Big Mike = Big Profits
June 15, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Well Day One of Royal Ascot was certainly one to remember and especially for the members of Big Mike’s Betting Service.
Whilst I didn’t do all the advised selections I managed to get on a couple. So combined with the free bets, arbs and trading ended the day with a very healthy green bank.
Over to you Big Mike….
Hi Darren
In keeping with my philosophy of delivering profits via betting in lateral thinking each way doubles and combination bets, my Royal Ascot Special Combination Bet (below) got us off to a flying start to the week at the royal meeting.
Those that followed the bet enjoyed four winners at 6/4, 5/1, 6/1 and 7/2.
The best double was returned at combined odds of 29/1
The Doubles Returned over £178 and the Each Way Accumulator (to 10p stakes) returned over £200!
The full bet and results are detailed below;
COMBO ASCOT SPECIAL BOG prices below
60 X £0.50P EW DOUBLES & 64 X £0.10P EW SIX TIMERS
2 in each race so plenty of scope
TOTAL STAKED £72.80Goldikova 14:30 Ascot 7/4 2nd
Canford Cliffs 14:30 Ascot 6/4 WON
Star Witness 15:05 Ascot 6/1 2nd
Astrophysical Jet 15:05 Ascot 14/1 Unplaced
Excelebration 15:45 Ascot 9/1 3rd
Wootton Bassett 15:45 Ascot 16/1 Unplaced
Power 16:25 Ascot 5/1 WON
Roman Soldier 16:25 Ascot 16/1 2nd
Junior 17:00 Ascot 4/1 Unplaced
Veiled 17:00 Ascot 6/1 WON
Frederick Engels 17:35 Ascot 7/2 WON
Gentlemans Code 17:35 Ascot 13/2 UnplacedBest
Mike
Who are we talking about? Mike Marsland FCA, a former Chartered Accountant, turned full time professional horse racing and sports betting strategist and founder of the Big Mike’s Betting Service
And it not just all about the horses either. If there is a strategic angle to be had then Mike is on it. Cricket, Golf, Rugby and Football all feature heavily in his advice too.
We will be featuring alot more about Mystic Big Mike and his strategic betting methods in the coming weeks, but to take a sneak peek at what he is all about (and pick up a free copy of his brilliant Strategic Betting Masterclass ebook 142 pages including 17 of his most profitable bets and trading strategies), just click below….
Where you can also find out about his excellent membership service too so you can start receiving emails like the one above each and every day.
The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
April 15, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Mike Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
It’s back to normality betting wise this weekend after the double header of the racing’s Grand National and Golf’s master’s weekend. If you were involved, I hope you managed to pick up some profit from the giant field in both events.
We asked some of the tipsters we proof to put up a tip each for the National, with ourselves acting as charity bookmaker and donating £1 per bet (ignoring losses) to Cancer Research.
Well done to Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman Racing who picked the winner Ballabriggs at 14/1 EW. The tipsters also covered all but one of the placed horses, with successes including Northern Monkey tipping Niche Market at 18/1 (5th), Winning Racing Tips picking State of Play at 25/1 and our Pro Gambler PCB picking Oscar time at 12/1 (2nd).
We bumped things up a little to make it £1 each way so a total of £28.25 was donated to Cancer Research. Thanks to all the tipsters who contributed.
In Play Profits
One of the biggest growth areas for betting this year has been in-play football betting and you may well have noticed the likes of Bet365 and Betfair falling over themselves to advertise their own in-play options.
What they are keen to do is take advantage of emotionally charged and split second decisions bets as a game is in full swing, knowing that most punters won’t make a profit betting this way. On the contrary though as in our latest released issue – SBC 59 we reported back on the first football tipster taking on these live in-play bookies and making a profit doing so.
This particular tipster has set-up a really easy to use way of following his live bets, with a betting window during a game where you get text and audio alerts as soon as he puts up a bet. From his first 111 live bets he has made a 24.41 pt profit, which equates to a 17.19% profit on turnover (For every £100 staked, you make a profit of £17.19).
We only foresee more tipsters doing this in future as well, taking advantage of the fact the bookie has to make rash decisions on odds, where sometimes a shrewd gambler can find value bets.
Find out more here…..
For those looking to take matters into their own hands, then Bettor Logic’s Form Lab Black is a highly recommended research tool for spotting useful in play positions.
Simple Soccer Stat’s Half time/ full time component can also yield some interesting results. For example:
- Arsenal have been winning at half time in 67% of their away matches this season.
- At home, Manchester United have been winning at half time in 15 of their home games so far and failed to win from this position just once.
- Away from home, Chelsea have drawn 7 matches at half time and converted just two of these half time draws into full time wins.
Racing trades
Its not just football where you can bet as an event is in-play and one of the most popular sports for this is Horse Racing, where the odds change as the race unfolds.
With Horse Racing though the odds can swing even before the race starts with market moves for different horses meaning that combining pre-race and in-play trading on the right horses can be profitable if you know what you are doing.
One person who does know is Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman service, who has been making great returns via his racing trading approach, taking pre-race and in-play bets and lays to lock in guaranteed profit. What’s more he is now sharing his method for free on our members’ forum for the next 2 months.
To explain his method, just yesterday at 10.39 am he advised a £50 win bet on Dashwood in the 9.15 at Kempton at 11/2. Then at 8.04pm, Dashwood had shrunk in price (as Scott foresaw) and he advised a £105 lay at the current odds of 3.1 with Betfair.
This left a guaranteed profit regardless of whether Dashwood won or lost. A win for the horse would have meant a profit of £54.50, but if it lost we would be £55 up (before commission). As it turned out Dashwood won quite easily as 7/4 favourite and £54.50 was our total profit on the race.
On some occasions, Scott will also recommend an in-play lay as well to help try and firm up other profits, but on this occasion the profits were locked in before the race started.
The reason I am sharing this is that we have agreed an exclusive deal with Scott for him to list all his racing trades up on our Secret Betting Club member’s forum for FREE until June this year. The idea being to allow all SBC members to familiarise themselves with his profitable trading method as an added bonus from us all!
Scott will also be detailing in full his racing trading strategy in an exclusive article to be released in SBC 60, out at the end of April.
If you want to sample this, sign up for instant membership by visiting Secret Betting Club
Until next week…
Mike Bishop
The Latest Tipsters, Systems & Strategies Revealed
The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money betting including…
- The ‘Marmite’ horse racing tipping & information service that has returned £37.80 for every £100 staked since it launched. Some love it, some hate it, so this months in depth review is a must read.
- Our final word on the All By The Book racing system. Does it make a profit? And if so, what are the real risks with this system? Read the truth about it through our independent review.
- The latest stats on our free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ basic system that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. Winners this month included Al Feroz at 25/1, Alarazi at 14/1 and Junior at 7/1 amongst others.
- Ever hit a losing run and given up just before things recover? Our guide to betting returns helps put winning and losing runs into perspective.
Sign up today to access all this and more risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at Secret Betting Club
2. Mike’s Football Bets
Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.
We enjoyed a bumper return last weekend with all 3 Main bets winning to really boost the seasonal figures as we enter the last month or so of action. There are only 6 games to choose from in the Premier League this weekend with the FA Cup Semi-Finals at Wembley and there isn’t a huge amount of value out there as far as I can see. I have just one Main and one Shortlist bet for this weekend as so many of the teams playing are inconsistent, injury-prone or just priced up pretty well by the bookmakers.
My one main bet is down at the Emirates this Sunday where Arsenal host Liverpool in game likely to be over-shadowed by the Bolton – Stoke City fixture the same day (not a statement I often expect to write). I think the bookies have under-estimated the chances of goals here and the 1.95 on over 2.5 goals looks to be a shade too big judging by the evidence (Even the next best odds of 1.91 still look far too big). We all know that Arsenal haven’t been firing of late but they have still seen 42 goals in their 15 home games and gone past the overs mark 56% of the time. We also have similar stats for Liverpool and looking at the relatively soft defence for both sides I think we should see goals. Whether its Lehmann or Almunia in nets for the Gunners, Suarez, Carroll et al will test them a lot more than Blackpool did, whilst Liverpool at the back have injuries and are missing a number of key defenders. Kenny Dalglish has not been able to settle on a winning away formula for his new charges and defeats away at WBA and West Ham lately reflect that.
My only shortlist bet is again in the over 2.5 goals market and features a favoured team of mine for this bet – West Ham who are far from convincing defensively as they have proven in recent weeks. The bookies are slowly cottoning on but still odds of 1.86 on over 2.5 goals in their home game against Villa looks too high for me. Both these teams have seen over 3 goals on average per game home and away respectively and I make the chance of this bet greater than then 53.7% chance that odds of 1.86 implies.
Main Bets
1 pt over 2.5 goals. Arsenal V Liverpool. 1.95 Betsson. Next best 1.91 Pinnacle/Canbet/188bet
Shortlist Bets
1 pt over 2.5 goals. West Ham V Aston Villa. 1.86 Pinnacle/12Bet
All odds correct at time of release on SBC Blog
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
Every week in the Premier League darts Stan James ask the question “who will score the highest three dart average of the eight players on the night?”. You don’t often see Phil Taylor priced at evens in any market and my first consideration was: is he of value in this particular market? It seemed a reasonable price given that Taylor, on his game can average scores none of the other players can live with. Over the last three league seasons and the first ten weeks of this years competition Taylor has came out on top in the market on 27 occasions from 52. A very, very slight advantage in taking the evens on offer. I then decided to have a look at the rest of the players and their true odds and here’s what I found.
Who Has Hit The Highest Weekly 3 dart average in the Premier League seasons 2008-2011
Phil Taylor 27 weeks from 52 weeks played
James Wade 7 weeks from 52 weeks played
Adrian Lewis 6 weeks from 38 weeks played
Raymond van Barneveld 4 weeks from 52 weeks played
Simon Whitlock 2 weeks from 24 weeks played
Gary Anderson 1 week from 10 weeks played
Mark Webster 1 week from 10 weeks played
Terry Jenkins 1 week from 52 weeks played
Taking those figures I then looked at the Stan James prices on offer for Week 10’s round of games played last night and calculated the true odds from the percentages players have won the market each week.
Phil Taylor: Stan James price evens, true odds evens
James Wade: Stan James price 16-1, true odds 13-2
Adrian Lewis: Stan James price 7-1, true odds 11-2
Raymond van Barneveld: Stan James price 7-1, true odds 11-1
Simon Whitlock: Stan James price 7-1, true odds 11-1
Gary Anderson: Stan James price 6-1, true odds 9-1
Mark Webster: Stan James price 16-1, true odds 9-1
Terry Jenkins: Stan James price 16-1 , true odds 50-1
In summation James Wade is hugely overpriced at 16-1 although he hasn’t came out on top in this market since the 2010 League. League debutants Webster and Anderson offer less matches for study having played in only ten apiece and although Webster’s true odds offer value, his confidence has rapidly diminished as he sits bottom of the table. Adrian Lewis is inconsistent but offers a little value. Those to ignore in this market include Anderson, Whitlock, van Barneveld and Terry Jenkins with the latter’s stats being woeful.
The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews
Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.
Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro, Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.
Visit here for more info: Secret Betting Club
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
Here are my thoughts on a number of weekend matches. They put the selected games into perspective and show how the Winabobatoo ratings offer guidance on where the potential profits are. If you have thoughts, views and opinions on football, the ratings will help guide you away from potential losing bets and point you in the direction of the profitable ones.
