The Weekend Wager from Secret Betting Club

Posted on January 14, 2011 by Darren Hall

Welcome to this the latest Weekend Wager free betting column produced by the Secret Betting Club.

Each and every Friday through this column we bring together some of the finest experts to give you betting tips, advice and guidance for the next 7 days..

1. Mike Says..

In this column, Secret Betting Club co-editor and professional gambler Mike Bishop discusses some of the weeks most topical betting issues.

In some of my recent SBC Blogs I have been listing a number of tables with the full profit and loss details for many of the recommended tipsters we advocate our members follow. In these articles I have used a term called ROI to help you put tipster profits into a real-life context, and I have another simple calculation to further help that today – Return on Capital.

Return on Capital or ROC is a really simple measure that translates how much your money has grown in relation to its starting point. It is a simple percentage figure, which is very easy to calculate – even Robbie Savage could work it out!

Say for example you put £5000 into a high interest account and at the end of the year you had £6000. Well your profit is £1000, but your ROC is the percentage increase, which in this instance is 20%.

(To get this figure simply divide 100 by your starting amount – £5000 and then multiply by the profit – £1000).

Sadly, these days you are very unlikely to get anywhere near that amount of ROC from £5000 in traditional savings accounts.

This is why more and more people are turning to alternative ways of investing their money – such as through betting, where with the right people guiding you, the ROC can be very appealing. At this point we must stress that betting obviously is a higher risk that putting your money in the bank, but in this case, with higher risk can come higher rewards.

Some Examples

To help explain this further, I am going to show you the exact ROC amounts for each of the 9 top-rated racing tipsters we recommended in 2010. If you have yet to do so, you can see all the profit figures for each of these tipsters at this blog post, but in the table below are the exact ROC figures.

(Please note – the actual names of each tipster have been protected and are available to full SBC members only).

To help explain this further, we recommend a betting bank figure for each service (2^nd column) and next to that you can see the points profit for 2010 that this service made. In the final column is the exact Return on Capital amount in percentage terms.

The top performer was Service 7, with a whopping 455% increase in 2010. To put that in financial terms, if you had started the year with £5000, this would have become £27,552 by the end of it.

Of course they are by far and away the top performers, but still any of Services 3 through to 9 would have made at least 23.72% up to 147.27% ROC.

Much more than any bank is going to offer you in the current economic climate!

Find out More

If you find these kind of stats helpful then you will love our monthly Tipster Report, which gives you the latest ROC for around 35 of the very best tipsters out there. We also calculate other useful figures for you, such as Strike-Rate, ROI and our very own power ranking, which we call ROI+.

You can pick this all up immediately by taking up a Secret Betting Club membership today.

Until next week…

Mike Bishop

2. Mike’s Football Bets

Mike analyses the forthcoming football betting opportunities over the next week and highlights a few bets he feels offer value. This is part of a season-long experiment to see the likely returns from such an approach and to build up a public record.

We have a very competitive looking weekend of Premier League action coming up with 3 big derbies and a crunch game down at White Hart Lane. No doubt all police leave will have been cancelled this weekend!

My strongest bet of the weekend comes up at the Stadium of Light where Sunderland are what looks to be a far too generous 2.23 with 2 bookies to beat Newcastle. Perhaps too much is being made of the 5-1 reverse thrashing but the facts are that the Black Cats have a very strong home record indeed, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing just 1 this season. I’m not at all convinced that Alan Partridge (sorry, Pardew) will be right for the Geordies and I make the home win probability towards a 50% chance, much better than the 44% that the 2.23 odds indicate. The one concern is that Newcastle have been such a Jekyll and Hyde team so it depends what side of bed they all get out of that morning especially. Andy Carroll if not fit will be a big miss as well.

Another team who have made their home ground a bit of a fortress is Spurs who are as big as 2/1 to see off Man Utd on Sunday. Remarkably only Wigan have come away from the Lane with all 3 pts this season and United have won only 2 games on the road, both of which were far from convincing narrow victories at Stoke and West Brom. They seem to have missed Rooney’s usual cut and thrust away this season and are vulnerable down the flanks, especially at right back so Gareth Bale could be key. A draw for me looks likely, followed by a home win so I am taking the +0.25 Asian Handicap on Spurs at 1.78 with 12bet.

These 2 games apart its slim pickings this weekend although I am placing my first bet on Blackpool in the outright match market for this season. West Brom are struggling for quality defensively with a few key players out and could be overwhelmed by Blackpool’s attacking instincts who will be full of confidence after doing the double over Liverpool. A shortlist bet on the Tangerines with a +0.75 Asian Handicap at 1.96 with Pinnacle and 188bet is the approach here.

My only other interest this weekend was potentially over at Anfield where Liverpool are a very big looking 2.29 to beat Everton at home. I have passed this over as a bet due to my policy of not betting heavily on teams that have undergone recent changes (such as a new manager). Still Liverpool have a pretty decent record and at 2.29, this indicates a 43.6% chance of victory for the home side, which may offer value. No bet for me but will watch with interest.

Main Bets
1 pt Sunderland to beat Newcastle 2.23 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Spurs (+0.25 AH) V Man Utd. 1.78 12bet/Canbet/SBObet/188bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Blackpool (+0.75 AH) V West Brom. 1.96 Pinnacle/188bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*All odds quoted correct as of time these bets were posted at the SBC Blog.

