The Weekend Wager

4. A Little Birdie Says…

Roger Green of the Birdie Golf tipster service is the latest contributor to the Weekend Wager. Previously supplying advice under the Tipping Legends banner, he has been providing golf tips since 1987 and has spent his entire life working in the golf industry.

When will Tiger win his next tournament?

He shot 4 over after the first round at Bridgestone, which is a course where he has won 7 times previously. Of course there are still 3 rounds to go, so he can still win but he was as big as 9/2 for this event, and his price gets bigger as each event goes by. I am waiting for 7/1 plus in the weeks to come. Can he go through the rest of the season without winning?

And what about the Ryder Cup? Tiger still has not made automatic entry and it is looking like captain Corey Pavin will have to use one of his wild cards to put him in.

It is well documented that Corey and Tiger do not hit it off, but I am sure the powers that be will make sure he is included in the team. This of course assumes that Tiger makes himself available which according to some reports is by no means certain.

As the weeks go by the European team looks streets ahead of their rivals on current form. The Ryder Cup however is match play, which is a very different form of the game where you can carry some bad scoring holes, unlike stroke play.

Coiln Montgomerie has 3 wild cards to use. At the moment, Justin Rose is not qualified nor is Paul Casey and Ross Fisher. Surely they will be his 3 picks at this stage.

That means no place for Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson & Robert Karlsson. I have just got a sneaking feeling that one wild card could go to a Welshman, either Bradley Dredge or Rhys Davies.

Terry Matthews the owner of Celtic Manor is a huge sponsor of the European tour. He may be hoping for a fellow countryman to be in the team when the event is being staged in Wales for the first, and maybe only time. “Politics” has a big part to play in most sports these days and Golf is no exception

Europe are currently 4/6 to win and on form they are 1/7 in my book! No doubt 4/6 is good value, but then again it is match play!

For any information on golf or my service please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

June 4, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

England Expects…A Free TV!

That was the leading line this week from a fascinating article on all the many promotions big businesses are running this World Cup. Read the article in full at the Times website.

It turns out that Toshiba will give you your money back on any TV you buy now, should England win the World Cup.

Not a bad offer but it does conjure up images of high powered Toshiba executives frantically sticking pins in Wayne Rooney voodoo dolls to make sure they dont end up out of pocket. Or as the graffiti on one poster said “So basically Toshiba thinks England have no chance in hell of winning.”

Shareholders in Toshiba can rest easy though as it turns out they are just one company running such offers who have hedged the potential losses on such offers. Essentially, Toshiba have placed a large bet with bookmakers (or ‘insurance firms’ as they term them) to make sure should England win the tournament, they will cover any loss on their offer.

Not that these companies want you to know they are betting of course!

So it turns out that even at this highest corporate level, betting is rife and fully sanctioned!
In actual fact, these companies are doing similar calculations to what many of the tipsters we monitor at the Secret Betting Club do (but to much smaller stakes!)

That is observing the odds on offer and making percentage calls in order to make an overall profit or to ‘hedge’ their losses.

The World Cup is without doubt a great time to make money betting, whether you are Toshiba selling TV’s or Joe Bloggs starting out on his professional betting journey.

If you are keen to use this World Cup as a springboard for your own betting, then keep your eyes peeled for our extra special FREE World Cup Issue, due out next Wednesday. This will feature hand-picked advice and bets from some of the best football betting minds out there.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

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All you need to find out which football tipsters you should follow to make money betting is in Issue 49. Sign up today to access it risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

This week as part of my World Cup Betting focus I want to take you through a few of the tournament award markets, such as Top Goalscorer market (Golden Boot) and Top Goalkeeper (Yashin Award).

The Golden boot is always a very popular bet and with the ability to bet each way, it can bring big rewards if getting it right and life-time fame for its recipient. Remember Toto Schillachi? He came out of nowhere in Italia 90 and I can only imagine how big the odds on him pre-tournament must have been!

I have been doing my own research in this market lately and generally you can expect the top goalscorer to come from a team that reaches the semi-finals at least (giving them 7 games in total). Thus I fancy these three each way… Nicolas Anelka (66/1 with Hills), Alberto Gillardino (50/1 with Ladbrokes) & Luis Fabiano (12/1 generally). France and Italy maybe two of the lesser fancied teams this time around but I expect one of them to get to the semi-finals, while Brazil in my eyes have to be favourites.

If you fancy a more speculative bet how about combining the World Cup winning team with top goalscorer? A double on Brazil and Wayne Rooney is 80/1 with Paddy Power or how about England with Luis Fabiano at 140/1 at Betfair?

The Top Goalkeeper award is the Yashin (named after famous Russian cat - Lev Yashin) and is awarded based upon the findings of the FIFA technical study group (whoever they are!). Iker Cassilas leads the field at 5/1 but I fancy Brazil’s Julio Cesar at 13/2 with Totesport, who had a cracking season with Inter Milan. As an outsider how about France’s Hugo Lloris at 9/1 with Paddy Power - a very well regarded young player and a tad more sane than Fabien Barthez!

Another more fanciful market is the FIFA award for the most entertaining team, in which I like Chile at 20/1 with Boylesports. Heaven only knows how Sepp Blatter decides this award but with the Chileans lining up 3-4-3, we can expect goals at both ends, which should be bloody entertaining!

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

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3. Herbie Goes Racing

The Investec Derby (Group 1), 4:00pm Saturday 5th June

It’s widely acknowledged the best horse going into the race is Jan Vermeer who has looked mightily impressive ever since a wide-margin G1 juvenile winner at Saint-cloud. Aside from a tricky draw, the only hole you can pick in him is the fact that this was not the plan and the race could conceivably come too soon. Given he won eased down at The Curragh you would think this unlikely to diminish his chance. He copes with any ground, looks the most likely winner and quite possibly is a class apart.

If you’re looking for something to take him on, your realistic options do seem fairly limited. Jan Vermeer was miles ahead of Midas Touch when they met and it feels most unlikely the form is about to be reversed. Meanwhile Frankie has chosen Rewilding, supplemented after Goodwood, who catches the eye, but the proximity of Prizefighting does nothing for the form, even if the latter has improved, and with good yardstick Simenon 7.5l back in 4th - the same distance he finished behind Chabal. On a line through Togiak (or for that matter Midas Touch) that puts Rewilding on a par with Bullet Train, or a little behind Midas Touch. Bullet Train himself is blighted by the proximity of Hot Prospect in the Lingfield Derby trial who was himself a further 3 lengths behind Coordinated Cut when they met 3 weeks before.

And with that in mind, the Dante has looked the best British trial and the horse with an excuse in that race was Workforce, who was highly-regarded going into the race but spoiled his chance by slipping the bit after carrying his head awkwardly. In an interview with Robert Cooper on Thursday morning Sir Michael confirmed they have sorted the problem and he goes there in good heart. That was his seasonal reappearance, he’s sharpened up since and goes to Epsom in excellent good nick, attracting good money the past few days and looking the best of the British challengers. The one concern is a lack of experience but the relatively small field should help. The simple strategy is to back them both.

Bon chance,

Herbie

4. A Little Birdie Says…

I know some of you like to be updated regarding the Ryder Cup which is just 4 months away and due to be played at Celtic Manor, which is currently staging the Welsh Open.

It is very interesting to see both how the teams are shaping up in advance of the tournament. The European team have 9 players from the points system, and captain Colin Montgomerie picks 3 wild cards. His opposite number, Corey Pavin, picks 4 wild cards

At the moment, 10 of the players who were in the European team are not qualifying by right. Amazing! This includes Sergio Garcia, Paul Casey, Padraig Harrington, Soren Hansen, Jimenez, Karlsson, McDowell, Justin Rose, Oliver Wilson and Henrik Stenson

Of course a couple may squeak in by right, but that will mean two more players will drop out of the list.

Casey & Harrington will surely be picked but what of the others? Will Monty pick a Welshman, perhaps Rhys Davies or even Bradley Dredge?

I am sure the sponsor and owner of Celtic Manor, Terry Matthews, will be expecting a Welshman in the team

In the US team, 6 of the 2008 team do not qualify at the moment.

They are Kenny Perry, Justin Leonard, Ben Curtis, Boo Weekly, JB Holmes & Chad Campbell. But remember Corey Pavin has 4 wild cards at his disposal.

What about Tiger? He did not play in 2008 due to his knee surgery, and at the moment he does not get in on the points system.

Will Corey pick him? It is no secret that they are not the best of friends on and off the golf course.

The more I study this years event, the more I believe it is going to be very close with the odds in favour of a Euoropean win. A bet on the tie might be the call in the end!

If you require any info re golf or subscriptions to birdie golf please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

May 14, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. A Little Birdie Says

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

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1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

This week I want to touch briefly on the topic of betting systems as recently I have noticed a whole swathe of them popping up on the Internet, all baying for your cash.

Betting systems in my experience are like marmite (or vegemite for our Aussie readers), in that we either love or hate them and very often punters will be divided over how important they can be. Personally I love them, but only up to a point as whether they are focused on racing, football or water-polo, you really have to be so fussy about what you follow in.

Actually putting together a system that works on paper is pretty easy, the hard part is getting it to work with real money over a prolonged period of time. The selectivity comes in when you need to check out which systems actually are kosher and haven’t been curve-fitted to generate unrealistic profits. By curve-fitting I mean for example racing systems that with no apparent reason suggest you follow horses of all age ranges except for 5 year olds. There is no logic to such a ruling except for blatant curve-fitting.

Even worse in my eyes are those systems that are thrown together because they seem to make logical sense, applying a whole bunch of seemingly sensible filters to picking out a football or racing bet.

The problem is very often so many of these systems have no proven past results that actually state they work and it’s just the author assuming that they do. Following any system based simply on assumptions is a very quick way to the poorhouse. You are probably better off just going into the garden and burning a bunch of tenners!

I wanted to highlight this issue again this week as unfortunately there are plenty very dodgy systems that continually pop up month-in, month out. Very often they are here for just a few weeks, are expertly marketed and appear very genuine indeed. It can be very hard indeed to know exactly what to believe and I hate to see anyone being ripped off like this!

If you find yourself in this predicament of not knowing the systems to trust, then do stop to consider our service at the Secret Betting Club. We are wise to many of the system scams and also a good number that are worthy of your time and attention.

Don’t forget that our service also comes with a full money back guarantee so you can always try us out safe in the knowledge that you wont be out of pocket if you don’t like us (Although we doubt that will be the case!)

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

(P.S. Keep an eye out for all our new singing and dancing SBC website, coming very very soon!)

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Most of the football leagues have now drawn to a close, but over the next couple of months there is still going to be plenty worth betting upon with the World Cup to look forward to especially.

This weekend the main event is the FA Cup Final, which sees Chelsea an extremely short 1/5 best priced (Ladbrokes, Paddy) to beat relegated Portsmouth. With such a lack of value, focus needs to shift onto other markets to see if we can spot something of worth. The 6/1 on Portsmouth’s Aruna Dindane with Ladbrokes to score at anytime stands out to me as a bit of a rick. He is Didier Drogba’s Ivory Coast striking partner, has a good record of late and is expected to play.

For those of you who like to play the Asian Handicap markets you can also back Chelsea to overcome the -2 line at a best priced 1.90 with Pinnacle Sports. Should they win by 2 or more goals, the bet wins and perfect for those of you confident on them racking up a huge score similar to their recent 8-0 and 7-0 victories.

World Cup fever also continues to build and you can check on the odds here for those announced in the 30 man initial squad to make the final 23 cut for South Africa. I wouldn’t be surprised to see 1 or 2 shock announcements make it and perhaps its worth considering any of Scott Parker (3/1), Darren Bent (7/2), Shaun Wright-Philips (3/1) or Michael Dawson (7/4).

Another shock this week has been England’s cricket team as they have cruised through to Sunday’s 20-20 world cup final in the West Indies. They will line-up against either the Aussies or Pakistan who face off today in the 2nd semi-final. I expect Australia to have more than enough for Shahid Afridi’s team and it should make for an intriguing final, especially considering the fact that England have never won a ‘World Cup’ tournament! You can back them to buck this trend at a best priced 11/10 (across the board). I think they might just win it as well so it could be time to book the open-topped bus for the celebrations!

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

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Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

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3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, the ingenious punters aid - which delivers key market indicators and a host of useful information free of charge to your inbox, by 8am on Saturdays and main race days. Racing news…with a difference.

Totepool Aston Park Stakes (Listed), 2pm Newbury Sat 15th

All recent winners were priced 8/1 or less (14/14), and the vast majority had a prior top 4 finish in a Pattern race. The winner is invariably from a top flat yard and BHA rated 102+

Our short-list is: Claremont, Heliodor & Sabotage.

No word on the Godolphin pair from the gallops, Claremont sports a first time visor and has a host of G1 entries (Coronation Cup, Ascot Gold Cup, Irish St Leger) so clearly they hope he’s going places. Ditto Sabotage who has virtually all the same, and it’s interesting to see them being weighed in opposition to each other - no doubt, the first of many. The Hannon team think Heliodor comes here with a live chance and is up to winning a Group prize this year.

There doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of pace on here and Heliodor will be buried mid div and held up since those tactics went down well at Newmarket last time up. On the face of it the shape of the race looks slightly against him, he’s never managed to look convincing in better company and is somewhat exposed. Meanwhile Claremont was an uncomfortable looking 3rd behind Jukebox Jury last seen out (hence the visor) where he was also keen. He’d be hard to fancy on the basis of that form, especially as his best for Andre Fabre was on softer ground.

Sabotage was last seen on the 2 mile turf course at Meydan picking up a valuable conditions race in good style on gd-firm. He gets a lot further than a mile five and Frankie may choose to inject a bit of pace and play to his stamina. That would put Heliodor back in the frame, give him some pace and something to run at. The Hannon yard are in great form and with their later season approach you always feel Godolphin will be vulnerable in a race like this - it’s been 10 years since they took it.

Others:

In the Lockinge we have the excellent prospect of the fully matured Zacinto taking on a fully primed Paco Boy. We all saw what Paco did recently, where he looked like a horse who is going to be a big threat in G1’s all season. Zacinto has been sparkling on the gallops - he put pulled well clear of Confront in a July Course prep (described as ‘electrifying’) and impressed again on the Al Bahathri last Saturday. Paco Boy was disappointing here last year but seemed a little off beforehand and was found to have an infected foot. Of course it was none other than Confront that he put firmly in his place at Sandown. There’s probably not much in and if you want to play in a race like this I think you’re probably best off simply taking the bigger price.

Elsewhere on the card one you might want to keep an eye out for is Richard Hannon’s Plume in the 4.15, 7fl Handicap. They really fancy this one and when it’s at Newbury (or Goodwood) that’s always something you to want to sit up and take notice of. Essentially they rate her a Pattern class horse masquerading as a handicapper off a mark of 80. I’ll hand you over to the great man himself:

“Plume has to be right there in the seven furlong handicap. She is still only rated 80 and we think that she is much better than that. She was working terrific a month ago and the Guineas was still very much in our minds, but she scoped badly so had to miss the race. She is right back on track at home, and if she is as good as we think she is she has to go close”.

Bon chance,

Herbie

4. A Little Birdie Says…

We are now approaching the busy time for golf with quality tournaments and good betting opportunities coming up on both sides of the Atlantic.

20-23rd May - The BMW PGA Champ at Wentworth. A prize fund of a mere 4.5M Euros!
27-30 May - Madrid Masters.
03-06 June - Celtic Manor Welsh Open Very interesting as of course this is the venue for the Ryder Cup in October.
03-06 June - The Memorial at Muirhead Village Ohio Quality event, but it will be interesting to see if any US players turn up at Celtic Manor if they are on the fringe of the US team
17-20 June - US Open at Pebble Beach California

Looking at the prize fund at Wentworth it really is amazing how much an “average” pro golfer can earn. I am not being rude if I call the following list “average”, of course they are top golfers but not by any means world beaters!

The figures are quite staggering really:-

Graeme Storm & Stephen Dodd nearly 4M Euros career earnings todate

John Bickerton & David Lynn nearly 5M Euros

Barry Lane & Bradley Dredge nearly 7M euros

David Howell nearly 10M euros

I always check the stats for both tours and interesting to see that Alvaro Quiros currently leads the European Tour stats for longest drive at 306.2 yards. I would recommend you also do make a note of the 3rd guy in the stats with an average drive of 304.4 yards, we have Seung-yul-Noh.
This Korean is just 19 yrs and is certainly one to keep an eye on!

If you have any points you wish to discuss re golf or golf betting, subscriptions etc. , please do not hesitate to contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

April 23, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Dan Says
2. The Next Week In Football Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Skeeve’s Non League
5. A Little Birdie Says

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

If your looking to make money betting, our Secret Betting Club newsletters are the perfect place to start!

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The excellent looking racing tipster who supplies advice the night before racing and has a fine long-term record. Perfect for those of you who work during the day!
A look at doubles betting, how to make it work and also make your money go further. Includes our advice how to find the best odds for doubles betting.
How to use the under/over goals market in the Premier League to find value bets
A full guide to betting on your iPhone, how it can help and the apps and websites you need to know about.
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1. Dan Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Just what is value betting?
How much exactly would you pay for a plain old cup of coffee at Starbucks?

Nothing, I’ll make may own and I like tea anyway!
£2.00
£5.00
£20.00

Unless you’re particularly desperate, most people will say either A or B. We all have similar ideas of the value of a cup of coffee and so do Starbucks. Charging £20.00 for a cuppa will soon put them out of business, unless another Icelandic Volcano disrupts coffee supplies to the UK! But what has this got to do with betting?

It’s all about value…

The biggest transition I see in SBC members is when they stop thinking in just terms of what will win and start thinking about value.

Every bet offered up by a bookmaker or on Betfair has a chance of winning. As we saw with last year’s Grand National, even the 100/1 shots can romp home once in a while. The trick is to be able to have your own price on something that you can compare to the bookies.

“Price doesn’t matter as long as it wins”

I often read this on certain…ahem betting exchange forums and in relation to laying “It doesn’t matter what price it is, as long as it loses”.

Both of these sentences are utter nonsense. Price is everything.

How to Price Up a Bet

A good way to price up a bet is to convert the odds on offer into the implied probability of that bet winning. Implied probability is how often that bet is expected to win given average luck.

To work this out take 1 and divide it by the decimal odds on offer then times by 100.

For example evens is 2.0 in decimal odds.
1 divided by 2 is 0.5
X 100 = 50%.

So a bet priced at evens should win roughly 50% of the time.

0% means something will never happen.
100% means something will always happen.

Percentage Chance of Winning

The second part of value is to come up with your prediction of its chances of winning. If you think there’s actually a 75% chance of that betting, then you have a value bet.

To convert 75% back into odds, you divide 100 by 75 = 1.33.

In other words, you’re betting on what should be a 1.33 shot and you’re getting 2.00.

Doesn’t mean it will win, but take 100 bets like that and you will make money.

Naturally this assumes your estimation is more accurate than the bookmakers which is easier said than done.

Here’s some more examples to get you thinking:

Man Utd are 1.50 vs Arsenal. The bookies imply a 67% chance of victory. Is there value there?
Sunderland are 3.2 away to Hull. This implies a 31% chance of them winning. Is there value there?
Jensen Button is 8.0 to retain the F1 title. This implies a 13% chance of him winning. Is that value?
Betfair has odds of 1.71 on there being a Hung Parliament. This implies a 58% chance. Is that value?

Here at the Secret Betting Club, we work hard to provide our members with the best ways to spot value. The easiest way to do this is to have someone do the hard work for you and tap into their expertise.

This is why we proof and review dozens of highly profitable tipsters for you to choose from.
There’s not just tipsters though as we also help our members with regular education articles such as knowing how and when to bet on multiples.

To find out more visit www.secretbettingclub.com

Dan Jones

2. The Next Week in Football Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Its hotting up nicely in the Premier League this weekend with the race for the title, 4th and relegation all likely to become a lot clearer come Sunday night.

I took in last weeks Manchester Derby in Sky’s new 3D format at my local pub, which was a terrible game, no matter what dimension you watched it in. With that in mind I cant have the best odds of 1.5 with Paddy Power on Man Utd to beat a resurgent Spurs this weekend. What I do think we will see is goals as United have to go for victory, but with only a best 1.7 being offered on over 2.5 goals, this does look a bit Danny Devito (on the short side).

My interest lies over at Stamford Bridge where Stoke are the visitors and they are a huge 22/1 with SBObet to take all 3 points. Chelsea should win this but the Potters are no pushovers and the odds of 1.86 on them with a 2.25 Asian Handicap is of interest to me. Only if they lose by a 3 goal margin or more do we lose here.

I must admit to also being tempted by Arsenal who are 2.02 with 5 Dimes to beat Man City at home on Saturday Evening. The Wengerboys have won 14 of their 17 home games this season, whereas City have won only 6 out of 17 away from home. After watching both teams last week though it would take a real leap of faith to back either of them, especially the home outfit given the fact Fabianski is in goal. Expect City to really test him with plenty of shots from distance and crosses, although he will probably struggle as it is simply kicking any passes back that come his way.

Turning to the battle to beat the drop and its hard to see either of Burnley or Hull picking up enough points to avoid relegation. Last year we saw the same thing with the teams going down doing so with a whimper.

Hull are a team full of Championship players and they host Sunderland who are in good form, having won 4 of their last 8 games. As bad as the Black Cats have been away from home, they should have enough to get at least a draw here. Especially with the likes of Bent in cracking form (8 goals in last 8 games) and goalie Craig Gordon finally showing why they paid £9 million for him. I like the +0.25 Asian Handicap on Sunderland with Paddy Power at a tasty looking 1.91. We win half if its a draw and collect in full if the Black Cats take all 3 points.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Notts County won last week, but Fulham failed to score against Wolves, so our double lost unfortunately. The recommended bets to my members found 7 winners from 10, so let’s hope I can flag two winners out of two for you today.

The season is drawing to a close with just three weekends to go. We can sometimes get strange results when teams have nothing to play for but I strongly believe that contrary to much criticism received by players, that they are professionals and do their best almost all of the time. Having nothing to play for can often mean they play without fear and can actually perform better. The bookmakers generally reduce the odds of the “must win” teams because they know they will take money on those.

Today’s featured matches are Norwich to beat Gillingham, and Doncaster to beat Scunthorpe.
Norwich are promoted and a win here will see them lift the title. I’m sure they will want to impress in front of their home fans. Gillingham have been woeful on their travels and haven’t won away all season, conceding 44 goals along the way.

Scunthorpe ensured their Championship survival in midweek, so the pressure is off them now. Doncaster are in the top half of the table and have done well this season. Scunthorpe have been far better at home than away and have leaked 48 goals in 22 away games. Doncaster should win this game around 57% of the time, and their odds are 2.10, which makes them a good risk.

Recommended double: Norwich to beat Gillingham at 1.50, and Doncaster to beat Scunthorpe at 2.10. The double is available at 3.15 at the time of writing, with Ladbrokes.

I estimate the true odds of both games winning to be around 2.61, or 38%. The long-term yield at odds of 3.15 suggests we should get 120 points back for every 100 staked.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

PS. Membership to my Winabobatoo service is currently full for the current season. If you wish to join the waiting list for next season then please visit the website. The sooner you register, the sooner you will be offered a place. There are only 300 places available.

4. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another season is at it’s end - we still have a few play-off semi-finals, a couple of play-off finals and an FA Trophy final left of course, but as far as the regular season is concerned, that’s it folks. Let’s take a look at the stats for these free Weekend Wager picks:

FREE	PICKS	STAKED	RETURNED	W-V-L	PROFIT	ROI
	27	108	127.88	16-1-10	+19.88	18.4%

Not bad at all, but it could’ve been a lot better if April didn’t turn out to be such a horror month. I don’t like to use the ‘l’ word when it comes to serious betting (or, if you want, investing), but I was at +73 points profit for the season on April 2 (12.6% ROI) and now, three horror Saturdays later, I’m at +40 (6.3% ROI). Bad runs are perfectly normal, just like the good ones (you have to take a long-term perspective if you want to be succesful at this crazy job and my long-term results speak for themselves, that’s +503 points profit since December 2006, 14.1% long-term ROI; after an amazing 2009 that produced +200 points profit and a 25.9% ROI you simply have to expect a bit slower year), but when the bad run happens at the end of the season, you can either try and chase the losses (which I’m too old and too experienced for) on the last regular day of the season and in the play-offs - or try and learn as much as you can from that particular losing run and come up with another set of adjustments for next season (not to mention that I always change the size of my point/unit after a bad run - not by making it smaller of course - and that always proved to be profitable).

It wasn’t just a few missed penalties that would’ve turned more than a couple of OVER 2.5 GOALS bets into winning bets, a couple of red cards and two-goal leads turning into frustrating draws - I’ve made mistakes and I can’t wait to get my revenge on the bookmakers (I love fresh starts as some of you already know). But, I would be a bloody fool if I tried to force it and get all these lost points back by mid-May. Play-off games are the trickiest of all and if I do get involved, it will be a couple of average-stake bets only. And then, in August, it starts all over again and I’ll be smarter than ever, more experienced than ever and working harder than ever.

The membership and the waiting list are both closed btw - when I decide to reopen the waiting list, you’ll be the first to know. In fact, when I do reopen the waiting list, it will be open for SBC members only. Take care.

cheers,
skeeve

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

5. A Little Birdie Says…

Importance of checking tee times before placing golf bets

It is very important to check tee times for two reasons, and both are equally important.
The first reason is the start time as I will explain.

With all stroke play tournaments, players play in 3 balls in the opening two rounds. The same 3 ball play together in the first two rounds. A 3 ball having a very early start on day one, will have a late start on day two.

Many tournaments tee off at 7.0am (local time) or even earlier on the second day if the first round was not completed on day one.

Depending on which continent the tournament is being played in, early morning starters will be playing on slower greens (due to overnight moisture or dew). As the day lengthens and the sun gets high, then greens dry out and get markedly faster.