Full members have received 77 magazines this season, giving match ratings details for 2153 games in all leagues down to the Conference and SPL.
Everton v Blackburn 1.75
All the ratings significantly favour Everton. Blackburn are in the bottom three on the Winabob ratings.
Everton have been a bit vulnerable in front of goal this season but they’ve scored 26 in 16 home games.
Blackburn have let in 38 in 16 away games. There have been 90 home teams in the Premiership this season that have had a positive value rating. Everton are +9. Those 90 games show:
Bets: 90, Win 49 (54%), Returns 107.48, Profit +17.48, ROI +19.42%. Positive home value ratings in the Premiership are a good place to be.
Here’s an amazing stat for you…backing the draw in those 90 games has returned:
Bets: 90, Draws 29 (32%), Returns 105.29, Profit +15.29, ROI +16.99%.
I’m not particularly a fan of backing the draw but on this evidence my preferred bet would be to have 2 ½ points on a home win, and one point on the draw (3.75). As long as Blackburn don’t win, you’ll make a profit.
Exeter v Leyton Orient 2.50
Leyton Orient had a good run not too long ago. They went a while unbeaten. The ratings weren’t very impressed with their form and they don’t look anything better than average. I don’t think there’s much to chose between these two teams. Exeter are in better form though and the Short-Form rating favours them too. We’d need Exeter to win 40% of the time to break even. I’d put their chance a bit higher than that – probably around 45%, which would mean 10% profit. Exeter is a bet for me.
Fleetwood v Altrincham 1.50
Fleetwood are in the last play-off place at the moment and Altrincham are two points away from getting out of a relegation spot. This could be a bit of a dog-fight and resemble a Cup Tie. Altrincham have lost 14 out of 21 on their travels whilst Fleetwood have won 10 out of 21 at home.
Fleetwood are too vulnerable for me to think 1.50 is a value price. They lost at home to lowly Eastbourne. They’ve drawn against Histon too and those clubs are filling the bottom two spots in the division. This is definitely not one for me.
Visit The Winabobatoo Website
5. Putting For Profit
Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.
European/Asian – Volvo China Open
PGA – The Heritage Harbour Town
Champions – Liberty Mutuals Legends
LPGA – Tres Marias Championship
The European Tour continues its worldly travels next week pitching up in China, but sadly it is yet another new course for the tour. It never ceases to amaze me where all the money comes from for these new courses in China – they are huge complexes with millions of pounds spent on them, all hoping they will draw in the “golf tourist dollar” in the future but it really doesn’t help those of us who bet on these events! Many of the big players will have been paid a small fortune to turn up – it doesn’t necessarily follow that they will play well.
On the other hand the PGA turns up for yet another year at Harbour Town – a unique course which benefit’s the shorter more accurate player on tour rather than the bombers for a change. Course form does seem to be important, although Cink (2000) Coceres (2001) and Lonard (2005) all won on their debuts and Baddeley (2006) had missed the cut on his only other visit. Yet, to counter these, last year’s winner Furyk had twice been second, Weekley won back to back, Cink has won twice and Davis Love III no less than five times – it does seem to be one of those courses that once you have mastered it then you could well do again. Personally, I think the key to finding the winner at Harbour Town is to find a player who has been in great form so far this year, as virtually all winners had at least a couple of top ten finishes already that season.
Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC
As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…
- The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
- The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems - 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
- Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).
Sign up today to receive all 5 gifts immediately via Secret Betting Club
6. Testing The Fink Tank
Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.
Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.
Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.
For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.
Last week was a pretty good performance last week with some great value on offer to return 5.05 points profit.
This weeks bets:
Things don’t look so easy this week. Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game. The West Brom Chelsea game is a Chelsea/ West Brom (12) Double Chance, the same as laying the draw
For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.
7. The Friday Freebie
It seems that Mr WILLIAM HILL is on a mission. A mission to give us as many risk free opportunities as we can shake a rather large stick at. OK these are not free sports bets as we saw last year but they are risk free offers on the casino / games and bingo areas of their site. In fact these are proving even more profitable than the football ones from last season!
In our opinion this is everything an offer should be, quick, easy to do and a risk free shot at netting some profit, in some cases some rather big profits.
Don’t believe us, well take a look at some winning screenshots from some of the recent deals, which we regularly feature on our TWITTER page (@bet72), just click below. You can get a full list of the current offers there too…
http://bet72.com/latest-free-bets/william-hill-risk-free-offers/
These were all risk free offers i.e. stake £5 or £10, if you lose get the stake back, if you win you keep it all, perfect!
So in an attempt give everyone the chance to have a few winning screenshots of their own, we will be publishing as many of the offers that come to light. Some are invitation only and some are open to all but like we always say, you have to be in it to win it !
So if you have an account already then you are all set for some risk free action. If not, then you can bag a free £25 sign up bet too. Of course we have it all covered in Oddsmatcher so finding a match to lock in more risk free profits could not be easier. Then you too can join in all the risk free gaming fun!
Just click below to get started…..
And please feel free to send us your winning screenshots, we will be more than happy to share the love and feature them on the site and we will keep posting ours up too.
UPDATE: Just nabbed another free tenner for this weekend on the LIVE casino, the weekend has started early for me!
Have a profitable weekend
Kind regards
Darren Hall – www.bet72.com – No Risk. No Catch. Just Good Maths.
There is no catch if signing up for the Weekend Wager. All we will do is send a couple of extra emails to you each month with the latest news from us here at the Secret Betting Club. We believe that its a very small price for the quality of advice supplied each week for free. You can also unsubscribe at anytime and we will never ever sell rent or share your details with any third parties.
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How to Beat the Bookies with Niche Betting
April 15, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Just been handed a great article by Mike Bishop from Secret Betting Club on how you can look to beat the bookmakers by using specialists in certain overlooked sports and markets. And with the long summer months ahead, having an expert in Tennis, Golf, Cricket etc… in your corner will certainly give you an invaluable edge.
Take it away Mike…..
One of the best ways to make money betting is to focus on areas where the bookmakers are vulnerable and what we call ‘niche betting’.
In plain English, this means specialising in areas that the overworked and over stretched bookmaker odds compilers may not have time for.
For example, any bookie worth his salt knows all the inside outs of a Man United – Chelsea Champions League game, but how much would they know about Histon V Darlington, a game only 277 people will attend?
Taking this further:
• Do you know more than the bookies when it comes to French & Belgium cycling?
• How much more do you know about minor Golf or Tennis tournaments?
• How strong is your lower league Scottish Football expertise?
• National Hunt chase races – Is this a field you specialise in?
Often bookies simply don’t have the resources or depth of knowledge to cover every single sport or league. They still however price many of these events up and so are very vulnerable to ‘niche betting’ experts.
Niche Betting Experts, Tipsters & Forum Advice
We have long since championed niche betting and recently released our ‘Build Your Own Betting Niche’ article, written specifically for the Secret Betting Club by non-league football betting expert – Skeeve.
Skeeve is well known for being perhaps the best non-league football betting expert out and has been making fantastic profits for a number of years betting in the Blue Square leagues. Bookies hate him but SBC members love him!
His special niche betting guide shows you how to replicate his own success and it’s a great place to start learning about putting it all into practice.
That’s not all though as here at the Secret Betting Club we also feature advice from other specialist experts, review niche betting tipsters and feature free advice up on our members forum.
Check some of our Niche Betting features below…
Betting Expertise & Tipsters
• Cycling Betting – We have a new Cycling expert aboard at SBC in the form of ‘Wheelie’ who is sharing all his expert 2 wheel advice and the details on how he has made this sport pay. Just last weekend he highlighted a 150/1 winner in the ‘Paris Roubaix’ race in France on our members forum. Read more about his strategy in our latest issue and follow all his bets on the forum.
• Tennis – Last month we reviewed a very promising free tipster making great profits from mainly Tennis based advice. With so many Tennis players and tournaments, an expert knowledge in this sport can be very lucrative and this expert has made 160 pts profit from 270 bets since June 2010 on it.
• Scottish Lower League Football – One of the best performing tipsters in the past 12 months has been a tipster who knows a heck of a lot more about Scottish lower league football than many of the bookies do. This season he has made 229 pts profit from just 229 bets supplied.
• Live Football – One well known football tipster has been proofing advice supplied ‘in-play’ during football games and has got off to a flying start. In-play betting is growing very popular and this tipster is at the forefront of taking advantage of bookie mistakes as the game goes on. Find out more with our review of this live tipping service.
• Golf Betting – Recently we also released our new Golf Betting Strategy, showcasing one proven method of narrowing down large golf fields to select the most likely contenders. In just 23 golf tournaments at the end of 2010, this strategy made a 74 pt profit from just 130 pts staked.
On Our Members Forum
It’s not just the expert articles and tipster reviews that we produce here at SBC; many of our members are getting in on the act when it comes to niche betting. Many of them are posting their own expert bets on the SBC members forum on areas such as…
• Formula 1 – Follow the SBC member sharing advice based upon his thorough F1 based knowledge now that the new season has started.
• Racing Trades – Scott Armstrong AKA the Sportsman is posting all his racing trades up on the SBC forum for free until June 2011. He has an outstanding record trading since starting in December 2010.
• Aussie Rules – One Australian based member is now sharing all his advice for AFL or Aussie Rules football on the forum.
This is by no means an exhaustive list and as an SBC member you gain access to many more niche betting experts, tipsters and forum posts. As our members come from far and wide across the globe, there are countless sports that we can take advantage of!
Take up a Secret Betting Club membership today for full access to all our niche betting guides and strategies.
Join by visiting Secret Betting Club
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“Of the SBC I would say it is well run, by individuals with their hearts in the right places. Nothing is affiliate driven and this ensures top quality information and reviews of services. The community adds value and the forum is remarkable. This is a publication and community to join, read, enjoy and participate in – you will develop better betting skills and learn of new investment opportunities
– DS. SBC member & Professional Gambler.
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Best Regards,
Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club
Or to find out more about Secret Betting Club itself, then hit the banner below….
Big Mike’s Crystal Ball
April 11, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
If someone told you they could see into the future you would take that with a very large pinch of salt wouldn’t you?
Well I may have found someone who can do just that. Now he would be far too modest to make any such brash claims but look at an extract of an email I got on Saturday morning re the Grand National.
b) GRAND NATIONAL SPECIALS
i) £8 Over 16 Finishers @ 15/8 boyles
ii) Via vcbet.com (First 6 home @ 1/4 odds)
£6 ew Ballabriggs
£5 ew Oscar Time
£4 ew Character Building
£3 ew Backstage
£2 ew Arbor Supreme
£1 ew Dooneys Gate
Pretty good advice yeah? One and Two in the National (and 19 finishers too). £6 ew Ballabriggs / £5 ew Oscar Time, not a bad 180/1 forecast that!
I was just on Ballabriggs myself, but this was advised a while back with the first mention of this horse on 15th March during Cheltenham when he said….
Many of you may scoff at Ballabriggs but pray tell me any Trainer with a better record at Aintree than the McCain(s)
You see futuristic.
Who are we talking about? Mike Marsland FCA, a former Chartered Accountant, turned full time professional horse racing and sports betting strategist and founder of the Big Mike’s Betting Service
And it not just all about the horses. We also had a very clever “Portfolio Trade” on the US Masters which left us all green before the 4 round had even started the you start to see why we rate this excellent private membership service so highly. It was a very nice weekend all round.
