Pre Match Trading For Profits

November 29, 2016 by  
Filed under News

A cracking video from Adster Pre Match Trading that really encompasses what the whole service is about.

Email dated: 29th August 2016……..

Hi

Emo has done the business gain and added Maxbets to Auto pages, just refresh page when on one to bring it up. Maxbets is one of if not the biggest Asian bookies and like SBO is good for showing Asian trends. Just to remind others Pinnacle is best 2-3 hours from kick off right up to kick off and Spreads is best for early bets, night before etc.

With the season only 2 weeks old we have an international break which means lot of lesser games which means less liquidity so please consider using smaller stakes aside the internationals themselves.

Also please remember with PMT subs you also get access to the IPT Inplay Room free where I and other pro traders post their trades and more often we profit. I am usually in Saturday afternoons and Tuesday and Thursday evenings so feel free to come in, sit on the sidelines, observing or contributing and jumping on trades posted, it’s a great place to be with like minded traders.

Good Luck

Ads

An over £50 profit before a ball has even been kicked is not something to sniff at, look….

Scalping The 1.5 Goals Market – England v Wales

Profits from the Premiership, Champions League, Internationals, European Leagues, FA Cup, it really makes no difference to the boys & girls over at Pre Match Trading and their excellent software

Update:

We now have the full back catalogue of videos from the PMT site over on our media site, GreenUpTV, look….

Pre Match Trading Videos

The team over at Pre Match Trading will show you how to make a profit before a football match starts. Before a ball has been kicked. Before the teams come out of the tunnel. Even the team news has been released?

Here they are with more details….

Our prematch trading tool nicknamed “Shirley” can do exactly that on the trading exchanges like Betfair/Betdaq.

Shirley is a football markets model based on probability theory and statistics.
The software uses prices in liquid markets and calculates relevant prices in secondary markets thus allowing users to spot mispriced events and profit from trading them before the game has started.

After 12 months of testing and tweaking for major leagues and international games we took the decision to give out some tips to the members of trading football for 3 months at the end of the 2011 season. The success, popularity and demand for these tips were key factors in putting this site together and offering the tool to a select few.

Our members will be able to capitalise and take advantage of misaligned prices in markets like the correct score, 1.5 to 3.5 under/overs and other markets.

For ease of use the top 5 most liquid games for the day are calculated automatically.

Due to the increase in numbers on exchanges over bookmakers and so many games and markets from England to Germany, Spain and Italy offering excellent liquidity the tool can be used as little or as often as the subscriber wants. We also feel it will be ideal for the part time trader as the majority of games are evenings and weekends.

With the small matter of the World Cup, Euro Championship and other major competitions the tool can effectively be used for internationals as well as for domestic leagues, thus allowing it to be used all year round. Marvellous!

A high percentage of profitable trades is very achievable if the software is used as per the instructions on the members’ help page.

A better understanding of how football markets are related to each other, ways to trade more than one market and offset profit/loss for an overall green outcome in most games. We have all had losing trades, generally as a rule though most people do not keep screenshots of those losing trades!

Shirley is a scalping tool so profit compared to bank size is not big – please check the screenshots gallery, we used stakes of 100 ~ 500 max. To maximise profits users can recycle their stake money once matched over and over again.

For any questions or if we can assist in any way please use the contact page and we will respond to your query as soon as we possibly can.

We hope you enjoy using this trading tool.

For those that haven’t here is a screenshot. We’ve now added HT markets and graphs. The graphs are BF graphs, (I’ve hovered the mouse on the 1.5 market below) and the HT markets show the prices before KO and not what they will be at HT. Marvellous.

So now everyone can have access to two fantastic services and automated software tools for one low price. You will also benefit from email tips will be sent out to members, plus tutorial videos. Plus here is also an excellent Chat room facility and email support for all members too.

To find out more about how you can get involved with this service (and get the new DI tool for FREE) just click below. You can even get a 14 day trial account for just £20!

Introducing The Draw Inflation Tool

November 11, 2013 by  
Filed under News

It is a little known fact that the odds on every football match has what is know as a Draw Inflation % figure. This is based on a calculation of the prices of Home Supremacy and Total Goals.

Usually this figure will sit anything between 5-15% is alright but there are occasions when this figure will fall outside of this range and produce misaligned prices on Betfair. And because the markets are so efficient, they simply have to correct themselves.

So that equals one word, OPPORTUNITY

And that opportunity has now presented itself in the form of a piece of automated software that will scans the Betfair daily in-play coupon and calculates the DI for each game and will flag up misaligned prices in the Match Odds and Over/Under 2.5 goals markets. These markets are always the most liquid of so your trades will be taken quicker, plus there will be plenty of games to trade and to profit from.

Introducing the Draw Inflation Tool

Created by the full time professionals behind the famous Trading Football service this is the must have addition to any traders portfolio, allowing you to profit in the Match Odds market before kick off. So you can sit back and enjoy the game knowing your profits are locked in or take free money inplay for risk free live trading!