Early morning starters do have the advantage of spike free greens, particularly immediately around the pins. This coupled with the fact that the weather is often calmer earlier in the day, means these players generally have a good chance of posting a good score.

A player shooting 5 or 6 under early in the day is very often at or near the top of the leader board at the end of the day. This is of greater significance in the UK where the wind can get stronger during the day.

The second reason to look at the tee times is to actually check the three ball. Who is playing with who?

A rookie from the Challenge tour is unlikely to play to his best if stood on the first tee with Tiger Woods & Phil Mickleson!

The playing speed of players can have crucial impact on each golfers game. Continuous slow play by one player in a 3 ball can cause frustration, followed by lack of concentration and perhaps mistakes.

So before you place your bet, it may help if you :-

(1) Check the tee times to see the start times for the first two days and also note the composition of the 3 balls
(2) Short term and 4 day weather forecast should be checked

Both of these facts are so important if you intend betting on the outcome of a three ball (match betting).

If you require further information or details of subscriptions etc please do not hesitate to contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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Tags: Secret Betting Club, Tipsters, Weekend Wager

The Weekend Wager

April 16, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Football Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Skeeve’s Non League

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

If your looking to make money betting, our Secret Betting Club newsletters are the perfect place to start!

Check out some of the fantastic secrets we unveiled in our very latest edition below…

The excellent looking racing tipster who supplies advice the night before racing and has a fine long-term record. Perfect for those of you who work during the day!
A look at doubles betting, how to make it work and also make your money go further. Includes our advice how to find the best odds for doubles betting.
How to use the under/over goals market in the Premier League to find value bets
A full guide to betting on your iPhone, how it can help and the apps and websites you need to know about.
PLUS all our stats on tipster performance in our special report including…
The laying service that has made 365 points profit in the last 12 months.
The racing tipster who has made a 63% return on investment in the last 6 months.
The football service that has made over 200 pts profit this season alone (20%+ ROI)

Join today risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Those of you who live in the UK wont have failed to notice that we currently have a General Election campaign taking place. As always during these times, we find ourselves being bombarded with different numbers, statistics and polls all designed to make us vote a certain way.

Well I’m certainly not standing for election but I thought I would provide you with some numbers of my own that should interest you from a betting viewpoint. Think of it as a party political broadcast on behalf of the Secret Betting Club if you will

Over 120 Services Currently Monitored

To start off with, did you know that here at the Secret Betting Club we currently monitor 120 different betting services and systems?

A full 32 of this 120 are either in our Hall of Fame or have a Recommended rating, meaning they are well worth following with your money. These are the very best services that we filter out for you to follow.

A further 13 also come with a Closely Monitored status, which means they show potential but require more time before a firm decision can be made. In addition there are also 5 different ratings services and systems we currently advocate.

That leaves another 70 services, all of which we are currently proofing in advance of a review from us in the near future. 17 of which are in what we call ‘testing’, which means they are currently being probed by our panel of experts. Thus there remain 53 further services who will no doubt come up for review before too long.

How This Helps You

The point I wanted to illustrate with all these numbers is just how wide our tentacles actually spread here at SBC. If you have an interest in a betting service or system, its very likely we will have an experience of it to share with you.

I know this is blowing our trumpet a little bit, but perhaps I have picked up a bit of the electioneering spirit this week!

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. The Next Week in Football Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

The race for the title and 4th position could well be over after this weekend with 2 crucial games, starting at Saturday lunchtime with the Manchester derby over at Eastlands.

Man Utd need three points badly but with Rooney unlikely to start the best price 2.51 (Pinnacle) on them looks fairly short. Their away record against top half teams this season reads as won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3, so with only a 33% win success rate it highlights the lack of value.

City on the other hand have done very well of late and have only lost once this season against Everton. Perhaps a good option is the 0 Asian Handicap on the home team (same as a Draw No Bet) at a best priced 2.16 from 188bet.

The other big game sees Spurs host Chelsea, with the home team buoyed from ending arch-rivals Arsenal title challenge in the week. Spurs have become very tough to break down at home since the turn of the year and have not lost at White Hart Lane since November. Chelsea I fear will have their work cut out and so the +0.5 Asian Handicap on Spurs at 1.98 with 188bet pays out as long as they dont lose.

Elsewhere there are 3 short home favourites in Birmingham (1.83), Fulham (2.22) and Stoke (2.18) to beat 3 struggling teams in Hull, Wolves & Bolton respectively. Stoke in-particular are of real interest as their record against bottom half teams reads won 7, drawn 2 and lost 0. With that in mind and against a Bolton side who always struggle away from home, anything above evens looks useful. As for Fulham - Wolves, it sees 2 very organised teams face up and its hard to see too many goals, and the under 2.5 goals is 1.74 with 188bet jumps out at me.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Hearts managed to win for us last week in our single bet at 1.91. There are a few more opportunities this weekend to find a couple of games for a double bet.

We’re reaching the critical point of the season, where every match assumes much greater significance in the promotion and relation battles. Chelsea v Spurs and Man City v Man Utd are massive games. A win for Chelsea and a loss for United would see Chelsea 7 points clear with just three games to go.

One of our bets this weekend features a team at the bottom of the Premiership table. Take Fulham to beat Hull at 2.10 with Bet 365. Fulham have won 10 from 16 at home, whilst Hull have won none in 17 away from home.

Hull need the points and Fulham are safe but integrity is still apparent in football, and Fulham will play to win, and they should be too good for Hull. I’m sure Hull will raise their game as their Premiership survival is at stake but effort shouldn’t be good enough against the better class of Fulham.

Our second bet is in League Two: Notts County are taken to beat Morecambe at 1.57 with Bet 365. County are in a battle with Rochdale for the title, and by coincidence, play each other on Tuesday night. Morecambe have play-off aspirations but 48 goals scored by County in 20 home games should be too much for a slightly leaky Morecambe defence. They’ve conceded 34 goals on their travels, which is the 6th worst in the division.

Recommended double: Fulham to beat Hull at 2.10, and Notts County to beat Morecambe at 1.57. The double is available at 3.29 at the time of writing, with Bet365.

I estimate the true odds of both games winning to be around 2.76, or 36%. So we have the odds nicely in our favour.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

4. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

If you thought you’ve heard someone yelling and howling somewhere in the distance last Saturday, it was me - last weekend’s bets all turned out to be heartbreaking horror stories. Missed penalties, two-goal leads turning into draws - you name it, I survived it last Saturday. Days like that happen from time to time, it’s basically part of the job, but it always hurts and if you’re smart, the only thing you can do is work you ass off, watch the match highlights instead of going to sleep, read the fans’ forums instead of cooking dinner and go through all the news articles instead of going out with your girlfriend or mates. I hope that’s it for the season as far as horror stories are concerned. Here’s one of the seven bets I’ve sent to my clients a couple of hours ago.

cheers,
skeeve

17/ 4/2010

BLUE SQUARE SOUTH

LEWES - Dorchester 1 (1.80 @Bet365) 4 units

These three points would be pure gold for Lewes - they’re in the relegation zone, they have one point less than Worcester who are just outside the relegation zone, but they’ve played a game less and a win against unmotivated Dorchester doesn’t really look like a mission impossible. Lewes have two wins and a draw in the last three home games (3:1 vs Welling, 1:0 vs Bromley, 0:0 vs St Albans), they’ve only lost once since they’ve brought in Gradwell and El-Abd on loan from Hayes (Gradwell missed the goalless draw with St Albans, but he’ll play against Dorchester, it’s an extremely important game for Lewes), they’re not that bad at home (six wins, seven draws, six defeats), they have a couple of very good midfielders in Wheeler and Keehan who is their best scorer this season and I wouldn’t be surprised if they (and not Worcester) manage to stay in the Blue Square South status after all. Dorchester are one of the worst away teams in the league, they have as much as fifteen defeats in twenty away games (only Weston have one defeat more than them), they have three consecutive 0:2 away defeats (0:2 at Braintree, 0:2 at Bath, 0:2 at Eastleigh) and they’re manager has announced he won’t field a full-strength team for this game - Dorchester are safe from relegation, they have some injuries (full-backs Hill and Critchell are both injured) and suspensions (another defender Bowles) to deal with and, well, here’s what their manager has to say: ”We are safe, I want to involve some of the lads on the periphery of the squad…Without being disrespectful to Worcester we have done our job and got to where we want to be, which allows us to change things accordingly if we so wish…We are interested in building for next season and we will change things by looking at one or two options. People deserve the chance to impress and I trust every one of the boys to come in and grasp the opportunity”. This could be a double-edged sword of course, but I don’t think Lewes should be at 1.80 (and even 1.91) - anything better than 1.60 looks great to me.

(1.91 at BoyleSports btw, 1.80 also at Bwin, Coral and also at Blue Square, Bet-at-home, BetFred, Expekt, Gamebookers, Paddy Power, Sportingbet, StanJames, Unibet…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

April 9, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Herbie Goes Racing
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..

Read This Before You Place Another Bet

The latest edition of the Secret Betting Club newsletter was released on Wednesday the 31st March.

Below is just a sample of what you can find in this latest issue…

The excellent looking racing tipster who supplies advice the night before racing and has a fine long-term record. Perfect for those of you who work during the day!
A look at doubles betting, how to make it work and also make your money go further. Includes our advice how to find the best odds for doubles betting.
How to use the under/over goals market in the Premier League to find value bets
A full guide to betting on your iPhone, how it can help and the apps and websites you need to know about.
PLUS all our stats on tipster performance in our special report including…
The laying service that has made 365 points profit in the last 12 months.
The racing tipster who has made a 63% return on investment in the last 6 months.
The football service that has made over 200 pts profit this season alone (20%+ ROI)

Join today risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Mike will return with his usual column next week…

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

A big sporting weekend ahead with both the Grand National and Golf Masters taking place, which both Herbie Fogg and Birdie Golf have covered excellently further on in this email.

That leaves me to highlight the other big events, namely the FA Cup semi-finals, which take place at Wembley on Saturday and Sunday. The first one sees Chelsea take on Aston Villa only 2 weeks after they humbled them 7-1 and they are now as short as 1.6 with Expekt to win once again. Its hard to see beyond Chelsea after their resurgence of late but whether you would go in so short is up for debate.

In the other game we have an even shorter favourite with Spurs a best 1.33 with Unibet to beat a Portsmouth side who have shown resilience of late in the face of real adversity on and off the pitch. Pompey will benefit from a number of key players returning but still its hard to see them upsetting the form book here.

Onto the Premier League we have a reduced card with only 6 games taking place this weekend. There are two key relegation battles with Hull 1.78 (Pinnacle) to beat a woeful Burnley team and West Ham in dire need of 3 points at home to Sunderland (the hammers are a best 2.1 with Stan James).

The Hull - Burnley game looks very much the archetypal ‘2 bald men fighting over a comb’ game (to borrow a phrase from the excellent Greg Gordon) as neither side is realistically good enough to stay up this season. I expect Hull to win but if they are as dire as when away at Stoke last week, then its hard to have too much confidence in them at an odds-on price.

The game that interests me is at Blackburn, where they face a out of sorts Man United side. Ewood Park has been turned into a fortress of sorts for Blackburn who have not lost there this year and over the course of this season, Big Sam has developed a strong team, with some talented players coming through. Considering the likes of Chelsea could only pick up a point there recently the 2.09 +1 Asian Handicap on Blackburn with SBObet looks value to me.

Elsewhere we also have the battle of the Europa League semi-finalists where I fancy Liverpool to easily have far too much for a likely weakened Fulham outfit. However the 1.33 best price on them to take all 3 points is far too short for me, but for the more confident of you, the -1.5 AH on the home team at around 1.90 could be worth an interest.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Stoke won last weekend for us but Plymouth did a smash and grab at Doncaster and upset the double unfortunately.

Finding Value amongst the good teams playing at home this weekend seems quite difficult. The best prices aren’t with the same bookmakers, so it makes betting for Value amongst the doubles quite hard.

In the circumstances, I’ll be better off giving you a single win bet at a decent price.
Hearts aren’t world-beaters this season but they look too good for Kilmarnock in the SPL. I suspect one goal will be enough for Hearts as Kilmarnock have only scored 4 goals in 17 matches on their travels. Hearts have scored 17 at home in 15 games.
They’re available at 1.91 with Corals.

Hearts should win just over 56% of the time, which makes their true odds around 1.79.
Recommended single: Hearts to beat Kilmarnock.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

4. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

John Smith’s Grand National Handicap Chase (G3), Aintree - 4.15pm Saturday, 27th March

We carry a comprehensive free Grand National guide at Key Racing News - with the pattern of weights shifting the quick pick section looks as if it’s fast becoming obsolete, but the ‘detailed pick’ system should be as strong as ever:

View the system here

After phase 1, the qualifiers for 2010 are: Snowy Morning, Big Fella Thanks, State Of Play, Character Building & Arbor Supreme.