We will be featuring alot more about Mystic Big Mike and his strategic betting methods in the coming weeks, but to take a sneak peek at what he is all about (and pick up a free copy of his brilliant Strategic Betting Masterclass ebook 142 pages including 17 of his most profitable bets and trading strategies), just click below….
I predict a profitable future for all who do!
The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
March 5, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Mike Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
From a technology perspective, it’s never been easier to be a punter. Most of us these days are aware that we no longer have to head down to the high street bookmakers in the bookies in the rain to place our bets. We can do all our betting from the comfort of our PC. Log-on, click a few buttons and voila – our bets are on!
The only downside of this (if you can call it that) is the need to be behind a computer. This is not always practical for many reasons, perhaps the wife wants to take you shopping or you have to surreptitiously bet at work when the boss isn’t looking.
Well if that’s the case for you, help is at hand thanks to the technology out there now to help you bet from phone to PC. With the right smart-phone, some easy to use software and a bit of guidance, it’s never been easier to use your phone (or iPad) to remotely access your PC at home and use that to place your bets. When doing this you are can effectively use all aspects of your PC, simply via your phone’s screen.
There are big advantages to this, as very often your PC can access websites in full rather than a stripped down phone version as well as being a lot more powerful overall. Odds comparison sites like www.oddsportal.com or www.bestbetting.com are so much easier to access via your PC, helping you to spot the best odds quicker.
Our Tech Expert Explains How
That is why in this month’s latest issue of the Secret Betting Club, we had our tech expert write a full explanation of all you need to bet from phone to PC. This includes explaining some of the tech jargon (there isn’t much to learn here) and a look at the best mobile phones currently on the market to use. He also detailed the £18 software called Logmein needed to help you connect your phone to your PC and how easy it is to use.
If you want to bet on the move, this article is a must-read and if will also help you if you are simply keen to find out the best phone for directly betting with. There is so much choice these days on whether to choose an iPhone, Android or Windows 7 mobile phone and he shares the pro’s and con’s on all the different options available.
You can pick this article up in SBC 58 as soon as you join us via Secret Betting Club
Until next week…
Mike Bishop
Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC
As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…
- The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
- The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems - 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
- Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).
Sign up today to receive all 5 gifts immediately via http://www.secretbettingclub.com
2. Mike’s Football Bets
My football betting this weekend starts over at the Reebok where Bolton host Villa in a game where I feel the over 2.5 goals line is offering value. Bolton’s home games have seen an average of 3 goals scored, whilst Villa’s similar away record is 3.14 goals so the odds of 2.03 on offer for over 2.5 goals is worth a pop. Villa are also going to be missing Cuellar and James Collins, 2 very important defenders although with the likes of Bent, Young and Albrighton will retain a real cutting edge up front.
I’m going for the same goals outlook when Wolves host Spurs on Sunday as both these teams have seen the overs mark hit in respective home and away games 64% and 57% of times. With 2.10 on over 2.5 goals, the bookies think this a 47.6% chance, where I make it around 55% so big value by my calculations. Spurs also have most of their creative hub back with Modric & Van Der Vaart fit and I can’t see Wolves defence keeping a clean sheet.
My last main bet features Man City against a Wigan team who ship goals against the very best teams as in their 7 games against the top 5 this season they have scored 2, yet conceded 19! It was a similar pattern last year and they will really struggle with the pace and movement of Tevez, Dzeko, Ballotelli and Silva if fit. You can get 1.90 on Man City to overcome a -1.25 Asian Handicap and I don’t think Wigan’s defence will be able to prevent a comfortable home win here.
A few shortlist bets to speak of, firstly over at Anfield as Liverpool host Man Utd. United have won only 4 times away this season, whereas Liverpool have lost just twice at home before Dalglish took over. The loss of Vidic and Ferdinand cannot be understated either as these two are a quiet superb central defensive pairing and I am taking Liverpool to overcome a 0 Asian Handicap. Close to being a main bet.
I was undone for a profit last weekend thanks to Carlos Vela’s offside equaliser against Stoke on Monday night although undeterred I am taking on West Brom once again as on Saturday they have a tough fixture away at Birmingham. As Arsenal found out to their cost, Alex McLeish’s men are not to be under-estimated and the -0.25 AH at 2.08 offers a shade of shortlist value.
Finally I want to take on Blackburn’s defence on the road with an over 2.5 goal line involving their trip to Fulham. 79% of all their away games have gone overs and they will miss captain Ryan Nelson this weekend. It’s a shortlist bet as Fulham are not the most adventurous team so does depend on how Mark Hughes approaches the game.
Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Bolton V Aston Villa. 2.03 188bet
1 pt Man City -1.25 Asian Handicap V Wigan. 1.90 Ladbrokes
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Wolves V Spurs. 2.10 Pinnacle/Paddy
Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Fulham V Blackburn. 2.16 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Liverpool 0 Asian Handicap V Man Utd. 2.09 Pinnacle
1 pt Birmingham -0.25 Asian Handicap V West Brom. 2.08 Bet365/12Bet
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike
*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
The Cheltenham festival is looming fast and I have advised two selections this week and below is the advice sent out to members. My only other advised account bet for the festival was Peddlers Cross back in August, to win the Champion Hurdle @ 20-1.
MEDERMIT each-way @ 4-1 for Arkle on 15th March, William Hill, Coral, Boylesports.
My initial impression with Medermit was that he would require more of a stamina test than the 2 miles on offer in the Arkle. He has also been a monkey refusing to play the game when heavy odds on at Huntingdon but in a bigger field at a sharper pace at Cheltenham, a track he loves, he will show his true colours. Alan King’s charge has a good turn of speed and likely ground of good to soft will be of no hindrance. Regarding the dangers I like Ghizao but don’t believe Finian’s Rainbow has offered enough to justify being the same odds as Medermit. Medermit’s last two performances in competitive novice chases represent a greater form line than anything Finian’s Rainbow has in the book. Ghizao is a very slick jumper and was particularly impressive in the Grade 2 November Novices Chase and represents a live danger. In summation Medermit took a while to get the hang of fences and indeed was obviously not in love with this new sphere initially but has got his act together and is Alan King’s best chance of a festival success.
ZARKANDAR each-way @ 7-1 for Triumph Hurdle on 18th March, Ladbrokes, William Hill, Coral, Paddy Power, Boylesports, Betfred.
I like the look of Grandouet for the Triumph Hurdle and may yet advise a bet on him, currently best odds of 6-1. Nicky Henderson has won the race for the last two consecutive years and Grandouet obviously holds serious claims. At the front end of the market I am unconvinced by Unaccompanied and I can’t have A Media Luz, even at double figures. Sam Winner has a more obvious chance to get in the frame at the same price. He gained valuable experience in France over the summer and illustrated that in November, powering home to beat Grandouet by 15 lengths in the Triumph Hurdle trial. His last run however in the Grade 1 Juvenile Hurdle two months ago was a major disappointment and you would would need to forgive him that poor show. A stablemate from the Paul Nicholls yard is my selection – Zarkandar. He produced a great performance on Saturday in the Class 1, Grade 2 Adonis Juvenile Hurdle at Newbury, the same race that produced last year’s winner Soldatino. Zarkandar travelled menacingly and showed an impressive turn of foot to take the lead at the two furlong pole and importantly with Cheltenham in mind, stoutly resisted Molatof’s challenge in tenacious style on the run-in. At the current odds he represents decent value as an each-way play.
I am offering a free trial to sample my trade bets on The Sportsman Racing site for the next few months. Join up at www.twitter.com/sportsmanracing. All three months have shown great profits with a return on investment of 24% since initiation and 252% return on investment to risk. All previous trades are viewable on twitter.
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
I found some nice priced winners in midweek including Carlisle’s win at Charlton (4.60) and Bury’s win at Shrewsbury (3.20). The Winabobatoo Betting Systems highlighted 11 winners from 17 selections. Let’s hope we can keep the good run going into the weekend.
There seem to be few stand-out bets as value seems a little thin on the ground. I’m going to side with a team that have been very hot lately, although they lost at York on Tuesday. They certainly weren’t outplayed in that game, and should be far too good for this weekend’s opponents.
Tip: Gateshead to win at Altrincham - available with Blue Square at 2.15, generally available at 2.00.
Special Offer:
Last chance to secure one of the 30 places available at Winabobatoo. Join now and get the rest of the season for just £20.
Once all 30 places are filled the offer will end.
Good luck with your betting.
Mike Lindley
5. Putting For Profit
Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.
WGC – Cadillac Championship Doral
PGA – Puerto Rico Open
Champions – Toshiba Classic
Euro Challenge – Abierto International Columbia
The next WGC event on the calendar takes place this coming week with the format returning to a 72 hole stroke play as opposed to match play and comes from the Doral course in Florida. This will be the fifth time the event takes place, although there had been a PGA tour event from Doral for many years. The four winners probably tell us to look at the favourites/Major winners when you consider they are Els, Mickelson, Ogilvy and Woods, although with the top Americans seemingly in the doldrums there could well be some value to be had slightly lower down the pecking order. Last year was quite interesting in that only one American actually broke into the top ten so it could also be interesting seeing how a top American market is priced up.
On the other hand, the three winners of the Puerto Rico Open – Derek Lamely, Michael Bradley and Greg Kraft are hardly what one would call household names! It is a bit difficult to give much of a clue as to what sort of player is likely to win, but the players all think that the Trump International course is very much like playing in Florida and the wind will definitely be a factor as it is situated on the coast.
6. Testing The Fink Tank
Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.
Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.
Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.
For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.
For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.
7. The Friday Freebie
Well it is not long now until the biggest sporting event of the year gets underway, no I don’t mean Reading in the FA Cup Quarter Finals against Man City (although that is big enough for me!). No the Cheltenham Festival 2011 and as always bet72.com will be right in the thick of the action bringing you all the news, views, tips and offers from Prestbury Park.
In fact the offers have started already, with Paddypower and Boylesports first to announce deals for Day One. So we have just added this year’s section to the site, with anything and everything you will need and these will increase daily the closer we get to the 15th (so the link below is well worth a bookmark).
http://bet72.com/cheltenham2011/
Away from the GeeGees it has been great to see March Madness kick in and we have had a sudden wave of bookmakers increasing (yes you did read it correctly), increasing their free bet offers. So now is a great time to jump onboard and earn yourself a few extra £’s (or €’s) ready for reinvestment in all those lovely Cheltenham deals!
My general advice at this time of year is to hold fire on any of the “big high street” name bookmakers who carry horse racing if you are planning on joining them, as hopefully this time next week our Cheltenham page will be overflowing with bigger sign up deals from all the big racing bookies ready for the 15th for these but we have some other notable improvers for March.
What a great way to start the month!
Have a profitable weekend.
Darren Hall – bet72.com – No Risk. No Catch. Just Good Maths.
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The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
February 25, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News, Secret Betting Club
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Mike Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
As usual at this time of month, we are busy applying the finishing touches to our latest Secret Betting Club Issue, which will be released on Monday the 28th of Feb.
It’s already shaping up to be quite a bumper issue, with a whole host of guest articles, betting insight and independent reviews to keep you up-to-date with the world of professional betting.
Check out some of the highlights we have lined up for this month’s issue…
- The inside line from Blue Square League tipster Skeeve on his 10 commandments about building your own betting niche. Find out how he went from complete novice to expert on the non-league betting scene and how you can repeat it for your own chosen niche.
- Betting on the move – We reveal the best mobile phones for getting your bets on while out and about.
