Betfair Stat Attack – May

Welcome to Stat Attack with our friends over at BETFAIR

Here we give a round up of the pick of the prices traded on the exchange during the past month’s action.

Certainly makes for some interesting reading…….

22nd May

Blackpool are the 20th and final side to have booked their place in the 2010/11 edition of the Premier League after beating Cardiff City in the Championship play-off final by a 3-2 scoreline this afternoon. The Tangerines were amongst the favourites to be relegated to League One at the start of the campaign which explains why they were as big as [60.0] on Betfair to get promoted. But Ian Holloway’s side are nothing if not resilient and increasingly dangerous when the chips are down and this afternoon’s match was no exception, winning in 90 minutes after twice going a goal down.

Former Newcastle man Michael Chopra opened the scoring for Cardiff, Blackpool skipper Charlie Adam hit back and then the highly-rated Joe Ledley scored Cardiff’s second, leaving Blackpool with a mountain to climb. Uphill task it may have been but goals from Gary Taylor-Fletcher and journeyman striker Brett Ormerod put Blackpool up just before the break. That was obviously good news for their fans who had made the long trip down to Wembley but it was even better news for a handful of punters on Betfair. Those who had backed Ian Holloway’s troops to be up at the break secured in-running odds of 75.0 and those who had backed the “any unquoted” runner on the half-time score market (either side to score three goals in the first-half) got 48.0.

The second-half promised more of the same early on but Blackpool were understandably more concerned with winning promotion than entertaining the fans at Wembley or the viewers back home in a match that was believed to be worth £90 million to the victor. Conditions were hot and stifling, the pitch was heavy and slow and with Cardiff running out of steam and Blackpool protecting what they had, that’s how the match stayed. Blackpool were backed at 9.0 to win the match when 2-1 down and at 55.0 to win by a 3-2 scoreline.

There will no doubt be plenty of celebrating tonight and for a couple of weeks beyond that but very soon Ian Holloway will have to start thinking about what he needs to do to prepare his side for the dizzy heights of the Premier League. The ink may not yet have dried on the newspapers reporting on his team’s historic victory but already bookies are writing off his teams’ chances of avoiding the drop next season, with Blackpool chalked up as the 1.4 favourites to go straight back down.

22nd May

Inter have won the Champions League in thoroughly convincing fashion after being matched at a high of 50.0 on Betfair during the group stages. At that stage they looked like they were crashing out before they’d even got going but no Jose Mourinho team is beaten until the final whistle is blown and so it proved with his side knocking out the likes of Barcelona and Chelsea along the way en route to completing an unprecedented treble in Italian football.

Diego Milito was matched at odds of [7.0] to open the scoring and Inter never looked back after that, with the Argentine adding a second midway through the second-half. The Italians were matched at a high of [2.88] to win in 90 minutes and at [16.0] to win by a 2-0 scoreline.

No betting is currently available on Betfair on Jose Mourinho walking out on this very pitch every other week next season but wherever his future lies, it’s been another Special evening tonight.

16th May

England were backed at a high of 15 in Betfair’s Twenty20 World Cup tournament winner market. Beaten finalists Australia were backed at a low of 1.54 to lift the trophy.

In-running punters got a high price of 2.8 about an England victory following a slow start to their chase of Australia’s total.

15th May

Chelsea v Portsmouth (1-0)

Chelsea backed at 15.5 for a Premier League and FA Cup double
Chelsea backed at 5.9 to win the Cup in the outright market and a high of 1.39 to win in 90 minutes
Under 1.5 goals backed at 7
Chelsea backed at 1.13 to score two goals or more
Drogba to score first in a 1-0 win was backed at 40

12th May

24 years later Diego broke English hearts once again as Atletico Madrid beat Fulham after extra-time to win the inaugural edition of the Europa League. Diego Forlan scored half-way through the first half after being matched at odds of 6.4 to open the scoring and his team traded at just 1.31 to win in 90 minutes but the Cottagers hit back through Simon Davies just before the break. Despite there being a few chances in the second-half, that’s how it stayed with those who backed the draw in-running at 5.7 and the 1-1 scoreline at 9.2 pretty satisfied with the absence of any further goals.

Tiredness and weariness set in during extra-time and for much of the 30 minutes it looked like penalties would be needed to find a winner but up popped Uruguay star Diego Forlan again in the dying seconds to net the winner. Atletico were matched at 8.0 in-running in the extra-time match odds market and at odds of 14.5 to win after extra-time before kick-off in the “method of victory” market.

Fulham fans can be proud of their achievements during what was an extremely long and emotional campaign in this competition but Atletico, who always looked like they had an extra gear in them if necessary, were probably deserved winners in the end. The Spanish side were matched at a high of 80 to win the competition.

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