The Weekend Wager

Posted on February 27, 2010 by  

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..
7. This Weeks Risk Free Bet

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1. Mike Says..


In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Just a quick column this week as its end of the month time, which means we are just about to publish our latest edition of SBC, issue #46.

One of the highlights this month is our full review of the much talked about Pricewise Extra service from the UK’s daily racing newspaper – the Racing Post.

At only £17 a month and with the strong reputation that Pricewise comes with, we understand why people have been falling over themselves in order to get a piece of the action. What is most important though is what has been realistically acheived since this service began.

For Joe Public, it appears hard to get a full sense of this as the Racing Post dont appear to publish a historical breakdown of results at their website.

We however have been steadily compiling a full dossier of results with the help of our team of testers over recent months and have all the stats to hand on what you need to know about this service.

  • Does it actually make a profit?
  • How much do the odds move after a bet is given out?
  • What are the issues you should be aware of if following?
  • Which of the tipsters that make up Pricewise Extra make a profit or loss?

This last question is one of the key aspects as their have been a number of tipsters who provide the advice for this service. Some have been fantastically profitable, whilst others have a poor or unproven record. If you were to follow Pricewise Extra without knowing who or what is has a succesful record (or not), it could seriously dent what you can make.

Our full Pricewise Extra review is in the forthcoming Issue #46 of SBC, I would urge those of you keen to find out more to read our article.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop
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2. The Next Week in Betting


Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

The big game this weekend undoubtedly takes place at Stamford Bridge, where Man City await the hosts Chelsea, in a match that will go a long way to deciding who finishes both 1st and 4th. We also have the intriguing match-up between Wayne Bridge and John Terry and I wouldnt be surprised to see some meaty challenges going in.
Man City played out an awful game last weekend against Liverpool, whereas Chelsea have hit a slightly sticky patch lately. I am tempted by the -1 Asian Handicap on the home team at 1.8 with Stan James as I cant see anything but a win for John Terry’s side.

Elsewhere there are a lot of teams on offer around the evens mark to win at home this weekend, such as Birmingham, Bolton, Burnley & Spurs. The two that interest me most are Brum and Bolton, two teams who are normally strong at home. I wouldnt be too keen on backing Burnley as they have really lost all momentum since Owen Coyle left, whereas Spurs face Everton, who are currently either unplayable or unwatchable. I dont like to bet when a team is so inconsistent.

You can pick up Birmingham to beat a poor Wigan team at 1.94 with Pinnacle Sports and I think that looks just about OK as a value price. Bolton face Wolves in the type of game they have usually won in past seasons so the 2.11 with Pinnacle on them to do just that looks well worth a punt.

Another market I have been watching recently is ‘to finish in the Top 4‘ and think that this may well be worth an investment although after this weekend. If as the odds suggest, City lose and Liverpool win this weekend, then the current odds on Man City will go a lot higher than the best priced 5/2. There is actually very little to separate these 2 sides and so if we can get 7/2+ on City after Sunday it maybe worth a pop later on. Worth noting that neither of these sides is currently 4th, a spot currently occupied by Spurs who are as big as 9/2!

As most readers will know, I enjoy betting on Cricket and I have been checking out the top series bowler market for the ODI series that starts on Sunday between England and Bangladesh. I have heard some talk that Graeme Swann offers value at 5/2 to be top bowler and that to me looks a good option on these spinning tracks. I would also like to venture one forward out of left-field and that is Ajmal Shahzad at 25/1 with Skybet. He is an all-rounder of great promise, who has been playing in a number of warm-up games and opening the bowling at times. It makes sense to blood someone like him in these games, rather than play the likes of Sidebottom, when we know what he can do. Could just sneak a surprise with a very cheeky punt!

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!


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3. Herbie Goes Racing


Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

The Racing Post Chase (G3), Kempton – 3.05pm Saturday, 27th February

One thing’s for sure, with Nacarat in the field we should not be stuck for pace in this excellent staying handicap. He won it in some style last year off a mark of 147 (10-13); this time he’s up 11lbs and carrying 11-08. Last year the ground was good, this time it’s soft.

