playoffs to sink our teeth into.

I expect a fantastic atmosphere at Croke Park on Saturday as the Irish take on France in a game they will be very confident of getting something from. The French quite simply don’t like it up em and Ireland are one of only 5 European teams who didn’t lose a game in qualifying.

Trap’s men are a best 21/10 with Bet365 to take this, whilst Les Bleus are 6/4 faves with the Tote. My own preference is for a low-scoring game but the under 2.5 goals line at a top 4/7 with Stan James looks a bit on the short side. Instead I like the look of Ireland to win to nil at 4/1 with Paddy Power.

Elsewhere in the playoffs Russia should have too much for Slovenia at home but offer little value at 4/11 with Stan James. The other game to take my eye is Bosnia who travel to Portugal in a game that wont be at all straight-forward for Carlos Queiroz’s men. I expect goals in this game as Bosnia have a fantastic attacking line-up and the 3/1 with Boylesports on them to qualify really appeals to me.

Its interesting to note as well the current odds for the World Cup (Oddschecker link here) with England looking a ridiculously short 6/1 3rd favourites to win it outright. Brazil & Spain naturally head the field but I think this will be quite a competitive tournament with plenty of dark-horses likely to come to the fore. The Ivory Coast (33/1), Chile (50/1), Serbia (66/1) and Ghana (80/1) all look decent teams at lively prices.

Moving on from football and England’s tour of South Africa starts today with the 20/20 International at the Wanderers ground. South Africa are as short as 8/15 with Boyle to win, which considering England’s injury problems looks very likely.

Once the 20/20 is out of the way the ubiquitous 5 game ODI tournament starts and it’s a testament to how poor England have been in this form of the game that South Africa are only 6/1 to whitewash them!

The bookies have been up to mischief though with a ‘Top English-born batsmen’ market, which actually only contains 4 people! To me the 11/5 on Paul Collingwood to take this looks excellent value in comparison to the others so this could well backfire on Stan James!

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

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3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

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Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Internationals this weekend, so Winabobatoo ratings are focussing on League One, League Two, and the Conference.

The Winabobatoo ratings provide Match Ratings, Form Ratings, and a comparison of Home Form versus Away Form. All of which help provide a full picture of the standings for each match. There are also important Value Ratings which show whether the odds on offer for the home, draw, or away win appear to represent good or bad Value.

Each aspect of Winabobatoo points Winabobatoo members in the direction of the long-term profitable bets. Winabobatoo membership is for the serious, possibly semi-professional type bettor, who spends at least a couple of hours a week getting involved with football betting.

A few examples of how Winabobatoo has been helping everyone since going public at the start of the 2006-07 season: Over 110 points profit to one point win bets on the recommended bets. Blindly following all cases with positive Value ratings has made over 174 points profit, and following Home teams with Form ratings of 100 or bigger and Away teams with Form ratings of -100 or lower have given 168.15 points profit. All returns are to one point single win bets.

The important point is that all bettors need to have a base method that gives them an advantage over the bookmakers, so you are starting from a position of strength rather than a position of weakness. This is what Winabobatoo is able to provide for its members. Unfortunately I don’t have any vacancies at Winabobatoo at the moment but I have some free downloads available from the website that will help you with your betting. It is unlikely that any vacancies will arise during the current football season but you can reserve a place on the waiting list for next season if you wish. Please click the website link below for more details.

The three highest rated Home form ratings this weekend are shown below:

The odds shown below are a guide only and were available prior to the same information being released to Winabobatoo Members on Thursday lunchtime.


In Form Home Teams

Date

Div

Home Team

Away Team

Form Rating

Odds Guide

14.11.09

Conf

Stevenage

Gateshead

194

1.40

14.11.09

L1

Hartlepool

Leyton Orient

158

1.91

14.11.09

L1

Norwich

Tranmere

123

1.40

In Form Away Teams

Date

Div

Home Team

Away Team

Form Rating

Odds Guide

Will appear here

Next week


Good luck with your bets.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

4. Skeeve’s Non League

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Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