- How to build a football ante post betting portfolio – Update on our expert’s bets so far this season.
- Our review of the first greyhound database to hit the market – if you want to make money betting on the dogs, find out if this product is for you.
- A fresh look at the 2 racing tipster services – one focusing on the All Weather and the other Flat, which have made excellent strides since May 2010. Affordable & easy to follow – they look two very useful tipsters in the making.
- A full review of the Hudson Horses racing tipster service and the proofed returns made over the past year.
- A first look at the racing tipster service that has made £2379 at £10 stakes from their first 2000 bets – all to Betfair SP.
- An initial look at the football tipster advising bets only with Bet365 that has made very good progress since starting proofing to us in October 2010.
- We reveal all you need to know on Proform Professional, quite possibly the best racing database and system builder available.
- With Cheltenham around the corner, what better time to review the service from Festival ante post expert Paul Jones.
Sign up here now to get this latest issue as soon as it’s released: Secret Betting Club
Tommo The Tipster
In this month’s Secret Betting Club issue we are also building up our recommended list of blog resources for our members to check out if interested in reading more about betting.
One such blog post caught my eye this week, in the form of this old chestnut from the High Class Equine site that re-visited the 2001 Observer article on Channel 4 racing presenter Derek Thompson (Tommo) and his tipping line. The article recalls how Tommo managed to tip loser after loser at short-prices on his premium line with 72 out of 89 tips losing during a period of testing without a hint of
shame.
Thankfully though the likes of Tommo are part of a dying breed of tipsters who don’t proof results with any transparency and the likes of which are a world apart from many of the professional services we recommend. This is because all our Secret Betting Club Hall of Fame tipsters are fully proofed with genuine results.
If keen to find out more on the best tipsters, consider a Secret Betting Club membership today.
Free Paul Jones Cheltenham Preview
Make sure as well that you read the free Cheltenham race preview that racing expert Paul Jones has kindly made available to all our readers. You can find a short excerpt below on his take on the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle with the full article available on our blog.
FRED WINTER JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE (GRADE 3)
Although the ‘Fred Winter’ is developing a number of very strong patterns so early in its existence (remarkably I’ve found as many as 12 worthy of being listed in the Trends Summary), I am aware that this may come across as a blatantly obvious statement but, trying to finding the handicap blot is key here and, boy, was there one last season as Sanctuaire left his rivals stone motherless dead. Paul Nicholls knew it beforehand. All he would say when discussing the race at the Sandown Preview Evening was: “He’ll win” and not a word more. French-bred hurdlers have really come to the fore in this race but take note of the top-rated horses from the Flat too as they have won or finished second in three of the six runnings. No new trends to add this season, only a strengthening of existing ones which is what I like for winner-finding purposes and Sanctuaire ticked virtually every main box 12 months ago hitting the crucial ones square on the head.
Read the rest of the article at the SBC Blog.
Until next week…
Mike Bishop
Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC
As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…
- The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
- The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems - 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
- Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).
Sign up today to receive all 5 gifts immediately via Secret Betting Club
2. Mike’s Football Bets
Back this week with an almost full Premier League card with 8 games over the course of the weekend to work with and I have 4 Main bets that have caught my eye.
Starting up at the Britannia Stadium, I am keen on Stoke to have too much for West Brom, especially considering the 2.00 price that Hills are offering. The Potters this season have been very strong at home, winning 54% of games and they certainly will target this type of match for all 3 points. West Brom on the other hand have been very dodgy at the back in recent months and will struggle against Stoke’s aerial bombardment. They have lost 69% of away games this year and despite the arrival of Roy Hodgson, it will take some time for him to get them better organized on the road. Odds of 2.00 suggest Stoke have a 50% chance of victory, and I make it more like 55% so a bit of value here.
Talking of Roy Hodgson, his former charges Fulham continue to prosper from the work he did on making them extremely hard to beat away from home. This is backed up by the stats as they have gone under 2.5 goals in 69% of games on the road this year with a clear policy of going for the 0-0 draw in matches against the top teams. Ladbrokes are kind enough to offer 1.97 on the under 2.5 goals market, which is a 50.7% chance, whereas I again make this more of a 1.85 to 1.90 shot so value here. As an added incentive, Mark Hughes will be even more keen for Fulham to give nothing away as he returns to Man City for the first time since being fired.
The transformation of Liverpool under Kenny Dalglish has been very impressive and bookies have been quick to note how tight matches involving his charges now are, as judged by the measly 1.75 on under 2.5 goals in their game away at West Ham. My interest involves backing Liverpool to overcome a -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.93 as the Hammers under Avram Grant remain very poor and they have lost at home against all the top teams this season. This bet gives us some cover in case of a draw and I can see a well organized Liverpool with Steven Gerrard likely to be back causing lots of problems.
One final bet on goals in the game featuring Villa and Blackburn as the away team have been very leaky on the road, going over 2.5 goals in 77% of games. Villa have improved offensively as well with Darren Bent leading the line and look a lot more threatening up front these days at home so the 1.96 on over 2.5 goals looks a good investment. I make the true odds on this market again lower than 1.90 so some value here.
Main Bets
1 pt Stoke to beat West Brom. 2.00 William Hill
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man City V Fulham. 1.97 Ladbrokes
1 pt Liverpool -0.25 Asian Handicap V West Ham. 1.93 Pinnacle/Canbet/SBOBet/188Bet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa V Blackburn. 1.96 188bet
Shortlist Bets
None
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike
*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
Away from the razzmatazz of the Premier League darts live on Sky every week the darting world proceeds quietly most weekends with the bread and butter PDC Pro Tour non-televised events in Players Championships and UK Open events. They are not tournaments for major punts as all the matches are a race to six legs, the equivalent of a bullet race in horse racing, but there are a few players worth following who can get you into the black in 2011.
The conditions are very different for the floor events with only a few hundred guests allowed entry but it brings out the best in some lower ranked players away from the television lights. I have taken a look back over the last two years (2009 & 2010) which incorporates 84 Players Championship and UK Open events. The theme was to look at competitors at bigger odds, to gauge statistically by the amount of tournaments won, if they offer any value.
Mark Walsh has won seven events from the eighty-four contested which is approximately one in twelve, therefore you would expect him to be around the 12-1 mark. On most occasions his odds will be signifcantly higher than 12-1, and indeed he is currently 33-1 for this weekends events. The 2nd best winning record for the longer priced players belongs to both Wes Newton and Jamie Caven. Newton has won 4 events from 84 and odds of around 22-1 would be a fair price. He is 28-1 for these tournaments presently. It’s noticeable three from four Newton wins came in 2010 telling of a much improved player. Jamie Caven has also lifted four floor tournaments and already pocketed one of the four events played in 2011. Caven is 28s this weekend. Veteran of the oche Dennis Priestley has taken honours in three events and though he will be cutting back on the circuit this season, he is worth a bet when playing on the floor and is rated a huge 80-1 shot these days.
By following proven winners Walsh, Newton and Caven blindly to level stakes in the floor events this year you should come out in front. In 2009 they mopped up seven events between them and last year’s cumulative haul was eight.
The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews
Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.
Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.
Visit here for more info: Secret Betting Club
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings
I have a members’ forum at Winabobatoo. Three of my members very kindly post their weekly bets and share their analysis with other members. Surprisingly, I have a very disproportionate number of West Brom fans at Winabobatoo. There is some nice banter between them as to how the Baggies are likely to do. Early season hopes of making Europe have diminished into a Premiership race for survival. Not wishing to upset them, but I think it is time to oppose West Brom this weekend!
Tip: Stoke to beat West Brom at 1.95 - available with Hills, Victor Chandler, bwin, and Unibet. 1.97 is available with 32Red.
Special Offer:
Have you registered for your FREE weekly copy of the Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine? Please visit my website now as there is a special offer coming up that I don’t think you will want to miss!
The prices I quote in Winabobatoo betting returns are only from prices available with Coral, Hills, Totesport, Victor Chandler and Bet365. If you can get bigger prices elsewhere, then that is a bonus and extra profit over and above what I show.
Good luck with your betting.
Mike Lindley
5. Putting For Profit
Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.
PGA Tour – Honda Classic
Nationwide Tour – Bogota Open
A quiet week next week with only the two events to bet on – maybe some of the odds compilers with time on their hands will have a crack at the Nationwide Tour as they won’t have much else to do!!
The Honda Classic returns to the PGA National course and to be honest it is difficult to see much of a pattern in the four winners there have been so far. I guess one thing you could say is that non-Americans have somewhat dominated, filling lots of the places and providing the last three winners in Villegas, Yang and Els. The course is one of the toughest they play all year and the first three winners posted winning scores of -5, -6 and -9 whilst Villegas won by five last year with -13. The key to playing well at the PGA National is to be on top of all facets of your game and be able to play in the wind as that usually blows.
Oddly enough, last years winner Villegas was just as interested in what was going on in the Nationwide Tour event with his brother Manny playing in the Bogota Open in back home in Columbia. Looking at the state of Camilos’ game at the moment I would guess that his brother has the greater chance of victory next week!
Hopefully over the next few days I will come up with a bit more inspiration so don’t forget to check the blog.
6. Testing The Fink Tank
Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.
Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.
Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.
For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.
Click here for the weekend’s qualifiers.
For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.
That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…
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The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
February 11, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Mike Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
John Terry has had a week to forget. First of all his Chelsea team are beaten at home by arch-rivals Liverpool, then he sees every man and his dog (and Gareth Barry) get the England captains armband before him in the midweek friendly in Denmark….and all of this after quitting gambling this week due to huge losses.
It was reported in renowned factual tome The Sun on Tuesday that JT had decided to stop gambling totally after racking up huge losses by betting on anything that moves. This is probably a wise move for him as not everyone is cut out to make money betting, especially if you have more money than sense.
If however, he ever wanted to get involved betting again he could do a lot worse than using some of the free resources, tipsters & strategies that we have compiled at the Secret Betting Club. Everyone loves something for free, so let me reveal just a few of the ones we track here at SBC…
The Best Free Tipsters, Systems & Strategies
We keep a full list of all the best free tipsters, systems & strategies for you to use, especially if you are working to a budget. Many of these we report back on regularly to keep all of our Secret Betting Club members up to date as to the best value options out there.
Some of the best free tipster services we have reviewed recently include:
• Sportyy – Free Football & Tennis Tipster
This Spanish based tipster has been providing free tips since June 2010 and has a great record so far. Sportyy is proving to be very popular with SBC members after our first review in November 2010.
• Daqman – Free Betting Exchange Racing Tipster
Provides free daily racing tips to be followed on the betting exchange and the main win bets supplied are up £700 to simple stakes since July 2010. Full results update in our January 2011 SBC issue.
• Packed Pockets – Free Racing Tips
This free racing tipster had a fantastic 2010, pocketing over 200 pts profit from only 193 bets supplied and is a firm favourite. Regular updates in SBC issues.
SBC Members Free Advice
Alongside reviews of external tipsters, we also have many different strategies and systems that we provide via the Secret Betting Club. Some are free systems updated each day on our forum, other systems or strategies available to download from our website. We also regularly feature expert articles and forum advice from some of our professional gambler contributors on some of the methods they employ.
Recent free highlights include…
• Piecost–Horse Racing Handicap System
SBC member ‘Piecost’ has been sharing the selections from his UK horse racing handicap system on our members’ forum since March 2010. He has averaged over 21 pts profit each month and it’s proving to be extremely popular as you can imagine!