He was excellent in the King George on (holding) good-soft, ultimately paying the price for trying to go with Kauto and blowing 2nd place (fading to 4th), and has since been freshened up purely with this in mind. The one advantage of that is that he was trimmed 4lbs, which is certainly helpful here back in against improving types.

On the trends the stand out requirement is top class form coming into the race. 9/10 won last time out, which on that trend alone would offer up just 2 candidates: Fistral Beach and Piraya. 8YO’s are the most common winners (5/10), but any age can win so there’s nothing to rule out low weighted 7YO’s…although they’ve taken it just once in the last 10. In fact that was the only occasion in the last 10 years that anything won carrying below 10-13 (let alone from out of the handicap). In this you clearly want to be of a certain quality and, ideally, to come with course form.

On starting price, winners of the last 10 were returned from 10/3 to 10/1, with 2 favourites and a Jt favourite…the first 4 in the betting have a particularly strong record.

Although he hasn’t won coming into this (due to a tactical prep and a tilt at the King George) I think we have to accept Nacarat is in excellent form and his front running style is likely to sort the men from the boys. This is his prime venue, he handles soft and it’s hard to see him not bowling along looking fairly happy with life. Out of the established better horses you have to chose between him and Madison Du Berlais and I think Nacarat is the one in receipt of weight and more likely to prosper in the conditions. Better prepared too.

Others will be sitting off the pace hoping he sets it up for a closer and with Miss Mitch out of the equation, at the weights it looks a straight choice between Kilcrea Castle and Fistral Beach who also make up the balance of the first 4 in the betting. The trends suggest the winner is highly likely to emerge from these four. Outside this group Piraya warrants a mention, but there are doubts to think that he would get 24fl on testing ground in this company.

Kilcrea Castle did superbly well latest at Ascot on soft ground, even though he probably just needed the run –  travelling as well as anything into the race before keeping on one pace. Previously he ran with credit over 25fl behind Casey Jones on gd-sft. He jumps and travels like a very good horse indeed, has a fine cruising speed and yet stamina is his game (regarded as a National dark horse). He’s 8YO, a very promising type and looks like he should really come on for that run. On the downside he lacks course form.

Fistral Beach is a rapid improver who has come into his own chasing, and seemed ideally suited by 20fl in testing ground here recently. Given that course form it’s perhaps no surprise to see him being flung into this so soon and pushed back up to 24fl. This is only his 4th start over fences. He went up 7lbs for that last run and is 4lbs out of the handicap here. On that basis he would still be ahead of his mark, but a long way outside the trends. So is Kilcrea Castle, but he has the more rounded profile, plenty of scope for improvement and I think the test of stamina will really play to his strengths.

Nacarat – 2pt win
Kilcrea Castle – 1pt win (circa 5/1)

Bon chance,


Visit Key Racing News

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender


Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

We’ve had a couple of successful weekends with the doubles I’ve been giving you, so we will continue in the same vein. Morecambe and Leicester won on the weekend before last to give us a return of 2.80 for our one point stake, and Newcastle and Blackpool both won last weekend to return 3.45 for a net profit of 4.25 points overall.

The method is based around my Winabobatoo ratings and is called the Home Zone System. Full match ratings for all games played are available to my 300 members. Membership is limited to 300 and I have no vacancies at the moment but there should be room for new members for the 2010-11 season. If you wish to know more or join the waiting list, please visit the website – details are shown below.

The ratings have flagged 7 games as satisfying the rules for the Home Zone System this weekend. We’ll take Notts Co to beat Hereford at 1.53, and Rushden to beat Kettering at 2.00.
Those odds are currently available with Corals and Stan James at the time of writing and return 3.06 to a one point stake. Please visit oddschecker to see who has the best odds available at the time you place your bet.

I estimate that the true chance of both teams winning is around 39%, which equates to odds of 2.53, and we are being paid out at 3.06, so the odds are in our favour.