In phase 2 we analyse the jumping record. 2 career falls eliminates Snowy Morning, 2 ‘unseated rider’ in 10 starts over fences removes Big Fella Thanks.

Of the remainder, Arbour Supreme and Character Building were bred in Ireland. My recommendation is to treble stakes on Irish bred compared to horses bred elsewhere.

State Of Play, 1pt win (20/1 with Hills or Ladbrokes)
Arbour Supreme, 3pt win (circa 20/1 Betfair)
Character Building, 3pt win (circa 20/1 Betfair)

I have also analysed the each way market for an option in this sphere and have found a further selection - a good trends match too, and certainly over-priced: King John’s Castle, currently 33/1. A close up 4th in this 2 years ago on good ground from 2lbs lower - he’s had a quiet prep and remains potentially well-treated against his best form.

King John’s Castle, 1pt each way (33/1 generally)

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

5. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another four points lost last weekend unfortunately, let’s hope I chose the right bet (out of four picks I’ve sent to my clients a couple of hours ago) to be the free pick for the Weekend Wager readers this time.

cheers,
skeeve

10/ 4/2010

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

Tamworth - (-1) LUTON 2 (2.04 @SBO) 4 units

Tamworth are actually on a pretty nice run, only one defeat and two wins in the last six, but that could actually help us with this bet - Tamworth won’t get relegated which means this isn’t exactly ‘to be or not to be in the Blue Square Premier next season’ match for them. If we take a look at Tamworth’s home games against top ten teams, we’ll only see one win (a shock 1:0 win against league leaders Stevenage two months ago), two draws (a goalless draw with on/off Oxford, 2:2 vs Wimbledon back in September) and as much as six defeats (2:3 to York, 0:1 to Rushden, 1:3 to Kettering, 0:1 to Crawley, 2:4 to Mansfield, 0:2 to Altrincham). They’re not really scoring a lot of goals at home, only 1.1 per home game, they’re one of the worst home teams in the league (only seven wins out of twenty home games) and, after all, this isn’t that confused Luton that barely managed to beat them 2:1 in October - this is a scary new Luton that trashes their opponents and scoring dozens of goals for fun. Luton have nine consecutive wins (3:2 at Hayes, 2:1 vs Forest Green, 1:0 vs Wrexham, 3:1 vs Kidderminster, 6:1 at Ebbsfleet, 8:0 vs Hayes, 4:0 vs Salisbury, 1:0 at Stevenage, 6:0 vs Grays), they’re the best away team in the league (only three away defeats so far - only one of those happened after September) and if we take a look at their away games at bottom ten teams, we can see one draw (1:1 at Salisbury back in September) and as much as eight wins (2:0 at Grays, 6:1 at Ebbsfleet, 1:0 at Forest Green, 1:0 at Eastbourne, 1:0 at Gateshead, 1:0 at Barrow, 2:0 at Histon, 3:2 at Hayes). Yep, plenty of narrow 1:0 wins, but not lately, they’ve been scoring a lot more goals in the last few weeks (34 goals scored in the last nine games!) and a narrow away win seems like a worst case scenario. Anything better than 1.80 for this asian handicap (we get our four points back if Luton win by one goal exactly) looks great to me.

(2.02 at 12bet and Mansion88 btw, 2.00 at Bet365, Ladbrokes and also at Canbet btw, 1.99 at Victor Chandler, 1.98 at Pinnacle, 1.97 at The Greek btw…)

6. A Little Birdie Says…

US Masters after Day One

Last week, I told you that Tiger had been “living” at Augusta and practising like never before. The result is that he is 4 under after the first round and as short as 2/1 to win the tournament. One can only stand back and admire the man. Will he win? I just have a feeling that yesterday he was on a real high and the wonderful response from the crowd boosted his adrenalin. Tough to keep this going all week, and not backable at 2/1!

The Oldies

What about Tom Watson! -5 on day one, and 60 years of age. Great to see, but can he hang in there? Most unlikely.

A quick mention for Sandy Lyle who was -3 after day one, which is incredible as his game has been in the doldrums for years. Will surely slip down the leader board today

Fred Couples, who is leading on 6 under! Now this guy can stay up with the pack. His golf on the Seniors tour in recent weeks has been top class and he is as short as 18/1 to win. Probably too many quality younger players around him in reality.

So where does the winner come from?

Phil Mickleson showed last week that form was returning and he is 5 under. Are we going to see Woods & Mickleson head to head on the final day?

Lee Westwood has had a great start and is also 5 under and 8/1 to win. Trouble with Lee is that he does not win as often as he should, and I cant help feeling he could end up a shot or two off the pace.

Ian Poulter is bang there at 4 under (one of my tips) so hopefully he will go on from here. Has the ability and confidence for sure. We are on at 40/1 and is now down to 14/1 in most books.

KJ Choi is 5 under and a real threat. His caddie, Andy Prodger is the making of this guy. Andy carried for Nick Faldo during his peak years!

Nick Watney is 4 under and has the ability to win. I put him up as one of my 10 to follow at the start of the year and his golf is on an upward curve.

YE Yang is 5 under and a major winner so no fears there. Schwartzel is 3 under and improves week on week. Can Kim win? Not sure he has the temperament to win the Masters.

So who wins? The great thing about betting on golf is that it is a “race” that lasts 4 days! You can bet in running, bet on the exchanges etc…

Lets be brave…We will leave out Woods & Mickleson. Also Westwood although he is top form. Level stakes on the following could provide the winner.

Poulter at 14/1
KJ Choi at 16/1
Nick Watney at 25/1
YE Yang at 28/1
Schwartzel at 28/1

Of course I hope that Poulter comes good or that our other pick, Ryan Moore shoots 6 under today!

Have fun watching and betting over the next 3 days. If you require any info about my birdie golf service, including subscriptions, please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk.

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

March 26, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..

Ordinary People Making Extraordinary Betting Profits

Issue 46 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and is full of information we believe could help you start to make or even improve upon your existing betting profits.

Here’s the highlights from this month’s magazine…

Full review of the Racing Post’s Pricewise Extra
First look at the horse racing ratings service which is impressing our testing team.
An in depth update on the main football tipsters we track. Who is top of the performance charts this season?
A first look at the football tipster that would have doubled your bank this season.
The horse racing tipster the professional gamblers wanted to keep secret.
Tips & tricks on how to avoid bookmaker restrictions.
Double chance betting - Our need to know guide.
The little known football statistic for this season.

Read about all of this and more by joining today risk free at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Don’t forget too that all memberships also come with our 100% money back guarantee!

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

One of our feature articles in the forthcoming 47th SBC issue (due out next week) focuses on the much debated area of ‘doubles’ betting. That is to combine 2 bets into 1 and to therefore increase your overall payout.

Now doubles (and trebles & other accumulators) are often touted as the type of bet that if done wrong effectively pay for your bookmaker to go on holiday each year (i.e. his profit!). That however is not always the case and in actual fact when done correctly, doubling up can rack up the profits far more effectively than singles.

In this months article we give the example of a fictional service that has a 50% strike-rate picking bets at 6/5. He picks out 2 bets per day so over 4 days and 8 bets in total he makes a 0.8 point profit. This works out as a 10% profit on turnover.

Now if he placed a double on his 2 bets each day, he would over the same period make a 1.68 pt profit. His total stake is again only 8 points but his profit on turnover has increased to 21%.
More than double his return from placing single bets only!

Of course this is quite a simplified way of looking at this but the basic premise is the same, that with the right analysis, betting on doubles can be a more effective way of increasing your overall profit on turnover.

Profitable Sources Still Needed!

Whether you bet on doubles, trebles or 10-team accumulators (good luck if that’s you!) you still need to have a profitable system or service in the first place.

Simply betting on doubles will not turn a losing service into a winning one, whichever way you look at it.

That’s where we come in here at the Secret Betting Club as we have an excellent source of winning approaches for your own betting. Many of these apply themselves well to other ways of making profit betting such as placing doubles.

You can find out more about doubles betting and our suggestions on how to squeeze the most value out of them in the next SBC issue, out next week.

Until next time…

Mike Bishop
Follow me on Twitter

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Back in the mix this week with a full Premiership card to get stuck into as we enter squeaky bum territory, that time of the year that separates the men from the boys.

Talking of which, that’s exactly how Portsmouth played in midweek, as a team of schoolboys completely our of their depth against a hither to out-of-form Chelsea. This was the worst possible preparation for their big clash against old boss, Harry Redknapp and his Spurs team in a game its hard to see past the home team for.

Spurs are a best 1/4 to win this, which may seem short but considering Pompeys woeful record against teams in the top half of the league (1 win from 17) you can understand the nature of the price. Still at 1/4 and for only 25% interest its not worth getting involved in as far as I am concerned.

One bet I do like is over at Stamford Bridge where Villa take on Chelsea in a huge game for both sides. Chelsea are suffering from injuries especially at the back and with Villa setup to play best away from home, I fancy the +1.5 Asian Handicap on Martin O’Neill’s side at 1.85 with SBObet. Villa are 4th in the away league table, having conceded only 12 goals in 15 games. With this bet we still win even with a 1 goal defeat for Villa.

Money has come in for Everton this weekend and they are now a shade over evens (2.1 with Stan James) to take 3 points away at Molineux this weekend. Wolves have actually started scoring lately but I feel they may struggle to break down a now settled Everton backline (the game against West Ham was the first time Wolves have registered more than 2 in a league game this season). As such I think the under 2.5 goals at 1.82 with Pinnacle Sports offers a touch of value here.

Everton have also won all 8 games in which they have kept a clean sheet and another option is the 5/2 on them to ‘win to nil’ at Totesport.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

Williamhill.com Magnolia Stakes (Listed), Kempton - 3.25pm Saturday, 27th March

Tom Tate looks to have finally found the ideal opportunity here for Suits Me, who is some way ahead of anything else declared for this in terms of ratings on sand. Fit from an all weather campaign, Suits Me has been running into the more highly rated Tranquil Tiger all winter (not to mention Gitano Hernando) and I imagine it must be a relief to all concerned to see no bigger fish lining up here.

Pitched in against genuinely smart types, Suits Me tends to just set things up for a finisher but this, especially away from Lingfield, looks doable. Lingfield is tough territory for a front runner, one of the hardest in the country (the 7th hardest when I last saw the stats). In Darryll Holland they have the ideal man for the carefully measured quick-slow-quick ride from the front at Kempton is a better venue.

The main option is Willie Haggas’ South Easter, although rather by default. With the others looking up against it and he looking fairly unexposed (totally unexposed on polytrack). South Easter actually managed to beat Gitano Hernando last year at Chester (thanks to a shocking hold up ride from ’shotgun’ John Egan…one of those rides you never forget). After that he was beaten 10.5 lengths in a Group 2 where all those in front went on to do very little. He’s never done anything on the flat rated within 7lbs of Suits Me (on Raceform weight-adjusted ratings). It’s his first run in a long while, and we have to take it on faith that he’s fit and at the likely price you would want to know for sure that he was.

Of the others Heliodor hasn’t been running to the same level, and after that you’re struggling to find anything else with a credible claim on the book. I wasn’t that impressed with Heliodor’s prep run and I expect Suits Me to be hard to beat here.

Suits Me - 2pts win

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

I hope you were on last weekend’s winning double as we secured our 4th winning double in 7 since I’ve been highlighted two weekend games for you.

The Home Zone System, which is the source of the selections, has been performing extremely well with 26 winners coming from 33 matches since its inception to my Winabobatoo members last month, showing a profit of some 13 points to single win level stakes bets.

Unfortunately, there is only one match that satisfies the rules for selection this weekend, which means we can’t have our customary double.

Kidderminster are taken to beat Salisbury. They’re available at 1.80 with 7 different bookmakers at the time of writing. They were best priced at 1.85 earlier today but the weight of money from my members betting on the game has shortened it somewhat. This tends to happen with the Conference matches as the bookies start to run scared when they think we know something they don’t.

Kidderminster should win this game around 58% of the time, meaning their true odds are around 1.72. Backing them at 1.80 or bigger means the odds are in our favour and should secure us some long-term gains. Our betting objective should always be to place bets when the odds on offer more than cover the risk.

An example of a bad price this weekend is Man City v Wigan. Man City are 1.33 to beat Wigan. This means Man City would have to win 75% of the time for us to break even. Admittedly, City are strong favourites, but my numbers suggest they are only likely to win around 67% of the time, which means they are not worth the risk. Sometimes we have to sacrifice a few winners in order to find value. Finding winners alone isn’t enough. We have to find winners at prices that will secure long-term profits. This is the main difference in approach between long-term profitable bettors and long-term losing bettors.

Recommended single: Kidderminster to beat Salisbury at 1.80.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

5. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

I promised I’d update the stats for these free Weekend Wager picks this time, so here we go:

FREE	PICKS	STAKED	RETURNED	W-V-L	PROFIT	ROI
	23	92	120.68	15-1-7	+28.68	31.1%

Not bad, right? You’re welcome.