• The 4 Pronged Attack System
This is a very profitable racing system that takes a simple 4 pronged strategy for picking out bets in the big feature races and is available to download to all SBC members. Very straightforward to follow, it had an excellent 2010.
• On Course For Profit: Golf Betting
Make use of free statistics from various sources in combination with tips from experts to make serious profits on golf betting. This amazing strategy revealed in our January edition shows you how to strike out most of the field in golf betting and concentrate on the players who stand to make you the most profit.
• When Odds Are Odd
This is a cheeky strategy available to download for taking advantage of betting markets to create no-lose situations (not arbing!). We have members on our forum sharing the bets generated by this strategy on both NFL and Rugby League.
• PCB’s football antepost bets
PCB is one of our pro-gambler members and after sharing his strategy on how to make a profit in the antepost football market, he is also posting all his own football antepost bets this season. The highlight this season is the 33/1 bet on Carlisle to win the Johnstones Paint trophy (they play Brentford in the final on the 3rd April!).
You can also find a couple more free strategies up on our blog, which we are putting to the test this year including…
• Testing the Fink Tank
Fink tank provide free football ratings backed up with academic research. We found them to have great potential in a past SBC review, but can we improve profits by taking early prices? This test aims to find out. Over 37.47 points so far this season from 205 bets for an excellent ROI of 18%. Last week the ratings picked out Wolves to beat Manchester United at home at odds of 8.80.
Note – We have also added this in as an extra column for the Weekend Wager up until the end of the season! Find it below in section 6.
• Mike’s Football Bets
Mike is sharing his own football advice and strategy for picking out bets in the English Premier League for free this season. He is 7.91 pts in profit (A 9.77% ROI) for this season and building on the initial success he had in the 2009/10 season.
Details on all of the above and much more besides can be found as a Secret Betting Club member. Join now for instant access at Secret Betting Club
Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week
A Drunkard’s Betting Walk
Inspired by the probability and randomness themed book ‘A Drunkards Walk’, Mike looks at how this relates to betting and how we can better understand some of the common misconceptions it highlights.
Until next week…
Mike Bishop
Your 5 Free Gifts When Joining SBC
As soon as you join us here at the Secret Betting Club we will give you totally free, 5 fantastic betting methods and systems to help you make money betting including…
• The 4 Pronged Attack Racing System. Totally free to follow, this method was one of the very best racing systems out there in 2010. You can now also get the system qualifiers sent via email free!
• The ‘When Odds Are Odd’ Systems – 3 different systems that show you how to capitalise on bookmaker mistakes.
• Our new Golf Betting Strategy, which in just 6 months has made a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).
Sign up today to receive all 5 gifts immediately via Secret Betting Club.
2. Mike’s Football Bets
Not the easiest looking betting fixtures this weekend in the top flight and just the 2 Main bets from me, starting off with the game at the Stadium of Light between Sunderland and Spurs.
Spurs have struggled lately with injuries to the creative hub of their team with the likes of Modric, Bale and now Van der Vaart all out. To make matters worse they face a very tricky fixture against Steve Bruce’s team who are very strong in general at home. The hosts to my mind continue to be under-rated and have won 6 out of 13 home fixtures, losing just twice to Chelsea and Blackpool. You can get 2.04 on them with a 0 ball Asian Handicap, which covers the draw and looks to be great value against a depleted Spurs outfit.
No matter what Ian Holloway does, his team cant stop leaking goals and to me it’s a simple case of not having the quality defensive personnel required to shut up shop. Attack for them is the best form of defence and the bookies continue to be very slow to cotton on to the chance of goals in their home games. All 11 tangerine games have gone 3 goals or more with 5 (45%) going 4 goals or more. They face Villa who have also seen 67% of their away games go over 3 goals so they aren’t exactly going to park the bus either. I will take the 1.79 on over 2.75 goals in this market.
Aside from those 2 main bets, its hard work finding value this weekend and the 3 shortlist bets highlight this. Birmingham are very solid at home but the 1.78 0 AH is a bit short in price to be a main bet against a Stoke team who are improving but continue to struggle on the road in general.
Man City will be happy to draw away at Utd as it keeps them in the hunt for the top 4 spot (their ultimate goal this year – not the title) and so the 1.83 on less than 3 goals appeals as a shortlist bet. Fulham continue also to be under-rated goals wise at home and even though Chelsea were toothless last weekend, prior to that they had found their shooting boots. Hopeful of seeing some goalmouth action at Craven Cottage this weekend so over 2.5 goals is the call with stats backing this up as one to be on.
Main Bets
1 pt Sunderland 0 Asian Handicap V Spurs. 2.04 Ladbrokes
1 pt Over 2.75 goals. Blackpool V Aston Villa. 1.79 5Dimes
Shortlist Bets
1 pt Birmingham 0 Asian Handicap V Stoke. 1.78 Pinnacle/188bet
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man Utd V Man City. 1.83 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Fulham V Chelsea. 2.08 188bet/Canbet/SBObet
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike
*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
Premier League darts kicked off last night and runs until May every Thursday around the UK. It promises to be a very tight event this year with a marvellous field. I thought I’d take a look at each individual player and some pointers on them in the quest to make money.
PHIL TAYLOR:- Dipped in form over the tail end of last year and at the age of 50 some are saying the world’s greatest ever player is on the slippery slope. The jury is out on that one as this is a man who is at his best when he has been given a kicking. 180s however may not be flowing his way in this league with his new darts having a very stocky barrel which will mean many deflections and looking for him to go under the maximum’s lines in his matches may be a route to profit.
ADRIAN LEWIS:- The new world champion will have a lot of weight on his shoulders and is more than capable of throwing in a howler of a League night. Lewis is known as one of the best maximum hitters in the world and rightly so. However dig a little deeper on his Premier League stats from the years 07-10 where he has competed in the event and you find backing him for most maximums in a match may not be the easy ride you would expect. He has only won most maximums in Premier League matches on 48% occasions. Therefore he should be slightly bigger than evens for this market statistically.
GARY ANDERSON:- Premier League debutant. Anyone who knows their arrows will appreciate the Scotsman has no problems with his scoring. His Achilles heel has been his doubling. The signs of improvement are there though as his TV nerves settle. In the summer, Anderson could strike only 31% of his doubles in the World Matchplay and a woeful 13% in the European Championships. In the last three major televised events he has took out 44% of his doubles in the Grand Prix, 41% of his doubles in the Grand Slam of Darts and again 41% in the World Championships. A repeat over the league season of 40% plus will put him right in the mix for the title.
JAMES WADE:- As mentioned recently in this column his doubles record over the last five major televised tournaments is second to none. The problem is Wade’s questionable attitude towards the game, leaving you in a betting quandary. In Wade’s own words “I’m possibly a bit like Ronnie O’Sullivan. Sometimes I can’t be bothered. When I can’t be bothered, it’s obvious. I play like I can’t be bothered”. I know when he’s odds on for a match what button I’d rather be pressing on Betfair.
RAYMOND VAN BARNEVELD:- Will the real Barney please stand up? This man is an enigma wrapped up in a mystery. Scooby Doo and crew couldn’t solve this one. The gut instinct is that Barney has lost the fire in his belly and he is accordingly out with the washing to lift the Premier League this year. Along with Wade, his attitude doesn’t make you reach for the wallet. Tossing darts away and more head shaking than an AC-DC concert. Pink button again.
SIMON WHITLOCK:- The big “Aussie” made his League debut last year reaching the semi-finals. A renowned killer of big finishes it’s a surprise to learn in his Premier League history he has had highest checkout in only 6 of his 15 league matches (40%). Conversely he has hit most maximums in 60% of his league games.
TERRY JENKINS:- Looks as if he will struggle this season though often raises his game against better players. It’s interesting to learn given his overall losing record in the league that he has struck the highest match checkout on 67% of occasions. The “Bull” will kick-off most matches as underdog and it is likely you will obtain odds against on him getting the highest match checkout in each match this season for a small flutter.
The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews
Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.
Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
If you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings
The season is moving on at a rapid rate of knots and the promotion/relegation scraps are going to be hotting up over the next few weeks.
There’s a full programme of games this week; much to mull over and much to pick from.
This week’s Free Bet:
We’ll side with Gillingham to win at Crewe. It’s handy to have away teams on your side that can score goals. Gillingham have netted 25 times in 14 away games, which is getting on for 2 goals per game.
Crewe tend to play an open game and this leaves them vulnerable to leaking a few goals. They’ve conceded 44 goals in 28 games. Gillingham have let in 37 goals in 30 games.
The Winabobatoo ratings certainly give the edge to Gillingham and 2.90 seems like an attractive price for the away win.
Tip: Gillingham to win at Crewe at 2.90 – available with Victor Chandler, Bet 365 and Coral.
I still have a few places available for my full Winabobatoo service. If you fancy getting all the match ratings, Winabobatoo betting systems, and recommended lays for the rest of the season, now would be a good time to join.
Good luck with your betting.
Mike Lindley
Visit The Winabobatoo Website
5. Putting For Profit
Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.
European/Asian – Avantha Masters
PGA – Northern Trust Open
Champions – Ace Group Classic
LPGA – Honda Thailand Open
Euro Ladies – New Zealand Womens Open
South Africa – Dimension Data pro-am
The Avantha Masters enters its second year as a co-sanctioned event at the DLF course, which was also the venue of the Indian Open in 2009 and the co-sanctioned Johnnie Walker Classic in 2008, so there is quite a bit of course form to go on. After the high quality fields of the gulf swing we get back to a regular bread and butter event with Soren Hansen, Thongchai Jaidee and Jeev Milkha Singh being the headline acts. The latter will be one of the home crowd favourites but beware – he pulled out on the eve of a Challenge Tour event last month in India on a course he designed and has hardly been setting the world alight in the gulf.
The PGA tour stays in California this week for the Northern Trust Open from the Riviera Club where winners have been very predictable in recent years.
2010 – Steve Stricker – 2nd year before and 3rd in his latest start
2008/09 – Phil Mickelson – won two years running and had been 2nd in 2007
2007 – Charles Howell – twice runner-up already that year and 2nd here in 2004
2006 – Rory Sabatini – 2nd the week before and 2nd here in 2002
2004/05 – Mike Weir won back to back
So basically look for someone in top form with a top finish here before – shouldn’t be too hard to narrow the field down!
6. Testing The Fink Tank
Dan Jones from SBC has been testing out the free football Fink Tank ratings all season with promising results so far. Each week via this column he highlights the latest value bets according to the ratings.
Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.
Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model.
For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.
For the season so far, the Fink Tank ratings have proven to be effective, making a profit of 37 points from 1 point level staking for an ROI of 18% (Profit on turnover). Most of the gains have come from big value away winners.
For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Secret Betting Club could help you.
That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…
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All You Need To Know To Make Money Betting
February 2, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
We have just released Issue 57 of our Secret Betting Club monthly report full of all the information you need to make your betting a success.
After working at the coal-face of this industry for the past 57 months, we know what it takes to make you money betting. Each month our latest findings are compiled in these issues and highlights from this months include…
- Our Golf Betting Strategy from our one of pro gambler contributors – ‘PCB’, who has been following this method for the past 6 years to great success. PCB placed the exact bets from this strategy up on our members only forum, where he had some real success – making a 74 pt profit from just 23 golf tournaments (a Return on Investment of over 57%!).