Recommended double: Notts Co to beat Hereford and Rushden to beat Kettering.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

5. Skeeve’s Non League


Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Here’s one of the five picks I’ve sent to my client a few hours ago.





Altrincham – Grays OVER 2.5 GOALS  (1.85 @SBO) 4 units

All of Altrincham’s home games in 2010 produced three or more goals (3:2 vs Hayes, 1:3 to Wrexham, 5:0 vs Salisbury, 3:0 vs Eastbourne) they usually score and sometimes also concede a lot of goals against relegation candidates

(Let’s take a look at their home games against strugglers in the last six months – 3:2 vs Gateshead, 2:2 vs Forest Green, 0:1 to Barrow who are scoring less than one goal per away game and don’t concede that much either, 3:2 vs Hayes, 5:0 vs Salisbury, 3:0 vs Eastbourne) and I expect them to score at least a few goals, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they don’t manage to keep a clean sheet (their defender Doran is still suspended btw).

Grays have shown improvement in their last game/defeat (0:2 to Salisbury), they had 17 shots (seven of which were on target) and they even struck the woodwork twice, but their defence still looks horrible (their defender Hoyte is out injured btw), their away games produce an average of 3.20 goals per game, they have nine consecutive defeats and let’s take a look at their last few away games –

1:3 at Blue Square South strugglers Worcester in the FA Trophy, 1:2 at Ebbsfleet, 1:4 at Kidderminster, 0:4 at Hayes. Grays had eight consecutive OVER’s before the ‘improved performance’ in a 0:2 defeat to Salisbury (1:3 at Worcester, 1:2 at Ebbsfleet, 2:3 to Crawley, 0:3 to Ebbsfleet, 0:4 to Oxford, 1:4 at Kidderminster, 0:3 to Rushden, 0:4 at Hayes).

To be honest, I would be less surprised with a high-scoring draw than with a low-scoring home win. It was 3:0 for Altrincham away at Grays back in September btw. Anything better than 1.70 looks great to me.

(1.84 at Mansion88 btw, 1.82 at 188bet, Ladbrokes and Pinnacle, 1.81 at Canbet btw, 1.80 at Bet365 and Skybet, 1.79 at The Greek btw, but you can even find 1.90 at less known bookmakers…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
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6. A Little Birdie Says…


Roger Green of the Birdie Golf tipster service is the latest contributor to the Weekend Wager. Previously supplying advice under the Tipping Legends banner, he has been providing golf tips since 1987 and has spent his entire life working in the golf industry.

With Ian Poulter’s victory over Paul Casey in last weeks World match Play, English players (including Ireland) have 7 players in the top 25 world rankings which is incredible, and illustrates the strength of golf we have. The rankings are as follows:-

Lee Westwood 4th
Ian Poulter 5th
Paul Casey 6th
Rory McIlroy 9th
Padraig Harrington 10th
Ross Fisher 21st
Luke Donald 23rd

Certainly looks good for our Ryder Cup challenge at Celtic Manor in October!

And what price on one of these winning a major this year?

It is interesting to look at the overall records of some of the top players over the years, as it provides a useful comparison and helps to get things in perspective.

The following results exclude wins in Amateur or Senior events.

Jack Nicklaus   won 95 pro events including 73 PGA and 18 majors
Tiger Woods    won 71 pro events including 57 PGA and 14 majors
Gary Player     won 36 pro events including 24 PGA and 9 majors
Ben Hogan      won 64 pro events including 64 PGA and 9 majors
Tom Watson    won 50 pro events including 29 PGA and 8 majors
Sam Snead     won 82 pro events including 82 PGA and 7 majors
Arnold Palmer  won 79 pro events including 62 PGA and 7 majors
Lee Trevino     won 50 pro events including 29 PGA and 6 majors
Nick Faldo       won 39 pro events including 30 EUR and 6 majors
Seve Ballasteros won 65 pro events including 50 EUR and 5 majors
Peter Thomson  won 28 pro events including 22 EUR and 5 majors

Are any of our current top 7 capable of matching any in this Hall of Fame?

As always, please contact me at if you have any questions.

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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