If we take a look at all of my picks since the start of the season in August, we’ll notice the ROI is much lower (of course), but still well above 10% (and the season isn’t over yet):

09/10	PICKS	STAKED	RETURNED	W-V-L	PROFIT	ROI
	150	541	605.91	78-9-63	+64.91	11.9%

Here’s one of the seven picks I’ve sent to my client a few hours ago.

cheers,
skeeve

27/3/2010

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

(0) CRAWLEY - Stevenage 1 (2.37 @Bet365) 4 units

Crawley are the third best home team in the league, they haven’t lost a home game since December 1, they have five consecutive wins in February and March (1:0 vs Cambridge, 1:0 vs Altrincham, 2:1 vs Luton, 2:1 vs Wimbledon, 2:1 vs Ebbsfleet), mostly against the best teams in the league, they’ve managed to beat all the serious play-off candidates at home except for Oxford (2:1 vs Luton, 2:1 vs Rushden, 3:1 vs York, 2:1 vs Kettering, 2:1 vs Wimbledon) and a 0:2 defeat away at the very same Stevenage wasn’t as convincing as it might look - Stevenage scored the other goal in the 95th minute btw, a draw wouldn’t have been an unfair result there. They have a very good striker in Ademeno who scored winners against Altrincham, Wimbledon and Ebbsfleet recently, they had two weeks off (their last game was a 2:1 win vs Ebbsfleet the Saturday before last) and I think they have a much better chance against Stevenage than these odds suggest.

Stevenage were on an amazing run not that long ago and they still have six consecutive league wins, but they’ve barely managed to beat depleted Histon 1:0 ten days ago, then only managed to grind out a goalles draw with Kidderminster in the 2nd leg of an FA Trophy semi-final last Saturday and then barely managed to beat already relegated Grays 2:1 away from home on Tuesday. Grays even took the lead and Stevenage weren’t able to find a winner until 86th minute. Fatigue could be an important factor in this game - Stevenage played three games in eight days (and they were far from impressive in all of them) while Crawley played none. Like I said, Crawley are amazing at home and Stevenage have had plenty of off days so far, especially away from home (the most recent are 0:1 at Tamworth and 0:1 at Rushden, both in February), they have nine wins, four draws and four defeats in seventeen league games - Kettering, Luton and Oxford have all been better than Stevenage on the road. After six consecutive league wins, they’re bound to lose a league game soon and an away defeat at an amazing home team that still has an outside chance for a play-off spot wouldn’t be that big of a surprise if you ask me. Anything better than 2.00 for this draw-no-bet (we make +5.4 points profit in case of a home win or get these four points back in case of a draw) looks great to me.

(2.38 at Victor Chandler and also at Paddy Power btw, 2.32 at Pinnacle, 2.25 at Sportingbet btw…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

6. A Little Birdie Says…

Tiger makes his comeback!

In 12 days time Tiger Woods makes his long awaited appearance on a golf course in the Masters at Augusta. Apparently he has been practising very hard in recent weeks, is hitting the ball sweetly and fully intends to win!

There has never been a sportsman with such a strong mental approach and it will be a brave man who bets against him. I for one will probably bet in running and wait to see just how he is performing after the first round.

He will be under huge pressure and rightly so in my opinion. Putting his personal problems to one side, he has made millions of dollars out of sponsorship and advertising. This has all been achieved on the back of his “clean image” and one could argue that he took this money under false pretences.

The Masters is covered by BBC in the UK, and it will be interesting to see how much footage of Tiger they get via CBS.

What are the chances of a non-American winner this year? Pretty good in my book, with only 3 Americans in the top 10 in the betting market

Current best prices of top 10 in betting are :-

Woods 9/2
Mickelson 8/1
Els 20/1
Harrington 20/1
Stricker 20/1
Casey 25/1
Westwood 25/1
Goosen 33/1
McIlroy 33/1
Ogilvy 33/1

How about leaving out Woods & Mickleson and betting the remaining 8 in the list at level stakes?
This would show a profit of between 13-26 points, assuming the winner is in this eight. I will be looking at the market in greater detail next week.

If you require any information on birdie golf, subscriptions etc please contact me on birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

March 12, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Mike Says
2. Herbie Goes Racing
3. The Winabobatoo Weekender
4. Skeeve’s Non League

Ordinary People Making Extraordinary Betting Profits

Issue 46 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and is full of information we believe could help you start to make or even improve upon your existing betting profits.

Here’s the highlights from this month’s magazine…

Full review of the Racing Post’s Pricewise Extra
First look at the horse racing ratings service which is impressing our testing team.
An in depth update on the main football tipsters we track. Who is top of the performance charts this season?
A first look at the football tipster that would have doubled your bank this season.
The horse racing tipster the professional gamblers wanted to keep secret.
Tips & tricks on how to avoid bookmaker restrictions.
Double chance betting - Our need to know guide.
The little known football statistic for this season.

Read about all of this and more by joining today risk free at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Don’t forget too that all memberships also come with our 100% money back guarantee!

1. Mike Says..

Mike is taking some time away from work so we have a shortened Weekend Wager this week. I’ll let you enjoy the free tips from some of the tipsters we proof.

Until next week

Dan Jones

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

Latest reviews include: Smartersig, Coco Tips, Richard Dunwoody Tips,
Betfair Pirates, Racing Trends, Trading on Football, Betting Zone,
Best Under, Big Mike Betting & The FP System

Visit here for more info: http://www.moneymakerreview.com

2. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

A combination of trends and form are highly influential at Cheltenham, and for subscribers we produce a race-by-race guide to the Festival - we think it is one of the very best available and highly successful in 2009, finding (among others) Something Wells at 33/1. Here is an except from Day 1 of the upcoming meeting:

2.05 Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase, March 16th 2010

Irish trained 2 of last 10 winners

Key trends:

Won or placed in all chase starts (20/21)

Max SP 11/1 (10/10)

Aged 5 to 7 (9/10)

Top 2 in all completed chase starts (9/10)

Rated within 12lb of RPR top-rated (9/10)

Pre-race RPR of 144+ (9/10)

RPR hurdle rating of at least 143 (9/10)

2nd to 5th in the betting (8/10)

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Favourites (1/10)

Aged 8+ (1 win in last 34 runners)

Analysis

The big trends losers on age criteria are Captain Cee Bee and Sizing Europe, and even if it were not for the trends I think I would be fairly keen to take them on in a race where the English generally do so well.

Captain Cee Bee has become hampered by significant jumping errors and Arkle horses cannot afford serious jumping mistakes. Favourites also have a very poor record, and taken together Captain Cee Bee looks a favourite to take on. The Arkle calls for a rare blend of speed and stamina and there are reasonable doubts about Sizing Europe getting up the hill as well as either Captain Cee Bee or Somersby.

Somersby is the outstanding alternative, finished 3rd last year in the Supreme Novices, a superb jumper and a considerable talent now chasing. Last time out he went round Sandown 2 seconds faster than Twist Magic in the Tingle Creek (when he beat Forpadydepasterer by 15 lengths), but carrying only 5lbs less. But unlike Twist Magic we know he acts around Cheltenham. Somersby bounded up the Sandown hill with real authority, and ticks all the key trends.

The other highly promising English trained entry is Riverside Theatre, who again looks a gifted and natural jumper. We have yet to discover whether he acts around a track like Cheltenham, but having Barry Geraghty on board is a major plus in a race like this. They had the option of getting another race into him but Geraghty was so impressed he recommended they set that aside and just go there fresh. He is another very good match on trends and rates a lively danger.

Shakervilz is another who fits the basic profile with Sports Line and Woolcombe Folly on the cusp. If you are looking for alternatives, Ruby Walsh has the choice of riding any of these, rode them all last time out and would be a the ready guide as to the best of the three.

Pick: Somersby

Alternatives: Riverside Theatre or the mount of Ruby Walsh

Bon chance,

Herbie

www.winabobatoo.co.uk
Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

3. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Do you ever feel as though you must have walked under a dozen ladders, or had all your 4-leaf clovers stolen?

In reality, luck is something we all have in equal doses. Unfortunately one piece of bad luck isn’t always followed a piece of good luck. It can take some time before things level out.

I mention this because I told you last weekend that I was going to give you two matches and I had three to pick from…..yes, the one I didn’t give you won, whilst Leeds let us down.

The selection method I’ve been using to pick the games for the recent doubles I’ve been giving you is based around my Winabobatoo ratings and is called the Home Zone System. All of these games are flagged up to my Winabobatoo members, and 10 of the last 12 have won….. The two that have lost have been part of the doubles that I gave you on the last two weekends. Amazing, isn’t it?

The bad news this weekend is that there are nine games satisfying the rules, and I’ve got to reduce that list to two for you. We’ll go for Rushden to beat Gateshead at 1.50, and Ipswich to beat Scunthorpe at 1.75. The double pays 2.63 and is available with Totesport at the time of writing.

My Winabobatoo ratings are suggesting that the true odds of both winning are around 45%, which equates to odds of 2.23. As we’re being paid out at 2.63, we have the odds nicely in our favour.

Please visit oddschecker before you place your bet and make sure you get on at the best possible price.

Recommended double: Ipswich to beat Scunthorpe and Rushden to beat Gateshead.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

4. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another busy week at Skeeve Picks - my clients will know what I’m talking about, I wrote books instead of previews this time. I never get much sleep at the end of the week (in my case, hard work isn’t just a tacky spin), but this time I was up all night and I can’t wait to get some sleep - finally. Here’s one of the six picks (two of which are long-term picks) I’ve sent to my clients a couple of hours ago.

cheers,

skeeve

13/3/2010

BSP DOUBLE: WIMBLEDON - Eastbourne 1 @1.53 & RUSHDEN - Gateshead 1 @1.44 (2.20 @Ladbrokes) 4 units

I wrote a lot about Wimbledon in the other preview, so in only a few words, they have a much better, bigger and more expensive team than Eastbourne even when they’re missing a couple of players like, for example, now (midfielders Taylor and Gregory are both injured, but some key players like Moore and Main are back), their play-off dream is very much alive and these three points are very important for them, they’ve been very good at home lately (five wins and a draw in the last six home games - 3:0 vs Ebbsfleet, 2:0 vs Gateshead, 5:0 vs Hayes, 2:0 vs Mansfield, 2:0 vs Forest Green, 1:1 vs Altrincham), they’re usually great at home against strugglers (they’ve won six out of seven home games against bottom half teams so far, the only draw was with Cambridge back in September - 2:0 vs Forest Green, 2:0 vs Gateshead, 3:0 vs Ebbsfleet, 0:0 vs Cambridge, 4:0 vs Salisbury, 5:0 vs Hayes, 4:0 vs Histon) and this should be the most winable game for the Dons since the 2:0 win against Forest Green a month ago (Cambridge, Luton, Oxford, Altrincham and Crawley are all much better teams than Eastbourne).

Eastbourne have a terrible away record - they’re awful both away from home in general and away at the best teams in the league. They’ve managed to pull off a major surprise by winning 1:0 at disoriented Brodie-less York last month, but they’ve lost away at all the top five teams so far (0:2 at Rushden, 1:4 at Luton, 0:4 at Oxford, 0:2 at Stevenage).

Eastbourne are a weird team (they’ve lost 0:6 at home to Stevenage just a couple of days after the 1:0 win at York), but I can’t see them doing much at hungry Wimbledon - they were extremely lucky to grind out a goalless draw against Kidderminster last weekend, no other team scored less away goals than Eastbourne, only twelve in eighteen away games (no other team conceded less goals at home than Wimbledon btw, only eight in fifteen home games), they only have three away wins so far and yes, they did manage to beat Wimbledon 1:0 at home back in August (the first week of the season), but this is going to be a different story and anything but a strong home win would be a major surprise.

I also can’t see Rushden having an off day against depleted Gateshead. If we take out the 0:2 defeat to Salisbury on the opening day of the season in August, Rushden have been absolutely amazing against bottom half teams so far (5:4 vs Grays back in September, 4:2 vs Forest Green, 4:1 vs Barrow, 2:0 vs Eastbourne, 3:2 vs Tamworth, 1:1 vs Cambridge, 2:1 vs Hayes, 2:1 vs Histon), they haven’t lost a home game in three and a half months (1:0 vs Billericay, 2:1 vs Kidderminster, 4:1 vs Barrow, 0:0 vs Wrexham, 2:0 vs Eastbourne, 1:0 vs league leaders Stevenage, 0:0 vs Kettering, the best away team in the league), they have three consecutive clean sheets and, what’s even more important, they’ve conceded only one goal, away at Oxford, in the last seven games (!) and they’ve won both March games too, both away from home (1:0 at Histon, 1:0 at Tamworth).

Gateshead are one of the worst away teams in the league, they concede as much as 1.88 goals per away game, they have two defeats and a draw in the last three away games at very beatable opponents (2:3 at Hayes, 0:1 at Tamworth, 0:0 at Histon), but it gets even worse if we take a look at their away games at play-off candidates only (0:2 at Wimbledon, 0:1 at York, 0:4 at Kettering, 1:2 at Luton, 3:5 at Stevenage). They have major selection problems as well - captain and key midfielder Gate is injured and both midfielder Ferrell and key central defender Curtis are suspended (Rushden only have midfielder McNamara suspended - captain Stuart and midfielder Terry are now both back). Anything better than 1.90 for this double looks great to me.

