More Copy Cat Copiers

Refering back to our recent scam busters posting (here), it would appear this act is definetly on the increase. As my regular Friday email from Clive Keeling points out. Once again folks, be careful out there.

Here’s an April Fools for you!

At least that’s what I thought when I went to this website: Betting Scalper

£109,000 per month and £396,418.14 in 3 months, but yours for, erm, £27! We see, again, what looks like the insidious mis use of Betfair profit and loss screenshots.

I mean look at some of these……

Please stop you are hurting me!

In fact, I nailed a cool £10,465,000 in the 1st Round of Quidditch over night. What a result. Look, here’s the screenshot! I layed Harry Potter after I received some insider info that he lost his glasses and had no replacements for the tournament.

I will spill the beans on how you can win nearly £11,000,000 betting on quidditch. So look out for my new guide to “Bookies Going Pott(er)y”.

I hope you get the message. So many system/tipping websites are cons, the Betfair screenshots are not real. Insist on looking at All Transactions from the Account Statement: Main Wallet. This shows settled date, Ref Id, Placed, Description, Average Odds, Stake, Status, Dr, Cr, and Balance. These will be much harder to fake.

Here is another that Clive recently had the misfortune to come across. It was a copy if his own work too!

Can these bleeping bleepers not come up with ideas of their own? I must thank a reader for bringing this website to my attention.

www.bettingrebellion.com is its name and when you enter in your email address, you are directed to http:// bettingrebellion.com/ty.html and someone called Dean Sturridge apparently from What Realy Wins Money has quite simply stolen 3 of my ideas and passed it off as his.

Dean Sturridge and What Realy Wins Money is not affiliated in any way with What Really Wins Money (we like to use 2 ll’s at WRWM towers) and nor is Dean Sturridge a new recruit to the WRWM roster, unless my publisher has gone into the transfer market in order to bring in the ex Derby County, Leicester City, Wolves, QPR and Kidderminster Harriers goal poacher to strengthen the attack.

So please spread the word and do not submit your email address. I hope this ideas stealer will cease trading soon.

For those of you who have not come across Clive before, he is a self proclaimer betting geek and the editor of a the excellent What Really Wins Money.

Clive has some excellent ideas on betting systems, trading and staking plans alike and always raises a smile or two with his clever observations in his regular newsletters. All in all well worth a look.

Here is his latest horse racing system idea, interesting stuff and all his OWN work too!

All red this week.

No I am not going to talk about the “calm down calm down” Liverpool FC ownership struggle with Stadtler and Waldorf from the Muppets seeking to retain control of the club, I want to talk about the “all red” phenomenon.
It is particularly prevalent at the beginning of the jumps season, quite simply because the stable will have the best info and angles into any horse who might be making its hurdle debut, or its bumper debut, or chase debut.
What this “all red” system seeks to do is to pinpoint you in the direction of horses who have been shortening in price throughout the morning.

So what’s involved?

Well I have spoken about all red in the past, so the system has been shared before, but will recap here

1) Go to racingpost at around 1115 – 1145pm.

2) Note any horse in a race whose price is “all red” (if this eletter goes out in time, Willing Foe in the 550 Newmarket is a prime example).

3) Look at the betting forecast of said horse and note whether the live betting market price is shorter than the betting forecast price

4) If the price is all red, and the live market price is shorter than the betting forecast price, we have a potential horse who has been solidly backed all morning.

The background.

Why “all red”?

Well, at Racingpost, when horse’s odds are “all red” it signals they are shortening, and when “all blue” it signals they are drifting.

We look mid morning because the markets will have formed by around 11am and we will get an idea, this early, as to prospective market movers or horses whose prices are being shortened during the morning (for whatever reason – most likely monetary support)

I have seen so many all red horses this week that I wanted to remind you.

So do take a look at the 550 Wolverhampton today.

As I write, Willing foe is 5/4, and the only horse in the betting market which is all red. This, for me , strengthens the signal.

Further here is the betting forecast for said 550 Newmarket

BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Willing Foe, 11/2 Ottoman Empire, 6/1 Times Up, 8/1 Life And Soul, 9/1 Classic Punch, Rashaad, 12/1 Chiberta King, 14/1 Classic Vintage, 16/1 Private Story, 25/1 Right Step, 28/1 Seeking The Buck.

Can you see that Willing Foe is shorter (at 5/4) than he is in the betting forecast.

He meets our criteria.
I have found that the higher strike rate is reached on horses below 3/1.

That is not to say that we should avoid any horses over 3/1. They will probably be good each way candidates.

It will be interesting to see how Willing Foe runs today. It is his first run in a handicap, he has the able assistance of up and coming young jockey Frankie Dettori, and the 5/4 I mentioned when I started writing is now 11/10 with some bookmakers and evens elsewhere.

Good for the trader

This kind of horse can also be good for those of you who like trading horses on Betfair.

Why?

Well, If we notice a horse who has already been backed at 11am, and his race does not go off until 550pm, and he is the only horse in the race who is shortening in price, we can back the horse as early as possible, and hope that the Betfair price will reflect the bookmakers’ price and the horse’s odds will shorten as the day progresses.

Hopefully, we will be in a position whereby the price at which we backed mid morning will be shorter than the price at race time, allowing us to trade out for a profit before the race has even been run!!

So, watch out for all reds this coming week. As with anything new, make a note of those you see and paper trade.

Also, keep an independent list of horses priced below 3/1. I noted that they have a greater win strike rate.

I’m off now to get some goal scoring tips from Dean Sturridge

Have a great weekend

Clive