- The Scottish football betting expert who is taking real advantage of the bookies lack of expertise in leagues north of the border. With a £2000 starting account, you would have made £1128 profit since July 2010. If interesting in joining there is an exclusive saving available to SBC members only.
- All the latest info for betting on your mobile with a link to both WAP and Iphone websites for each bookmaker. If you want to bet on the go from your phone, this article is a must-read.
We also continue to feedback on a number of free (very low cost) tipsters and must-have betting resources and this month we feature…..
- The free tipster providing daily racing advice who has made £771 profit from only £2531 staked in the past 7 months.
- The free Saturday big-race email that combines all the Pricewise information, market reports, trainer/jockey reports and stats for anyone betting on the horses each week.
- The racing tipster charging just £10 a month via a special SBC deal who has made over 110 pts profit from 465 bets since May 2010.
We also have a number of in-depth reviews on many new tipster and betting products such as…
- The racing service that has made over 250 pts profit from 730 bets since November 2009 and the special membership offer available to SBC members only.
- A further look at the laying service that has made an excellent profit since starting in December 2009. From a reputable source, this is looking very interesting!
We also continue to publish all the latest stats and information on 37 of the very best tipsters out there. Just look at what some of our top ranked tipsters have achieved recently:
- The new addition to our Hall of Fame that has made just short of 200 pts profit from his first 725 bets. At affordable £25 stakes that’s £5000 profit alone!
- The long-running tipster in our Hall of Fame that hasmade 41.42 pts from just 175 pts staked in the last 6 months. A service very popular with our members not least for the special SBC offer of 2 months for the price of 1.
- The busy racing tipster who has averaged 40 pts profit each month in the past year alone. At £20 stakes, this is an extra £800 a month following their simple advice.
If you want to pick up the latest issue as soon as it’s released, signup today for your membership via: Secret Betting Club
ALL THIS FOR JUST 20P A DAY!
To gain access to all the information on these 7 services and much more besides you need Secret Betting Club membership, which costs the equivalent of just 20p a day.
When you consider the money you could make with the right information, we like to think this offers excellent value.
Our members feel the same, check out what one long-term subscriber had to say recently:
“I would like to say that there are so many people out there that is just interested in scamming money off you. It’s therefore refreshing to read the SBC newsletters that has so much valuable information for serious punters.”
Just to be clear – We don’t provide tips, we are an independent review service like Which? We take no commission on our reviews so you can be sure that there are no hidden agendas when we recommend something. We follow these tipster services ourselves with our own money and make good profits from betting, so we know what we are talking about.
You can also join with confidence as we offer a full 12 month money back guarantee if at any time you are not satisfied with our service. No strings attached so if you’re not 100% pleased with what we do for whatever reason, we will refund you in full.
Seriously, no small print and no hidden conditions. We passionately believe in only providing a service that you find useful.
To finally make your betting pay, visit: http://www.secretbettingclub.com
Best regards
Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club
P.S. Throughout the season we will also be sharing with all SBC members a number of free football betting systems and strategies at our members blog and forum.
The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
January 28, 2011 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Mike Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
How to profit from this double act
Over the years there have been many famous double acts… Laurel & Hardy, Torvill & Dean, Shearer & Sheringham and not forgetting of course – Howard Webb & Manchester United!
In betting, pairing two good bets as a double act can be a great way to increase your returns…but there is some extra risk. For those not aware, with a double bet, you need both bets to win instead of betting on single outcomes.As this is less likely to happen, the odds are much bigger than betting on singles. Allow me to explain in a bit more detail.
Double up to double your profits.
Let’s say you think Fulham to beat Stoke and Spurs to beat Newcastle are both 50/50 shots, the odds in theory should be 2.0. If you can get anything above 2.0 (evens) on those matches, then you’ve got a value bet and should make a profit in theory. A quick check and as luck would have it, both Fulham and Newcastle are available at 2.2.
Your options:
- 2 Singles: Back Fulham at home for 2.20 plus Spurs away at 2.20. Potential profit: 2.4 points.
- 1 Double: Back Fulham at home for 2.20 AND Spurs away at 2.20. Potential profit: 3.84 points
If you continue to back enough 50/50 shots at 2.20 then your long term profit will be a 10% Return on Investment (£10 won for every £100 staked).
However if you placed those same bets as doubles, your return on investment rockets to 21% (£21 won for every £100 staked).
Would you swap bigger profits for a lower strike rate?
The general accepted theory when investing in anything is that to make bigger % profits, you have to take bigger risks.
Unfortunately this is the same when it comes to betting on doubles.
If we placed simple single bets on 50/50 shots at 2.2 like the ones above, we can expect to win 50% of the time and make a 10% Return on Investment.
With the double bets however, we will only win 1 in 4 times (25%), but when we do will make a 21% Return on Investment. Higher risk, but higher reward.
It’s that strike-rate for success (50% vs. 25%) that can make all the difference and really test your patience when doubling up! Could you take the longer losing runs in exchange for the higher profits?
Why bookies love doubles
Doubles betting of course is only as good as the bets you are placing or the tipsters you are following. If your bets don’t make a profit as a single, they won’t magically make a profit when bet as a double.
Many mug punters roll up short priced football bets in attempt to push up their returns with no concept of value. This is why bookmakers love you betting on doubles – If not used correctly, they can double your losses as well as profits.
The right way to bet on doubles
When done right though, doubling up can be an excellent string to your betting bow. One of our Hall of Fame tipsters proved this last month when they shrewdly advised 3 different double bets on the horses.
One such bet was a 0.25 pt each way double on two horses at 9/4 and 4/1, who both won. That was a 0.5 pt risk for an eventual 4.27 pt profit. Not huge odds but then it doesn’t have to be when doubling up.
Overall backing their3 advised double bets made 11.08 pts profit from 1.75 pts invested or if you had backed their bets in 6 singles, you would have made 2.8 pts profit from 1.75 pts invested.
A difference of 8.28 pts profit, so just goes to show how picking and choosing when to double like this is key!
Find out More
To re-cap, doubles betting can be very lucrative when done right, whether you pick them yourself or follow a tipster who advises them.
If this is of interest and you are keen to find out more about this topic, we have a whole range of strategy articles to assist. Our two part series on this topic explains everything about how to make this work for you, understanding the maths, how to obtain the best odds and where to bet.
We also feature a number of tipsters within our Hall of Fame that either advise double’s bets themselves or whose tips could help form the nucleus of a good doubles strategy.
All of this and much more is available as a Secret Betting Club subscriber. Sign up today for instant access.
Check out these other latest articles from our Blog this week
How To Judge How Potent A Tipster Is
Some of the simple calculations that you can use to calculate just how good any tipster is
Mike’s Football Bets This Season
Linked in with my column below on making a profit in the English Premier League.
Until next week…
Mike Bishop
2. Mike’s Football Bets
Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.
Happy to see the back of last weekendwith all the derby games and draws that no doubt did for many a betting accumulator. A lot more value betting opportunities have sprung forth for this next round of games and I am expecting goals!
This is because I have quite a few over 2.5 goal bets this weekend, starting over at Bloomfield Road, where you can get a very tasty 1.9 in the game between Blackpool and Sunderland. Perhaps the bookies are over-reacting to Darren Bent’s move but the facts are that the Seasiders have gone overs in 100% of all home games this season and it’s a high-scoring trend that has been in place ever since Ian Holloway has been in charge. Sunderland will perhaps be better suited to playing just Asamoah Gyan upfront as a target man away and as always with Blackpool games, there is plenty of goal-mouth action!
Newcastle & Spurs are two other teams not noted for defensive solidity and indeed Spurs have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season whereas the Toon have gone over 2.5 goals in 73% of all fixtures at St James Park. The overs line is 1.91 with Pinnacle, which estimates a 52.3% chance, and I make it closer to 60% in my book.
My third overs bet is in the midday kick off game featuring Wolves and Liverpool and both teams have struggled to stem the flow of goals this season. Wolves have gone overs in 55% of home games, whereas Liverpool have the same 55% marker away from home. Looking at it logically as well, both teams look very shaky at the back and if Torres fires up again, there should be goals. Dalglish will see this as a must-win game also. 10bet are offering 2.22 on the overs line, which is a 45% chance and looks too big for me.
I have one Main Asian Handicap bet on perennial favourites Bolton who you can back with a +1 start at 1.85 with Betinternet at home to Chelsea. Bolton are formidable at the Reebok, losing only once there this season against Liverpool (and rather unluckily so in my opinion). Chelsea as we know are far from convincing these days and have won just 3 away this season at Blackburn, West Ham and Wigan. I certainly can’t see more than a 1 goal win if Ancelotti’s men do get their act together and am siding with the Trotters once again, who have served me so well this season.
Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Blackpool V Sunderland1.90. Canbet/188bet/SBObet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Newcastle V Spurs. 1.91 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Wolves V Liverpool.2.22 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+1 AH) V Chelsea. 1.85 Betinternet
Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.25 goals. Fulham V Stoke.2.12 Pinnacle
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike
*All odds quoted correct as of time these bets were posted at the SBC Blog.
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!
Your Ultimate Betting Resource
The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…
- The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
- The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
- The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.
Sign up today to access it risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http://www.secretbettingclub.com
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
The Sportsman has one Donald McCain ante-post bet running on Peddlers Cross to win the Champion Hurdle. Advised in August of last year at 20-1 Peddlers took the honours in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle and now sits at 6-1 best price in what looks a remarkably competitive affair this year. Now’s the time to take a plunge on another of Donald’s best horses for this year’s Grand National.
A year ago Donald nominated Ballabriggs as the horse to follow from his yard and he was certainly good to his word. He has ran four races since and scooped the lot at odds of 13-2, 2-1, 9-1 and on his comeback a few weeks ago at 100-30 with his haul including the 2010 Kim Muir at the Festival.
The horse had problems in the past which has resulted in him being lightly raced and for a ten year old he has limited miles on the clock. McCain will take the hurdles route before the Grand National weights are announced and that’s also been the campaign plan for recent Irish-trained National winners. Rated 150 his trainer is concerned about his mark for the big one but shouldn’t be unduly troubled with the last two winners Don’t Push It and Mon Mome rated 153 and 148 respectively.
The Grand National has changed beyond recognition from twenty years ago and lower rated runners generally struggle. With one more run expected over hurdles before Aintree, Ballabriggs should go to the big one with a decent mark.
Ballabriggs himself is a rangy, hardy beast with a decent turn of foot and is a stayer to boot. A solid jumper he has never actually fell on the track. On the two occasions when he failed to complete the course it was owing to slipping. Owner Trevor Hemmings has bought the t-shirt in this race, winning in 2005 with Hedgehunter and Coral’s 25-1 is a price worth taking. The press will go to town with the McCain legacy of training Red Rum in the Grand National and those pin sticking housewives are sure to send his odds tumbling for those that like a trade.
Advised to The Sportsman members this morning: 0.1 pt Ballabriggs to win Grand National @ 25-1 Coral.
The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews
Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.
Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.
Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
There’s plenty of football action to keep us busy this weekend. I’m spoilt for choice as to which game to give you from a long list of bookmaker over-pricings.
The good news that I can report is that Winabobatoo members’ profits are doing very well this season, with gains of over 30 points from following my Multiple System selections, for a gain of 10% on turnover. My Value ratings are showing a profit of over 50 points on the season from backing every one of those. The return on investment from backing those isn’t quite so good, as there are more of them, but that still comes in at around 7% ROI.