(2.35 at Tote btw, 2.20 also at Blue Square and StanJames btw, 2.19 at BetFred btw, 2.17 at Expekt btw, 2.16 at Bet365, Skybet and Will Hill, 2.10 at Bwin…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

March 5, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS

1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..

Ordinary People Making Extraordinary Betting Profits

Issue 46 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and is full of information we believe could help you start to make or even improve upon your existing betting profits.

Here’s the highlights from this month’s magazine…

• Full review of the Racing Post’s Pricewise Extra
• First look at the horse racing ratings service which is impressing our testing team.
• An in depth update on the main football tipsters we track. Who is top of the performance charts this season?
• A first look at the football tipster that would have doubled your bank this season.
• The horse racing tipster the professional gamblers wanted to keep secret.
• Tips & tricks on how to avoid bookmaker restrictions.
• Double chance betting - Our need to know guide.
• The little known football statistic for this season.
Read about all of this and more by joining today risk free at http://www.secretbettingclub.com
Don’t forget too that all memberships also come with our 100% money back guarantee!

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Last week British bookmaker William Hill released its latest financial results, saying ‘2009 was hellish for bookmakers’
Their full year profits fell by 9% - Hurrah! You might think, the punter must have had a good year.
Well that’s part of the story, but not all of it.

When Betfair first launched, they ran with some great PR shots of a bookmaker in a coffin. ‘RIP bookmakers’ the coffin read. For those new to gambling, Betfair is a peer to peer betting site, so you’re betting against other punters instead of the likes of old ‘Billy Hills’. This revolutionised the betting industry with the bookmakers falling from their throne.

So has Betfair finally killed the bookmaker?

Despite its best efforts, Betfair hasn’t killed the bookmaker, although it has certainly shaken the old establishment and made the bookmakers up their game.

Betfair gave punters a new option for betting and that’s what’s killing the bookmakers – Choice.

Like the insurance comparison sites with those annoying TV commercials, canny punters use odds comparison sites like www.oddsportal.com to search through dozens of bookmakers and betfair for the best prices.

In their financial statement, William Hill blamed offshore bookmakers for eating into their margin. These offshore bookmakers such as Pinnacle Sports often offer prices that smash the odds supplied by regular UK bookies.

If a punter can get a better price on Wigan vs Liverpool by a 2 second search, why would you take the poor odds offered by William Hill?

Nowadays, gamblers have never had so much choice, but it can be confusing to know what to do about it. Betfair offers great odds, but you need to know what the real odds are after commission.

Offshore bookmakers are a godsend, but which ones can you trust with your money?

At the www.secretbettingclub.com we cover all these things and more every month in our magazines. In recent months we have published a whole section of articles designed to show you how to take advantage of these offshore bookies.

Not only this but we show you where to safely get the best prices and how to maintain your accounts like a professional gambler.Because after all, if its got William Hill and other bookmakers on the hop, then its a must for you all to get involved as well!

Until next week…
Mike Bishop
Follow me on Twitter

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.
We have FA Cup Quarter-final action this weekend with the first game of the round taking place at Fratton Park where crisis club Portsmouth are narrow faves to see off this year’s surprise outfit - Birmingham City. Many people trace back Pompey’s troubles to the year they won the FA Cup and it would be ironic to see them reach the final again, which isn’t totally inconceivable.

Pompey have not been playing too badly lately and you can back them to win at 2.65 with Pinnacle, although I prefer the Asian Handicap 0 ball odds of 1.88 with SBObet. This is effectively a ‘draw no bet’ so we win if Pompey win, get our stake back if they draw and lose if Birmingham win.

The other game that jumps out at me is over at Craven Cottage where the usually very strong at home Fulham host Spurs. The visitors were lucky to beat Everton last weekend (featuring the miss of the season from Landon Donovan) and Fulham are well organised and resilient. You can pick up 3.1 with Bet365 on the Cottagers to win the tie or even play the +0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.83 with Paddy Power.

In the outright market for the FA Cup, Chelsea are clear faves at 11/10 best price but I also fancy a small dip on Fulham with the 14/1 on them with Ladbrokes outstanding value in my eyes. Of course they need to see off Spurs and will want to avoid Chelsea in the Semi Finals, but if they can do that then I can see this price looking very tasty!
In the league, Man Utd can jump to the top of the table if they take 3 pts from their trip to Molineux and Mick McCarthy’s Wolves. The bookies think this is a no brainer and only offer a best priced 1.39 with 5dimes on United but this looks mighty short a price to me.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

Sportingbet.com Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap) (Cl2), Doncaster - 3.25pm Saturday, 5th March
Plenty of usual suspects here. For what looks a fairly wide open event the result is generally predicted - assisted by good ground which has prevailed in all recent years bar one, when it was good-soft. In the last 7 only 1 winner was priced above 11/2 - and that was Skillwise under 9-11 in 2002.

Any weight can win - this century we’ve seen 9-11 to 11-12. It’s invariably taken by a horse who is in good form and suited to the track and conditions and easily recognised as such by the market.

I don’t have the benefit of a market to reference while preparing this, but the top 5 in the betting seem likely to be: Possol, Wogan, Gypsy George, Merigo & Air Force One

Air Force One looks the first up for eviction. He’s never won left handed, although he’s run very well at Newbury on a number of occasions. His mark is lower and he shaped OK on reappearance, but you have to go back to November 2008 to find a RPR in excess of 139. He’s been consistently running 25 to 30lbs below his best and he has only come down 14lbs in the handicap - perhaps he’ll be popular but this is a handicap and he looks too high.
Wogan is a possible. He ran well here over 24fl latest, went up 9lbs for that but has been freshened up and should be nicely ahead of his mark. The downside is he tends to make heavy weather of things and his jumping isn’t the soundest and he’s stepping up in class here. This is a nice prep but he’s entered in two handicaps at Cheltenham and the Henderson style is to leave plenty to work on.

Merigo of course would have bang on last week for the aborted Eider Chase. He’s had a cagey prep to protect his mark, but demonstrated his well-being over hurdles 3 weeks ago. He’s also a past winner on soft here over 24fl and a winner at Ayr on good over 26fl - he’s an out and out stayer but at this shorter trip also looks ahead of his mark - although by how much is questionable. He’s won 3 times at this grade, all left handed. My concern is he will have been trained specifically for extended stamina and may find this happening too quickly.

Gypsy George is in good form and ran well latest at Ayr over 25fl on good. He actually went down 2lbs for that and is on a feasible mark. My concern is that he was in first time blinkers which may not galvanise him to the same degree again and 3 out of his 4 wins have come on testing ground, and although there may be some ease I think we’re looking at a pretty sound surface.

Possol has been in excellent form, doing a turn over hurdles and showing himself to be a smart horse whichever way you look at him. He was runner up to Nacarat in last years’ Racing Post Chase then sent out too quickly at the Festival. He was freshened up after that and has never looked back. He’s got a big weight but is capable of running well ahead of that mark - this is a decent prize and he’s been off for 84 days. Is this his big target? I think they’ll have left a smidgen to work on, but even so he looks the class act here.

Possol - 1pt win

Bon chance,
Herbie
Visit Key Racing News

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo are English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier betting experts. Using their own excellent football system to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Unfortunately, last weekend’s double went astray when Rushden only managed to draw with Kettering. The selection method used to pick the games for the recent doubles I have been giving you is based around my Winabobatoo ratings and is called the Home Zone System.

Last weekend there were 7 games satisfying the rules for the Home Zone System and it was desperately bad luck that I gave you Rushden, as all of the other 6 won – which is typical Sod’s Law, isn’t it?

I can’t flag all the games for you as this wouldn’t be fair to my paying members, but the good news is that there are just three to pick from this weekend, so let’s hope I can find you two winners.

The games are Leeds to beat Brentford and Stevenage to beat Crawley.

I estimate that the true chance of both teams winning is around 48%. Ladbrokes are offering the best double price at the time of writing – 2.30.

The correct price for the double ought to be around 2.10, so the odds are nicely in our favour.
Please visit oddschecker before you place your bet and make sure you get on at the best possible price.

Recommended double: Leeds to beat Brentford and Stevenage to beat Crawley.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

5. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Four points lost last weekend – we can’t win them all unfortunately. Two months until the end of the season, exciting times, here’s one of the four picks I’ve sent to my clients a few hours ago

cheers,
skeeve

6/3/2010

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

(-0.25) BARROW – Cambridge 1 (2.10 @Pinnacle) 4 units

Barrow have lost only one home game against teams outside the top six (0:3 to Altrincham back in August) – there may have been a bit too many draws (2:2 vs Wimbledon, 1:1 vs Hayes, 3:3 vs Gateshead, 1:1 vs Forest Green, 2:2 vs Grays), but they’ve also won a few (3:1 vs Mansfield, 1:0 vs Tamworth, 2:0 vs Ebbsfleet) and, if we take a look at both Barrow’s and Cambridge’s current teams and recent results, they should be much bigger favorites against Cambridge who have only won twice away from home (4:2 at deleted Chester, 3:1 at Ebbsfleet back in August). After all, Barrow showed what they’re capable of infront of their fans on Tuesday, when they kicked York out of the FA Trophy and they’ll be even stronger tomorrow – strikers Chadwick (who scored a hattrick last weekend) and McEvilly were both ineligible for the FA Trophy tie and they’ve just brought another midfielder, Owen from Chester.
Cambridge are without no1 goalkeeper Potter, key winger Willmott (both injured), another winger Murray (suspended) and maybe even defender Partridge and midfielder McAuley (both are doubtful), their only win in the last thirteen (!) games was an FA Trophy win at poor Eastbourne and btw Cambridge have lost 0:2 at home to Barrow back in August. Anything better than 1.85 for this asian handicap (we only lose two units in case of a draw) looks great to me.

(2.09 at SBO, 2.08 at 188bet, 2.05 at Victor Chandler, 2.04 at Ladbrokes, 2.00 at Bet365…)

6. A Little Birdie Says…

This years contest takes place at Celtic Manor (Wales) in October and the European team are currently 4/5 to win. Come October time, these odds could look pretty generous in my opinion especially considering the relentless progress of European Golf.

To help prove the point, this weeks USPGA event is the Honda Classic at PGA National in Florida, and the top 3 in the betting are Europeans - Casey, McIlroy and Westwood. Incredibly, the shortest priced American golfer for this event is available at 40/1!! (Rickie Fowler, and he is not certain to make the US Ryder Cup team).
Paddy Power are currently taking bets on who is to make the USA team and go :-

4/11 Hunter Mahan (Looks a certain starter to me, as he is currently 5th in the points list)
8/15 Kenny Perry
4/7 Nick Watney (Should make the team)
4/7 Lucas Glover (Very, very ,tempting!)
4/5 Justin Leonard
2/1 Matt Kuchar (Tempting!)
9/4 Chad Campbell
9/4 Ryan Moore
9/4 JB Holmes
11/4 Bradd Snedeker
11/4 David Toms
11/4 Ben Crane
11/4 Brian Gay

These guys are effectively competing for 5 available places in the 12 man team. The US captain , Corey Pavin, has 4 wild card picks and the top 8 in their Ryder Cup Points list on the 11/08/2010 automatically make the team.

The top 10 in the USA points list at the moment are

S. Stricker 2,068,530 points
D Johnson 1,963,150
L Glover 1,952,200
S Cink 1,795,017
H Mahan 1,702,210
T Woods 1, 286,163
P Mickelson 1,196,735
B Crane 1,153,815
D Duval 1, 117,270
R Palmer 1,106,202

I would not bank on Crane and/or Duval staying in the top 8, nor would I expect either of them to be a wild card pick.

With Lucas Glover only 116,330 pts behind the current leader, I reckon the 4/7 will be snapped up pretty quickly!!

Thanks for your emails, if you require any info or wish to join, please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

February 27, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..
7. This Weeks Risk Free Bet

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 45 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and is full of information we believe could fundamentally change your betting outlook including….

All the facts and figures on the tipster services we recommend that continue to make our members money including:

The new entrant into our Hall of Fame that has made a serious profit of nearly 500 pts profit in the past year alone. Also comes with an exclusive SBC discount on subscription.
The racing service that we have recommended for 3 years that continues to rack up profit. Another 514 pts (50% ROI) over the past 3 months alone!
Our number 1 ranked service that had a storming January with winners at 4/1, 9/1, 22/1, 11/2 & 6/1 in the space of just 11 days.

Find out about these 3 services and many more by joining today risk free at http://www.secretbettingclub.com

Dont forget too that all memberships also come with our 100% money back guarantee!

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

Just a quick column this week as its end of the month time, which means we are just about to publish our latest edition of SBC, issue #46.

One of the highlights this month is our full review of the much talked about Pricewise Extra service from the UK’s daily racing newspaper - the Racing Post.

At only £17 a month and with the strong reputation that Pricewise comes with, we understand why people have been falling over themselves in order to get a piece of the action. What is most important though is what has been realistically acheived since this service began.

