Betfair Stat Attack – April

Posted on April 29, 2010 by  

Welcome to Stat Attack with our friends over at BETFAIR

Here we give a round up of the pick of the prices traded on the exchange during the past month’s action.

Certainly makes for some interesting reading…….

29th April

There will be no dream all-English Europa League final after Atletico Madrid, matched at 7.6 on Betfair to qualify against Liverpool, secured a priceless goal in extra-time to book a date with Fulham in Hamburg. The home side were backed at a high of 1.87 to win the match in 90 minutes and at 8.4 to win 1-0, the only result that would take them to into extra-time.

And it all looked rosy in the Liverpool garden after Yossi Benayoun scored in the first half of extra-time, at which point they traded at a low of 1.5 to actually win the Europa league. But up popped Diego Forlan, famous for scoring a brace against Liverpool in a 2-0 win for Man Utd a few years back, breaking hearts in the Kop End and ensuring Rafael Benitez will finish what is likely to be his last season at the club, trophyless. Atletico Madrid have been backed as high as 80.0 to win this competition but are now just 1.66 with Betfair punters installing them as favourites over Fulham.

Roy Hodgson’s side did it the hard way themselves, going a goal down before coming back to beat Hamburg, the very side whose stadium will be hosting the final. The Cottagers were matched at a high of 20.0 to win the match and at 24.0 to win it 2-1. They also drifted to odds of 17.5 to qualify before goals from Simon Davies and Zolten Gera sent them through. Fulham famously started this campaign long before the Premier League season got underway , needing to go through the qualifying rounds and it was at this stage that they were matched at the huge price of 560. Hardly surprising given they had to follow qualifying with a group stage and then face four more knock-out stages before they even reached a potential final.

But tonight Roy Hodgson and his troops will feel this mammoth campaign was all worth it and despite going into the final as the underdogs, many out there will feel they can upset the books once again.

28th April

Barcelona v Inter Milan (1-0; 2-3 on aggregate)

Former 1.5 Champions League favourites Barcelona out of competition
Inter Milan have traded at a high of 50 to lift the trophy; now new favourites at 1.62
Barca were backed at a low of 1.16 on Betfair to qualify from the semi after taking the lead in the first leg; Inter traded at a high of 7.4 in the same market
Barcelona matched at 3.2 to win the game after scoring in the 84th minute
Over 1.5 goals backed at 1.19

25th April

Chelsea beat Stoke City 7-0 this afternoon which sent a chilling message to their title arrivals Manchester United, and did wonders to their goal difference in the process. The Blues only ever touched 1.25 on the match odds market after taking an early lead courtesy of Salomon Kalou, who went on to score a hat-trick. The 7-0 scoreline was backed in-running at odds of 100. The three points, the superb goal difference and the level of the performance has seen Chelsea shorten to 1.64 for the Premier League title with Manchester United now 2.54.

Over at Turf Moor, Liverpool’s 4-0 thumping of Burnley just confirmed what has seemed like an inevitability for the past few months: Burnley are now officially relegated. Rafa Benitez’s side were matched at a high of 2.0 and just about kept them in contention for a top four finish, albeit an unlikely chance. They now trade at 16.5, having been backed at odds of just 1.14 when it looked like Champions League football in 2010/11 was no more than a formality.

One of the sides deemed to have a better chance of playing in Europe’s premier club competition next year is Aston Villa, who made the most of a controversial penalty at home to rivals Birmingham to grab all three points. James Milner was backed at odds of 9.8 to open the scoring, Villa touched 3.95 and the 1-0 scoreline at 8.4. Villa are trading at 10.0 for a top four finish but Tottenham at 1.99 and Man City at 2.64 are still the teams to beat.

21st April

Bayern Munich moved a step closer to a first Champions League final in ten years after being matched at 3.5 on Betfair to beat Lyon tonight in a match that had a bit of everything. The brilliant yet temperamental Franck Ribery was sent off just before half-time for Bayern which put them under the cosh but a second red of the match, this time for Jeremy Toulalan of Bordeaux in the 54th minute, levelled matters and the home side took advantage.

The source of the goal was a familiar one, Arjen Robben scoring again after having already scored the decisive goals that saw Bayern knock out Fiorentina and Manchester United in the previous rounds. He was matched at 10.0 to open the scoring. Even the goal had some element of controversy though with replays showing it may have flicked the head of team-mate Toni Muller on its way in after the Dutchman unleashed a shot from just outside the box.

The result was good news for those who backed the 1-0 scoreline at 8.4 and those who showed faith in Bayern’s back five by siding with a home clean sheet at 2.58. Louis Van Gaal’s team go into the second leg as the 1.36 favourites to progress but despite being in that position are still only the third favourites at 3.7 to win the competition. The Betfair market thinks the winner of the other semi-final will go on and win the competition with Inter 2.7 and Barcelona 3.35.

20th April

Inter Milan v Barcelona (3-1)

• Inter backed at 11 to win after conceding first (Barca matched at 1.45)
• Over 3.5 goals backed at 7.6
• Final score of 3-1 backed at 75
• Inter 1.75 to qualify for final, Barca 2.3
• Inter and Barca share Champions League favouritism at 2.92

17th April

Manchester United may still be as long as 4.5 to win the Premier League but they’ve got Paul Scholes to thank for still being in contention at all, after being matched at odds of 42.0 in-running on Betfair to beat rivals Manchester City. The veteran midfielder was backed at huge odds of 27.0 to open the scoring and those who had shown faith in the former England man had to wait until second-half injury-time before knowing they had a winning bet. The stalemate had been backed as low as 1.05 before Scholes’ winner. Chelsea are still heavily fancied to win the title at 1.3, having traded at a low of 1.13 when it seemed like United would get only a draw from today’s match.