We’ll be adventurous with our bet this weekend and go for a longer-priced away team. We’ll take Hartlepool to win at Peterborough at 4.00.
I estimate that Hartlepool will win just under 30% of the time, which gives a long-term profit expectation of getting on for 20%.
This weekend’s selection is:
Hartlepool to win at Peterborough. Hartlepool are available at 4.00 with Coral, BetFred, Paddy Power, and some other bookmakers at the time of writing.
There’s a free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine available to download if you visit my website. The Mini-Mag contains another free tip.
Good luck with your betting.
Mike Lindley
Visit The Winabobatoo Website
5. Putting For Profit
Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.
European Tour – Volvo Golf Champions – Bahrain (new)
PGA Tour – Farmers Insurance Open
Hopefully some of you followed my advice below for the Sony Open last week…
“On the PGA tour we see the first full field event of the 2011 season and if you like backing in an event with plenty of course form then this is your sort of event with the Waialae Country Club being used since 1965. Generally speaking the course is a tight par 70 so rewards the shorter more accurate players and reading down the list of winners over the past ten years it tends to go to experienced pros with a number of wins already under their belt.”
As I wrote on the blog this pointed me to four players and from those Mark Wilson Won at 100/1 and Tim Clark was 2nd at 35/1, so lets see if I can come up with any ideas for next week’s golf tournaments!
The European Tour stays in the Middle East but goes to a new venue in Bahrain so with no course form to go on the best advice would be to go for an in form player who plays well in the desert. I haven’t had time to have a close look at the course but if I do find anything out I will post it on the blog next week.
The PGA tour is at Torrey Pines which has been a Tiger Woods benefit gig in the past as he has been 3/1/2/4/5/1/10/1/1/1/1 there in the past and also won the US Open – that is pretty phenomenal! The question is, ‘Is he worth taking on?’ I would say yes, as the swing changes still might not have bedded in properly and also as he will be a very short price there will be each way value down the list. Course form is pretty vital round here so try and look for a player who has had at least one top ten at Torrey Pines.
When looking for golf statistics I find www.tour-tips.com invaluable – I probably spend half my time researching on it – about 30 hours a week! Normally it is subscription only, but during the month of January it is free so check it out.
That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…
The Weekend Wager is brought to you by
http://www.secretbettingclub.com
Best Regards,
P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 55th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!
The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
December 17, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Dan Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
Like many people at this time of year, I’ve got the in laws staying at the moment.
Unfortunately I get on very well with them. I say unfortunately because it usually robs be of the opportunity to share my favourite Les Dawson jokes like these gems:
“The wife’s Mother said, “When you’re dead, I’ll dance in your grave.” I said: “Good, I’m being buried at sea.”
“I can always tell when the mother in law’s coming to stay; the mice throw themselves on the traps.”
One regular ritual is for them to ask how my work is going and to see their eyes glaze over as I try to explain for the millionth time what I actually do and how its possible to make money from betting.
This week I thought I’d finally try to get through, so while the wife and mother in law were discussing holiday plans, I managed to explain some of the basics of sports betting to my Father in Law.
He asked me a good question which I thought was worth sharing here:
Father in law: So how do you find the best bets that will beat the bookmaker?
Me: Well, there are a few different ways you can do it:
- Find a niche: If you know a particular football league or sport really well, then there’s a chance you be able to price up evens better than the bookies. This might be Non league football teams or niche betting sports such as Athletics, swimming or the Tour de France.
- Build your own system: If you’re mathematically inclined, then you can build your own methods. There are few really good racing system builders such as http://www.proformracing.co.uk/ or http://www.flatstats.co.uk/ which allow you to test how profitable different criteria is in horse racing.
- Use a ratings service: A ratings service helps you short cut hours of form reading by giving each horse or team a score, allowing you to easily spot any undervalued selections. In Football, we really like using Winabobatoo and this month we’re reviewing Peter May’s horse racing ratings in the latest edition of our http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ magazine.
- Buy a system: There are one or two decent commercially available systems for you to buy, but most of the time, these don’t make a profit or if they do, they don’t make it for long, because if everyone knows the rules, then the system becomes self defeating.
- Use a tipster: This is our favourite approach and we recommend it for most people starting out. We proof over 75 tipsters in our http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ magazine. We help our members find out which tipsters really make a profit over the long run. There are a lot of scammers out there, but there are a surprising number of diamonds in the rough. The best ones don’t do much advertising and people usually only find out about them through word of mouth or via our magazines. There’s another reason why we think tipsters bring in better profits than buying a system. A tipster is passing on his tip, but he doesn’t reveal his selection methods. This way his edge lasts for longer.
I think I finally got through this time; well at least he no longer looks at me with a look of benign sympathy when I mention sports betting.
If you’re interested in learning more about how to find the best tipsters, the best ratings services and the few really good systems, then consider adding a http://www.secretbettingclub.com/ membership to your Christmas shopping list.
Until next week…
Dan Jones
2. Mike’s Football Bets
Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.
Mike’s bets will be available on the Blog on Saturday: http://secretbettingclub.com/blog/
Your Ultimate Betting Resource
The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…
- The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
- The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
- The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.
Sign up today to access it risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http://www.secretbettingclub.com
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
The PDC World darts championship began last night and runs until January the 3rd. This week I have decided to concentrate on the first round and throw out some stats from which you can hopefully prosper financially and possibly use as a system. Let’s term it the over-dogs.
Firstly start by making a list of the under-dogs in each of the first round matches. Then using odds checker look at the under-dogs individual maximums line. It will generally be set around over or under 1.5 or 2.5. Historically in the three years the tournament has been played at the Alexandra Palace the 1st round average individual maximums per player has been 2.625. Therefore lines set at 1.5 or 2.5 are there to be beaten. Last night the opening four first round matches took place. Three of those matches saw under-dogs with lines of 1.5 to beat on the 180s count. Mark Hylton hit 7, his odds of over 1.5 were 10/11, that would also have made a lovely spread bet. Steve Maish was playing Mark Webster who went off at 1-6. Maish notched 2 maximums at evens your dough. The last match saw Gary Mawson play the Guvnor – Phil Taylor. Although Mawson never won a set he wouldn’t have let you down in the maximums count racking up 3.
In the last three year’s the greatest show in darts has been played at the Alexandra Palace in the 96 first round matches the underdog has went over their individual maximums line on 58 occasions a 60% strike rate. At slight odds on there is not a great deal of upside. By adding another rule you can tilt the chances of winning in your favour.
Look at the previous three years 1st round stats and see if the under-dogs sat on individual lines of 1.5 have beaten those lines over the previous years i.e. beat the line twice, lost once. Ignore those who have lost on the line or drawn on the line over three years. Then do the same for under-dogs on 2.5 lines. It will throw up a handful of names and dependent upon price you may have found yourself a nice bet. I will offer up the first player who plays tonight, Tony Eccles. Unfortunately at 4-7 over 1.5 maximums there is not enough upside for me to get involved. The other problem with this little system is that Skybet are the layers in the market. Therefore satellite accounts may be the order of the day. But if you can get on, there’s money to made from those over-dogs.
The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews
Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.
Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.
Visit here for more info: http://www.secretbettingclub.com/info
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings
The running total for bets I’ve advised to you in this column this season currently stands at:
Bets 15, Winners 7, Returns 19.72, Profit +4.72, ROI +31.46%.
We drew a blank last weekend when Blackpool halted Stoke’s recent good run. Let’s hope we can get back to winning ways this weekend – weather permitting.
Bournemouth lost at home to Hartlepool last weekend but I expect them to bounce back with a win at Rochdale. Rochdale started the season brightly but my ratings quickly had them as potential relegation candidates, not promotion candidates, as the league table implied.
They’ve slipped down the table and a tough scrap for League One survival looks on the cards.
Bournemouth have lost striker Josh McQuoid to Millwall and that has upset their balance somewhat but I think they’ll be too good for Rochdale.
This weekend’s selection is:
Bournemouth to win at Rochdale. Bournemouth are available at 2.75 with Coral and Victor Chandler.
SORRY MATCH CALLED OFF AS WE GO TO SEND THIS
Free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine: Have you registered for your copy yet? There’s a review of the betting season-to-date, and an article from a Winabob member, explaining how he bets and what he aims to win, etc.
A Statistical Fact: (an extract from this weekend Mini-Mag)
The returns from blindly backing every odds on home team this season is:
| All Games | 2010-11 | Bets | Win% | Profit/Loss | % Profit |
| Odds On | Homes | 266 | 53 | -32.14 | -12.08 |
This level of loss is much higher than its average. Since 2006-07 the returns from backing all odds on home team are:
| All Games | Since 2006 | Bets | Win% | Profit/Loss | % Profit |
| Odds On | Homes | 3744 | 58 | -157.05 | -4.19 |
The average loss from backing odds on home teams is -4.19%. This season we’ve seen losses into double digits at -12.08%. The bookmakers will be loving this trend and will have made significant profits as these are the most likely games for the average punter to be attracted to.
Read the full article in today’s Mini-Mag. Click the link below to take you to the website.
Good luck for the weekend.
Mike Lindley www.winabobatoo.co.uk
That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…
The Weekend Wager is brought to you by
http://www.secretbettingclub.com
Best Regards,
Mike Bishop and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club
P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!
The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club
December 11, 2010 by Darren Hall
Filed under Bet72 News
Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.
Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..
1. Dan Says..
In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Dan Jones discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.
It’s easy to understand the appeal of a guaranteed winner. They might come from a ‘well connected source’ who gives you a nod and wink. We all love the idea of knowing something that others don’t. But…
There are no ‘sure things’
If anyone is to you offer you a ‘guaranteed’ winner, run, don’t walk away from them. Nothing is guaranteed to win (unless the game is fixed, in which case it’s illegal and you could be prosecuted for being involved). Some things have a high probability of winning, but nothing is ever 100%.
Here are some relevant examples:
- Chelsea: Chelsea were coasting at the top of the Premier League a month ago. They hadn’t conceded a goal at home for a near record number of matches. They looked a sure thing to win the Premier League…
- Senegal beating France in 2002. Massively against the odds, Senegal shocked the world by beating France in the 2002 World cup. I know of at least one person who lost thousands on that match betting on the ‘sure thing’ of a French victory.
- Horses trading at 1.01 on Betfair…only to lose: Every week (and sometimes every day) a horse will be miles in front only to fall at the final hurdle. Anyone backing the sure thing at 1.01 looking for free money can often end up with egg on their face.
- Lindsay Jacobellis FAIL Turin Winter Olympics 2006. Ok this probably wasn’t a betting opportunity, but it’s still one of my favourite sporting failures ever. In the snowboard cross final, Jacobellis was miles in front and heading for a gold medal. On the penultimate jump she went for a fancy grab and fell over only to see the person in 2nd place take the gold. You can view the video here.
So you shouldn’t back at short prices?
There’s absolutely nothing wrong with backing something at short prices like 1.50 or 1.25 provided there is value in those prices. So you’d back a 1.50 shot if you think it really should be 1.30 or back a 1.25 shot if it really should be 1.10.
Where many gamblers go wrong is to take a short price on the expecation that it will win with no appreciation of what the true odds should be. I.e. they back at 1.50 thinking this means a 95 to 100% chance of it winning. However a 1.50 shot still has an implied probability of losing of 33%. On the other hand, a pick with odds of 1.25 should win 80% of the time even if you were betting blindly.