For Joe Public, it appears hard to get a full sense of this as the Racing Post dont appear to publish a historical breakdown of results at their website.

We however have been steadily compiling a full dossier of results with the help of our team of testers over recent months and have all the stats to hand on what you need to know about this service.

Does it actually make a profit?
How much do the odds move after a bet is given out?
What are the issues you should be aware of if following?
Which of the tipsters that make up Pricewise Extra make a profit or loss?

This last question is one of the key aspects as their have been a number of tipsters who provide the advice for this service. Some have been fantastically profitable, whilst others have a poor or unproven record. If you were to follow Pricewise Extra without knowing who or what is has a succesful record (or not), it could seriously dent what you can make.

Our full Pricewise Extra review is in the forthcoming Issue #46 of SBC, I would urge those of you keen to find out more to read our article.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop
Follow me on Twitter

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

The big game this weekend undoubtedly takes place at Stamford Bridge, where Man City await the hosts Chelsea, in a match that will go a long way to deciding who finishes both 1st and 4th. We also have the intriguing match-up between Wayne Bridge and John Terry and I wouldnt be surprised to see some meaty challenges going in.
Man City played out an awful game last weekend against Liverpool, whereas Chelsea have hit a slightly sticky patch lately. I am tempted by the -1 Asian Handicap on the home team at 1.8 with Stan James as I cant see anything but a win for John Terry’s side.

Elsewhere there are a lot of teams on offer around the evens mark to win at home this weekend, such as Birmingham, Bolton, Burnley & Spurs. The two that interest me most are Brum and Bolton, two teams who are normally strong at home. I wouldnt be too keen on backing Burnley as they have really lost all momentum since Owen Coyle left, whereas Spurs face Everton, who are currently either unplayable or unwatchable. I dont like to bet when a team is so inconsistent.

You can pick up Birmingham to beat a poor Wigan team at 1.94 with Pinnacle Sports and I think that looks just about OK as a value price. Bolton face Wolves in the type of game they have usually won in past seasons so the 2.11 with Pinnacle on them to do just that looks well worth a punt.

Another market I have been watching recently is ‘to finish in the Top 4‘ and think that this may well be worth an investment although after this weekend. If as the odds suggest, City lose and Liverpool win this weekend, then the current odds on Man City will go a lot higher than the best priced 5/2. There is actually very little to separate these 2 sides and so if we can get 7/2+ on City after Sunday it maybe worth a pop later on. Worth noting that neither of these sides is currently 4th, a spot currently occupied by Spurs who are as big as 9/2!

As most readers will know, I enjoy betting on Cricket and I have been checking out the top series bowler market for the ODI series that starts on Sunday between England and Bangladesh. I have heard some talk that Graeme Swann offers value at 5/2 to be top bowler and that to me looks a good option on these spinning tracks. I would also like to venture one forward out of left-field and that is Ajmal Shahzad at 25/1 with Skybet. He is an all-rounder of great promise, who has been playing in a number of warm-up games and opening the bowling at times. It makes sense to blood someone like him in these games, rather than play the likes of Sidebottom, when we know what he can do. Could just sneak a surprise with a very cheeky punt!

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

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3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

The Racing Post Chase (G3), Kempton - 3.05pm Saturday, 27th February

One thing’s for sure, with Nacarat in the field we should not be stuck for pace in this excellent staying handicap. He won it in some style last year off a mark of 147 (10-13); this time he’s up 11lbs and carrying 11-08. Last year the ground was good, this time it’s soft.

He was excellent in the King George on (holding) good-soft, ultimately paying the price for trying to go with Kauto and blowing 2nd place (fading to 4th), and has since been freshened up purely with this in mind. The one advantage of that is that he was trimmed 4lbs, which is certainly helpful here back in against improving types.

On the trends the stand out requirement is top class form coming into the race. 9/10 won last time out, which on that trend alone would offer up just 2 candidates: Fistral Beach and Piraya. 8YO’s are the most common winners (5/10), but any age can win so there’s nothing to rule out low weighted 7YO’s…although they’ve taken it just once in the last 10. In fact that was the only occasion in the last 10 years that anything won carrying below 10-13 (let alone from out of the handicap). In this you clearly want to be of a certain quality and, ideally, to come with course form.

On starting price, winners of the last 10 were returned from 10/3 to 10/1, with 2 favourites and a Jt favourite…the first 4 in the betting have a particularly strong record.

Although he hasn’t won coming into this (due to a tactical prep and a tilt at the King George) I think we have to accept Nacarat is in excellent form and his front running style is likely to sort the men from the boys. This is his prime venue, he handles soft and it’s hard to see him not bowling along looking fairly happy with life. Out of the established better horses you have to chose between him and Madison Du Berlais and I think Nacarat is the one in receipt of weight and more likely to prosper in the conditions. Better prepared too.

Others will be sitting off the pace hoping he sets it up for a closer and with Miss Mitch out of the equation, at the weights it looks a straight choice between Kilcrea Castle and Fistral Beach who also make up the balance of the first 4 in the betting. The trends suggest the winner is highly likely to emerge from these four. Outside this group Piraya warrants a mention, but there are doubts to think that he would get 24fl on testing ground in this company.

Kilcrea Castle did superbly well latest at Ascot on soft ground, even though he probably just needed the run - travelling as well as anything into the race before keeping on one pace. Previously he ran with credit over 25fl behind Casey Jones on gd-sft. He jumps and travels like a very good horse indeed, has a fine cruising speed and yet stamina is his game (regarded as a National dark horse). He’s 8YO, a very promising type and looks like he should really come on for that run. On the downside he lacks course form.

Fistral Beach is a rapid improver who has come into his own chasing, and seemed ideally suited by 20fl in testing ground here recently. Given that course form it’s perhaps no surprise to see him being flung into this so soon and pushed back up to 24fl. This is only his 4th start over fences. He went up 7lbs for that last run and is 4lbs out of the handicap here. On that basis he would still be ahead of his mark, but a long way outside the trends. So is Kilcrea Castle, but he has the more rounded profile, plenty of scope for improvement and I think the test of stamina will really play to his strengths.

Nacarat - 2pt win
Kilcrea Castle - 1pt win (circa 5/1)

Bon chance,

Herbie

Visit The Winabobatoo Website
Read our review of the Winabobatoo service

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

We’ve had a couple of successful weekends with the doubles I’ve been giving you, so we will continue in the same vein. Morecambe and Leicester won on the weekend before last to give us a return of 2.80 for our one point stake, and Newcastle and Blackpool both won last weekend to return 3.45 for a net profit of 4.25 points overall.

The method is based around my Winabobatoo ratings and is called the Home Zone System. Full match ratings for all games played are available to my 300 members. Membership is limited to 300 and I have no vacancies at the moment but there should be room for new members for the 2010-11 season. If you wish to know more or join the waiting list, please visit the website - details are shown below.

The ratings have flagged 7 games as satisfying the rules for the Home Zone System this weekend. We’ll take Notts Co to beat Hereford at 1.53, and Rushden to beat Kettering at 2.00.
Those odds are currently available with Corals and Stan James at the time of writing and return 3.06 to a one point stake. Please visit oddschecker to see who has the best odds available at the time you place your bet.

I estimate that the true chance of both teams winning is around 39%, which equates to odds of 2.53, and we are being paid out at 3.06, so the odds are in our favour.

Recommended double: Notts Co to beat Hereford and Rushden to beat Kettering.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

5. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Here’s one of the five picks I’ve sent to my client a few hours ago.

cheers,

Skeeve

27/2/2010

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

Altrincham - Grays OVER 2.5 GOALS (1.85 @SBO) 4 units

All of Altrincham’s home games in 2010 produced three or more goals (3:2 vs Hayes, 1:3 to Wrexham, 5:0 vs Salisbury, 3:0 vs Eastbourne) they usually score and sometimes also concede a lot of goals against relegation candidates

(Let’s take a look at their home games against strugglers in the last six months - 3:2 vs Gateshead, 2:2 vs Forest Green, 0:1 to Barrow who are scoring less than one goal per away game and don’t concede that much either, 3:2 vs Hayes, 5:0 vs Salisbury, 3:0 vs Eastbourne) and I expect them to score at least a few goals, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they don’t manage to keep a clean sheet (their defender Doran is still suspended btw).

Grays have shown improvement in their last game/defeat (0:2 to Salisbury), they had 17 shots (seven of which were on target) and they even struck the woodwork twice, but their defence still looks horrible (their defender Hoyte is out injured btw), their away games produce an average of 3.20 goals per game, they have nine consecutive defeats and let’s take a look at their last few away games -

1:3 at Blue Square South strugglers Worcester in the FA Trophy, 1:2 at Ebbsfleet, 1:4 at Kidderminster, 0:4 at Hayes. Grays had eight consecutive OVER’s before the ‘improved performance’ in a 0:2 defeat to Salisbury (1:3 at Worcester, 1:2 at Ebbsfleet, 2:3 to Crawley, 0:3 to Ebbsfleet, 0:4 to Oxford, 1:4 at Kidderminster, 0:3 to Rushden, 0:4 at Hayes).

To be honest, I would be less surprised with a high-scoring draw than with a low-scoring home win. It was 3:0 for Altrincham away at Grays back in September btw. Anything better than 1.70 looks great to me.

(1.84 at Mansion88 btw, 1.82 at 188bet, Ladbrokes and Pinnacle, 1.81 at Canbet btw, 1.80 at Bet365 and Skybet, 1.79 at The Greek btw, but you can even find 1.90 at less known bookmakers…)

Visit Skeeve’s Website
Read our review of Skeeve’s service

6. A Little Birdie Says…

With Ian Poulter’s victory over Paul Casey in last weeks World match Play, English players (including Ireland) have 7 players in the top 25 world rankings which is incredible, and illustrates the strength of golf we have. The rankings are as follows:-

Lee Westwood 4th
Ian Poulter 5th
Paul Casey 6th
Rory McIlroy 9th
Padraig Harrington 10th
Ross Fisher 21st
Luke Donald 23rd

Certainly looks good for our Ryder Cup challenge at Celtic Manor in October!

And what price on one of these winning a major this year?

It is interesting to look at the overall records of some of the top players over the years, as it provides a useful comparison and helps to get things in perspective.

The following results exclude wins in Amateur or Senior events.

Jack Nicklaus   won 95 pro events including 73 PGA and 18 majors
Tiger Woods    won 71 pro events including 57 PGA and 14 majors
Gary Player     won 36 pro events including 24 PGA and 9 majors
Ben Hogan      won 64 pro events including 64 PGA and 9 majors
Tom Watson    won 50 pro events including 29 PGA and 8 majors
Sam Snead     won 82 pro events including 82 PGA and 7 majors
Arnold Palmer won 79 pro events including 62 PGA and 7 majors
Lee Trevino     won 50 pro events including 29 PGA and 6 majors
Nick Faldo       won 39 pro events including 30 EUR and 6 majors
Seve Ballasteros won 65 pro events including 50 EUR and 5 majors
Peter Thomson won 28 pro events including 22 EUR and 5 majors

Are any of our current top 7 capable of matching any in this Hall of Fame?

As always, please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk if you have any questions.

Roger Green

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

The Weekend Wager is brought to you by

The Weekend Wager

February 19, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced courtesy of the team at the Secret Betting Club

Each and every Friday we bring together some of the finest betting experts to give you some of the best tips, advice and guidance to help you out with your next 7 days betting.

CONTENTS
1. Mike Says
2. The Next Week In Betting
3. Herbie Goes Racing
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
5. Skeeve’s Non League
6. A Little Birdie Says..
7. This Weeks Risk Free Bet

The Latest News On Whats Making Money Betting

Issue 45 of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out now and is full of information we believe could fundamentally change your betting outlook including….

All the facts and figures on the tipster services we recommend that continue to make our members money including:

The new entrant into our Hall of Fame that has made a serious profit of nearly 500 pts profit in the past year alone. Also comes with an exclusive SBC discount on subscription.
The racing service that we have recommended for 3 years that continues to rack up profit. Another 514 pts (50% ROI) over the past 3 months alone!
Our number 1 ranked service that had a storming January with winners at 4/1, 9/1, 22/1, 11/2 & 6/1 in the space of just 11 days.

Find out about these 3 services and many more by joining today risk free at Secret Betting Club

Dont forget too that all memberships also come with our 100% money back guarantee!

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club founder and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

A fascinating headline took my attention last Saturday as an Australian newspaper unveiled details on the mysterious person who is believe to be one of the, if not the biggest punters in the world. Read this article for the full details.

Its probably a name very few have heard before but Zeljko Ranogajec heads a company that it is estimated may turnover more than $1 billion per year on betting alone!

Very little is publicly known but details can be found on various websites such as this one, which have tried to piece together exactly who he is and exactly what he does.

It appears that Mr Ranogajec was something of a maths genius as a child and he has taken this and applied it to the betting field to great success. His theory seems to be simple, crunch the numbers, work out the value and place bets accordingly.