That may have been the biggest story as far as far as the title goes but Bolton were responsible for the greatest comeback of the day. Backed at a high of 120 whilst trailing at that fortress that is the Britannia Stadium, a late double from Matt Taylor turned the match on its head and handed Bolton three more points.

Having twice taken and lost a lead at Ewood Park, Everton fans would have been very frustrated if they’d left with just a point. They can thank Tim Cahill for ensuring that didn’t happen after the Australian scored a late winner to allow Everton, matched at a high of 9.4 to win the match. That 2-3 scoreline was backed at 110.

Over at the Stadium Of Light, the Black Cats were in control for most of the match as they took a 2-0 lead before a late Burnley goal gave them some nervy last few minutes. The home win never went above the 1.78 mark and the defeat means Burnley are that much closer to being relegated, now just 1.05 on Betfair.

Hull City are the side most likely to join them (and Portsmouth) in The Championship according to the Betfair market, which makes them a 1.32 chance. Their goalless draw against Birmingham (in which the scoreline was matched at 15.5) may have been a decent result in normal circumstances, but not when you’re when you’re in the position the Tigers are in. West Ham and Wigan, both trading at 6.2, are the sides most likely to go down in their place if Ian Dowie’s side somehow find a way to miraculously avoid the drop for the second season running.

11th April

US Masters

Phil Mickelson was backed at a high of 16.5 on Betfair to win the Masters
Lows: Lee Westwood was backed at 1.98; KJ Choi at 2.82; Tiger Woods at 2.92

Man City v Birmingham (5-1)

• City traded at a high of 1.54 to win the match
• City now 1.39 for a top four finish
• Six goals or more backed at 48

Liverpool v Fulham (0-0)

• Liverpool backed at a low of 1.29 to win; the draw at 6.2
• 0-0 final score backed at 19
• One goal or more backed at 1.05
• Liverpool trade at 20 for a top four finish

Spurs v Portsmouth (0-0; 0-2AET)

• Spurs touched a low of 1.31 to win in 90 minutes; the draw was backed at 6.4
• 0-0 final score backed at 25
• Portsmouth extra-time win backed at 30
• Pompey have been backed at 500 (£10 matched) to win the cup

Blackburn Rovers v Manchester United (0-0)

• United now 7.4 to win the Premier League (Chelsea 1.36, Arsenal 7) and have been backed at 8.2
• Utd backed at 1.49 to win today
• Draw traded at a high of 5.3
• One goal or more backed at 1.05
• Final score of 0-0 backed at 18.5
• Home clean sheet traded at 8.8

Wolves v Stoke (0-0)

• Final score of 0-0 backed at 10
• Wolves 25 to be relegated

10th April

Aston Villa v Chelsea (0-3)

• Chelsea backed at 2.38 to win the game
• Over 2.5 goals backed at 55 in-running before late third goal
• The Blues are now 1.5 to win the Cup before tomorrow’s semi between Spurs (1-3 to win in 90 minutes) and Portsmouth (10)

Hull v Burnley (1-3)

• Burnley backed at 20 after going behind
• Hull at 1.21
• Over 4.5 goals backed at 44
• Burnley 1.15 to go down; Hull 1.41

West Ham v Sunderland (1-0)

• West Ham trade at 5 to be relegated

7th April

There will be no Premier League representatives in the semi-finals of the Champions League after Bayern Munich were matched at odds of 17.5 on Betfair to qualify against Manchester United, which they managed courtesy of a 3-2 defeat this evening, thus going through on the away goals rule.

It all looked like it would be plain sailing for the 2008 champions when they led 3-0 after 40 minutes thanks to a Darren Gibson opener and a Nani brace. At this stage they traded at odds of 1.06 to make the semis but Ivica Olic, who had scored the winner in the first leg, and that man Arjen Robben scored either side of Rafael’s sending-off to get the two goals the German side needed to make it to the next round. The final scoreline was matched at odds of 36.0 and Bayern Munich, matched at a high of 150.0 when they looked like they were heading out of the competition at the group stages now trade at just 6.0 to go all the way.

Things were a little less dramatic over in Bordeaux where the home side beat Lyon 1-0, which proved insufficient to see Laurent Blanc’s side progress. Marouane Chemakh scored just before half-time to give the home team genuine hope of going through and rewarded those who had backed the scoreline at 9.0 and the straightforward win at 3.0 but the second goal never came and Lyon, matched at a high of 2.3 to qualify, will be the ones facing Bayern Munich in the semis. Claude Puel’s team trade as the 8.2 outsiders to win the tournament.

So as you can see with those sort of prices and trading opportunities on offer if you are not part of the BETFAIR revolution you are really missing out. Plus these boys have a free £25 bet for everyone when they sign up too, just click below to grab yours today.

Naturally we have this all covered in Oddsmatcher so you can cash this out for instant risk free profit today or contact us at and we would be happy to work some risk free options out for you anytime.


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