The last free pick wasn’t succesful unfortunately (Lewes’ goalkeeper has put in a match-of-the-season performance), but it was a pretty big week at Skeeve picks nevertheless – I’ve broken the +500 points profit barrier for the first time; that’s +197 points profit in 2009, +2.97 points profit after four November bets (17.4% RoI). Btw, don’t say you weren’t warned, the waiting list will be open untill November 30th and then closed for the rest of the season. Here’s one of the six weekend bets I’ve sent to my clients a couple of hours ago:

14/11/2009

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

Grays – LUTON 2  (1.80 @Ladbrokes) 4 units

Nothing new at Grays since last weekend, when they’ve lost 1:3 to Chester at home and brought us a couple of units profit. They’re still in the relegation zone (Gateshead and Hayes, two newcomers, now both have three points more than Grays and a much better goal-difference) – that’s only two wins so far (1:0 vs Eastbourne in the first week of the season, 2:0 vs Cambridge back in September), four defeats and a draw in the last five (0:5 at Oxford, 1:2 at Wrexham, 0:3 at the very same Luton, 3:3 vs Barrow, 1:3 to Chester), as much as sixteen goals conceded in the last five. Their recent revolving-door policy has now been replaced with a you’re-fired policy – nine players have been released in the last couple of weeks and their manager says that ‘there could be more departures’.

Changes are needed at Grays and they’re not total outsiders in the Blue Square Premier just yet, but this time they’re entertaining mighty Luton who have just trashed mighty Rochdale away from home in the FA Cup midweek replay. Their legs could be a bit tired and I don’t expect a big win, but the team that wants to bounce right back in the league and that has four consecutive away wins (4:3 at Cambridge, 2:1 at Kidderminster, 1:0 at Altrincham, 2:0 at Rochdale in the FA Cup), away at much more dangerous teams than Grays, should be able to win this comfortably, even if the players take their foots off the gas a bit. After all, it was 3:0 for Luton in the FA Cup a few weeks ago and Grays haven’t really improved in the meantime. These odds should be 1.65 max.

(1.79 at Pinnacle and also at 10Bet btw, 1.77 at Bet365, 1.76 at 188bet, 1.75 at Victor Chandler and also at Begawin, Betsson and Gamebookers, 1.73 at Blue Square, Bwin, Paddy Power, Skybet…)

cheers,
skeeve

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

5. A Little Birdie Says…

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Roger Green of the Birdie Golf tipster service is the latest contributor to the Weekend Wager. Previously supplying advice under the Tipping Legends banner, he has been providing golf tips since 1987 and has spent his entire life working in the golf industry.

Disappointing news for The European Tour this week was the announcement that Rory McIlroy is to play most of his golf on the US PGA Tour next year. This is a real body blow for the tour as many people reckon that Rory will emerge as a serious challenger to Tiger Woods in the years to come.

There is always a lot of hype when a young “star” comes to the fore, but this guy really is destined for the top in my opinion. He is certainly the best talent at his age that I have seen in nearly 30 years being in contact with golf tournaments, with the exception of course being Tiger. There is no doubt that Tiger is the best there ever has been, the equivalent of AP McCoy in NH racing

Back to Rory, his manager Chubby Chandler, has decided quite rightly that if his player wants to compete at the highest level he has to compete in the States on courses that are set up to play low scoring golf. I am afraid it has to be the route if you want to compete in the majors.

Colin Montgomerie is a classic example of a world class golfer that has never won a major. Many would suggest that is because he stayed in Europe and won the order of merit year after year. Would he have won a major if he had played his golf in the States?  Probably, as his beautiful rhythmic swing would have been well rewarded on fairways that are largely bermuda grass. This grass enables golfers to get maximum back spin and rewards target golf.

Who will be next seasons major player in Europe?

Justin Rose, Ian Poulter are both Florida based and only make rare visits to Europe..Ross Fisher is now top class (was in contention in 3 majors this year and had a good chance of winning them all! ). Surly Fisher will be off to the states as well.

At this time of the year I produce my 10 golfers to follow in the coming year for players from both tours. I usually manage to find a few dark horses that win for us at rewarding odds. Quiros at 80/1 and Ryan Moore at 66/1 come to mind.

Next week I will give a detailed biography of 2 of my 10 to follow next year.

As always only to pleased to answer any questions on golf, golf betting and/or tipping
Please mail me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

Thats all for today! Have a great weekend…
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