The Weekend Wager – 08/05/09

Posted on May 8, 2009 by  

Welcome to this the latest ‘Weekend Wager’ free betting column produced by Mike Bishop from the Secret Betting Club and Money Maker Review service.

I work as part of the team at the Secret Betting Club where we uncover exactly which experts, systems and tipsters you should follow to make money betting. As well as proofing dozens of tipsters we also include monthly articles on professional gambling tips and betting strategies. Every article and review we put together is also listed at our new member’s website Money Maker Review.

View the many benefits of being a Secret Betting Club member:
Join today risk free with our 100% money back offer, you have nothing to lose and the world of profitable betting to gain!

1. Mike Says

The advent of Betfair has been brilliant, not just because we now have an extra place to get decent odds, but because it gave the bookies a real kick up their gluteus maximus. I doubt that we’d every have bookies giving us fantastic innovations like Best Odds Guaranteed or ‘Free Fall’ betting on the big jumps races without Betfair breathing down their necks.

But betfair isn’t the be all and end all. Often once you taken into account commission, odds on some selections are better at the bookies. You’ve also got the fact that it’s only the bookies offering true Each Way betting, which often gives you great value on the place side.
When betfair first came along they did some great PR stunts like putting a bookie in the coffin, but for better or worse, it looks as though the bookies are here to stay. Bookmaking in the UK is well regulated with most firms operating within the letter if not the spirit of the law.
However, there are still some occasions when the bookies think they can write their own rules.
In our newsletters we track a dedicated darts expert who tipped Jelle Klaasen to finish bottom of the Premier League of darts at 6/1. This was going well then his nearest competitor for the wooden spoon, Wayne Mardle was withdrawn from the competition after being admitted to hospital. This put Klassen bottom of the league by default. Great news! Except not all the bookies wanted to pay up. Betfred and Ladbrokes tried to void the bet despite there being nothing in their T&C’s saying they could do this.

A great analogy for this was suggested …. “If say C.Ronaldo is top Prem goalscorer in December and then gets sold to Real Madrid in the January transfer window, bets on him to be top scorer aren’t voided and bets on the other players near the top of the goalscorer charts certainly aren’t voided.”

After many emails and threats to go to IBAS and the Racing Post, nearly all bookies have agreed to pay out on the bet. Even Ladbrokes have now agreed to pay out on the bet, albeit with a rule 4 reduction. One in the eye for the bookmakers.
If you’re ever in a similar betting situation, don’t take no for answer. Kick up a stink and if you feel you’ve been wronged, write to IBAS the bookie regulators.

Here’s hoping we can stick it to them some more over the weekend with some healthy betting profits.
Mike Bishop

2. The Next Week In Betting

We’re at the business end of the football season with just a handful of games left in the Premier League and SPL. The title looks pretty much wrapped up with Manchester United now a racing certainty for the title. I supposed they call it a racing certainty because there’s always that last fence to clear. I’ve lost count of the number of horses I’ve seen at 1.05 or below in running on betfair only for them to fall at the last hurdle. The duff Norwegian referee gave UEFA the final they were dreaming of midweek and if Man Citeh’ can overturn United in the Derby, Rupert Murdoch will be having kittens over the Sky viewing figures for the remaining games of the season. City are best priced 9/1 against United – Stranger things have happened.

At the bottom end of the table, there’s another important derby with Newcastle hosting Middlesbrough on Monday night. Boro and Newcastle are tied on points, but the magpies have the edge with a thumping great goal difference. West Brom are gone, Boro are 1.26 for the drop, Newcastle 1.60, Hull 7/4 and Sunderland 7/2.

No great shock to find that the Old Firm make up the two teams vying for the top slot in the SPL. Celtic have a one point cushion, but it looks as though this one will go down to the wire. Hearts look the best of the rest, but have a difficult game against Aberdeen on Tuesday.

Outside of the top divisions it’s time for the playoffs – where fame and fortune await the teams lucky enough to get promoted in their respective divisions. I’ve been to a few playoff games in the past and it’s a great atmosphere. Unfortunately, the passion and tension make the games very tricky to predict with the bookies slapping their best guess down. Best of luck to your team if they’re involved this weekend.

To crickeeeeeeeet next and as I write this, it looks as though England have wrapped up the test match with only a flash flood the likely stopper. Interesting to note that despite the smashing victory against the Windies, the odds on England winning the ashes continue to lengthen. England are now around 5/2 with Australia odds on.

It’s the Spanish Grand Prix on Sunday and Senior Button looks the clear fave to win. His Braun teammate Barrichello might be worth an each way shout at 12/1. Boyles are paying ¼ odds on the place for the first three drivers.

Politics continues to provide a rich seam for headline writers. All of the recent shenanigans over expense claims have only served to shorten the odds of the Tories winning the most seats in the next election. They’re not down to just 1.21. Unfortunately there’s no betting market on odds of the public finding an honest MP, but I suppose the odds would be too high to be of any interest.

Good luck with whatever you’re having a punt on this week.