Unscrupulous vendors will play on this and provide tips at these odds in order to build up a high strike rate through pure chance alone. They can quite easily go 10 winners on the bounce without any clever analysis at all. At which point you might receive a barrage of promotional emails.
Beware the hidden short prices in laying.
Laying systems (betting on something to lose) are ever popular for some system vendors and certain tipsters and punters seem to like them too. After all, it’s easier to pick a loser in a horse race then it is to pick a loser right?
Very true, but just as you need to ensure you get a value price when backing, you need to ensure a value price in laying so your losses are containable. If anyone tells you the price of a lay ‘doesn’t matter as long as it loses’, drop them like a shot.
What many people don’t realise is that laying at high odds is the same as backing at low odds.
- Backing something at 2.0 has an implied chance winning of 50% and an implied chance of losing of 50%.
- Backing something at 2.50 has an implied chance of winning of 40% and a 60% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.67!
- Backing something at 5.0 has an implied chance of winning of 20% and an 80% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.25!
- Backing something at 8.0 has an implied chance of winning of 12.5% and an 87.5% chance of losing. The implied odds of it losing are 1.14!
When you look at the odds like this you can see why laying systems are so popular with many system vendors – You’re more likely to hit a winning running when you first use it, taking you past any refund. Ok this is a rather cynical way of looking at things, but it pays to be cynical in this game.
Can you make money betting at short prices?
You can most certainly make money backing at short prices, but just remember that there are no sure things and even a 1.25 shot should lose 20% of the time. This might sounds small, but would you take medical pills if there was a 20% chance of your hair turning bright green?
It works both ways though. We’ve seen a people reject a successful system or tipster because they backed a short price selection that lost, when the long term profits are still very good.
In our www.secretbettingclub.com magazines we give tipsters and systems a thorough examination so you don’t have to. We point out if a tipster is trying to pull the wool over your eyes with short term profits than flatter to deceive. When it comes to tipster and system profits, you need to go beyond headline profits claims and giant strike rates in order to really assess if something will make you money.
This can be a little complex which is why we do the work for you!
If you’re interested in frank & truly independent reviews of tipsters & systems then consider joining the www.secretbettingclub.com today.
If you want to be one of the few click here to join www.secretbettingclub.com
Until next week…
Dan Jones
2. Mike’s Football Bets
Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.
A quick update on the season so far and after last weekend my bets are 2.95 pts in profit from 53.5 pts staked so far since August (ROI of 5.51%) so hoping to up that in coming weeks and months. My staking this season has let me down the most as at flat 1 pt stakes, returns would actually be 4.87 pts up (9.10% ROI) and its something I am certainly looking at. The best news is that of my 9 ante-post bets, 6 are currently winning, which means a further 4.51 pts if it stays the same before the season is out.
We have seen a fair amount of goals in the Premier League this season and I see lots of value in 3 separate over 2.5 goals lines this weekend. My first bet is up at Bolton where my fave team this year host unconvincing travellers Blackburn in a local derby. Blackburn have gone overs in 59% of away games and Bolton in 63% of home games since last season and the odds of 1.98 suggest only a 50.7% chance of this happening again. Happy therefore to take the value on offer here.
Down at Craven Cottage, the odds of 2.35 on Fulham V Sunderland to see over 2.5 goals also looks too high. Looking at similar seasonal scoring stats, I make the % chance of overs to be 47% (about 2.12) and with Sunderland playing 3 up front they won’t be shy about getting forward. Fulham need to get 3 points as well so I can’t see them sitting back here either.
West Ham V Man City rounds off my overs bets this weekend as the Hammers have let in 3 goals or more in 63% of home games since last season. City whilst not prolific themselves should enjoy the woeful defending on offer from the home team, although the best odds of 2.04 are not huge so just a shortlist bet here.
My final main bet is similar to one I took in April last year, which won on Spurs with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at home against an out of form Chelsea. You can get 1.83 with Bet365 and considering Redknapp’s charges have lost just 3 home games in 2 seasons, Chelsea have their work cut out here. A draw gives us a 0.41 pt profit, but I can easily see all three points going to the home team.
A couple of final shortlist bets too with Bolton to beat Blackburn at 2.14 and Villa to beat West Brom at 2.2. Both prices I feel should be closer to evens, although some concerns that the Bolton game is a local derby where form can go pear-shaped and Villa need to bounce back from 4 losses on the bounce.
Please note – my bets next week may only appear on Saturday morning. I will be posting them as usual on the SBC Blog.
Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Bolton V Blackburn. 1.98 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Fulham V Sunderland. 2.35 SBObet/12bet/canbet
1 pt Tottenham (+0.25 AH) V Chelsea. 1.83 Bet365/Betinternet
Shortlist Bets
1 pt Bolton to beat Blackburn. 2.14 Pinnacle
1 pt Aston Villa to beat West Brom. 2.2 Boylesports
1 pt Over 2.5 goals West Ham V Man City. 2.04 Ladbrokes
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike
Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!
Your Ultimate Betting Resource
The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…
- The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
- The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
- The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.
Sign up today to access it risk free with our 100% money back guarantee at http:/www.secretbettingclub.com
3. A Sporting Chance
Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!
A return to looking at Premier League sides corners statistics this week as I pinpoint some recurring areas to look for profit. 11.5 is the line I am using for the over’s and under’s corners mark. Tottenham with the marauding Gareth Bale are proving to be Kings of the over’s. In 16 Premier League matches Spurs have gone over on 11 occasions, a 69% strike rate. They are especially prevalent at home with 6 from 7 League matches at the Lane going over. Conversely there’s not a great deal of corner action at the DW stadium where all 9 of Wigan’s home matches have went under 11.5 corners.
With half the season almost gone in the Premier League it looks safe to say that Wolves tremendous corners record is not merely a freak occurrence. With 16 matches played the team who sit 2nd bottom of the league have gained corners supremacy in 8 games, drawn 6 and lost just 2. The best way to make a profit from this knowledge looks to be to play them gaining a corners handicap against the League’s elite sides. At Stamford Bridge they drew with Chelsea on the corner count 8-8. Away to Manchester United they lost only 2-3 and at home to Arsenal they out cornered the League leaders 5-3.
Two teams to oppose on corners markets are Blackpool and Blackburn. Blackpool love an open match although their total match corners have not been particularly high. From 15 matches they have only won corners supremacy 4 times and have particularly struggled at Bloomfield Road gaining most corners in only 1 match from 6.
Of the promoted sides West Bromwich Albion with the likes of Chris Brunt and Graham Dorrans are faring best when it comes to racking up corners winning corners supremacy in 7 matches from 8 a 88% strike rate.
Bets to look out for: Spurs over the 11.5 corners line at around 10/11. Wigan under 10.5 corners around evens at the DW and Wolves on the corners handicap +4 against the elite sides in the league at evens/11-10. Oppose Blackpool at home on the corners count and side with West Brom corner supremacy at home.
The A to Z of Tipster & System Reviews
Check out the new look Secret Betting Club website, which now features a full A to Z list of many of the tipsters we have reviewed and analysed.
Our latest reviews include: All By The Book, Bet Advisor, On The Nose, Northern Monkey, Green Sports Bets, Adys Lay of The Day, NFL Linebacker, Bet Devil, Packed Pockets, Bet Soft Pro & Bettor Logic.
There is also plenty written about Football Value, Signature Racing Tips, Simplebet, The Market Examiner, Herbie Fogg, Sportyy, Tipster 365, The Punter Club, Lee Bollingbroke & The Nagman
f you cant find a review on the service you are interested in, simply enter their name into the search the site box – chances are we have featured them in the past.
Visit here for more info: http:/www.secretbettingclub.com/info
4. The Winabobatoo Weekender
Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.
Winabobatoo Football Match Ratings
The running total for bets I’ve advised to you in this column this season currently stands at:
Bets 14, Winners 7, Returns 19.72, Profit +5.72, ROI +40.85%.
Last weekend’s bet was cancelled, along with most of the weekend games. Let’s hope for better luck this weekend.
Personally, I don’t particularly like betting at odds shorter than 1.70 but there seems to be a stand-out bet at 1.67.
Stoke are solid at home, last lost 6 games ago, and are playing Blackpool. I have loads of time for Ian Holloway. He has done an excellent job for the Lancashire side but I don’t think they’ll take any points home with them from the Potteries.
The physical presence of Stoke will make it very hard for Blackpool.
This weekend’s selection is:
Stoke to beat Blackpool. Stoke are available at 1.67 with BetFred, Paddy Power, and Boyles.
Free Winabobatoo Mini-Magazine: Have you registered for your copy yet? There’s some interesting analysis with regard to betting on Premiership away teams that you need to know about…especially Chelsea fans; and there’s another Free Tip on a longer-priced lower league team.
A Statistical Fact: 14.46% of all away teams in the Premiership have been priced odds on since 2006-07 season. This compares to just 2.16% of away teams in the rest of the English leagues. Check out how the odds on Premiership teams have fared during this period in this week’s free Mini-Mag. Visit my website to get your copy now.
Good luck for the weekend.
Mike Lindley www.winabobatoo.co.uk
Visit The Winabobatoo Website
5. Systematic Soccer
Mat Hare runs Soccer Systems, a free blog where he is sharing the selections from 9 different portfolio systems this season. The selections generated by one of these systems (Game Form) are being exclusively posted on the Secret Betting Club forum this season. Each week in this column, Mat will also be sharing a sample of what the Game Form system has produced this weekend.
It warmed up round here last weekend and melted virtually all the snow. Unfortunately the snow wasn’t the only thing to suffer as my central heating also packed up and I am sat here typing this with gloves on as an army of heating engineers replace my boiler. There may not be snow on the ground but it’s still freezing!
Hopefully the worst of the cold snap has passed now and the sporting world can start to get back to normal. There was no bet on the Game Form Portfolio, partly due to the reduced fixture list, and it’s the same story this weekend too despite the fact that at the time of writing we look to have a full English league programme this weekend.
Saturday 11th December
No bet
Bets for the other Soccer Systems portfolios will be posted up on the blog as normal, assuming I can keep my fingers warm enough to use the keyboard!
Mat
6. Putting For Profit
Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.
European Tour – South African Open
Asian Tour – Black Mountain Masters
The last two main events of the year before a much needed two week break – gone are the days when golf betting only really happened for nine months of the year at most!
This year’s South African Open comes from the Durban Country Club which held the event in 1998, 2002, 2005, with the winners being Els and Tim Clark twice. Last year Richie Ramsay won, breaking the South African stranglehold as they had won every renewal since 2002. The field is virtually identical to this week’s Alfred Dunhill Championship with the addition of the three “big guns” Els, Clark and Goosen.
Tim Clark will be glad to return to the Durban Country Club as his last three attempts in the event at different venues have been poor with finishes of 9/41/37. Goosen has fared somewhat better but each way backers beware as in his last ten appearances in his home open, he has won one, been 5th or tied four times and 6th twice, so you might be sweating on a payout! Els will no doubt start favourite having captured three titles in his last nine tries, but in 2007 and 2008 he blew his chances in the third round at Pearl Valley on both occasions shooting 77.
I will be back in the New Year to start all over again!
In the meantime have a very Happy Christmas.
That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…
The Weekend Wager is brought to you by
http://www.secretbettingclub.com
Best Regards,
Mike Bishop begin_of_the_skype_highlighting end_of_the_skype_highlighting and Dan Jones
Co-editors, Secret Betting Club
P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 54th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!