Just to clarify, although we have members and some tipsters providing some free tips and systems, we are primarily a review service. Please dont expect miracles or read too much into this experiment!

Your Ultimate Betting Resource

The very latest issue of the Secret Betting Club newsletter is out NOW and features everything you need to know about making money including…

The free racing tipster who has made 163 pts profit since the start of 2010, which at simply £25 stakes is over £4000.
The second racing tipster who has also made 184 pts profit since starting in February, which also equates to £4600 profit at £25 stakes.
The latest stats on the free racing system – the ‘4 Pronged Attack’ that each new subscriber to SBC has access to. In November it picked out only 6 bets but still had 2 big winners with Diamond Harry in the Hennessy at 9/1 and Menorah at 13/2. In just 123 bets since May 2010, this free system has made £4600 at £50 stakes.

3. A Sporting Chance

Scott Armstrong is The Sportsman who provides his regular expert betting advice on a range of sports such as Darts, Racing & Football. Each week via this column you can find his latest betting insight and expect some advice in fairly untapped markets – his speciality!

The two darts World Championships have just ended and it’s noticeable the difference in the standard of doubling in the seperate organisations. Adrian Lewis won the PDC event with a doubles tournament average of 38% with Martin Adams winning the BDO tournament with a doubles tournament average of 36%. Not much difference there I hear you cry and that’s true but let’s delve a little deeper. Runner-up in the PDC world’s Gary Anderson struck a 41% doubles tournament record while BDO runner-up Dean Winstanley could only claim 30%. Looking back at last year’s events Phil Taylor won the tournament with a 40% doubles ratio and runner up Raymond van Barneveld had a 39% ratio. In the BDO Martin Adams had a 38% winners ratio and runner up Dave Chisnall struck 35%. In punting terms this means you are better trading in running on the BDO events that are televised as prices will fluctuate more as doubles are missed.

In terms of tournament winners let’s look back at the last five televised singles PDC tournaments (including the joint players PDC/BDO Grand Slam of Darts event) and the winners and runners up tournaments doubles records:-

PDC World Championship – Winner, – Adrian Lewis 38%, Runner-up – Gary Anderson 41%

Grand Slam of Darts:- Winner – Scott Waites 40%, Runner-up – James Wade 49%

World Grand Prix:- Winner – James Wade 46%, Runner-up – Adrian Lewis 44%

European Championships:- Winner – Phil Taylor 40%, Runner-up – Wayne Jones 36%

World Matchplay:- Winner – Phil Taylor 53%, Runner-up – Raymond van Barneveld 50%

The common theme is no winner has struck less than 38% tournament doubles. The next televised PDC tournament is at the start of next month on ITV4 the Players Championship. The betting market will be dominated by Phil Taylor, but does his recent slump form tie in with a dip on his doubles? The answer is yes. Here’s his doubles record for the last 5 televised events with the most recent first. World Championships 36%, Grand Slam of Darts 37%, Grand Prix 51%, European Championships 40% and Matchplay 53%. It’s noticeable in the last two tournaments Taylor’s doubling has dipped below our 38% winners line. Also noticeable that Taylor resorted to playing in glasses for one match in the Grand Slam of Darts which has to be taken as a negative. For alternatives to Taylor are there any players who have over the last five events kept their doubles above the 38% line? There’s only one man to have done so: James Wade with an average doubles rate of 46% over the last five televised tournaments. This would suggest Wade would be a player to keep on the right side for the Players Championship with Phil Taylor a possible lay. Interestingly they are on course to meet in round 2 of the competition. Clichés generally ring true and the old darting adage “it’s trebles for show and doubles for dough” rings truer than most.

4. The Winabobatoo Weekender

Winabobatoo provide English Premier League, Football League and Scottish Premier ratings and systems. Using their own in-house systems to often ‘Win a bob or two’ for their members, they are penning an exclusive Weekend Football Guide to help with your bets every Saturday and Sunday.

Mike Lindley will be back next Friday with his usual Winabobatoo free bet.

Visit The Winabobatoo Website

5. Putting For Profit

Ian Richards runs Sportsbettingindex.com, a betting portal which includes an odds comparison site, free tips and betting blog – helping the punter for the last 10 years.

European Tour – Abu Dhabi Championship
PGA Tour – Bob Hope Classic
Champions Tour – Mitsubishi Championship

The European Tour says goodbye to South Africa and starts its Middle East swing. In the USA the PGA tour leaves Hawaii and heads for California whilst the Champions Tour takes it place on Hawaii.

The Abu Dhabi event is in its 6th year and since Chris Dimarco won the inaugural event, Martin Kaymer and Paul Casey have dominated – winning two each, alternating between each other. In fact if you look at those that place, there are very few surprises, so concentrate your thoughts at the top of the market.

The Bob Hope Classic is the last of the five round pro-ams still in existence and kicks off on Wednesday, so make sure your bets are on in time. The courses have varied over the years but they are all very easy for the professionals unless the wind gets up, which it can at this time of year. Three of the last four winners have been tour ‘virgins’ – Hoffman, Perez and Haas – although it is a bit early to see if this ‘trend’ continues.

That’s all for today! Have a great weekend…

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Best Regards,

Secret Betting Club

P.S. All new members get our full back catalogue when joining and considering we have recently published our 55th edition, that’s a huge amount of info all thrown in for free!