Betfair Stat Attack – February

Welcome to Stat Attack with our friends over at BETFAIR

Here we give a round up of the pick of the prices traded on the exchange during the past month’s football.

Certainly makes for some interesting reading…….

27th February

Stoke v Arsenal (1-3)

Arsenal traded at a high of 3.65
Final score of 3-1 backed at 100
Arsenal are 4.3 to win the league

Chelsea v Manchester City (2-4)

Chelsea backed at 1.16 to win the game when opening the scoring through Frank Lampard
Chelsea backed at 1.01 to have the lead at HT
City backed at 46 to win
Over 5.5 goals backed at 50
Chelsea trade at 2.48 to win Premier League, Manchester United at 2.64, Arsenal at 4.7
City are 2.3 for a top four finish

Birmingham v Wigan (1-0)

Brum backed at 2.28 to win
Wigan can be backed at 5 to go down

Bolton v Wolves (1-0)

Wanderers backed at 2.44
Wolves 1.38 to be relegated

Burnley v Portsmouth (1-2)

Pompey traded at an in-running high of 6.4 to win
Burnley 1.37 to go down, Portsmouth trade at 1.02 in the same market
Sending off backed at 30 after Rocha

23rd February

Stuttgart v Barcelona (1-1)

Draw backed at 6 after Stuttgart take lead
Barca 1.1 to go through to the quarters

Olympiacos v Bordeaux (0-1)

Bordeaux backed at 3.15 to win
Bordeaux backed at 80 to win at halftime after scoring the only goal of the game in the 47th minute
French champions 1.12 to qualify from the tie

21st February

Manchester City and Liverpool played out a cagey, goalless draw at Eastlands this afternoon which means no ground was made by either side in the battle for fourth place. Liverpool are now slightly shorter than City at 3.05 to finish in the top four with Mancini’s boys at 3.25. The 0-0 score was correctly predicted at 11.5 on Betfair.

Aston Villa picked up another three points that kept alive their own hopes of still finishing the season in fourth place after being matched at odds of 2.76 on Betfair to beat Burnley. Villa drifted to this price in-running after Steven Fletcher’s early strike for the visitors but their comeback was nothing short of remarkable, scoring five before Burnley hit back with a consolation goal at the death. All of which was good news for those who had backed seven goals or more at the massive price of 60. Villa are now trading at odds of 4.0 for a Champions League spot whilst the defeat means Burnley are just 1.77 for the drop with only Portsmouth at 1.1 shorter.

Earlier in the day another relegation-threatened side also came back from their travels empty-handed when Bolton succumbed to Blackburn. The home team drifted to odds of 2.56 but won pretty comprehensively in the end with the 3-0 scoreline backed at 34.

Neither Birmingham nor Fulham are in any danger of the drop but the former will be kicking themselves after letting a 1-0 lead slip against another Europa League-place rival. A super strike from Damien Duff put Fulham back in the game before an injury-time winner from Bobby Zamora from a free-kick settled matters. As the free-kick was being taken the draw was being backed at 1.2 while Roy Hodgson’s team were matched by some ambitious, and ultimately shrewd backers at odds of 11.5 when the Cottagers were a goal down.

20th February

Everton staged a remarkable comeback against Manchester United this lunchtime which saw the final 3-1 scoreline matched at 140 on Betfair. When most teams go one down against the Premier League champions they normally take nothing from the match but this side of David Moyes’ is more spirited than most and those who backed Everton in the match odds as high as 22.0 will be grateful. United were backed at a low of 1.28 after Dimitar Berbatov, matched at 9.6 on the first goalscorer market, had put Sir Alex Ferguson’s troops ahead.

United are now 3.8 for the Premier League after Chelsea took advantage of their slip-up by going to Molineaux and taking all three points. Carlo Ancelotti’s men made a slow start to the match and could even have gone behind, drifting from starting odds of 1.3 to 1.64 before a Didier Drogba double settled matters. Those two goals have seen his odds to finish the season as the league’s top goalscorer slashed to 2.22 incidentally after 1.8 favourite Wayne Rooney drew a blank.

Over at the Emirates, Arsenal secured a win but it was far from straightforward. Many would have predicted a comfortable win but it needed an injury-time penalty by Cesc Fabregas for Gunners fans to be able to feel the win was in the bag after Niklas Bendtner’s early strike. At 8.6 Arsenal aren’t completely out of the title race but will be relying on plenty of slip-ups from Chelsea and Manchester United.

At Upton Park West Ham secured a healthy 3-0 win over Hull City after being matched at a high of 1.96, with the scoreline matched at 21. West Ham’s relegation fears were eased with these priceless three points as they now trade at 8 but the result predictably had the adverse effect on their opponents. Hull trade as the 1.94 favourites for the drop with only Portsmouth (1.14) and Burnley 91.82) shorter.

16th February

Manchester United took a huge step towards qualifying for the quarter-finals of the Champions League tonight as they beat AC Milan at the San Siro after being matched at odds of 9.0 on Betfair. The inimitable Ronaldinho was backed at 11.5 to open the scoring but that’s as good as it got for the home side with a fortuitous goal from Paul Scholes and a brace from Wayne Rooney turning the tie on its head. Milan were matched at a low of 1.44 when they were in the lead.

Many predicted a cautious affair before kick-off with goals at a premium but some Betfair punters disagreed and put their money where their mouth was, with five goals or more backed at odds of 20.0 and the 2-3 scoreline matched at 65. United are now 1.11 to qualify for the quarters, having briefly touched 2.0 when going behind earlier tonight.

Wayne Rooney’s two goals have seen his odds of finishing as the tournament’s top scorer chopped to 9.0 after being matched as high as 75.0 whilst United’s price to win this year’s Champions League has also unsurprisingly shortened to 6.8, making them joint-third favourites alongside Real Madrid, and behind just Barcelona and Chelsea.

The reason Real are on the drift is as a direct result of their 1-0 defeat at the hands of Lyon in tonight’s other tie. Matched at a low of 2.0, they couldn’t find that priceless away goal. Lyon were matched at a high of 4.9 to win the match but the Betfair market thinks the one goal lead won’t be enough to see them through. From a high of 5.5 to qualify, Lyon are now chalked up at 2.58 with Real fancied to turn the tie around in the second leg, which is why they’re the favourites at odds of 1.62.

6/7th February

Bolton v Fulham
Wanderers matched at 2.18 to beat Fulham
One goal or more traded at 1.09

Burnley v West Ham
Burnley backed at 3 to win first game under Brian Laws
Burnley now even money chances to be relegated with 18th placed West Ham 4.6 in the same market

Hull v Manchester City
Hull backed at 6.2 to take all three points
Two-one final score 24
City now 3 to finish in top four having traded at 1.6

Manchester United v Portsmouth
Five-nil final score backed at 20
Over 5.5 goals backed at 1.5
United now 2.4 to win the league ahead of Sunday’s clash between Chelsea and Arsenal
Portsmouth 1.2 to go down

Stoke v Blackburn
Stoke backed at 2.46 to win

Sunderland v Wigan
Wigan backed at a low of 1.59 to win
Draw traded at a high of 5.3

Birmingham v Wolves (2-1)
Brum backed at in-running high of 32 after scoring twice in the last ten minutes to overhaul Wolves
Wolves touched a low of 1.3 to win
Wolves 1.9 to be relegated

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