We have been trialing this tool with the guys as it was being constructed and it really does do what it says on the tin.

Breaking News: I am going to put my money where my mouth is, some people will say it is big enough anyway, and use this tool, on minimum stakes whenever I can over the next month and all profits from it will be donated to my London Marathon charity run (details here). So watch this space for details of how we are getting on

Users have access to a page which will automatically scan the daily in-play football coupon giving a DI% for each game that meets our criteria. Then by following simple instructions quick profits can be achieved. Members will also get the option of receiving instant free email alerts when games are triggered. Marvellous!

Here is an example…..

Here is the launch webinar that was recently broadcast telling you everything you need to know about the software and the service….

PMT-DI Webinar 11-3-12 from Nugget Crew on Vimeo.

The Draw Inflation Tool is available as a standalone subscription service or for FREE, yes FREE for all subscribers to the boys prematchtrading.com service.

This is their original price checking service that looks for incorrect prices across a number of markets, using their now legendary software, Shirley. Shirley is a football markets model based on probability theory and statistics. The software uses prices in liquid markets and calculates relevant prices in secondary markets thus allowing users to spot mispriced events and profit from trading them before the game has started.

It was from this service that Draw Inflation was first discovered and explained to it members, who have profiting from it ever since.

So now everyone can have access to two fantastic services and automated software tools for one low price. You will also benefit from email tips will be sent out to members, plus tutorial videos. Plus here is also an excellent Chat room facility and email support for all members too.

To find out more about how you can get involved with this service (and get the new DI tool for FREE) just click below…….

PMT

Draw Inflation

March 1, 2012 by  
Filed under News

Just had this in from Adster over at prematchtrading.com concerning currently very under utilised aspect of Football Trading, Draw Inflation.

Breaking News…..

We’ve had many emails requesting more info about the brilliant Draw Inflation and it’s availability. Currently this is available on the Automated Pages and other games have to set up manually on the Manual Page to find out the DI for those games. So we will be launching a new Sevice soon which will automatically scan the BF coupon for that day and find games where the DI is high/low allowing users to jump on and make ££££.

This is pretty exciting! There were 4 Premier games alone over the last weekend where the DI was high and profits were assured before a ball was kicked. The DI Service will also be ideal for those with less time as Match Odds get matched a lot quicker than other markets.

If this is of interest please let us know as we expect this to be very popular indeed.

So just what is Draw Inflation?

Over to you again Adster……

We are finding there are more and more games where we can take advantage of via Shirley (our price misalignment software).

These include :

• We’re trading the Match Odds so we get matched almost immediately.
• Liquidity is better in Match Odds than any other market.
• Even lesser games we wouldn’t normally touch due to lack of £££ we can get involved in and nick a few ££££ allowing more flexibility and trading opportunities aside the big live games.
• Those with less time can jump on these, make their green and move on very quickly.
• Shirley tells us exactly what the draw Inflation is, making this an even more powerful tool.

The majority of football models are based on the poisson distribution and so is Shirley – a heavily modified poisson model which allows for teams correlation and leagues specific corrections.
Historically poisson models have been predicting draw outcomes to occur less often and the error has been around 10%, therefrom the draw inflation – inflating/increasing the probability of draws and of course draw scores 0-0/1-1 etc.

What is too high/low then?

That’s relative, anything between 5-15% is alright but if you see an inflation around or below 0% that would be low, respectively an inflation above 20% would be high, in some Italian B games however draw inflation’s have been as high as 200%, those games in which the draw trades around 1.50 at KO :)

What to do when we spot a low inflation?

The inflation depends on match odds and total goals so there are a number of scenarios:

• match odds remain the same, u2.5 drifts
• draw steams, dog drifts, u2.5 stays the same
• draw steams, faves drift, u2.5 steams
• draw remains the same, dog drifts, u2.5 drifts

and quite a few more of these…

A trade that would win in most cases – back the draw and lay the dog, if you could get matched laying/backing at back/lay prices that would be best.

For high inflations – the opposite – lay draw and back dog.

Click here to check out a few testimonials over on the Trading Football site (these boys know a thing or two about the subject!)

Here’s an example from Wednesday night:

Tonight the Braga game was again an example of draw inflation at work. Was clear cut even for relative draw inflation novice like myself. Braga vs Guimares at about 45mins before kickoff DI was hovering between 17.5% and 20%.
Guirames was @7.6- 7.8 on Betfair, and Pinnacle only @7.1 as expected Guirares fell in match odds.

DI dropped slightly into the 16.% range.

then DI rose again to 20% range at about maybe 20mins before kickoff Pinnacle was showing guirames @6.12….betfair price @7-7.2…..again fell down to @6.6 -6.8

So two clear cut entry opportunties. Liquidity was very high in the match odds last i saw touching 750k.

To find out more about how you can get involved just click below…….

PMT

and don’t miss the boys free webinar (now on 10th March by the way)

And you can see more great ideas for the service over at Prematch Trading TV on Youtube

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