He has a myriad of people working for him to help do this and also the financial ability to place huge sums of money on such bets. I have actually spoken at length with someone who works for a very similar high turnover ‘betting’ employer and his field is primarily in Mathematics. He is part of a team from similar backgrounds who never see a racecourse or place a bet themselves.

Although it may seem a million miles away, this kind of theory is actually exactly what the rest of us do but to much lower stakes. Ranogajec has simply developed a way to scale this upwards by an exponential amount and to develop his own value betting approaches.

With our recommended tipsters and systems, we cant turnover $1 billion a year but if we can perhaps stake around £500 in bets a week, to a 15% return, that equates to £75 profit on average per week. Scale that upwards through sensible staking and investment and its relatively easy to see how you can do the same as Ranogajec, on a smaller level.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop
Follow me on Twitter

2. The Next Week in Betting

Mike analyses the forthcoming betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value.

Attention this weekend will be on the race to finish 4th, with the 2 leading contenders, Liverpool and Man City facing up at the City of Manchester stadium. While the bookies have City favourites at a best 2.54 with Pinnacle Sports, I wonder if the under 2.5 goals line offers more value here. Both Mancini and Benitez have worked hard to eradicate the high number of goals both teams were conceding early in the season. City have only let in 6 goals in the league during the 8 games since Mancini took over and Liverpool a measly 2 over the same period. Thus the 1.85 on under 2.5 goals with 12Bet looks quite a kind price to me!

In another major game at the top of the table, Everton host Man Utd at Goodison, where the on-fire Wayne Rooney returns to his former team. The hosts will be without Tim Cahill, which is a major blow and their focus may well be on their midweek Europa game with Sporting Lisbon. You can pick up Utd at 1.85 with Pinnacle Sports although the 11/8 (2.38) with Boylesports on Rooney to score at anytime could be preferable.

As an interesting aside you can also pick up 12/1 on Wayne Rooney to captain England at the World Cup with Boylesports. Considering Rio Ferdinand’s issues with his back injury and Steven Gerrards loss of form, this may not be the worst bet ever!

The other team I fancy this weekend is Blackburn at home against Bolton, where Big Sam’s team are 2.01 with SBObet to take all 3 points. They have won their last 3 home games against teams around them and this offers a smidgeon of value to me.

By the time you are reading this the England - Pakistan 20/20 game will have been well underway, and these games in Dubai are little more than a warm up for the less than eagerly anticipated tour of Bangladesh.

This gets underway a week on Sunday and after checking out some of the markets, I am struggling to see any value in the top English series bowler. Graeme Swann is a worthy contender on spinning pitches but the 11/8 seems mighty short enough to me.

I do fancy Kevin Pieterson at 11/4 with Paddy Power to be the top English batsman however as normally his price at the start of a series is much shorter than this. The guy is a class act despite his dip in form and for me this offers a shade of value.

Whatever you bet on this coming week, good luck!

Mike

The Ultimate Listing Of Every Betting Tipster & System

Before you signup for any tipster or purchase any system you simply must visit the Money Maker Review website first.

3. Herbie Goes Racing

Herbie Fogg is the Editor of Key Racing News, a unique horseracing information service, which is free to join. Racing news…with a difference.

The Betfair Ascot Chase (G1), Ascot - 3.15pm Saturday, 20th February

This race tends to put value into perspective; the highest priced winner returned in the last 4 years was Our Vic on heavy ground at 2/1 - although it was known as the Totesport Chase when last run at Lingfield. For the past 3 years it’s been at Ascot, where the winner went off: Voy Por Ustedes 6/5 fav (2009), Kauto Star 4/11 fav (2008) & Monet’s Garden 11/10 fav (2007). Monet’s Garden was also 2nd in 2008. Generally speaking the best horse wins, but that said in all of those it looked more cut and dried.

The ground is currently soft, good to soft in places with a few wintery showers. I’m going to assume it’s riding soft and base my thoughts along those lines. Put it this way, it’s never usually firmer than they estimate.

In the soft conditions we can’t have Albertas Run. The Sawyer has been in great form but appears outclassed.

Herecomesthetruth likes to have it his own way in front, but faces problems with Monet’s Garden and The Sawyer who both like to lead. He has to be respected for beating Forpadydeplasterer early season at Down Royal, but that was in a field of 4 and he led the whole way. At Huntingdon latest he was eventually headed and unseated. On the plus side his general record could hardly be better, and a galloping RH track is ideal. He can stay 24fl, so this trip in testing ground should present no problem. On ratings he’s 4lbs ahead of Oh Crick, but at G2 and above he never won in a field of more than 5. He wants ease and soft ground is fine.

Planet Of Sound is likely to be all the rage and 20fl has looked his trip this year. He ran well here behind Albertas Run in November, and would have been a lot closer but for a bad mistake at the 9th. He keeps improving and the gallop reports are good. He’s particularly effective on decent ground and one concern is that he may find it a little softer and more holding than he would prefer. Philip Hobbs would also have the Ryanair in mind and this at the end of the day, is a tuning exercise for the bigger target. I’m not convinced he has enough pure class to roll over some types who will be treating this as their major target.

If it comes up soft and he’s allowed to bowl along Herecomesthetruth could take a lot of beating, but he seems certain to be taken on - he got no peace at Aintree last April and never recovered from clouting the 6th. We’re looking for value here and he looks short enough for a difficult ride in this company.

Oh Crick likes it round here and ran on dourly behind Twist Magic and Petit Robin in the Victor Chandler. At 7YO he’s a potential improver and an interesting prospect stepped up 4.5fl (with 11lbs to find) - although a contradiction, as he’s in the Champion Chase and not the Ryanair at the Festival - but he’s unlikely to win either, so perhaps it’s just the day the owner can make it to Cheltenham, it can mean very little. Otherwise, why enter for this? It’s hardly a prep race for the Champion Chase. King is confident he’ll get the trip.

So I do think we can expect Oh Crick to be thoroughly primed for this. He was a long way behind Planet Of Sound at Exeter, but the yard wasn’t firing then - he looked vastly better latest and is untroubled by testing ground. He’s also looking more versatile right handed then previously thought. It means taking a flyer on his stamina, but he’s usually underrated, and that’s reflected in the price.

I’m also keen on Monet’s Garden, who admittedly appears best these days in a good jumping rhythm on a flat track - he ran an absolute cracker at Aintree in October, and was well below par at Ascot latest. But that undoubtedly came too soon and he’s been freshened up nicely for this, remains a class act on his day (would take the beating on that Aintree form) and comes here with a solid course record. He will be primed to the gunnels for a tilt at one last great afternoon.

Monet’s Garden, 7/1 (Stan James, William Hill ante post) - 0.5pt win
Oh Crick, 9/1 (William Hill, ante post) - 0.5pt win

Bon chance,

Herbie

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4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo Weekend Football Guide

Morecambe and Leicester both won last weekend to give us a successful double. We’ve recently been discussing how multiple bets can boost relatively small profit margins from betting in single bets, to slightly higher margins if betting in doubles.

This week the Winabobatoo ratings are pointing us towards Newcastle and Blackpool.

Newcastle are 1.57 to beat Preston. I reckon their true odds are around 1.47, so the bookies are a touch too high with their price.

Blackpool are 2.30 to beat Reading and their true odds should be nearer to even money.
Unfortunately we can’t combine both of those best prices together as they’re with different bookmakers, but 2.30 and 1.50 is available, and 2.20 and 1.57 is available. Both return 3.45.
The chance of us landing the double is around 35%. This equates to odds of 2.88, and the bookies are offering odds of 3.45, which means we are betting with the odds in our favour.
The double price of 3.45 is available with Corals, Ladbrokes, and Blue Square at the time of writing. Please check out the latest prices on Oddschecker as there may be better available by the time you read this.

Good luck until next time.

Mike Lindley

5. Skeeve’s Non League

Skeeve is our resident non-league football betting expert who each week shares his best advice for this weekend’s domestic lower league action.

Hi everybody,

Another succesful pick last weekend (Luton won away at Eastbourne, +3.6 points profit there)

I promised I’d update the stats for these free Weekend Wager picks, so here we go:

*FREE*	*PICKS*	*STAKED*	*RETURNED*	*W-V-L*	*PROFIT*	*RoI*
	18	72	99.08	13-0-5	+27.08	37.6%

Just to remind you, 23 free picks from last season produced +42 points profit (41% RoI), so even though I had to close the membership and the waiting list (you’ll be the first to know if or when I decide to reopen the waiting list, don’t worry), at least I’m trying to help those who can’t afford to pay for a proven service. That doesn’t mean you should risk your rent money (that’s never a good idea, but you’re a good boy/girl and you already know that, don’t you?) - you need a bank for these free picks just as much as you need a bank for any paid service. I was actually sharing all of my picks for almost a year, from December 2006 to October 2007 and I’m glad I can continue to give something back to the betting community.

Let’s take a look at the official stats for all the picks I’ve sent to my clients since the start of the 09/10 football season in August:

*09/10*	*PICKS*	*STAKED*	*RETURNED*	*W-V-L*	*PROFIT*	*RoI*
	125	446	492.27	65-8-52	+46.27	10.3%

Not bad considering the fact we’ve had plenty of postponements in December and January (not to mention an uber-succesful 2009, which was almost too good to be true - you have to expect a losing run or two after a year like that, we’re all just humans) and most teams had to deal with a rather lengthy unplanned break. Break means no money from home games and no money sometimes means a budget cut. When the weather finally started to allow the non-league games to actually happen, it was almost like a second start of the season or, if you want, virtually official start of the 2nd half of the season - and I believe any ’start’ is the toughest time of the year for a betting service. Anyway, things are slowly getting back to normal now. Normal means long-term edge over these unmotivated (and probably underpaid) non-league odds compilers.

Here’s one of the six picks I’ve sent to my client a few hours ago.

cheers,

skeeve

20/2/2010

BLUE SQUARE PREMIER

Eastbourne - (0) ALTRINCHAM 2 (1.92 @188bet) 4 units

Eastbourne are one of the worst home teams in the Blue Square Premier with only four wins in fifteen games. Those wins were btw 1:0 vs Wimbledon in the first week of the season back in August, 2:1 vs Barrow on August 22, 3:1 vs Hayes on September 22, then not a single home win for four and a half months (!) and, finally, 2:1 vs Wrexham two weeks ago (Wrexham are btw one of the worst away teams with only three wins in thirteen games). All the games from September 22 to February 6 were either defeats or draws (six defeats, three draws to be exact) and let’s not forget these teams played at Altrincham on Tuesday - Eastbourne conceded three and, of course, for the third consecutive time failed to score a goal. Altrincham are one of the best away teams - that’s seven wins, three draws and four defeats, only eleven goals conceded in fourteen games, no other team conceded less. They did lose their last two away games, but those were much better teams (1:3 at Wimbledon, 0:1 at Crawley) and btw they had a very nice unbeaten run away from home before these two defeats (3:1 at Chester, 2:0 at Tamworth, 0:0 at Histon, 0:0 at Wrexham, 2:1 at Ebbsfleet). The truth is Altrincham are in fact very predictable on the road - they lose or share points with promotion candidates, but they always win away at relegation candidates (Barrow, Hayes, Grays, Chester, Tamworth, Ebbsfleet) and Eastbourne definitely have one of the weakest teams in the league, at least at the moment (Altrincham are without the new guy Doran due to his suspension and striker Johnson is out for the season - he hasn’t scored since August anyway so it’s not that big of a deal, but Eastbourne are missing a lot more players - defenders Jenkins and Opinel are both suspended, striker Atkin, midfielder Brown and no1 keeper Knowles are all injured). Anything better than 1.70 for this draw-no-bet looks great to me.

(1.90 at Pinnacle and SBO and also at 12bet btw, 1.88 at Ladbrokes, 1.87 at Canbet btw, 1.86 at Victor Chandler, 1.85 at Bet365 and also at The Greek btw…)

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6. A Little Birdie Says…

I make no excuses for concentrating solely on Tiger Woods this week and his impact on the game of golf. Without doubt, the tour is a poorer place without him with smaller galleries, less international exposure, less sponsors etc…

I believe it is going to prove a massive test of his mental strength to come back as you cannot begin to imagine the heckling he is going to get and the questioning at press conferences will be something else.

The likely date of Woods’ return to golf is one of the hottest topics in sport, with the first major of the year, the US Masters, less than two months away.

The latest speculation is that he will opt to play at the unofficial - and private - Tavistock Cup event on his home course, Isleworth in Florida from 22-23 March. (This is my bet). The Masters, which Woods has won four times, takes place at Augusta National from 8-11 April.

Woods has won 14 major titles and needs five more to surpass the record of 18 held by compatriot Jack Nicklaus. I have been fortunate enough to have met Jack Nicklaus several times through business (not playing!) and this is what the great man has to say - “If Tiger is going to pass my record I think this is a big year - if he doesn’t play obviously the chore will be a little tougher”, said Nicklaus.

I personally think Tiger will come back stronger than ever, and who would bet against him winning 3 majors this year!

Thanks for all your emails, please contact me at birdiegolf@live.co.uk if you require any info.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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