Money Maker Review features comprehensive reviews and analysis of some of the most talked about tipping services (both good and bad).Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system, read our 100% independent and unbiased reviews!

Latest reviews include: Stats The Winner, Stats The Loser, ProForm Systems, Each Way Pays, Best Under, Dodgy Favourites, Bet To Lose, Peter Naughton, Invest On Golf & U Win U Pay

3. Herbie Fogg

This week we welcome a new racing tipster to the rostrum, Herbie Fogg. Herbie runs three services; the Edge, Quest and a Saturday service. The Saturday service has just launched and you can find full details here: Over to Herbie…

For my first Weekend Wager column, I have two races for you this weekend that lend themselves well to trends profiling:
The Victoria Cup – Ascot May 9th
This is a fairly mind-boggling handicap, but one that feels considerably easier when you consider that the winner is invariably found from a mid-draw position. Here are the prevailing criteria:
Of the last 11 winners:
All were aged 4 to 6
10 had won a class 4 handicap or higher
10 had previously won or placed 2nd over 7fl
10 had raced in the last 2 months
10 carried 9st 1lb or less
Only 1 winner was ridden from the front and that was when the race was briefly transferred to Lingfield – although ridden prominently is fine. A middle draw 10 to 16 has been most effective, finding all but 2 of the last 10 winners (Lingfield excluded). Winners have ranged from 33/1 to 11/4, with 3 favourites successful.
Factor it all in and we have 3 value shots: Majuro, Guilded Warrior and Slugger O’Toole. Last year’s winner Zaahid (from the ominous Barry Hill) is a factor from a good draw, but he’s 7lbs higher this time around and the trends say that’s too much
The Spring Trophy Listed Stakes – Haydock May 9th
Since bring upgraded from a handicap this race has consistently pulled in some decent types, although the winner is invariably an established performer running at around his level, rather than an improver for the season ahead. Richard Hannon has a good recent record with Rockets ‘n Rollers in 2004 and Reel Buddy in 2002:
Of the last 13 winners:
Only 1 was aged below 4, and none since the race was elevated to Listed status
12 had won a class 3 or better
12 either had won over 7fl, or had won over 6fl and placed 2nd at 7fl
10 had made the top 3 in a pattern race
10 had raced in the last 60 days, with the exceptions all travelling from Ireland or the USA
This would narrow the entries to: Beacon Lodge, Ordnance Row & Vitznau – the latter two trained by Richard Hannon – none of whom would be suited by fast ground. The going is currently good and there may be enough rain around to hold it at that level.

To keep up-to-date with developments at

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are sharing one of their ‘star’ bets every week with us. Star bets are their best rated, best value bets and worth following in with a few bob of your own.

There are no recommended bets this weekend but I have included an extract from the magazine I send to Winabobatoo members, which takes a look at the weekend games. This is what I wrote about the weekend matches:

“Looking at the weekend fixtures: There are only 6 teams showing Value ratings of greater than10, which indicates the prices on offer are probably not very generous. Man Utd and Liverpool feature as two of the 6, and they are priced 1.36 and 1.62 respectively. They are top and bottom of the ratings list.
The biggest Value rating is Middlesbrough at Newcastle. The away Value is 85. This game would have qualified as a bet if the Winabob had been very slightly lower. It’s quite probable that bearing in mind Middlesbrough’s much superior Form rating, that they can steal the points from St James’ Park. 3.80 for Middlesbrough or 2.00 for a Newcastle win? You can see why the Value ratings favour Middlesbrough, can’t you?
Inverness have a home Value rating of 28 against Hamilton. Inverness have done quite well to haul themselves up from the bottom of the league and a win for either side will almost certainly mean SPL survival. Inverness have two away games to follow and then they’re at home to bottom club Falkirk in their last game. A home win would certainly ease the worries of a last day jittery battle against the Bairns.
The Inverness price of 2.20 might just be a little long but 4 wins in 17 at home is a bit of a concern, and lowers my enthusiasm for a bet.
Arsenal have a home Value of 11 against Chelsea, and are priced 2.63. Chelsea are favoured slightly by the Winabob and Form ratings. I think the after effects of midweek Champions’ League games could have a bearing here and it’s a difficult game to call.
The other higher Value rating is Stoke’s away value of 32 at Hull. Hull are in big trouble and need to raise their game if they have aspirations of another season in the big league. They have been very detached at the bottom of the Winabob ratings all season, even when they got a few surprise wins early season. The only “negative” here is the HvA rating, which gives Hull the edge. Stoke’s survival is solely down to their home form and one win in 17 on their travels doesn’t inspire, coupled with just 13 goals. I’m sure Stoke will be trying but Hull desperate situation makes me think a draw could be on the cards.”
Good luck with your betting and I’ll hopefully have a free tip for you next weekend, depending on what the fixture list throws at us.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

You can sign up either via or at any time to activate your membership.


Tell us what you're thinking...
and oh, if you want a pic to show with your comment, go get a gravatar!